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UK BUSINESS CONFIDENCE MONITOR REPORT
Q1 2011
Contents
About BCM
The key findings:
business confidence; business financial performance;
factors affecting performance; trends
ICAEW and public policy
About ICAEW
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About BCM
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About BCM
• BCM is one of the largest and most comprehensive quarterly reviews of
UK business confidence
• It provides a regular snapshot of the economy, informed by senior
business professionals running all types of businesses across the UK
• The report is shared with a range of policy-makers, the business
community, academics and researchers
• It is a credible predictor of GDP and economic change and supports
policy and decision making.
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The key findings …
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Despite the disappointing GDP figures for the last
quarter of 2010, the BCM is still above the
pre-recession average, indicating that there will be a
degree of limited growth in 2011.
Michael Izza
Chief Executive
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Trend of Business Confidence
UK and regions
Base: All
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Business confidence
• ONS figures show that GDP fell at the end of 2010
• Double-dip recession is not expected
• Growth in Q1 may be stronger
• There are still a number of risks to financial growth.
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Business financial performance
• Annual growth rates are highest since the end of 2008
• Export growth continues to strengthen
• Businesses have rebuilt stock levels following the downturn
• The rise in input prices is the highest since Q1 2009
• Predicted employment growth is unchanged.
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Factors affecting performance
• More needs to be done to support private enterprise
• Factors increasingly seen as a greater challenge to
performance include:
– The tax burden
– Government support for business
– Customer demand
– Regulatory requirements
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Trends in business confidence
• Confidence continues to vary across sectors, mostly without
notable change
• However, confidence in the construction sector has collapsed
• Confidence is significantly weaker than last year in most regions
• Listed companies continue to record higher confidence than
private ones.
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ICAEW and public
policy …
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How ICAEW has been influencing public policy
• Budget submission letter to the Chancellor
• Events and meetings at the UK Party Conferences
• Submission for the G20 meeting in Seoul
• Written and oral evidence submissions to the House of Lords
inquiry into competition and choice in the audit market.
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About ICAEW …
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ICAEW is a world leader of the
accountancy and finance profession …
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Getting in contact …
Please insert your
contact details…
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