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SOUTH AFRICA OPEN FOR BUSINESS Tumelo Nkoane 11 July 2007 emita Macro-economic Trends Gateway to Africa Sectoral Opportunities Key Messages South Africa has a stable macro economic environment, a strong fiscal position and a range of growing sectors – from this platform SA is gearing for accelerated growth SA is a springboard for companies wanting to do business in Africa Economic Growth Growth has averaged 4% per annum in the past four years and is projected to increase to 5% for the coming four years. 8.0 Real growth in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) 6.0 4.0 2.0 0 -2.0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 1998 1999 2000 % change on year earlier 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 % change on previous quarter, annualised South Africa has experienced 85 months of continuous growth. Macro-economic Trends Job Creation The economy is beginning to generate additional jobs although challenges remain in this regard. Employed Unemployed 14000 45% 12000 30% 15% 10000 Unemployed (official) 8000 Sep Mar Sep Mar Sep Mar Sep Mar Sep Mar 2001 2002 2003 Source: Statistics Pack - Presidency 2004 2005 2006 Broad 0% Sep Mar Sep Mar Sep Mar Sep Mar Sep Mar 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Macro-economic Trends 5 Fiscal Situation Government is in a very strong fiscal position Budget deficit 0 % of GDP -2 -4 -6 -8 -10 93|94 94|95 95|96 Source: Statistics Pack - Presidency 96|97 97|98 98|99 99|00 00|01 01|02 02|03 03|04 04|05 05|06 6 Macro-economic Trends Inflation Inflation has stabilised below the 6% target. Inflation CPI 14 12 10 % 8 6 4 2 0 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 December Source: Statistics Pack - Presidency 7 Macro-economic Trends Exports After an initial drop associated with a rise in the value of the currency, exports are beginning to grow again. Exports 40 35 % of GDP 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 September Source: Statistics Pack - Presidency Macro-economic Trends8 Economic Structure South Africa’s economy has diversified away from primary commodities Contribution to National GDP 70 60 Tertiary sector % share 50 40 Secondary sector (incl Manufacturing) 30 20 10 0 1946 Primary sector (Agriculture and Mining) 1956 1966 1976 December Source: SARB 1986 1996 2006 Gearing for Growth Focus Areas of the Strategy Increased macro-economic stability Increased investment in economic infrastructure Sector investment strategies Development of skilled labour Strengthening the 2nd economy Improvement in state organisation and capacity Macro-economic Trends The Gateway into Africa 6% of Africa’s Population 18% of Africa’s GDP 45% of Africa’s mineral production 50% of Africa’s purchasing power Dynamic force in SADC Driving force in NEPAD Extensive road & rail infrastructure which connects with Sub-Saharan Africa Telecoms infrastructure with world-class connectivity and uptime OUR LOCATION STRATEGIC GEOGRAPHIC POSITION TO GLOBAL SHIPPING ROUTES Business Processing and Outsourcing & IT Enabled Services Call Centres Back Office Processing Shared Corporate Services Enterprise solutions in e.g. fleet management, knowledge management & asset management Value Proposition SA offers high quality, low cost destination for BPO in stable investment environment supported by world class infrastructure Cultural and product affinity with the UK and Europe Public sector commitment made long-term commitment to this sector, so strong investor support & sustainable reduction in costs over the next few years Business Opportunities Tourism Hotels & self-catering holiday resorts Adventure, eco-, sport-, conference & cultural tourism Infrastructure development Leisure complexes & world class golf courses Harbour & waterfront developments Transfrontier conservation Competitive Advantage SA’s fastest growing industry 2010 Football World Cup Business Opportunities Agro-processing Industry Opportunity Fisheries & aquaculture Freshwater aquaculture & mariculture e.g African catfish; oysters, abalone Meat Processing Fruit & vegetable processing Processing exotic/indigenous meats e.g venison; ostrich & crocodile Export of deciduous & subtropical fruits; processing indigenous fruit, baby vegetables, nuts (pastachio, cashew, macademia); juices Indigenous teas Processing & exporting of rooibos & honeybush Indigenous herbs Processing for medicinal & cosmetic products Wine production Production of wines for export & local markets Manufacturing & exporting of confectionary e.g baking products, sweets, chocolates Processing of natural fibres from e.g. cotton, hemp, sisal, kenaf & pinable for specialised paper industry Confectionary Natural fibres Business Opportunities Automotives & components Vehicle interiors e.g. natural fibre interior Engine parts/components Electronic drive chain components Body parts e.g. lights, painted plastic components, airbags, glass wire products, Aluminium components Wheels (steel & aluminium) Catalytic converters Plastic tool & die manufacturing Competitive Advantages Access to aluminium & steel Removal of tariffs into EU Competitive tooling costs Business Opportunities Chemical & allied Industries Industry Opportunity Organic chemicals Propylene oxide, food acids (citric, lactic, etc), sorbates & flavourants Inorganic chemicals Titanium derivatives, flurochemicals, phosphates, aluminium fluoride Pharmaceuticals R&D, clinical trials, active pharmaceutical ingredients, botanical extracts Other Titanium benefication (pigment), fluro-chemical production for agriculture, steel Competitive Advantage Abundant mineral feedstock for inorganic chemical manufacturing Abundance of agricultural raw materials (sugar, molasses, essential oils – lavender; khakhi-bush; lemon grass) Business Opportunities Clothing, textile & footwear Large-scale manufacturing of industrial textiles using polyester Wool & mohair production – downstream opportunities for yarns, knitwear & fabric Manufacturing of leather uppers Competitive Advantage World’s largest producer of mohair Raw materials to produce any type of leather footwear – bovine; ostrich; crocodile; game leather Business Opportunities Electro-technical industries Manufacturing automotive electronics Manufacture PC boards for automotive sector Upgrading existing microchip manufacturing Upgrading existing telecoms equipment Power line communications (PLC) Niche software engineering Opportunities in defence related electronics Expansion in pre-payment metering technologies Partnering for infrastructure (utilities) related projects in Africa Competitive Edge Leading the world in prepayment technology and standards Piloting new innovations Business Opportunities Mining & metal-based industries Downstream processing & value adding of iron, carbon steel, aluminium & platinum group metals Aluminium smelting Casting & forgings Ferro-alloys Stainless steel production e.g. stainless steel wire Manganese metal production & castings Gold chain manufacturing & handmade jewellery Comparative Advantage Large aluminium & steel resources World’s largest deposits of platinum group metals Business Opportunities Aerospace Aviation related services, including maintenance, repair and overhaul Rotary and fixed wing components Aviation training services Specialised manufacturing of avionics, including health usage monitoring systems Satellite related services (including tracking and control and applications development) Rail Production of infrastructure (tracks, signalling, electrification) Manufacturing of rolling stock & components Manufacturing of mining rail equipment Maintenance (infrastructure & rolling stock) R&D Marine Manufacturing & assembly of engines & gearbox Manufacturing of mechanical components R&D Business Opportunities Capital Equipment Industry Opportunity Re-capitalisation Expansion & export Boilers & heat exchangers; Tool dies & moulds; Petrochemical equipment Pumps & valves; material handling equipment & straddle crane carries; mechanised mining equipment New investments Turbine assembly; turbine components; machine tool manufacturing Competitive Advantage Access to steel, aluminium Competitive costs Engineering technology Business Opportunities Film Film studio production Co-production ventures Distribution infrastructure Servicing foreign productions Comparative Advantages Co-production treaty with UK Film rebate scheme Business Opportunities Conclusion South Africa offers compelling business opportunities, with stable macro-economic environment, strong fiscal position and a clear growth strategy based on building on comparative advantages and removing constraints SOUTH AFRICAN HIGH COMMISSION TRAFALGAR SQUARE WC2N 5DP LONDON PH. 020 7451 7237 FAX. 020 7839 0634 EMAIL. [email protected]