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Grains: Trends in U.S. Per Capita Availability and Intake Jean Buzby and Judy Putnam Economic Research Service U.S. Per Capita Food Consumption Data First published in December 1941 Annual data extends back to 1909 Only source of time series data on food and nutrient availability in the country Major component of the Nation’s nutrition monitoring system U.S. Per Capita Food Consumption Data Major Uses Analyze commodity markets Study relationships between … Income, prices, and consumption Diet and health Evaluate effects of technology and marketing changes over time Develop and manage public policies, regulations, and programs Cross-country comparisons (fao.org) Food Consumption As Reported by Producers and Consumers: Improving What We Know Per capita food availability (aka food supply) data Comes from producers and processors Overstates food intake New ways of adjusting for losses Individual food intake data Comes from a large sample of consumers Understates food intake New interviewing techniques to minimize underreporting Webster Definitions for “Consumption” In economics … the using up of goods and services: opposed to production the amount used up The act or process of consuming To eat or drink especially in great quantity <consumed several kegs of beer> Estimating U.S. Food Consumption Production + Beginning Inventories + Imports Minus Exports + Farm and Industrial Use + Ending Inventories Equals U.S. Food Consumption (Availability) U.S. Per Capita Food Consumption Data Food Availability Estimates, 1909-2002 Derived from food availability estimates: Nutrient Availability Estimates, 1909-2002 Food Intake Estimates/Pyramid Servings, 1970-2002 Nutrient Availability Estimates, 1909-2000 Amounts per capita per day of food energy and 27 nutrients and food components in the U.S. food supply Nutrients contributed from major food groups, per capita per day Food Intake/Pyramid Servings Derived from Food Availability Data ERS uses aggregate food availability data, adjusts for losses, and converts the remaining supply into Food Guide Pyramid servings. These are then compared with servings recommendations for the U.S. population. Allows researchers to compare the amount and types of food available in the food supply with information from consumers about their actual food intake Calories: Total Food Supply and Food Supply Adjusted for Losses Calories per person per day 4,000 3,500 Total food supply available for consumption1 3,000 2,500 Food supply adjusted for spoilage, cooking losses, plate waste, and other losses2 2,000 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 1Rounded 2Not to the nearest hundred. calculated for years before 1970. The U.S. Per Capita Food Supply Changed Markedly Between 1970 and 2000 -28% -25% -19% -14% Beverage milk Coffee Eggs Red meat Alcoholic beverages Fruits and vegetables Caloric sweeteners Fish and shellfish Fats and oils Grain products Poultry Carbonated soft drinks Cheese Calculated from food availability data. 15% 23% 25% 30% 42% 47% 97% 109% 161% Grain Consumption Up From the 1970’s But Far Below Early 1900’s Highs Pounds per capita 300 250 200 150 Total Grain products1 Wheat flour 100 50 Corn products 0 1909 1919 1929 1939 1949 1959 1969 1979 1989 1999 1Total includes oat, barley, and rye products. Source: USDA’s Economic Research Service. Grain Was the Major Source of Protein in the Early 1900s Grams Per Capita Per Day of Protein 40 37 30 Grains 22 Meat, Poultry, and Fish 1909 2000 Source: USDA, Center for Nutrition Policy and Promotion Folate in grain products more than tripled between 1997 and 2000 due to mandatory fortification of enriched grain products Micrograms Per Capita Per Day of Total Folate 691 328 1909 371 1997 Source: USDA, Center for Nutrition Policy and Promotion 2000 Americans Now Consume One Grain Serving More Per Person Per Day Than Recommended Pyramid-based servings per capita per day 2003 food supply1 Recommended2 Flour and cereal products 1Adjusted 10 9 for losses that totaled 31.4 percent of total food availability. Includes an ERS estimate of 0.6 serving from whole grain foods missing from the food supply database, such as popcorn. 2Based on 1992 Food Guide Pyramid. Adjusted Per Capita Food Supply: Out of Balance with Dietary Recommendations Percent of Recommendation 250 200 Pyramid serving recommendation* 150 100 50 0 Grains Vegetables 2000 data. *Based on a 2,200-calorie diet. Source: U.S. Department of Agriculture. Fruits Dairy Meat Added fats Added sugars U.S. Food Guide Pyramid Key Fats, Oils, & Sweets Fat (naturally occurring) USE SPARINGLY Sugars (added) These symbols show fat and added sugars in food Meat, Poultry, Fish, Milk, Yogurt, Dry Beans, Eggs, & Cheese Group & Nuts Group 2-3 SERVINGS 2-3 SERVINGS Vegetables Group Fruit Group 3-5 SERVINGS 2-4 SERVINGS Bread, cereal, Rice, & Pasta Group 6-11 SERVINGS Source: U.S. Department of Agriculture. Visit our website at... www.ers.usda.gov/ and explore our consumption data at http://www.ers.usda.gov/Data/FoodConsumption/ Jean Buzby, Ph.D. [email protected] 202-694-5370