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A Keynes vs Monetarist view Looks at the role that fiscal policy can play in stabilizing the economy. Keynesian theory suggests that higher government spending in a recession can help the economy recover quicker. Keynesians say it is a mistake to wait for markets to clear like classical economic theory suggests In a recession, people responded to the threat of unemployment by increasing saving & reducing spending RECESSION Government intervention STIMULATES AD and REAL GDP What about Policy Tools? Which ones can be used to stimulate AD Wages may be ‘sticky downward’/ inflexible’ Workers do not accept nominal wage cuts, Firms have to lay off workers This can lead to involuntary unemployment. The economy slows down In a recession, an economy has spare capacity, SO: increasing AD will have an impact on real output and only minimal effect on the price level. INCREASE SPENDING (C + I + G + X – M). Keynesians believe there is a multiplier effect This means an initial injection (eg increased government spending) into the circular flow can lead to a bigger final increase in real GDP “It is more important to reduce unemployment than inflation” Keynesians support expansionary fiscal policy in a recession. Keynesians reject real business cycle theories (an idea that the government can have no influence over the economic cycle) WHAT does this mean??? The economy is naturally stable. • Markets work well when left to themselves. • Government interference can weaken the economy • Fiscal Policy is often bad policy. • A small role for government is good. Monetarists stress the importance of controlling the money supply to keep inflation low Focus on MONETARY POLICY TOOLS which increase or decrease the supply of money and credit. MV=PQ IN THE SHORT RUN velocity is stable. This implies that in the short run, changes in the money supply are the dominant forces that change nominal GDP. MV=PQ) IN THE LONG RUN the economy is at potential output, so changes in the money supply only lead to higher prices, not higher output SHORT RUN? LONG RUN? SHOW THE DIFFENCE BY DRAWING THE AD/AS GRAPHS. Monetarists stress the role of the natural rate of unemployment (supply side unemployment) say … “REDUCE INFLATION” Monetarists more likely to place emphasis on reducing inflation than keeping unemployment low MONETARISTS "Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon." KEYNESIAN REGULATOR? POLICY ? POLICY TOOLS? AD? AS? GRAPH(S) MONETARIST