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_________ _____________ DYNAMICS 1 Is the World Overpopulated? Much of the world’s population ________ occurs in developing countries like ______ and _______. The world’s population is projected to increase from ___ billion to ____ billion by _______. 2 Fig. 6-1, p. 125 ______ Most Populous Countries, 2010 and 2050 3 Fig. 6-4, p. 127 Is the World Overpopulated? Some argue that the planet has _____ many people. Some feel that the world can support _______ of more people due to _____________ advances. Constant _______ over the need to reduce population growth. Must consider _______, __________, and ________ freedom. Do not know how long we can continue increasing the earth’s carrying capacity for humans. Likely to be between ________ billion people on earth by 2050. ______% of growth in developing countries living in acute ________. 4 _______ on Population Growth No population can increase its size ___________. As the human population ______, so does the global total human _________ footprint _________ ________ __________ Total ________ of people who could live in ___________ freedom and comfort __________, without _________ the ability of the earth to sustain ______ generations 5 Population Growth Cycle Biotic Potential ex. Housefly can lay 120 eggs in each generation. If nothing hurt the eggs or the flies, in 7 generations there would be 6,182,442,727,320 flies. ______ ________– a populations capacity for growth As a population levels off, it fluctuates slightly _____ and ______ the carrying capacity.6 Humans Are Not Exempt from Nature’s Population Controls ________ Potato crop in 1845 ________ _________ Fourteenth century ______ Global epidemic 7 Exceeding Carrying Capacity: Move, Switch Habits, or Decline in Size Over time species may _______ their carrying capacity by developing __________. Some species maintain their carrying capacity by _________ to other areas. So far, technological, social, and other cultural changes have _________ the earth’s carrying capacity for humans. 8 Features of Populations Populations are dynamic and exhibit attributes that are not shown by the individuals themselves. These attributes can be measured or calculated and include: _____________: the total number of organisms in the population. ____________: the number of organisms per unit area. ________________: the location of individuals within a specific area. 9 Features of Populations Population composition provides information relevant to the ________ of the population, i.e. whether the population is _________ or __________. Information on population composition (or structure) includes: __________: the number of organisms of each sex. __________ (fertility): the reproductive capacity of the females. ___________: the number of organisms of different ages. 10 Population ___________ ‣ The study of _________ in the size and composition of populations, and the ________ influencing these changes, is population dynamics. ‣ Key factors for study include: Population _______ rate: the change in the total population size per unit time. __________:(birth rate): the number of individuals born per unit time. __________ :(death rate): the number of individuals dying per unit time. __________:the number moving into or out of the population. Population size is influenced by births… …and deaths 11 ____________ ‣ Migration is the _________ of organisms into (___________) and _____ of (___________) a population. It affects population attributes such as age and sex structure, as well as the dynamics of a population. Populations _______ individuals through deaths and emigration. Populations _______ individuals through births and immigration. _____ Migration = Immigration – Emigration Net Migration _____ = Number of Immigrates/ Number of people in population. Wildebeest - land based migration Canada geese - aerial migration Migrating species may group together to form large mobile populations 12 Population ___________ ‣ Population Density - _______ of individuals per unit ______ or ________. ‣ ‣ Can affect how rapidly a population can grow or decline. Ex. _______ factors like disease. Some population control factors are not affected by population density. Ex. ________ factors like weather. Low density populations At _____ densities, individuals are spaced well apart. Exs: territorial, solitary mammalian species such as tigers. At ______densities, individuals are crowded together. Examples: colonial animals, such as rabbits, corals, and termites. population ( area ) = Population Density High density populations 13 Population Distribution Clumped distribution in termites More uniform distribution in cacti ‣ A _______ measure of population density tells us nothing about the ________ distribution of individuals in the habitat. ‣ The population distribution _________ the location of individuals within an area. Distribution patterns are determined by the habitat ___________ (distribution of resources) and _________ of the organisms themselves, such as territoriality in animals or autotoxicity in plants. Individuals in a population may be distributed __________, ___________, or in _________. 14 __________ Distribution ‣ A population’s distribution is considered _________ if the position of each individual is ____________ of the others. ‣ Random distributions are ____ common; they can occur only where: The environment is ________ and resources are equally available throughout the year. There are ____ interactions between individuals or interactions produce no patterns of avoidance or attraction. ‣ Random distributions are seen in some ___________ populations, e.g. spiders and clams, and some trees. Spider populations appear to show a random distribution 15 __________ Distribution ‣ ________ or regular distribution patterns occur where individuals are more _______ spaced than would occur by chance. ‣ Regular patterns of distribution result from ____________ competition amongst members of a population: Territoriality in a relatively _____________ environment. Competition for root and crown space in forest trees or moisture in desert and savanna plants. ____________: chemical inhibition of plant seedlings of the same species. Saguaro cacti compete for moisture and show a uniform distribution 16 __________ Distribution ‣ _________ distributions are the _______ common in nature; individuals are clustered together in groups. ‣ Population clusters may occur around a ________ such as food or shelter. ‣ Clumped distributions result from the responses of plants and animals to: _________ differences Daily and seasonal changes in ________ and environment ____________ patterns ________ behavior Sociality leads to clumped distribution 17 Density ___________ Factors ‣ Density dependent factors exert a ________ effect on population growth at _______ population densities. At high densities, individuals: Compete ______ for resources. Are more _______ located by predators and parasites. Are more ___________ to infection and disease. Competition increases in crowded populations ‣ Density dependent factors are _________ factors such as food supply, disease, parasite infestation, competition, and predation. Parasites can spread rapidly through dense populations 18 Density ___________ Factors ‣ The effect of density independent factors on a population’s growth is not dependent on that population’s density: ________ (or abiotic) factors temperature precipitation humidity acidity salinity etc. ____________events floods and tsunamis fire drought earthquake and eruption 19 Population ________ ‣ Population growth _________ on the number of individuals added to the population from ________ and ________, minus the number _____ through ________ and _________. This can be expressed as a formula: Population growth = (Births – Deaths) + (Immigration – Emigration) (B) ‣ (D) (I) (E) _______ birth and ______ death rates used which is #live births per ______ per year and # of deaths per _______ per year 20 Growth rate ________population growth rate (______ rate-_______ rate)/10 _________ population growth rate (______ rate-______ rate) + (_________ – ____________) / 10 If a population of 10,000 experiences 100 births, 40 deaths, 10 immigrants and 30 emigrants in a year, what is the national population growth rate? 21 ________ Rate of _______ Population Change (%)= Birth rate – Death rate ______ people x ____ 22 Rates of Population Change Ecologists usually measure the rate of population change. These rates are i_________ by ____________ factors and by the __________ of the organisms themselves. Rates are expressed as: Many invertebrate populations increase rapidly in the right conditions _________per unit time, e.g. 2000 live births per year _____ _______ ______(number per head of population), e.g. 122 live births per 1000 individuals (12.2%) Large mammalian carnivores have a lower innate capacity for increase 23 ___________ Growth Populations becoming established in a new area for the first time are often termed ________ populations. ___________ growth- growth that increases at a constant rate per unit of time. Ex. - the growth sequence 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64 and so on In __________ populations, population growth rarely continues to increase at an exponential rate. _________ in the environment, such as available food or space, act to _______ population growth. Population numbers (N) They may undergo a rapid ___________ (logarithmic) increase in numbers to produce a ___-shaped growth curve when plotted over time. Colonizing Population Here the number being added to the population per unit time is large. Exponential (J) curve Exponential growth is sustained only when there are no constraints from the environment. Here, the number being added to the population per unit time is small. Lag phase Time 24 _________ Growth Model As a population _____ and it encounters _____________ resistance, its increase will slow, and it will stabilize at a level that can supported by the environment. This type of ___________ growth (___) produces the logistic growth curve when plotted over time. Population numbers (N) The population encounters resistance to exponential growth as it begins to fill up the environment. This is called environmental resistance. Established Population Carrying capacity (K) The maximum population density that can be supported by the environment on a long term basis. Logistic (S) curve As the population grows, the rate of population increase slows, reaching an equilibrium level around the carrying capacity. Lag phase Environmental resistance increases as the population overshoots K. Environmental resistance decreases as the population falls below K. In the early phase, growth is exponential (or nearly so) The population tends to fluctuate around an 'equilibrium level'. The fluctuations are caused by variations in the birth rate and death rate as a result of the population density exceeding of falling below carrying capacity. Time 25 Exponential and Logistic Population Growth: J-Curves and S-Curves 26 Number of sheep (millions) 2.0 Population overshoots carrying capacity Carrying capacity 1.5 Population recovers and stabilizes 1.0 Exponential growth .5 Population runs out of resources and crashes Populations grow rapidly with ample resources, but as resources become limited, its growth rate slows and levels off. 1800 1825 1850 1875 Year 1900 1925 27 Fig. 5-15, p. 115 ______ Tables Numerical ______ collected during a population study can be presented as a table of figures called a _____ table. ‣ Life tables provide a summary of _______ for a population. The basic data are the number of individuals surviving to each age interval. This gives the ages at which most mortality occurs in a population. Life table for a population of the barnacle Balanus Age (yr) No. alive at the start of the age interval Proportion of original no. surviving at the start of the age interval No. dying during the age interval Mortality (d) 0 142 1.000 80 0.563 1 62 0.437 28 0.452 2 34 0.239 14 0.412 3 20 0.141 5 0.250 4 15 0.106 4 0.267 5 11 0.078 5 0.454 6 6 0.042 4 0.667 7 2 0.014 0 0.000 8 2 0.014 2 1.000 9 0 0.0 – – 28 _____________ Curves ‣ The _____structure of a population can represented with a __________ curve. Survivorship curves use a semi-log plot of the number of individuals surviving per 1000 in the population, against age. Because they are standardized (as number of survivors per 1000), species with different life expectancies can be easily compared. The _______ of the curve reflects where __________ mortality occurs: Number of survivors (log scale) Type I: late loss large mammals Type II: constant loss small mammals, songbirds Type III: early loss oysters, barnacles Relative age 29 Type ____ Survivorship Curves ‣ Species with Type I or _____ loss survivorship curves show the heaviest mortality _____ in life. Mortality is very low in the juvenile years and throughout most of adult life. Mortality is very low in early life Mortality increases rapidly in old age Late loss curves are typical of species that produce _____ young and care for them until they reach _____________ age. Such species are sometimes called ____selected species and include elephants, humans, and other large mammals. 30 Type ____ Survivorship Curves ‣ Species with Type II or ________ loss survivorship curves show a relatively ________ mortality at all life stages. Constant loss curves are typical of species with ____________reproductive strategies. Populations face loss from __________ and _________throughout life. Examples include some many types of songbirds, some annual plants, some lizards, and many small mammals. Constant mortality. No one age class is any more susceptible than any other. 31 Type _____ Survivorship Curves ‣ Species with Type III or ______ loss survivorship curves show the highest mortality in _______ life stages, with low mortality for those few individuals reaching a certain age and size. Early loss curves are typical of species that produce _______ number of offspring and ______ parental care. Such species are ___selected species (____________), and include most annual plants, most bony fish (although not mouth brooders), and most marine invertebrates. Population losses are high in early life stages Mortality is low for the few individuals surviving to old age 32 ‘____’ and ‘____’ Selection The __________ rate of natural increase or biotic potential. This is the ___________ reproductive potential of an organism, symbolized by the letter r. The _________ density or carrying capacity of the environment, represented by the letter, K. We can characterize species by the relative importance of __ and __ in their life cycles. Population numbers (N) Two parameters govern the logistic growth of populations. K-selected species These species exist near asymptotic density (K) for most of the time. Competition and effective use of resources are important. r-selected species These species rarely reach carrying capacity (K). Their populations are in nearly exponential growth phases for much of the year. Early growth, rapid development, and fast population growth are important. Time 33 ___-Selected Species Species that are Kselected exist under ________ competition and are pushed to use available resources more ___________. These species have _______ offspring and longer lives. They put their energy into _________ their young to reproductive age. ____-selected species include most large mammals, birds of prey, and large, long-lived plants. Correlates of K-selected species Climate Fairly constant and/or predictable Mortality Density-dependent Survivorship Usually types I and II (late or constant loss) Population size Fairly constant in time. Near equilibrium with the environment. Competition Usually keen. Specialist niche. Selection favors Slower development, larger body size, greater competitive ability, delayed reproduction, repeated reproductions Length of life Longer (> one year) Leads to: Efficiency 34 ____-Selected Species Species with a high intrinsic capacity for population increase are called rselected or __________ species. These species show certain life history features and, to survive, must continually ________ new _______ to compensate for being displaced by more competitive species. ____________ include algae, bacteria, rodents, many insects, and most annual plants. Correlates of r-selected species Climate Variable and/or unpredictable Mortality Density-independent Survivorship Often type III (early loss) Population size Fluctuates wildly. Often below K. Competition Variable, often lax. Generalist niche. Selection favors Rapid development, high rm, early reproduction, small body size, single reproduction (annual) Length of life Short, usually less than one year Leads to: Productivity 35 ____________ Demography is the ______ of human populations, their characteristics and changes. Demographics will measure: Statistics about people, such as _______, ______, and where they _______ as well as total population _____. 36 Science Focus: Projecting Population Change Why range of 7.8-10.8 billion for 2050? _____________ must: 1. 2. 3. 4. Measure _________ about people, such as birth, deaths, and where they live as well as total population size. Determine ________ of current estimates. Make assumptions about ________ trends. Deal with different ___________ and sets of ____________. 37 Human Population Growth The world population, now over ____ billion, is growing at the rate of about million per year. Projections put the world population at between ___ and ___ billion in 2050, with nearly all of this growth expected in the developing world. ___________ countries include: Africa, Asia, Latin America, the Caribbean, and regions of Melanesia, Micronesia, and Polynesia. The human population has grown rapidly because of the expansion of ___________ and _________ production and ______ death rates from _________ in hygiene and medicine. Developing countries grew at 0.1% Developed countries grew at 1.5% (15 times faster) 38 Growth Rate and percent change _______ rate includes the birth rate, death rate, immigration and emigration. Usually calculated using the __________: _______ in pop = (B+I) – (D+E) ___ ________ = change in value/old value x 100% If a population of 10,000 experiences 100 births, 40 deaths, 10 immigrants and 30 emigrants in a year, what is the annual percentage growth rate? 39 _________ Time: Rule of ___ _________ time is the _____ it takes for the population to ________ the number of people in the current population. Calculated as __ / % growth rate ____/ growth rate = doubling time If a population of a country grows at a rate of 5% a year, the number of years required for the pop to double is what? 40 Doubling Time: Rule of 70 Growth Rate (% per year) Doubling Time in years 700 0.5 140 1 70 2 35 3 23 4 18 14 6 12 7 10 10 7 41 ______ Population Growth Estimates of likely ______ growth of the world human population are highly uncertain and projections for 2050 range from a low of ____ billion to a high of _____ billion. Global Human Population Growth North America High fertility rate: 11.2 billion Medium fertility rate: 9.4 billion Low fertility rate: 7.7 billion Latin America & Caribbean Europe Asia & Oceania Africa Note: The latest ‘medium variant’ U.N. projection of 9.37 billion is nearly 500 million (4.7%) lower than the 9.83 billion projected in 1994. 42 ___________ Transitions __________where countries become ___________ developed then their birth and death rates begin to decline. In the past this was referred to as “_____” and “______” world countries or “__________” and “___________”. Currently this process is described by the different stages according to population growth: _____________ stage shows little population growth due to high birth rate with high death rate. ____________stage is where industrialization begins, death rates drops and birth rates remain high. Rapid population growth occurs. __________ stage is birth rate dropping and approaching death rate. Population growth slowly declines. ___________ stage are birth rate and death rate become similar and population growth slows or declines. 43 Demographic Transition Generalized model of demographic transition shows that the total ________ of a society _________ as the society progresses through the demographic transition. Some _______ countries may have difficulty making the demographic transition. 44 Demographic Transition 45 _____ __________ ‣ Age structure refers to the _________ of organisms of different _____. Populations can be broadly grouped into those individuals of: _____________ age ____________ age ______ ___________ age ________ of the age structure of populations can assist in their management because it can __________ where most population __________ occurs and whether or not _____________ individuals are being _________. Size/age classes in fish 46 Human _____ Structure Human age structure varies Age Structure in Human Populations from country to country. Number of people younger than age ___ is the major factor determining a country’s population ________. In __________ countries age structure tends to be in favor of younger individuals with a large proportion being _______ 15 years. In _________ nations, age structure is relatively _______ throughout the age groups. Changes in distribution of a country’s age groups have longlasting ___________ and _______ 47 impacts. Determining Population Growth The ______ at which a population grows or declines depends on its _____ structure. Age structure diagrams show the ________ of different age groups. These groups are further broken into cohorts: ____________ age (____) are persons who are not mature enough to reproduce ___________ age (_____)are those persons that are capable of reproduction. _______________ age (____) are those persons too old to reproduce. 48 Age Structure Diagrams: Histograms 49 Age Structure Since age structure diagrams are broken down by age, demographers can obtain: ______ rate ________ rate ______ rate of an entire population. These diagrams are usually broken down by ________ and divided into ________. ____% of the people in developing countries were under 15 years old in 2012 versus only ____% in developed 50 countries. Age Structure: United States Because of ______ boom, the US has a bulge(yellow) in the pyramid with people in their ________. There are ______ women than men in the older group 51 because of differences in ___________ between sexes. _______ Growth Diagram ‣ _________ shaped histograms have a birth rate that ________ the ‣ death rate. Lower cohorts have more males and females. Population growth is ______ in countries that have a pyramid shape. Current modern examples include Africa, Asia, and Latin America 52 ____________ Growth Diagrams ‣ When the histogram shape is “_____”-like, then stable or slow growth is ‣ represented. Birth rate is ________ equal to death rate. Sometimes called _______ growth. Current examples of slow growth: USA, Australia, & Canada Current examples of stable growth: Denmark, Austria, & Italy 53 _________ Growth Diagrams ‣ If there is __________ or _________ growth, then the birth rate with ‣ be _____ than the death rate. Pyramids with declining populations tend to show _______ numbers of ________ persons in their population. Current examples: Germany & Japan 54 Some Problems with Rapid Population Decline Can threaten economic growth Labor shortages Less government revenues with fewer workers Less entrepreneurship and new business formation Less likelihood for new technology development Increasing public deficits to fund higher pension and health-care costs Pensions may be cut and retirement age increased ______ decline manageable ______ decline causes severe ________ and _______ problems. How do we pay for services for elderly? 55 Fig. 6-15, p. 138 Developing vs. Developed _____________ (Transitional, _______ World): _______ infant mortality rate because of a shortage in prenatal and pediatric care. Thus, they have _______ children to ensure some survive. ____________societies need children to help in the _______ force. Lower per capita income or poorer countries need children to provide an ______ and sometimes contraceptives are not affordable. Women ______education and _____ opportunities. ___________ (Industrial, ______ World): Usually don’t have population problems but can be linked to ______. Educated and working women tend to ________ childbearing. ________ systems support people as they age. ________ _________ and the ability to control fertility. Higher ______ of raising children causes people to have smaller families. Abortion is _______. 56 Where Population Growth Occurred, 1950-2010 57 Fig. 6-3, p. 123 _____________ Urbanization is the movement of people from ______ areas into ______ Urban areas must ______ most of its food, water, energy, minerals, & other resources because of _______ populations Large populations _________ and ________ enormous quantities of resources that can pollute the air, water & land. ________ can easily spread in urban areas because of the high density population. ____% of world’s people live in urban areas that occupy only ___% of world’s land and they consume ____% of the world’s resources. 58 _____________ Environmental pressures of urbanization from population growth are reduced because _____ rates in urban areas usually are _____x’s lower than in _____ areas because cities provide ________ opportunities. Some countries, including China, ________ couples who have more than one or two children by: 1. Raising their _______ 2. Charging other _____ 3. Eliminating _________ tax deductions for a couple’s third child 4. ______ of health-care benefits, free education, food allotments and job options 59 ________ and _________ _______ mortality rate: The number of child and/or infant deaths. If a mother lives in an area with a ______ infant mortality rate she will tend to have _____ of children to ensure some will make it to adulthood. This ensures care for ________ parents and a ________ force. Infant mortality rate is _______ in developing countries than in developed countries. Along with life expectancy, the infant mortality rate is a good indicator of the ___________ of life of a country ___________level fertility: the number of children a couple must bear to replace _____________. Slightly higher than two children per couple. (____ in developed countries and _____ in some developing countries.) 60 ________ Fertility Rates __________ rate – number of children born to a woman during her ________. _______ fertility rate (_____): the average number of children a woman has during __________ years. In _______, the average global Total Fertility Rate was ____ children per woman. _____ in developed countries (down from 2.5 in 1950.) _____ in developing countries (down from 6.5 in 1950). If fertility rate drops to replacement level fertility but the population continues to grow, this is called population ___________ and can be seen in __________ shaped age structure diagrams. Birth rates and fertility rates have been _______ or ________ because: Cultural/religious practices __________ birth control. Cultural/religious practices ________ large families. Education/Employment/Status of women is ______ 61 _______ Rates Based on current trends, it is assumed that human fertility rates will continue to ________ and life expectancy will continue to ___________. Developing countries are expected to broadly follow these demographic trends. Trends in Fertility Rates Africa Asia South & Central America Developing Developed 62 World population (in billions) Where are we going? 11 UN high-fertility variant (2008 revision) U.S. Census Bureau (2008 update) UN medium-fertility variant (2008 revision) IIASA (2007 update) UN low-fertility variant (2008 revision) 10 9 8 7 6 2010 2020 2030 Year 2040 2050 63 Fig. 6-B, p. 130 ______ Affecting Birth Rates and Fertility Rates The number of children women have is affected by: The _____ of raising and educating them. Availability of _________. __________. __________ and ____________ opportunities. Infant _______. Child _______ ___________ age. __________ beliefs, _________, and __________ norms Availability of _____________ and _________. 64 _______ Affecting Death Rates Death rates have _________ because of: __________ food supplies, better _______ due to Green Revolution Fertilizers and increased Advances in ________. (Antibiotics and vaccines) pesticides crop yields ___________ in prenatal or neonatal care Improved __________, safer water supplies and personal hygiene due to Industrial Revolution. U.S. infant mortality is _______ than it could be (ranked ___th world-wide by CIA and ____th by Save the Childeren) due to: More children live _________ pre- and post-natal care for poor. _______ addiction. High _________ birth rate. past childbirth 65 Infant Mortality Rates, 1950-2010 66 Fig. 6-10, p. 129 Populations Can _______ from a Rising Death Rate: The _____ Tragedy ____ million killed: 1981-2012 Many young adults die: ____ of most productive ______ Sharp drop in _____ expectancy _________ community Reduce the spread of HIV through _________ and ______ care Financial _________ and _________ 67 Fig. 6-15, p. 134 Population _____________ Human population growth is _______ than predicted but because of the large and increasing population size the world population is still expected to _________ substantially ________ stabilizing. Progress Towards Population Stabilization South & Central America Africa Asia Developing Developed 68 Demographics in the USA The baby ______ that followed the baby _____ was largely due to _______ marriage, ____________, and _________. Now becoming senior citizens (_________ of America) In ________, the total fertility rate in the United States was 69 slightly > _____ Demographics in the USA Nearly ____ million people were added to the U.S. in _______: ___% occurred because of births outnumbering deaths ___% came from illegal and legal immigration. Population increase in recent years has been because of immigration _____ in U.S. dropped Rate of population growth has ______. Current US Population: _____________ 70 Legal Immigration to the U.S. between 1820 and 2006 71 Fig. 6-11, p. 135 20th Century Lifestyle Changes in the U.S. 72 Fig. 6-7, p. 132 _________ Countries High rates of ________ use because of the availability of resources, production, and waste. Result in high levels of _________ and environmental degradation per person because of control methods, clean up, and education. The _________ of a country’s _________ growth is the Gross _________ Product (GNP) or the Gross _________ Product (GDP). The Human Development ______ is also commonly used to determine development. Most developed countries have a GDP that is high and a population growth rate that is low. 73 __________ Countries _____, the largest, has taken drastic population control methods. By ____, _______ is predicted to pass China. __________ is projected to become 3rd (the ____ is 3rd now.) _______ is losing 600,000 people a year, after being the 4th largest country in 1950 due to pollution, crime, corruption, hyperinflation, disease, and despair. Environmentalists are concerned about _________ use because developing countries are increasing their __________ of living. 74 Environmental Impact Equation (Paul Ehrlich Formula) Population X affluence X technology = __________________ Estimated that a US citizen consumes ___x’s as much as the average citizen of India and ____x’s as much as the average person in the world’s poorest countries. Thus, poor parents in a developing country would need _________ kids to have the same lifetime environmental impact as ___ typical US kids. 75 ______ Population Control ‣ ______ has tried population control methods with modest success. Poor ________, bureaucratic inefficiency, ____ status of women and lack of support have led to ____ success. The family planning method calls for: __________ of women including basic literacy. Encouraged education of ____________ use among women & birth spacing. ‣ Possible problems include: _________/________ issues. ______ of programs. 76 China’s Population Control China has used a government-enforced program, “One-Child Policy”, to reduce the fertility rate. The One-Child Policy includes: Paid leave to women for fertility operations. Monthly Subsidy to one-child families. Tuition and job priorities for only children. Housing preferences. Additional food rations. Monetary compensation. Problems include: Preference toward gender Increase in orphans Consequences or punishment for multiple births 77 Core Case Study: Slowing Population Growth in _______: A Success Story ____ billion people Currently, China’s TFR is ____ children per women. China has moved ____ million people out of poverty. China’s policy ______ couples who have more than one or two children by: Raising their taxes, charging other fees, eliminating income tax deductions for a couple’s third child, and loss of health-care benefits, food allotments and job 78 options Percentage of world population 20% 1.1 billion 1.3 billion 1.4 billion 1.6 billion Population Population (2050) (estimated) Illiteracy (% of adults) Total fertility rate Infant mortality rate 47% 17% 36% Population under age 15 (%) Population growth rate (%) 20% 1.6% 0.6% 2.9 children per women (down from 5.3 in 1970) 1.6 children per women (down from 5.7 in 1972) 58 27 62 years 70 years Life expectancy Percentage living below $2 per day GDP PPP per capita India China 17% 80 47 $3,120 $5,890 79 1994 Global (Cairo) Conference: Population & Development The ________ at Cairo, Egypt, encouraged action to stabilized the world’s population at ____ billion by 2050, instead of the projected _______ billion. Provide _________ access to family-planning services Improve the ______ care of infants, children & pregnant women and improve the _______ of women by expanding education & job opportunities Encourage development of _________ population policies Increase _______ involvement in childrearing responsibility & family planning and increase access to education for ______ Take steps to eradicate ________ 80 INFLUENCING POPULATION SIZE The _____ way to slow population growth is: Investing in family _________(has reduced number of _______ and ________ throughout world). Reducing _________. _________ Elevating the ________ of women by not suppressing their human rights and having paying job outside of home. Family planning in _____-developed countries Responsible for a ____% drop in TFRs Financial ________: money spent on family planning saves far more in health, education costs 81 Global Contraceptive Usage ____ problems 1. ___% pregnancies unplanned, ___% end with abortion 2. Many couples do not have ______ to family planning 82 Problems with a Growing Population Thomas _______ 1798 “_________ ________” – Human population increases exponentially while food supplies increase at a slower linear rate Argued rising ______ and improved well-being would lead to ______ reproduction among the working class. A labor ______ would then cause wages to _____ below subsistence levels, resulting in starvation, disease and crime. Argued, land for food production was ______ factor in both population growth and economic 83 development. __________ with a Growing Population _________ for World Hunger Issues Unequal __________ of available food Loss of _______ land Increasing _________ growth rate Increasing _________ in developing countries ____________ for ensuring adequate nutrition for a growing population: Increase the number of new food ______ from a diversity of plant species Distribute food more __________ Increase land are that is dedicated to _______ production rather than _______ production Assist developing countries in efficient crop _________ systems. 84 Environmental ________ ____________ destroys habitats and reduces biodiversity: Farming and the creation of monocultures, housing or development projects that cause urbanization, fuel from wood, and fossil fuel recovery from mining. ________ fuel burning releases CO2: Results in climate change, change in temperature and precipitation patterns changing habitats. _________ fishing and _____ farming: Spreads disease to native fish and causes unsustainable fish populations. _________ and _________ of water: For agricultural, municipal, and industrial use reduces water supplies. Building __________: To accommodate increased amounts of trash. 85 HUMAN ASPECTS ON NATURAL SYSTEMS We have used __________ to alter much of the rest of nature in ways that threaten the _______ of many other _____ and could reduce the quality of _____ for our own _______. 86