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Australian School of Business UNSW Business School MEASURING THE COSTS OF TAX COMPLEXITY: AN ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVE BINH TRAN-NAM, UNSW Business School Paper prepared for a Tax Complexity Conference organised by Monash University and UNSW Australia, Prato, 30 September 2014. Australian School of Business PLAN OF PAPER 1.Introduction 2.Relative Neglect of Tax Simplicity/Complexity 3.Review of Tax Complexity 4.Costs of Tax Complexity A simple model of tax compliance Direct costs Indirect costs Macroeconomic costs 5. Summary Conclusion 1. Introduction Australian School of Business •Importance of taxation •Role of taxation (Musgrave 1959): allocative, stabilising, redistributive •Importance of good tax policy •Tax simplicity as a criterion of good tax policy: early theoretical recognition and repeated calls for tax simplification in the past 30 years •Tax systems in developed countries are complex 1. Introduction (contd.) Australian School of Business •Motivation: First step to tax simplification is measuring and monitoring the adverse effects of tax complexity but the present applied literature focuses on tax operating costs (i.e., direct costs of tax complexity) only. •Aim: Explore different costs of tax complexity and their relationships (if any) in a systematic fashion. •Scope: Focusing on costs arising from tax compliance, and disregarding costs arising from tax lobbying, evasion, avoidance, and from interaction between tax complexity and equity. 2. Neglect of Tax Complexity Australian School of Business •Explicit recognition: Adam Smith’s cannons of good tax policy (Certainty, Convenience and Economy). •Neglected by 19th century classical eocnomists. •First empirical study of tax compliance costs 80 years ago (Haig 1935) •Until the mid 1950s, public finance text books contained something on tax admin, compliance and enforcement. •In the 1960s, such literature began to disappear. •In the 1970s, theory of optimal taxation further shifted attention away from tax complexity. •This has persisted in public finance textbooks, academic literature and JEL classification. Australian School of Business 2. Neglect of Tax Complexity (contd.) •Reasons for neglect: normative theory, conceptual issues, data requirements, quality of data, negligible costs •How to integrate tax complexity into theory of optimal taxation? •Little, if any, theoretical models of tax complexity (Slemrod (1989) is an exception) •Tax compliance costs = Hidden costs (Sandford (1973)) •Recent rising interests due to technology, VAT, enterprise culture and growing tax complexity. •Government’s commitments to reduce business red tape. •Explosion of empirical studies around the world in the past three decades 3. Review of Tax Complexity Australian School of Business Meaning of complexity •Different interpretations possible •Slemrod (1999): Primary attributes approach (predictability, enforceability, difficulty & manipulability) •Evans & Tran-Nam (2010): Sequential approach (policy, statutory, administrative & compliance complexity) •Tran-Nam (1999): legal vs effective complexity •Secondary attributes: comparative, revenue-equivalent for effective complexity comparison & interactive •Tax simplification also has various meanings 3. Review of Tax Complexity (contd.) Australian School of Business Causes of complexity •Within govt control: protection of tax revenue, use of tax law for non-revenue policy objectives, distinction between taxes & transfers, broadening of tax base, frequency of tax law change, tax law drafting, admin practices, judicial traditions. •Partly within govt control: tax culture, the economy •Outside govt control: household and business preferences, tax agent preferences, aggressive tax planning. 3. Review of Tax Complexity (contd.) Indicators of tax complexity •Number of taxes •Length of tax code •Readability of tax legislation •Extent of use of tax agents •Tax operating costs (sum of tax administrative and compliance costs) •Extent of tax disputes •Tradeoff between relevance and precision. Australian School of Business 4. Costs of Tax Complexity Australian School of Business •Some complexity of desirable •A simple model: interaction of internal & external factors and tax system giving rise to tax compliance behaviour. •Internal factors: tax morale & understanding of tax requirements •External factors: social norm & tax culture, occupational characteristics, accounting rules & practices, tax agent attitudes and practices •Tax system: laws, bases, rates, admin practices, tribunal & court decisions •Taxpayer behaviour: trying to change the tax system, compliant, unintentionally & intentionally non-compliant Australian School of Business 4. Costs of Tax Complexity (contd.) Australian School of Business Direct costs •Value of resources taken away from productive use to operate the tax system (tax operating costs) •Tax admin costs: incurred by tax administrators (other tax authorities can also be included) •Tax admin and compliance costs are transferrable. •Meaning and measurement of tax compliance costs are problematic •Conceptual: unavoidable vs avoidable; unpreventable vs preventable; compliance benefits (true benefits vs transfers) •Practical: Psychological costs, accounting/tax overlap, implicit costs, transitional/recurrent costs. 4. Costs of Tax Complexity (contd.) Australian School of Business Direct costs •Value of resources taken away from productive use to operate the tax system (tax operating costs) •Tax admin costs: incurred by tax administrators (other tax authorities can also be included) •Tax admin and compliance costs are transferrable. •Meaning and measurement of tax compliance costs are problematic •Conceptual: unavoidable vs avoidable; unpreventable vs preventable; compliance benefits (true benefits vs transfers) •Practical: Psychological costs, accounting/tax overlap, implicit costs, transitional/recurrent costs. 4. Costs of Tax Complexity (contd.) Australian School of Business •Empirical studies: mainly survey based (response rate, recollection, attribution) •Tax compliance costs: 2%-10% of tax revenue and up to 2.5% of GDP •Internal labour costs dominate (about two thirds) •Tax compliance costs are regressive (Australian individual taxpayers represent an interesting case study) •Tax compliance costs show no sign of decreasing over time despite tax simplification attempts •Not easy to use tax compliance costs to examine how tax complexity differs between countries or changes over time 4. Costs of Tax Complexity (contd.) Australian School of Business Indirect costs •Two types: tax revenue losses & efficiency-like costs •Tax revenue losses (aggressive tax planning or tax evasion) •Efficiency-like costs refer to losses in output due to distorted behaviour of economic agents arising from perceived or actual direct costs •Example 1: sales avoidance strategy to stay below VAT threshold •Example 2: vareity reduction strategy to avoid dealing with different VAT rates •Example 3: inflow FDI reduction (Edmiston et al 2003, Muller and Vogel 1012, Lawless 2013). 4. Costs of Tax Complexity (contd.) Australian School of Business Macroeconomic costs •Tax complexity as a tax has short-term, multiplier effect as it flows through the economy •TCC and indirect costs have negative effects on GDP while TAC has a positive effect. •MCTC = mTTCC + mI I mG TAC MCTC = Macroeconomic costs of tax complexity; mT, mI, mG = Tax, Investment and Government spending multipliers; I = Reduction in investment due to indirect costs of tax complexity. •Since TCC is many times greater than TAC, it is likely that MCTC > TCC + TAC 5. Conclusion Australian School of Business •While efficiency costs is well established the costs of tax complexity are not yet fully understood •This paper has attempted to present a comprehensive approach for measuring costs of tax complexity •Three related costs of tax complexity are considered: direct, indirect and macroeconomic costs. •Implication 1: The principle of tax neutrality should be expanded to include the deadweight losses induced by tax complexity •Implication 2: Current approach underestimates the costs of tax complexity. Thus the case for tax simplification can be strengthened. Australian School of Business THANK YOU FOR LISTENTING! ANY QUESTIONS PLEASE.