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A Combinatorial Fusion Method for Feature Mining Ye Tian, Gary Weiss, D. Frank Hsu, Qiang Ma Fordham University Presented by Gary Weiss Introduction • Feature construction/engineering often a critical step in the data mining process – Can be very time-consuming and may require a lot of manual effort • Our approach is to use a combinatorial method to automatically construct new features – We refer to this as “feature fusion” – Geared toward helping to predict rare classes – For now it is restricted to numerical features, but can be extended to other features 2 How does this relate to MMIS? • One MMIS category is local pattern analysis – How to efficiently identify quality knowledge from a single data source – Listed data preparation and selection as subtopics and also mentioned fusion • We acknowledge that this work probably is not what most people think of as MMIS 3 How can we view this work as MMIS? • Think of each feature as piece of information – Our fusion approach integrates these pieces • Fusion itself is a proper topic for MMIS since it can also be used with multiple info sources – The fusion method we employ does not really care if the information (i.e., features) are from a single source • As complexity of constructed features increases, each can be viewed as a classifier – Each fused feature is an information source – This view is bolstered by other work on data fusion that using ensembles to combine each fused feature 4 Description of the Method 1. A data set is a collection of records where each feature has a score – We assume numerical features 2. We then replace scores by ranks – Ordering of ranks determined by whether larger or small scores better predict class 3. Compute performance of each feature 4. Compute performance of feature combinations 5. Decide which combinations to evaluate/use 5 Step 1: A data set A B C F1 1 3 5 F2 4 3 5 F3 3 5 2 F4 2 5 6 F5 8 4 7 Class 1 0 1 D E F 7 11 15 6 13 16 15 16 4 3 7 13 2 14 11 0 0 0 G H 9 17 7 15 14 9 1 8 18 3 1 0 6 Step 2: Scores replaced by Ranks F1 F2 F3 F4 F5 A 1 2 2 2 5 B 2 1 4 4 3 C 3 3 1 5 4 D 4 4 7 3 1 E 6 6 8 6 7 F 7 8 3 8 6 G 5 8 5 6 1 8 7 5 7 2 H 7 Step 3: Compute Feature Performance F2 Rank Class B 1 0 A 2 1 C 3 1 D 4 0 G 5 1 E 6 0 H 7 0 F 8 0 • Performance measures how well feature predicts minority class • We sort rows by feature rank and measure performance on top n%, where n% belong to minority class • In this case we evaluate on top 3 rows. Since 2 of 3 are minority (class=1), performance = .66 8 Step 3 continued Feature F1 Performance 0.67 F2 0.67 F3 0.67 F4 0.67 F5 0.00 9 Step 4: Compute Performance of Feature Combinations • Let F6 be fused F1F2F3F4F5 F6 Rank F6 Rank • Rank combination function is average of ranks A B 2.4 2.8 E F 6.6 6.4 • Compute rank of F6 for each record C 3.2 G 5.0 • Compute performance of F6 as in step 3 D 3.8 H 5.8 10 Step 5: What Combinations to Use? • Given n features there are 2n – 1 possible combinations – C(n,1) + C(n,2) … C(n.n) – This “fully exhaustive” fusion strategy is practical for many values of n • We try other strategies in case not feasible – k-exhaustive strategy selects k best features and tries all combinations – k-fusion strategy uses all n features but fuses at most k features at once 11 Combinatorial Fusion Table k-fusion for values of k shown below Number Features 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 6 7 4 4 10 14 15 5 5 15 25 30 31 6 6 21 41 56 62 7 7 28 63 98 119 126 127 8 8 36 92 162 218 246 254 255 9 9 45 129 255 381 465 501 510 10 10 55 175 385 637 847 967 1012 1022 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 63 511 1023 12 Combinatorial Fusion Algorithm • Combinatorial strategy generates features – Performance metric determines which are best • Used to determine which k features for k-fusion • Also used to determine order of features to add • We add a feature if it leads to a statistically significant improvement (p ≤ .10) – As measured on validation data – This limits the number of features – But requires a lot of computation 13 Example Run of Algorithm AUC Feature p-value valid test (+ means added) 0.670 0.682 -- {F1,F2,F3,F4,F5} 0.766 0.757 0.001 +F3F4 0.731 0.771 0.774 F1F2 0.063 +F1F3 14 Description of Experiments • We use Weka’s DT, 1-NN, and Naïve Bayes methods • Analyze performance on 10 data sets – With and without fused features – Focus on AUC as the main metric • More appropriate than accuracy especially with skewed data • Use 3 combinatorial fusion strategies – 2-fusion, 3-fusion, and 6-exhaustive 15 Results Summary Results over all 10 Data Sets Bayes DT 1-NN Strategy AUC W-L-D AUC W-L-D AUC W-L-D 2-fusion 0.009 5-1-4 0.105 7-0-3 0.016 5-4-1 3-fusion 0.009 6-4-0 0.103 8-1-1 0.023 5-4-1 6-exhaustive 0.003 3-6-1 0.115 9-0-1 0.027 6-1-3 Results over 4 Most Skewed Data Sets (< 10% Minority) Bayes DT 1-NN Strategy AUC W-L-D AUC W-L-D AUC W-L-D 2-fusion 0.004 1-1-2 0.195 4-0-0 0.065 4-0-0 3-fusion 0.012 2-2-0 0.185 3-1-0 0.059 3-0-1 6-exhaustive 0.006 1-3-0 0.194 4-0-0 0.062 4-0-0 16 Discussion of Results • No one of the 3 fusion schemes is clearly best • The methods seem to help, but the biggest improvement is clearly with the DT method – May be explained by traditional DT methods having limited expressive power • They can only consider 1 feature at a time • Can never perfectly learn simple concepts like F1+F2 > 10, but can with feature-fusion – Bigger improvement for highly skewed data sets • Identifying rare cases is difficult and may require looking at many features in parallel 17 Future Work • More comprehensive experiments – More data sets, more skewed data sets, more combinatorial fusion strategies • Use of heuristics to more intelligently choose fused features – Performance measure now used only to order – Use of diversity measures – Avoid building classifier to determine which fused features to add • Handle non-numerical features 18 Conclusion • Showed how a method from information fusion can be applied to feature construction • Results encouraging but more study needed • Extending the method should lead to further improvements 19 Questions? 20 Detailed Results: Accuracy Dataset Bayes w/o w Decision Trees w 1-NN Diff w/o Diff w/o w Diff bio 98.8 98.8 0.0 99.4 99.4 0.0 99.2 99.2 0.0 letter-a 98.4 98.4 0.0 98.6 98.6 0.0 98.9 98.9 0.0 income 92.0 92.0 0.0 94.5 94.5 0.0 92.4 92.4 0.0 stock 80.4 80.4 0.0 90.3 90.3 0.0 86.3 86.3 0.0 hepatitis 84.0 84.0 0.0 86.2 80.7 -5.6 89.3 89.3 0.0 68.9 75.3 6.5 75.1 75.2 0.1 62.6 75.0 12.4 german 73.2 73.2 0.0 69.5 73.0 3.5 68.1 71.6 crx 70.1 70.1 0.0 60.3 75.1 14.9 60.4 bands 67.0 67.0 0.0 61.4 61.4 0.0 65.3 65.3 0.0 boa1 55.0 57.0 2.0 51.0 56.9 6.0 52.6 57.5 5.0 physics 3.5 73.6 13.2 21 Dataset Strat. 2-F 3-F bio 6-EX 2-F letter-a 3-F 6-EX 2-F income 3-F 6-EX 2-F 3-F stock 6-EX 2-F hepatitis 3-F 6-EX 2-F physics 3-F 6-EX 2-F german 3-F 6-EX 2-F 3-F crx 6-EX 2-F 3-F bands 6-EX 2-F 3-F boa1 6-EX w/o .943 .963 .901 .725 .864 .498 .740 .762 .750 .571 Bayes w Diff .923 -.020 .954 .010 .926 -.017 .963 .000 .960 -.003 .962 -.001 .901 .000 .897 -.004 .900 -.001 .762 .037 .767 .043 .769 .044 .869 .005 .868 .004 .864 .000 .498 .000 .506 .008 .506 .008 .751 .011 .723 -.017 .736 -.004 .762 .000 .779 .017 .755 -.007 .779 .029 .747 -.003 .744 -.006 .596 .024 .602 .031 .589 .018 Decision Trees w/o w Diff .752 .256 .496 .742 .247 .759 .264 .943 .021 .922 .919 -.003 .937 .014 .736 .241 .494 .734 .239 .739 .245 .755 .260 .496 .751 .255 .747 .252 .755 .000 .755 .759 .004 .760 .005 .499 .000 .499 .499 .000 .499 .000 .609 .118 .492 .606 .115 .654 .162 .646 .000 .646 .670 .024 .722 .076 .611 .108 .504 .603 .099 .580 .076 .538 .041 .497 .548 .050 .553 .056 w/o .499 .937 .593 .524 .819 .504 .609 .639 .655 .515 1-NN w Diff .663 .164 .651 .152 .663 .164 .961 .024 .937 .000 .961 .024 .612 .020 .621 .028 .612 .020 .575 .051 .578 .054 .564 .040 .803 -.016 .826 .007 .821 .002 .504 .000 .495 -.008 .504 .000 .607 -.001 .593 -.015 .609 .000 .653 .014 .673 .034 .667 .028 .559 -.096 .644 -.012 .655 .000 .509 -.005 .509 -.006 .509 -.005 Detailed Results: AUC 22