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European security The EU respond to military threats Dr. Arūnas Molis 24 April, 2014 Tallinn Responding organizations Defence Alliances: NATO EU CSTO Economic cooperation: EU RF, BLR, KZH Common Economic space Eurasian Union? Global issues: UN World Trade organization World Bank, International Monetary Fund Sectorial cooperation: International Atomic Energy Agency Energy Charter Treaty Gas Exporting Countries Forum European and NATO Co-op Structures ORGANIZATION FOR SECURITY AND COOPERATION IN EUROPE (OSCE) (56) EURO-ATLANTIC PARTNERSHIP COUNCIL (EAPC) (49) Andorra Holy See Liechtenstein Monaco NORTH ATLANTIC TREATY ORGANISATION (NATO) (26) 28 Canada San Marino Iceland PARTNERSHIP FOR PEACE (PfP) (23) United States Norway Turkey EUROPEAN UNION (EU) (27) Cyprus Malta Belgium Bulgaria Greece Germany Luxembourg Netherlands Czech Rep Denmark Hungary Italy Poland Portugal Estonia Latvia Romania France Lithuania Slovakia Austria Albania Moldova1 Armenia1 BosniaHerzegovina Montenegro Azerbaijan1 Serbia Belarus1 Switzerland Croatia Tajikistan1 Georgia1 Turkmenistan1 Kazakhstan1 Ukraine1 Kyrgyzstan1 Uzbekistan1 Russia1 Finland Slovenia Spain Ireland Sweden United Kingdom FYROM* Istanbul Cooperation Initiative (ICI) (4) Mediterranean Dialogue (MD) (7) Algeria Israel Mauritania Egypt Jordan Morocco Tunisia Membership Action Plan + PARP (3) PARP (13) Contact Countries contributing to NATO ops Bahrain Qatar Argentina Mongolia Kuwait UAE Australia New Zealand EU Aspirants (1) 1 Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) Member (12) * Turkey recognizes the Republic of Macedonia with its constitutional name As of 03/01/2007 NATO Enlargement towards Balkans Discussions around the new NATO Strategic concept Return of France to NATO Stuck in Afghanistan Global partnerships? New tasks http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FziXbYrmAdk EU in the world EU and its member states have largest diplomatic network in the world More than 40,000 officials work in the foreign ministries of the 27 member states, across some 1,500 diplomatic missions European Commission has a network of over 120 delegations. No doubts about the EU potential: size of the EU’s economy the attractiveness of its consumer market role as a pre-eminent provider of foreign aid considerable military capabilities EU enjoys unrivalled legitimacy A 2007 ECFR/Gallup poll based on interviews with 57,000 people from 52 countries found greater support for an enlarged global role for the EU than for any other world power EU priority areas A set of EU policies Common commercial policy Development cooperation Responding to humanitarian crises Common foreign and security policy External dimension of EU policies Enlargement… Common Security and Defence Policy Common European security policy: European Security Strategy An Initial Long-term Vision For European Defence Capability And Capacity Needs Intergovernmental and supranational structures: Political and diplomatic institutions Crisis management capabilities Common crisis management operations (CMO): Civilian CMO Military CMO EU involvement in crises management Civilian involvement Police of Law Civilian Administration Civil Protection Monitoring Support to EUSR Civilian Response Teams Military involvement separation of parties by force stabilisation, reconstruction and military advice to third countries conflict prevention evacuation assistance to humanitarian operations Rule EU missions and operations Civilian: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rIX8sakuxMY Military: C. Ashton on the missions: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R6wHUErJbKw http://www.consilium.europa.eu/eeas/security-defence?lang=en Example: EU in the Balkans EUSR for BiH and FYROM Legal instruments (visa bans, freezing of funds, support for peaceful separation) ESDP operations (EU police mission in BiH, Concordia, Proxima, EUFOR-Althea) Trade concessions, economic and financial assistance Conditionality principle and negotiations on SAA with Albania, BiH, Montenegro, Serbia: Commitment to good neighborly relations and readiness to engage in cross-border cooperation; Compliance with obligations under various peace agreements and with the ICTY in The Hague Commitments on protecting minorities and facilitating the return of displaced people Contractual relationship through the SAA (accession negotiations with Croatia, FYROM): Creation of free trade area; Approximation of the EU acquis Political dialogue Cooperation in security and justice affairs Recent changes in the EU Ratification of the Lisbon treaty CSDP: 25 articles out of 62 Presidency of Council High Representative Foreign & Security Policy External Action Service Permanent Structured Cooperation New crises management operations New impetus for climate change policy After Lisbon Treaty was adopted.. Solidarity clause Binds all MS to provide aid and assistance “by all means in their power” in the event of another MS becoming a victim of a terrorist attack, natural or man-made disaster Mutual defence clause Binds all MS to provide aid and assistance “by all means in their power” in the event of another MS becoming a victim of armed aggression Quicker access to budget Greater involvement of the Commission’s controlled €8 billion budget for external activities Challenges Spending on defence is not sufficient Defense budgets as % of GDP has fallen in the last ten years from 1.8% of GDP in 1998 to 1.4% of GDP in 2008. 4 countries provide roughly 70% of EU defence spending – the UK and France (43 %) and Germany and Italy Add the Dutch and Spanish defence budgets to the four bigger countries, and those six account for around 80 % of EU spending Add in Greece, Poland, Sweden and Belgium and only ten countries account for 90 % of EU defence spending Even if the other 17 EU countries re-programme their defence spending and focus on ‘niche’ activities, overall EU figures will depend on the largest and richest EU countries Polarization of the EU on security matters Euro-atlantists: support for US, sceptical about military dimension, focus on EU eastern neighborhood Euro-continentalists: consolidation of EU “hard” power, focus on Africa, enhanced cooperation Non-aligned countries: focus on “soft” security, non-involvement in operations Split of the Western world For instance, split over Russia. Is Russia: Recognized actor of G8? Equal partner in pan-European security treaty? Reliable partner in peace support operations? Reliable energy supplier? Friendly, law-abiding, democratic neighbor? Different nations, different answers! Defend RF interests RUSSIA Trojan Horses “Special” relationship Cyprus, Greece Strategic partners Close relationship France, Germany, Italy, Spain Friendly pragmatists Focus on business Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Finland, Hungary, Luxemburg, Malta, Portugal, Slovakia, Slovenia Frosty pragmatists Hostile relationship Czech Rep., Denmark, Estonia, Ireland, Latvia, Netherlands, Romania, Sweden, UK New Cold Warriors Lithuania, Poland Source: ECFR, “A power Audit of EU-Russia relations” Recent changes in the EU Ratification of the Lisbon treaty CSDP: 25 articles out of 62 Presidency of Council High Representative Foreign & Security Policy External Action Service Permanent Structured Cooperation New crises management operations New impetus for climate change policy