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TASUG Meeting – November/2003 Using its tools to spot Chart Patterns, Candle Patterns, Ratios, and Divergences. Andy Nogueira Part I - Stockcharts Tools Breadth Charts Market Carpet PerfCharts SharpCharts StockScans Home Page Part II – Using Stockcharts to spot Candlestick Patterns • Bullish / Bearish Divergences • Positive / Negative Chart Patterns • Reversal / Continuation Ratios • Intermarket Analysis Breadth Charts Shows Market Breadth for • NYSE • Advancing / Declining • Highs / Lows • NASDAQ • Advancing / Declining • Highs / Lows • AMEX • Advancing / Declining • Highs / Lows Page 1 Page 2 Market Carpet Lets you see at a glance what the entire market is doing as well as the sectors and companies within the market. Available Predefined Carpets • • • • • S&P Sector Carpet Market Summary Carpet Fidelity Fund Carpet Rydex Fund Carpet Toronto Stock Exchange Perfcharts Carpet Lets you compare two or more different stocks, indices, or mutual funds during a period of time. Display price performance lines for up to 10 different financial datasets Line Graph or Histogram (Total Return) Line Graph Histogram Sharpcharts Create bar charts, line charts and candlestick charts for more than 20,000 stocks, indices, and mutual funds. Intraday, daily, weekly and monthly charts in a variety of sizes and color schemes Create lists of annotated charts Annotated Charts Stock Scans Page Create your own scans to find stocks in the database that meet certain technical conditions and criteria Predefined Scans: • Technical Indicators • Candlestick Patterns • P&F Alerts Candlestick Patterns Bullish Patterns • • • Morning Star Bullish Abandon Baby Bullish Engulfing Bearish Patterns • • Evening Star Dark Cloud Cover Candlestick Formation UP DOWN Morning Star • A downtrend is under way • First day is a long black day • Second day gaps below the 1st day's close • Third day is a long white day. Morning Star Bullish Abandon Baby • A downtrend is under way • First day is a black day. • Second day is a doji whose shadows gaps below the 1st day's close. • Third day is a white day with no overlapping shadows. Bullish Abandon Baby Bullish Engulfing • The color of the first day's body reflects the trend. • The second real body should have the opposite color of the first real body. • The second day's real body totally engulfs the first day's body. Bullish Engulfing Evening Star (Bearish) • First day is a long white day. • Second day gaps above the first day's close. • Third day is a long black day. Evening Star (Bearish) Dark Cloud Cover (Bearish) • First day is a long white day • Second day is black with an open above the high of the previous day • Second day closes within but below the midpoint of the first day’s body Dark Cloud Cover (Bearish) Divergences A divergence occurs when the trend of a security's price doesn't agree with the trend of an indicator. • Positive Divergence • • Occurs when the indicator moves higher at the same time the stock price is declining. Negative divergence • Occurs when the indicator moves lower as the stock price continues to rise. Chart Patterns Reversal Patterns • Head and Shoulders • Double Top (Bottom) Continuation Patterns • Flag Head & Shoulders Consists of a peak followed by a higher peak and then a lower peak with a break below the neckline. Volume Confirmation • • • • First peak - High volume Middle peak - Moderate volume Third peak - Low volume A sharp increase in volume on the break below the neckline Double Top • Made up of two consecutive Double Top peaks that are roughly equal, with a moderate trough in between • Volume contracts on second peak as a further indication of weakening demand. • Support must be broken in a convincing manner, and usually with an expansion of volume Flags (Continuation) • Mark a small consolidation before the previous move resumes. • Volume confirmation: • Expands to form the flagpole • Contracts during the flag's formation • Expands after the resistance breakout. • Usually the price target is the length of the flagpole Ratios Intermarket Analysis • Intermarket Technical Analysis is the study of the relationships between the four major financial markets: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities and Currencies. • 30 Year US Bond / S&P 500 US$ Dollar / Gold • Links and Suggested Reading Links • Stockcharts.com • Prophet.net • Hotcandlestick.com • Equis.com • Leavittbrothers.com • Chartpatterns.com Suggested Reading • Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques - Steven Nison • Beyond Candlesticks - Steven Nison • Technical Analysis of Stock Trends - Robert Edwards & John Magee • Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns - Thomas N. Bulkowski Andy Nogueira – [email protected]