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QV Home Value Market Update July 2016 Market Commentary Nelson home values have increased by 12.0% since July 2015 and 3.1% over the past three months. The average value in the city is now $464,885. The Tasman District also increased by 8.2% over the past year and 2.5% over the past three months and the average value in the district is now $457,542. Prices remain firm for well-presented properties close to good schooling and shopping centres. We appear to be entering a phase in the market where we are seeing some opportunist pricing by vendors and there may be an element of panic buying by some purchasers that may be caught out without doing the proper due diligence. We are also seeing sales of some properties that have been on the market for lengthy periods of time. The reserve bank’s recent announcement of stricter loan to value ratios for investors is likely to have some impact on the local market but may be partially offset by pent up demand from buyers, and also a probable fall in interest rates coming into spring. Sales Volumes and Listing Numbers 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 Tasman Sales Volumes Tasman listing numbers Nelson Sales Volumes Nelson Listing Numbers Jul-16 Jun-16 May-16 Apr-16 Mar-16 Feb-16 Jan-16 Dec-15 Nov-15 Oct-15 Sep-15 Aug-15 Jul-15 Jun-15 May-15 Apr-15 Mar-15 Feb-15 Jan-15 0 *Sales volumes are a three month rolling average There were approximately 950 properties available for sale on Trade Me in the Nelson/Tasman regions this time 12 months ago. There are now only approximately 500 properties available for sale. The lack of supply is exacerbated by strong demand for property with cheap borrowing and sales volumes up slightly over the same period. QV House Price Index/Sales Volumes/Listing Numbers (Nelson) 450 400 1450 350 1400 300 250 1350 200 1300 150 100 1250 1200 Jan-15 50 Sales Volume/Listing Numbers QV House Price Index 1500 0 Apr-15 Jul-15 Nelson QV House Price Index Oct-15 Jan-16 Nelson Sales Volumes Apr-16 Jul-16 Nelson Listing Numbers Nelson home values continue to rise with current listing numbers falling. It will be interesting to see what effect the reserve bank to loan to value restrictions for investors will have on the market. 1500 900 1450 800 1400 700 600 1350 500 1300 400 1250 300 1200 200 1150 100 1100 Jan-15 0 Apr-15 Jul-15 Tasman QV House Price Index Oct-15 Jan-16 Tasman Sales Volumes Apr-16 Sales Volume/Listing Numbers QV House Price Index QV House Price Index/Sales Volumes/Listing Numbers (Tasman) Jul-16 Tasman listing numbers Tasman District home values have increased at a slightly lower rate than Nelson City largely due to the weaker Golden Bay market given the greater dairy influence in the region which is currently weak. The QV House Price Index is calculated by analysing the average sales price to capital value ratio for sales over the last three months which is applied to the entire stock to generate a current average value. Building Consents A total of 79 building consents for new houses were issued in June up from 51 in April. New houses that are well designed to meet market requirements are selling above land and building costs with potential profits being made. House and land packages are dominating the new build market especially in Stoke, Richmond, Motueka and Mapua. We are seeing a tendency for building companies to prefer promoting house and land packages over just a contract to the build given the building companies price structure can meet the market when values are rising and can potentially reap a greater margin. New Dwelling Building Consents Issued 100 Number of consents issued 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Tasman Nelson Marlborough Source: Statistics New Zealand Rental Market There was an average of 62 properties in Tasman available to rent on Trade Me during July. This is down from 72 in June. There was an average of 123 properties in Nelson available to rent over the same period down from 136 in June. Mean Rent by Territorial Authority 390 Weekly Rnt ($) 370 350 330 310 290 270 250 Marlborough Nelson Tasman Did You Know The Olympics which begin in Rio de Janeiro shortly feature in this months did you know segment. Due to the two World Wars there were no Olympic Games in 1916, 1940 or 1944. London, United Kingdom, hosted the Summer Olympics in 1908, 1948, and 2012, making London the only city to host the event on three occasions. The five rings of the Olympic flag represent Africa, Asia, Australasia, Europe, and the Americas, they are linked together in friendship. Every national flag of the world has at least one of the rings colors, blue, black, green, yellow, and red. Tug of war was contested as a team event at every Summer Olympics from 1900 to 1920. Golf (returning after 112 years) and Rugby (returning after 92 years) will be the “new” sports of the Rio Olympic Games The Summer Olympics have been held 27 times (6 editions in North America, 16 in Europe, 3 in Asia and 2 in Oceania) Services Yes QV do market valuations! The QV Home Value team have always provided market valuations and have a huge amount of experience to help with your valuation requirements. Table 1 Products we offer Product Type Purpose Market Valuations Purchase, Sale, Finance, Investment, Matrimonial, Forced Sale, Tax and duty. Insurance Valuations Providers of sum insured valuations for insurance purposes. Desktop Available for transfer to trust/IRD purposes. E Valuer Computer generated estimate of value available from qv.co.nz QV Home Guide App available for free download on both android and IOS with a range of free information as well as in-app purchasers for prospective home buyers. Other Arbitration, mediations, high court expert witness, research. Pricing Table 2 Nelson Price List (Inclusive of GST) Category Price Residential (Nelson, Richmond, Motueka) Starting from $680 Vacant sites Starting from $600 Lifestyle Property > 5000m² Starting from $900 Insurance Starting from $650 Commercial/Specialist Property Quote Desktop – For Related Party Transfer/IRD Only $230 (Residential) Quotes are available on request with a standard turnaround time for each job between 2 and 4 days following inspection. Contact Us QV Home Value Nelson Level 1, AMI Building, 2 Cambridge Street PO Box 3021, Richmond Nelson 7050 03 543 8360 [email protected] Staff Profiles Staff Profiles Geoff Butterworth Registered Valuer – ANZIV, SPINZ Geoff is a registered valuer and property consultant with over 30 years’ experience in valuing a wide range of urban property, with a focus on commercial and industrial property, plus residential and lifestyle property. Area of expertise: Commercial/Industrial/Lifestyle/Residential DDI: (03) 543 8353 Mobile: 0272307314 Craig Russell Registered Valuer – BCom VPM, MNZIV and MPINZ Craig transferred to QV Nelson in 2014 with his wife after working in Christchurch as a valuer following the Canterbury earthquakes. Craig’s primary focus is on the lifestyle/residential property market providing both market and insurance valuations. Area of expertise: Lifestyle/Residential DDI: (03) 543 8354 Mobile: 0276997780 Hayley Dabinette Valuer – BBS – VPM, Graduate Member PINZ Hayley has been working as a valuer at Quotable Value since she graduated from Massey University in 2013. Hayley’s primary focus is on the residential and lifestyle market providing both rating valuations and market valuations. Area of expertise: Lifestyle/Residential DDI: (03) 543 8361 Mobile: 0274084364