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1 1. Introduction 2. Overview of China’s Financial System 2.1 A brief Review 2.2 Overview of Financial System 2.3 Efficiency of the Financial System: Theory discussion 3. The Banking and Intermediation sector 3.1 Bank Deposits and Loans 3.2 The Efficiency of state-owned Banks 3.3 Growth of Non-state Financial Intermediaries 2 4. Financial Markets 4.1 Stock Exchanges 4.2 Overview of Bond Markets 4.3 Real Estate Markets 4.4 Private Equity/Venture Capital and the Funding of New Industries 4.5 Fund Industry 4.6 Regulation Framework 4.7 Further Development of Financial Markets 5. Concluding Remarks 3 1. Introduction The role of China’s financial system in supporting the growth of its economy. We provide a comprehensive review of China’s financial system and explore directions of future development How to study the general theory of financial system to economic growth? 4 Almost every functioning financial system includes financial markets and intermediaries(e.g., a banking sector), but how these two standard financial sectors contribute to the entire financial system and economy differs significantly across different countries. Although there is no consensus regarding the prospects for China’s future economic growth, a prevailing view on China’s financial system speculates that it is one of the weakest links in the economy, and it will hamper future economic growth. 5 We discuss what has worked and what remains to be done within the two sectors and examines how further development can better serve the entire economy. Discussion 6 2. Overview of Financial System 2.1 A Brief Review The history of China’s financial system Steps of financial reform Progress of financial reform Financial development Financial crisis 7 A. The History of China’s Financial System Between 1950-1978, China’s financial system consisted a single bank-the People’s Bank of China (PBC),a central-government-owned and controlled bank under the Ministry of Finance, which served as both the central bank and a commercial bank, controlling about 93% of the total financial assets of the country and handling almost all financial transactions. 8 B. Steps of Financial Reform The first main structural change began in 1978, and ended in 1984 By the end of 1979, the PBC departed the Ministry of Finance and became a separate entity, which three state-owned banks took over some of its commercial banking businesses. 9 Big Four Commercial Banks The Bank of China (BOC) was given the mandate to specialize in transactions related to foreign trade and investment. The People’s Construction Bank of China originally formed in 1954,was set up to handle transactions related to fixed investment (especially in manufacturing). The Agriculture Bank of China (ABC) was set up (in 1979) to deal with all banking business in rural areas. Finally, the fourth state-owned commercial bank, the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China(ICBC) was formed in 1984, and took over the rest of the commercial transactions of the PBC. 10 The PBC was finally established as china’s central bank, and eventually a two-tier banking system was formed. The system of PBC has been fully established through the legislation in 1994 and gradually adjusted in the past two decades. International comparison: financial system 11 C. Progress of Financial Reform For most of the 1980s, the development of the financial system was characterized by the fast growth of financial intermediaries outside “Big Four” banks. Some issues 12 Regional banks were formed in the coastal areas; in rural areas, a network of rural credit cooperatives(RCCs) was set up under the supervision of the ABC, while urban credit cooperatives(UCCs),were also founded in the urban areas. Non-bank financial intermediaries ,such as the Trust and Investment Corporations(TICs) ,emerged and proliferated in this period. 13 The most significant event for China’s financial system in the 1990s was the inception and growth of China’s stock market. Two domestic exchanges (SHSE and SZSE) were established in 1990 and grew very fast during most of the 1990s in terms of the size and trading volume. However, their scale and importance are not comparable to the banking sector, and they have not born effective in allocating resources in the economy. 14 In parallel with the development of the stock market ,the real estate markets also went from non-existed in the early 1990s to one that is currently comparable in size with the stock market. Both the stock and real estate markets have experienced several major corrections during the past decades and are characterized by high volatilities and speculative short-term behaviors by many investors. 15 D. Financial Development Following the Asian Financial Crisis in 1997, the financial sector reform has focused on state-owned banks and especially the problem of NPLs. The China Banking Regulation Committee was also established to oversee the banking industries. China’s entry into the WTO in December 2001 marked the beginning of new area, as we continue to observe increasing competition from foreign financial institutions. 16 Institutional Investors In China, institutional investors began to emerge in the late 1990s: the first closed-ended fund in which investors cannot withdraw capital after initial investment, was set up in 1997, and the first open-ended fund, in which investors can freely withdraw capital, was established in 2011. By the end to 2006, there were 58 fund companies managing 307 funds with 25 open-ended funds and the rest closed-ended. 17 In 2003, a few qualified foreign institutional investors(QFII) entered China’s asset management industry, and they have been operating by forming joint ventures with Chinese companies. On the other hand China allowed qualified domestic institutional investors(QDII) to invest in overseas markets beginning in July 2008. 18 As of early 2008, 10 fund companies have obtained the license to launch QDII with a total investment quota of US$ 42.17 billion, and five QDII funds have been set up. 19 E. Financial Crisis The entrance of China into the WTO introduces cheap foreign capital and technology, but large scale and sudden capital flows and foreign speculation increase the likelihood of a crisis. How to avoid damaging financial crisis? What is possible for regional financial crisis in China? 20 2.2 Overview of Financial System Banking and Intermediation Sector Financial Markets Non-standard Financial Sector Foreign Financial Sectors Others 21 China’s Financial System Banking and Intermediation Secter Policy banks Commercial bands Financial Markets Non-standard Financial Sector Foreign sectors (FDI,Capital Flows) Stock market Informal Financial (SHSE,SZSE,HKSE) Institutions Bond market Coalitions/institutions among Hybrid Sector firms and their investors State Owned Partially state owned Government bond Private owned and Corporate bond Foreign Non-bank Financial Venture Capital/PE Institutions RCC,UCC, Real Estate Postal Savings TIC,Mutual Funds, Finance Companies 22 Banking Financial Institutions, 2011 Institutions Large commercial banks Share-holding banks City Commercial banks Rural Commercial banks Rural Cooperative banks Rural Cooperatives Postal and Savings Bank Financial-Asset Management co. Foreign-funded banks Number 5 12 144 212 190 2265 1 4 40 Employment 23 Continued Institutions Number Trust and Credit co. 66 Financial Companies of enterprise groups 127 Financial Leasing co. 18 Currency Brokerage co. 4 Automobile Finance co. 14 Consumer finance co. 4 Village and Township Banks 635 Credit and Loans co. 10 Rural Cooperatives 46 Total 3800 Employment 3.2 million 24 Four Tiers of Banking Industry 1. Five large commercial banks dominate the banking industry, in spite of the decreasing shares in deposits and loans business. 2. Shareholding banks…… 3. Regional and local banking institutions such as urban commercial banks, rural commercial banks and rural cooperative bans and rural cooperatives, and postal saving banks…… 4. Foreign banks, after 30 years of Greenfield development committed by foreign banks, the foreign banks activity in China still accounted for a paltry 1.93% of total assets and liabilities in 2011. 25 The Number of Banks in China Institutions 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Policy Banks 3 3 3 3 3 3 Large commercial banks 5 5 5 5 5 5 Share-holding Banks 12 12 12 12 12 12 City Commercial Banks 113 124 136 143 147 144 City Cooperatives 72 42 22 11 0 0 Rural Cooperatives 19348 8348 4965 3056 2646 2265 Rural Commercial Banks 13 17 22 43 85 212 Rural Cooperative Banks 80 113 163 196 223 190 Village & Township Banks 0 19 91 148 349 635 Postal & Savings Bank 1 1 1 1 1 1 26 2.3 Efficiency of the Financial System Law and finance literature How compare China’s financial system to those of LLSV sample countries, with measures for the size and efficiency of banks and markets? 27 Readings Rafael La Porta, Florencio Lopez-De-Silanes, Andrei Shleifer, and Robert W.Vishny (LLSV),1997 “ Legal Determinants of External Finance”, The Journal of Finance 52, 1131-1150. Rafael La Porta, Florencio Lopez-De-Silanes, Andrei Shleifer, and Robert W.Vishny,1998 “Law and Finance”, Journal of Political Economy, 106, 1113-1155. 28 Franklin Allen and Douglas Gale, 2004, “Financial Intermediaries and Markets”, Econometrica 72, 10231061. Franklin Allen, Michael K. F. Chui and Angela Maddaloni, 2004, “Financial Systems in Europe, the USA, and ASIA”, Oxford Review of Economic Policy 20, 490-508. Franklin Allen, J Qian and M Qian, 2008, “China’s Financial System: Past, Present, and Future”, in Chapter 14. 29 The size of bank loans relative to China’s GDP: A. New issuance loans to GDP B. Total outstanding loans to GDP China’s banking sector has played much larger role in allocation of financial resources compared to the equity market. 30 New Issuance Loans/GDP Year 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 New issuance loans Trillion yuan 0.56 1.29 1.90 2.77 1.84 1.73 3.06 3.64 4.17 9.63 7.95 6.87 8.20 8.89 9.78 GDP Trillion yuan 9.92 10.97 12.03 13.58 15.99 18.49 21.63 26.58 31.40 34.09 40.12 47.16 51.93 56.88 63.60 NIL/GDP (%) 5.68% 11.80% 15.77% 20.40% 11.49% 9.37% 14.14% 13.70% 13.28% 28.25% 19.82% 14.58% 15.78% 15.63 15.38 31 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 NIL/GDP TOL/GDP 32 Total Outstanding Loans(at year-end)/GDP Year 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Total loans(at year-end) Trillion yuan 9.94 11.23 13.13 15.90 17.74 19.47 22.53 26.17 30.34 39.97 47.92 54.79 62.99 71.90 81.70 GDP Trillion yuan 9.92 10.97 12.03 13.58 15.99 18.49 21.63 26.58 31.40 34.09 40.12 47.16 51.93 56.88 63.60 TL/GDP (%) 100.16% 102.43% 109.11% 117.06% 110.94% 105.27% 104.15% 98.45% 96.61% 117.24% 119.44% 116.20% 121.29% 126.41 128.46 33 The Size of Equity Market to GDP How to evaluate the role of equity market to China’s economy? How to compare China’s case with other major economies? 34 Market Capitalization/GDP Year 2001 2002 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Market capitalization Trillion yuan 4.81 4.35 3.83 4.25 3.71 3.24 8.94 32.71 12.14 24.39 26.54 21.48 23.04 GDP Trillion yuan 9.92 10.97 12.03 13.58 15.99 18.49 21.63 26.58 31.40 34.09 40.12 47.16 51.93 MC/GDP (%) 48.47% 39.69% 31.85% 31.26% 23.18% 17.54% 41.33% 123.07% 38.65% 71.56% 66.16% 45.54% 44.12% 35 Discussion If banks and equity markets are small relative to the overall economy of China, then where do firms get the capital and funds? Social financing as a new feature of China’s financial system emerged just two or three years ago. 36 Social Financing and Its Composition Social Financing and Its Composition Year Social Financing RMB Loans 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2011.2 3411.3 2862.9 3000.8 4269.9 5966.3 6980.2 13910.4 14019.1 12828.6 15760.6 172904 164571 1847.5 2765.2 2267.3 2354.4 3152.3 3632.3 4904.1 9594.2 7945.1 7471.5 8203.5 8891.7 9781.6 trillion yuan Foreign Currency Credit Entruste Loans Loans d Loans (RMB) 73.1 17.5 228.5 60.1 138.1 311.8 141.5 196.1 145.9 269.5 82.5 386.4 337.1 170.2 194.7 426.2 314.4 926.5 678 436.4 485.5 874.8 386.5 571.2 1286.2 203.4 916.3 1283.7 1288.8 584.8 2546..6 1840.4 355.4 2507.0 517.4 Undiscou nted Bankers' Acc. -69.5 201 -29 2.4 150 670.1 106.4 460.6 2334.6 1027.1 1049.8 775.1 -128.5 Corporat e Bonds Domestic Equity Financing 36.7 49.9 46.7 201 231 228.4 552.3 1236.7 1106.3 1365.8 2249.8 1811.1 2425.3 62.8 55.9 67.3 33.9 153.6 433.3 332.4 335 578.6 437.7 250.8 221.9 435.0 37 Social Financing and its Composition, 2002 1% 2% 3% -3% 3% RMB Loans Foreign Currency Loans(RMB) Credit Loans Entrusted Loans Undiscounted Bankers' Acc. Corporate Bonds 88% Domesitc Equity Financing 38 Social Financing and its Composition, 2012 RMB Loans 2% 15% Foreign Currency Loans(RMB) Credit Loans 7% Entrusted Loans 8% 54% Undiscounted Bankers' Acc. 8% 6% Corporate Bonds Domesitc Equity Financing 39 Discussion Bank loans were one of the most important financing sources for Chinese economy but started to decrease the influence. Which channel will be promoted in China’s financial system in the coming years? Comparative studies to your own country. 40 3. The Banking and Intermediation Saving behavior in China Interest-bearing “saving deposits” are by far the most important form of deposits in China, which provide a good source for bank loans and other form of investment. How to explain the saving behavior in different countries? 41 Total Saving Amount to GDP,% Country China India Argentine Brazil Mexico 1995 42 27 16 16 19 2009 54 35 23 15 22 Middle 26 29 Netherlands Greece 27 18 22 3 Country Australia France Germany Japan Korea Singapore Switzerland UK US 1995 18 19 20 30 36 30 30 15 16 2009 21 16 21 24 30 32 32 12 10 42 Readings Modigliani, Franco and Shi Larry Cao, “The Chinese Saving Puzzle and the Life-Cycle Hypothesis,” Journal of Economic Literature, Vol.XLII (March 2004), 143-170. Others 43 3.1 Bank Deposits and Loans China’s household savings rates have been high throughout the past two decades. Given the growth of the economy, the sharp increase in personal income, total bank deposits from individuals have been growing fast since the mid-1980s, with the 2010 figure of RMB 30.33 trillion, and RMB 40.6 trillion in 2012, 50.3 trillion in 2014. 44 Household Savings/GDP,1991-2010 90.00% 80.00% 70.00% 60.00% 50.00% 40.00% 30.00% 20.00% 10.00% 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 0.00% 45 Total Outstanding Loans/GDP 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 200.00% 180.00% 160.00% 140.00% 120.00% 100.00% 80.00% 60.00% 40.00% 20.00% 0.00% Total savings/GDP 46 Sources for Bank Deposits (RMB) Household Trillion, % 45.95% Enterprises Trillion, % 17.6 2008 22.2 21.7 1.8 45.7 (46.6) 2009 26.5 29.8 2.2 58.5 (59.8) 2010 30.8 30.5 2.5 63.8 (71.8) 2011 34.8 30.4 2.6 67.8 (80.9) 2012 40.6 2013 46.1 36.2 3.0 104.4 2014 50.3 37.8 3.6 113.9 32.7 48.59% 35.66% 1.8 2.4 4.63% Total 2007 44.27% 18.9 Fiscal Trillion, % 2.62% 38.3 (38.9) 75.7 (91.7) 47 Credit Fund Balance Sheet Credit funds Balance Sheet of Financial Institutions(billion yuan) YEAR 2002 2009 funds % funds % All uses 18402.45 100.00% 68187.5 100.00% Loans 13129.39 71.35% 39968.5 58.62% Short-term loans 7424.79 40.35% 14661.1 21.50% Medium-long loans 4864.2 26.43% 22241.9 32.62% Credit loans 217.03 1.18% 527.7 0.77% Other loans 623.37 3.39% 2537.8 3.72% Securities & Investment 2678.97 14.56% 8664.3 12.71% Purchase of PX 2322.33 12.62% 19311.2 28.32% Others 271.75 1.48% 243.48 0.36% 48 Others include Assets in International Financial Institutions, purchase of gold & silver, and Government debt. 49 Breakdown of Bank Loans by Borrower Types Breakdown of Bank Loans (billion yuan) Year 2002 Total loans 13129.39 Short-term loans 7424.81 Industrial loans 2009 / 39968.5 / 100.00% 14661.1 100.00% 2019.05 27.19% 3876.9 26.44% Commercial loans 1797.31 24.21% 1948.3 13.29% construction loan 274.8 3.70% 364.7 2.49% Agricultural loans 688.46 9.27% 2162.3 14.75% Loans to TVEs 681.23 9.18% 902.9 6.16% Loans to private and individual cooperative firms 105.88 1.43% 711.7 4.85% loans to foreign-invested enterprises 269.74 3.63% 218 1.49% other short-term loans 1588.34 21.39% 4476.3 30.53% 50 3.2 The Efficiency of State-owned Banks A central question in reforming the state-owned banks is the ongoing privatization process. There are two imminent issues. First, more competition in the banking and intermediation sector, including the entrance of more non-state banks and intermediaries, is good for improving the efficiency of both the Big Four banks and the entire banking sector. Another issue is the government’s duel role as regulator and as majority owner. 51 Discussion Only after these state-owned banks are owned by non- government entities and individuals can they unconditionally implement all profit-and-efficiencyenhancing measures. In fact until a sample of both state-owned and non-stateowned banks, Berger et al. show that the addition of foreign ownership stakes into banks’ ownership structure is associated with significant improvement of bank efficiency. 52 3.3 Growth of Non-state Financial Intermediaries The development of both non-state banks and other financial institutions is crucial for China to have a stable and functioning banking system in the future. In addition to boosting the overall efficiency of the banking system, these financial institutions providing funding to support the sustainable growth of Chinese economy. More discussion 53 . Financial Markets We examine China’s financial markets, including both the stock and real estate markets, and the recent addition of venture capital and private equity markets, as well as asset management industries. The Futures Market The Foreign Exchange Market 54 Distinction between Stock and Bonds Investors can earn a return from stock in one of two ways. Either the price of the stock rises over time, or the firm pays the stockholder dividends. Frequently, investors earn a return from both sources. Stock is riskier than bonds because stockholders have a lower priority than bondholders when the firm is in trouble, the returns to investors are less assured because dividends can be easily changed, and stock price increases are not guaranteed. 55 It is possible to make a great deal of money by investing in stock, whereas that is very unlikely by investing in bonds. Another distinction between stock and bonds is that stock does not mature, which brought about a notorious story in a Chinese listing company. 56 A Residual Claiment Ownership of stock gives the stockholder certain rights regarding the firm. One is the right of a residual claimant: stockholders have a claim on all assets and income left over after all other claimants have been satisfied. If nothing is left over, they get nothing. It is possible to get rich as a stockholder if the firm does well. Most stockholders have the right to vote for directors and on certain issues, such as amendments to the corporate charter and whether new shares should be issued. 57 4.1 Stock Exchanges After the inception of China’s domestic stock exchanges, the SHSE and SZSE in 1990, they initially grew quickly. 58 Evolution of Stock Market The preparation for capital markets(1978-1990) Initiated the shares of firm and transformed one State- owned Department Store to be a share-holding company in 1984. It was permitted to sell and buy firm’s shares over the country in major city’s commercial banks in the late 1980s. The emergence of stock exchange markets (Shanghai and Shenzhen) and their operation features (1991-1996). The policy adjustments for stock markets and market development (1997-Today) . 59 There are two other markets established to complement the two main exchanges. First, a fully electronically operated market(second-tier market) for small and medium enterprises(SMEs) was opened in June 2004. it was designed to lower the entry barriers for SME firms, especially newly established firms in the high-tech industries By the end of February 2007, there were 119 firms listed in this market 60 Second, a “third-tier market” was established to deal primarily with de-listing firms and other overthe-counter(OTC) transactions. Since 2001, some publicly listed firms on both SHSE and SZSE that do not meet the listing standards have been de-listed and the trading of their shares shifted to this market. 61 Discussion There is abundant evidence showing that China’s stock markets are not efficient in that prices and investors’ behavior are not necessarily driven by fundamental values of listed firms. The current process of listing companies fosters both a problem of adverse selection among firms seeking an initial public offering(IPO) and a moral hazard problem among listed firms. 62 4.2 Overview of Bond Markets The government bond market had an annual growth rate of 26.9%during the period 1990-2005 in terms of newly issued bonds, while total outstanding bonds reached RMB 3,144.9 billion at the end of 2006. The second longest component of the bond market is called “policy financial bonds”. These bonds are issued by “policy banks”, which operate under the supervision of the ministry of Finance and the proceeds of bond issuance are invested in government-run projects and industries such as infrastructure construction. 63 The most underdeveloped component of China’s financial markets is the corporate bond market. Compared to government-issued bonds, the size of the corporate bond market is minuscule up to the end of 2010, but is increasing rapidly in the past four years. 64 Issued Volume of T-Bonds and Corporate Bonds Issued woluume of T-bonds and Coporate Bonds(billion yuan) Year 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 T-bonds 593.43 32.5 682.39 704.2 888.33 2313.91 855.82 1792.72 1977.83 1710 Coporate Bonds 628.01 35.8 32.7 204.65 393.83 505.85 843.54 1586.44 1549.15 2185.07 65 Issued volume of T-bonds and Corporate Bonds (billion yuan) 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 T-bonds 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Coporate Bonds 66 Discussion There are a number of reasons for the underdevelopment in bond markets in China. Lack of sound accounting/auditing system and high quality bond-rating agencies is an important factor. Lacking of a well-constructed yield curve is another important factor in China. The deficiencies in the term structure of interest rates hamper the development of derivatives. markets that enable firms and investors to manage risk, as well as the effectiveness of the government’s macroeconomic policies. 67 4.3 Real Estate Market Prior to 1998, government control was dominant with the market only playing a secondary role, and mortgages were not designated for retail customers and households. Chinese citizens working for the government and government-owned companies and organizations could purchase properties at prices significantly below market prices, with the subsidies coming from their employers. 68 The reform policies introduced in 1998 aimed to end the distribution of properties by employers and establish new housing finance and market system. Local governments have established programs to sell properties to individuals instead of allocating residency as part of the employment benefits. 69 Since 1998,the residential housing reform and the development of individual mortgages, along with rising household income and demand for quality housing, had stimulated the fast growth of the real estate. Total investment increased 1.11 trillion RMB in 2003 ,or 24.24% of the national fixed assets investment, to 7.57 trillion RMB in 2011, or 25.02% of the national fixed assets investment. 70 Real Estate Investment Real Estate Investment (2003-2011) billion yuan 2003 1314.34 2004 1667.89 2005 1950.53 2006 2452.44 2007 3243.89 2008 4044.18 2009 4935.85 2010 6487.73 2011 8168.61 2012 9915.93 2013 11880.94 71 Real Estate Investment (2003-2011) billion yuan 9000 8000 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 72 Financing for the Real Estate Sector As the real estate sector gains more weight in the economy, its impact on other industries, especially financial and banking industries, has also increased considerably. Bank loans are the most important source of real estate financing at early stage. Most of the investment funds have come from domestic sources. 73 Discussion on Bubble With the expansion of the real estate market, banks and other financial institutions lent more to keep up with the demand for financing; when the fast expansion could not be sustained by economic growth and household income, inflated demand led to hikes in property prices and a real estate bubble surfaced. 74 4.4 Private Equity/Venture Capital and the Funding of New Industries Financial source for new industries. Franklin Allen, Douglas Galeb, “Diversity of Opinion and Financing of New Technologies”, Journal of Financial intermediation, Volume 8, 1999, 68–89. 75 What is unusual about China is that it currently has the ability to develop both traditional industries, such as manufacturing, and new high- tech industries in the near future , such as aerospace, computer software, internet business, semi-conductors, and bio-genetics. 76 4.5 Fund Industries The independent securities firms and banks all offer a wild variety of investment funds (or mutual funds). Investment funds pool the resources of many small investors by selling these investors shares and using the proceeds to buy securities. Through the asset transformation process of issuing shares in small denominations and buying large blocks of securities, investment funds can take advantage of volume discounts on brokerage commissions and can purchase diversified portfolios of securities. 77 Investment funds allow the small investors to obtain the benefits of lower transaction costs in purchasing securities and to take advantage of the reduction of risk by diversifying the portfolio of securities held. Hedge funds…… 78 Development of the Fund Industry The growth of open-end funds contributed to most of the growth in the industry. Management fee in the major source of income for fund. companies, accounting for about 80% of total income. administration fees account for 9% of total income, and the rest of the income comes from investment and other incomes. 79 With only a handful of investment funds in 1998,China had 914 securities investment funds by the end of 2011. The total fund value increased from RMB 11 billion in 1998 to about RMB 2.58 trillion in May 2008. The capital of securities investment funds increased from RMB 2.42 trillion in 2010 to RMB 2.65 trillion in 2011. 80 Growth of Securities Investment Fund Growth of Securities Investment Fund Year NO.of SIF Capital of SIF (billion yuan) 2005 218 471.42 2006 301 602.07 2007 346 2233.98 2008 439 2574.18 2009 557 2676.71 2010 704 2422.84 2011 914 2651.04 81 3000 800 2500 NO. of SIF 1000 2000 600 1500 400 1000 200 500 0 capital of SIF(billion yuan) Growth of securities investment fund 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 year NO.of SIF 2009 2010 2011 capital of SIF 82 QFII The first fund managed by a qualified foreign institutional investor(QFII) was set up in 2002. The State Administration of Foreign Exchange(SAFE) is the government agent that regulates the QFII funds. The QFII Act allows foreign investors to invest in Chinese securities, with the intention of introducing sophisticated foreign investors to the Chinese market with hope that their presence would improve market efficiency. 83 In August 2006, CSRC revised QFII rules to promote more participation from foreign investors. Under the new rules, there has been a significant increase in applications from foreign investors for QFII quotas. As of April 2008,there are a total 54 of QFIIs operating in China. 84 QDII The approval of qualified domestic institutional investors (QDII) to invest in overseas markets came after QFII, in July 2006. The QDII funds were invested in stocks, bonds, real estate investment trusts, and other mainstream financial products in markets such as New York, Tokyo, London, and Hong Kong. As of early 2008, 10 fund companies have obtained the approval to launch QDII; five QDII funds have been launched by January 2008. 85 Mutual funds in China only hold around 1.5% of all financial assets. The further growth of the economy and continuing reform of the pension system will generate both demand and supply of capital for the industry. 86 4.6 Regulation Framework PBoC MOF CDRC* CSRC CP/Financial debenture T-Bond Enterprise bond Corporate bond Issue Trade Clearing Interbank market Central TB Depository&Clearing OTC Exchange market CSDCC 87 4.7 Further Development of Financial Markets The financial markets in China do not currently play nearly as important a role as banks. If it is to enlarge risk management possibilities for its financial institutions and firms, it needs to develop new financial products and markets. If there is to be an alternative to banks for raising large amounts of capital, then China need deep and efficient markets. 88 A. Improving Regulations There are two ways in which markets are regulated in practice: market force and selfregulation, and government regulation. A good example of regulation though market force and self-regulation in the UK. A bad example of China’s formal financial markets. 89 B. Sale of Government Shares in Listed Firms One of the major problem Chinese stock markets have faced in recent years has been caused by the large amount of shares in listed companies owned by the government and government entities. Share reforms began with a pilot program with only four companies participating in April 2005. 90 C. Encouraging Listing of Firms from the Hybrid Sector A high priority for reform the markets in changing of listing requirements to make it advantageous for dynamic and successful companies to be listed on exchanges. 91 D. The Development of Institutional Investors An effective way to improve the efficiency of China’s stock markets, as well as corporate governance of listed firms, is to encourage further development of domestic financial intermediaries that can act as institutional investors. Institutional investors such as insurance companies, mutual funds, and pension funds are relatively small in terms of assets held given their early stage in the development. 92 E. Develop more Financial Products and Markets Another issue is to develop more financial products so that investors can form diversified portfolios with more than just stocks. Corporate bond markets. More derivative securities. More products from issuance companies. 93 5. Concluding Remarks Does China’s financial system stimulate or hamper economic growth? Is it a good system of bank-dominated feature to China’s financial stability? Should the stock market play more important role to promote financial stability and economic growth? What kind mechanism of financial channels should be encouraged? 94 Reading List Franklin Allen and Douglas Gale, 2004, “Financial Intermediaries and Markets”, Econometrica 72, 1023-1061. Franklin Allen, Michael K. F. Chui and Angela Maddaloni, 2004, “Financial Systems in Europe, the USA, and ASIA”, Oxford Review of Economic Policy 20, 490-508. F Allen, J Qian and M Qian, 2008, “China’s Financial System: Past, Present, and Future”, chapter 14. F Allen, J Qian and M Qian, “ICBC's IPO and the Reform of China’s Banking Sector”, Working Paper, Wharton Financial Institutions. Beltratti Andrea and Bortolotti Bernardo, 2006, “The Nontradable Share Reform in the Chinese Stock Market”, Fondazione Eui Eurico Mattei Note di Lavoro Series Index, 15. Black, Bernard S. and Ronald J.Gilson, 1998, “Venture Capital and the Structure of Capital Markets: Bank versus Stock Markets” Journal of Financial Economics, 47, 243-277. Robert Culla and Lixin Colin Xub, 2005, “Institutions, ownership, and finance: the determinants of profit reinvestment among Chinese firms”, Journal of Financial Economics, 77, 117-146. 95 Roger H. Gordona and Wei Lib, 2003, “Government as a discriminating monopolist in the financial market: the case of China”, Journal of Public Economics, 87, 283-312. Leslie A. Jenga and Philippe C. Wellsb, 2000, “The determinants of venture capital funding: evidence across countries”, Journal of Corporate Finance 6, 241-289. Samuel Kortum and Josh Lerner, 2000, “Assessing the Contribution of Venture Capital to Innovation”, The RAND Journal of Economics 31, 674-692. Rafael La Porta, Florencio Lopez-De-Silanes, Andrei Shleifer, 2002, “Government Ownership of Banks”, The Journal of Finance 57, 265302. Levine Ross,2002, “Bank-Based or Market-Based Financial Systems: Which Is Better?”, The Journal of Financial Intermediation 11, 1-30. 96 THANKS! 97