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Arthropod-Plant Interactions DOI 10.1007/s11829-015-9401-0 ORIGINAL PAPER Direct effects of elevated temperature on a tri-trophic system: Salix, leaf beetles and predatory bugs Adriana Puentes1 • Mikaela Torp1 • Martin Weih2 • Christer Björkman1 Received: 20 August 2014 / Accepted: 16 October 2015 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2015 Abstract The net effect of climatic change on biotic interactions will depend on how each interacting species is individually affected. Elevated temperatures are predicted to have differential effects on species across trophic levels, due to asymmetric sensitivity to temperature changes. In this study, we examined the direct effects of three temperature regimes (16, 20 and 24 C) that reflect present and, potentially, future climate conditions on the response of Salix spp. plants, an important bioenergy crop, and its most damaging herbivore (Phratora vulgatissima) and an efficient natural enemy (the omnivorous predator Orthotylus marginalis). We found that plant growth, herbivore oviposition and enemy egg-foraging rate correlated positively with temperature. In the event of elevated temperatures following global climatic changes, these species could potentially respond in tandem. Still, the strength of responses varied among species, with herbivore and natural enemy exhibiting a similar and steeper rate of response relative to plants. Additionally, the herbivore’s response was influenced by plant quality with altered oviposition rates depending on whether it was fed the (previously determined) resistant Salix dasyclados or susceptible S. viminalis. This indicates that host plant chemistry has the potential to mediate differential responses to temperature. Together, our results suggest that indirect effects of Handling Editors: Rupesh Kariyat and Heikki Hokkanen. & Adriana Puentes [email protected] 1 Department of Ecology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Box 7044, 750 07 Uppsala, Sweden 2 Department of Crop Production Ecology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Box 7043, 750 07 Uppsala, Sweden elevated temperatures, leading to a disruption of trophic associations, may be less likely or less severe in this tritrophic system. Keywords Climate change Global warming Trophic interactions Pest Natural enemy Introduction A major challenge for both basic and applied ecologists is to understand and predict how global environmental change will affect interactions among species. Complex networks of biotic interactions such as pollination, parasitism and predation play a pivotal role in maintaining biodiversity and stabilizing key ecosystem services (Bascompte et al. 2006; Ives and Carpenter 2007). Nonetheless, the effects of large-scale environmental changes on interacting species has only recently received its deserved attention, and a comprehensive framework has yet to be fully developed (Bale et al. 2002; Parmesan 2006; Voigt et al. 2007; Tylianakis et al. 2008; Berggren et al. 2009; Jamieson et al. 2012; Rosenblatt and Schmitz 2014). In particular, the effects on interactions involving more than two trophic levels remain understudied (Jeffs and Lewis 2013; Facey et al. 2014). This is surprising given that important tri-trophic associations such as the one between plants, herbivores and enemies can be substantially disrupted, for example, by increases in temperature (Harrington et al. 1999; Hoover and Newman 2004; Barton et al. 2009; de Sassi and Tylianakis 2012; Gillespie et al. 2012; Dyer et al. 2013). A necessary first step, for a complete understanding of changes in interaction strength, is to assess responses to climatic stress at different trophic levels (Sentis et al. 2013; Butt et al. 2015). To this end, we 123 A. Puentes et al. examined the effects of increased temperature on the performance of species at three trophic levels: two plant species, Salix spp., a leaf-chewing herbivore, Phratora vulgatissima and one of its most important enemies, the omnivorous predator Orthotylus marginalis. Elevated temperatures are predicted to affect members of the different trophic levels in different ways, and these effects can be direct or indirect. Effects directly related to temperature include, for example, changes in the organism’s physiology, phenology or behavior. For plants, direct effects of elevated temperature are usually positive, with an increase in plant growth and primary productivity (Rustad et al. 2001; Weih 2001 for Salix), but the effects can be variable (Smith et al. 2015). Likewise, performance and survival of insects are expected to be positively affected through faster developmental rates and increased voltinism with rising temperatures (Bale et al. 2002; Robinet and Roques 2010). On the other hand, high temperatures can have direct negative consequences on the survival of invertebrate natural enemies, for instance, through longer parasitoid developmental times (Gillespie et al. 2012) and higher risk of starvation (Rall et al. 2009). Those natural enemies with highest specialization would be most at risk, while others with flexible food preferences, like omnivorous predators, are expected to be less susceptible (AguilarFenollosa and Jacas 2014). Albeit great variation in responses at different trophic levels (Tylianakis et al. 2008), the general trend that emerges is that sensitivity to changes in temperature, and other climatic variables increases with trophic level (Voigt et al. 2003, 2007; Berggren et al. 2009; Jeffs and Lewis 2013; Facey et al. 2014). Differential sensitivity to temperature across species and trophic levels is likely to result in members of communities not responding in tandem to climatic changes. As a consequence, trophic associations may be disrupted and the indirect effects of temperature will be mediated by enhancement or weakening of interaction strength (Voigt et al. 2007; Tylianakis et al. 2008). For example, asynchronous responses to elevated temperatures have been documented in several plant–herbivore and host–parasitoid systems, with most studies reporting negative effects on the strength of interactions (de Sassi and Tylianakis 2012; Romo and Tylianakis 2013; Dyer et al. 2013; Sentis et al. 2013; but see Klapwijk et al. 2010; Barton 2011). A weakening of host–parasitoid interactions can result in a greater potential for insect outbreaks and lower plant biomass (Hoover and Newman 2004; Parmesan 2006; de Sassi and Tylianakis 2012). Likewise, plant-mediated effects can also cascade upward; changes in host plant nutritional and defensive chemistry due to greater temperatures can negatively affect both herbivore and, indirectly, parasitoid performance (Gillespie et al. 2012; Dyer et al. 2013). Alteration of plant defense expression, for instance, can 123 have important consequences for the food preference of omnivorous predators and for localization of prey by means of induced plant volatiles (DeLucia et al. 2012; Jamieson et al. 2012; Ode et al. 2014). Understanding and forecasting such temperature-driven disruptions of trophic interactions is a pressing need (Aguilar-Fenollosa and Jacas 2014), particularly so for agricultural systems already experiencing a dampening of natural enemy efficiency (Montserrat et al. 2013). To achieve better forecasting of ecological changes, direct and indirect responses by individual species need to be quantified and teased apart (Suttle et al. 2007; Barton et al. 2009; Gilman et al. 2010). The aim of this study was to examine the individual responses of species from three different trophic levels to temperature regimes that reflect present and, potentially, future climate conditions. We examined the direct effects of temperature on plant biomass of two Salix species, S. dasyclados and S. viminalis, on the egg-laying rate of the leaf-chewing herbivore P. vulgatissima and on the eggconsumption rate of the omnivorous predatory bug O. marginalis. Due to high biomass production and efficient nutrient use, varieties of Salix spp. are frequently used in short rotation forestry for biomass production (Karp and Shield 2008; Kuzovkina et al. 2008); the two used in this experiment exhibit contrasting levels of resistance against the most severe insect pest of these plantations, P. vulgatissima (Lehrman et al. 2012). This beetle can cause substantial growth losses (Björkman et al. 2000), but control of this pest’s population growth can be achieved through its most efficient natural enemy O. marginalis, which feeds on eggs and larvae of the beetle (Björkman et al. 2004; Dalin et al. 2011). Based on previous research on direct effects of temperature on plant physiology and arthropod metabolism, we expect plant biomass, egg-laying by the herbivore and egg-consumption by the omnivorous predator to increase with temperature. However, since sensitivity to temperature is expected to positively correlate with trophic level, the rate of increase should be lowest for plants and greatest for the omnivorous predator (cf. Figure 4 in Berggren et al. 2009). That is, the degree of steepness in responses is hypothesized to follow this order: plant \ herbivore \ omnivore. Moreover, an increase in egg-laying by the herbivore should be disrupted by the level of plant resistance, with herbivores expected to lay eggs at a slower rate on the more resistant species, S. dasyclados. Materials and methods The response of plants, herbivore and omnivorous predator to different temperatures (16, 20 and 24 C) was assessed under laboratory conditions by conducting three separate Direct effects of elevated temperature on a tri-trophic system: Salix, leaf beetles and… experiments at the Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU), Uppsala, Sweden (59490 N, 17400 E). Temperatures were selected to reflect present and potentially future climate conditions around mid- to south-central Sweden, where Salix spp. plantations are most common. The lowest temperature (16 C) corresponds to the current mean temperature in Uppsala, central Sweden, during the time of the year when the insect herbivore and predator are active (May/June, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, SMHI). An increased mean temperature of 20 C during the summer months for this area would be a reasonable expectation following climate change. While, the highest temperature treatment (24 C) will most likely not be relevant in the near future, but may be so for other parts of central and southern Europe where there is an increasing interest in growing Salix spp. as a bioenergy crop. area of experimental plants could not be assessed nondestructively, we measured leaf area on and weighed a separate group of control plants at the start of the experiment (n = 9 per species). These were taken from the same group of original plants grown in the glasshouse, so they were reared under same conditions and were of same age (22 days). Thus, average changes in biomass or leaf area per species can be reasonably assessed by using the values after 14 days of treatment and values of these control plants. Aboveground biomass was collected and oven-dried (70 C) for 48 h before weighing. Leaf area (cm2) was determined by scanning five fresh leaves from each plant; areas were measured using WinDIAS, Delta-T SCAN (Delta-T Devices Ltd., Cambridge, UK). The length of the main shoot (cm) was measured for each experimental plant at the start and after 14 days of treatment; internode length (cm) was estimated by dividing the length of the main shoot by the number of internodes. Plants Herbivore To examine plant responses to different temperatures, we used two different Salix sp. (Salicaceae) varieties, i.e., the S. dasyclados L. hybrid variety ‘Loden’ and the S. viminalis L. natural variety ‘L78021’ (see Kendall et al. 1996). Salix dasyclados has been characterized as being much more resistant to P. vulgatissima, in terms of beetle survival and oviposition, than S. viminalis (Glynn et al. 2004; Lehrman et al. 2012). Winter cuttings of the two Salix species were collected in 2010 from plantations around Uppsala and stored at 4 C until the experiment was due to start at the beginning of July. From storage, cuttings were divided into 5-cm pieces, with each piece containing at least two buds. Ninety of these cuttings, per species, were planted individually in plastic pots (height = 10 cm, diameter = 9 cm) filled with soil (85 % peat, 15 % sand) containing NPK fertilizer (N = 180, P = 110, K = 195 g/m3). Plants were left to grow in a glasshouse at 22, 20 C during the day and night, respectively, and with a 16:8-h (L:D) photoperiod. After 22 days, plants were transferred to different growth chambers (Percival Scientific Inc., Perry, IA, USA) with the following settings: 16/16, 20/16 and 24/16 C day/night with a 16:8-h (L:D) photoperiod, RH: 75 %, and a light intensity of 300 lm. Night temperatures were not manipulated due to technical difficulties. Plants were randomly assigned to one of the three temperature treatments (n = 18 per species 9 treat combination) and to the two shelves of each growth chamber; they were rotated between shelves daily. We examined the effects of temperature on total aboveground biomass, leaf area, and shoot and average internode lengths. Plants were harvested after 14 days of treatment. Since the starting aboveground biomass or leaf To examine herbivore responses to different temperatures, we used females of the leaf-chewing beetle Phratora vulgatissima L. (Coleoptera: Chrysomelidae). Phratora vulgatissima causes severe damage to Salix spp. plants and in plantations larval and adult feeding can result in growth losses of up to 40 % (Björkman et al. 2000). The beetle overwinters as an adult, and it is univoltine. In Sweden, it aggregates on preferred host plants in early May and after a short period of feeding, mates and lays eggs until mid-late June. Females lay several clutches of 5–50 eggs (even up to [500 eggs in total) on the underside of leaves at the base of shoots; eggs hatch after 15–20 days (Kendall et al. 1996). After passing through three instar stages, each with increasing mobility, the larvae pupate in the soil. In February and March 2010, overwintering Phratora vulgatissima beetles were collected from natural stands of Salix cinerea around Uppsala. Beetles were stored at -5 C to avoid disruption of their hibernation period. Three weeks before the start of the experiment (beginning of July), they were transferred to ambient room temperature. During this period, males and females were placed together in cages containing either S. dasyclados or S. viminalis and allowed to mate. At the start of the experiment, females were separated from males and transferred individually to plastic containers (height = 7 cm, diameter = 3 cm) with perforated screw caps. They were fed detached, fully developed leaves kept on a piece of well-watered oasis foam in the container. Leaves originated from S. dasyclados or S. viminalis plants that had been grown in a glasshouse for about 2 months. Female beetles (one per container, n = 20 per plant species they were reared on) were placed in growth chambers at 16, 20 or 24 C with the same settings 123 A. Puentes et al. as the plant experiment described above. Every second day, they were provided with fresh leaves, and the number of eggs laid were counted and removed from the container. The experiment lasted for 14 days and beetles that died during this period were excluded from statistical analyses. Omnivorous predator To examine predator responses to different temperatures, we used nymphs of the omnivorous predator Orthotylus marginalis Reuter (Hemiptera: Miridae). Orthotylus marginalis is the most abundant and effective natural enemy of P. vulgatissima in Salix spp. plantations (Björkman et al. 2003, 2004). In Sweden, it has one generation per year and overwintering occurs as eggs with nymphs appearing in early May; adults are present until late August. Orthotylus marginalis is a generalist predator, feeding on aphids and mites as well as P. vulgatissima, and when needed it obtains fluids from leaves and fruits of several deciduous trees including Salix spp. (Wheeler 2001). Nymphs of O. marginalis were collected from natural S. cinerea stands located around Uppsala in 2010. They were placed in a refrigerator and not allowed to feed for 24 h prior to start of the experiment (beginning of July). Phratora vulgatissima eggs were obtained from beetles that previously fed and laid eggs on S. viminalis leaves. For the experiment, 10-cm-long shoots of S. viminalis were placed in water in plastic containers and covered with perforated plastic bags that are large enough to allow insect movement. Leaves or parts of leaves holding P. vulgatissima eggs were pinned to the covered S. viminalis shoots. Each shoot received one clutch of eggs and although there was variation, there were enough eggs to feed O. marginalis during the experimental period. One nymph was placed on each of the S. viminalis shoots (n = 40 per temperature treatment) and transferred to growth chambers at 16, 20 or 24 C with the same settings as the plant experiment described above. Nymphs were allowed to feed for 24 or 48 h, depending on the egg clutch size, and the number of eggs consumed was determined after this period. Dead/parasitized nymphs were excluded from the statistical analyses. Due to logistical limitations and availability of O. marginalis, it was not possible to examine effects of temperature on the consumption of eggs reared on S. dasyclados. Data analyses In order to examine the effects of temperature on plant, herbivore and omnivore responses, we fitted several linear models. All analyses were conducted in R (version 3.1.2, R Development Core Team 2015). For plant responses, changes in aboveground biomass, area per leaf, shoot and 123 average internode lengths between the start and end of the experiment were first calculated. Separate models were fitted for each response variable, which included temperature (three treatments: 16, 20 and 24 C), species (two species: S. dasyclados and S. viminalis) and their interaction as explanatory variables. Herbivore and omnivore responses were calculated as egg-laying and egg-consumption rates per day, respectively. Models to examine effects on egg-laying included the same explanatory variables as models examining plant responses (temperature and species), while models to examine egg-consumption only included temperature (S. dasyclados was not used, see ‘‘Materials and methods’’ Section). Analysis of variance (ANOVA) was used to test the significance of main effects and interactions. Data were checked for homogeneity of variance and normality; the herbivore response variable, egg-laying rate, required square-root transformation to meet these assumptions. Results Plants Temperature had a significant and positive effect on plant growth, but the strength of responses varied among the two Salix species (Table 1; Fig. 1c). Changes in aboveground biomass (Fig. 1c) and in shoot length were more pronounced for S. viminalis [mean (cm) ± S.E.; 16 C = 7.53 ± 0.40, 20 C = 9.06 ± 0.38, 24 C = 19.62 ± 0.60] than for S. dasyclados [mean (cm) ± S.E.; 16 C = 3.77 ± 0.62, 20 C = 4.60 ± 0.77, 24 C = 9.42 ± 1.45]. On the other hand, leaf area [mean (cm2) ± S.E.; S. viminalis: 16 C = 3.71 ± 0.68, 20 C = 4.44 ± 0.84, 24 C = 11.02 ± 2.04; S. dasyclados: 16 C = 1.40 ± 0.68, 20 C = 2.78 ± 0.97, 24 C = 5.65 ± 2.26] and average internode length [mean (cm) ± S.E.; S. viminalis: 16 C = 0.08 ± 0.02, 20 C = 0.05 ± 0.01, 24 C = 0.18 ± 0.03; S. dasyclados: 16 C = 0.12 ± 0.03, 20 C = 0.15 ± 0.03, 24 C = 0.28 ± 0.04] also increased with temperature, but responses were not statistically different (i.e., no significant treatment 9 species interactions; Table 1) between the two plant species. Changes in biomass and leaf area were assessed using values that were separately calculated in a control group of plants [see ‘‘Materials and methods’’ Section for details; mean biomass control (g): S. viminalis = 0.073, S. dasyclados = 0.032; mean leaf area control (cm2): S. viminalis = 3.05, S. dasyclados = 0.96]. Herbivore and omnivorous predator Temperature had an overall positive effect on egg-laying and egg-consumption by P. vulgatissima and O. Direct effects of elevated temperature on a tri-trophic system: Salix, leaf beetles and… Table 1 Results from a two- or one-way analysis of variance on the effects of temperature (16, 20 or 24 C), species (S. viminalis and S. dasyclados) and their interaction on aboveground production (g), changes in leaf area (cm2), shoot and average internode length (cm) of plants, and on the egglaying and egg-consumption rates of the herbivore P. vulgatissima and omnivorous predator O. marginalis (only tested on S. dasyclados) Response variable/source of variation d.f. MS F P Aboveground production Temperature 2 0.75 16.85 \0.0001 Species 1 3.45 77.94 \0.0001 Temperature 9 species 2 0.17 3.80 0.029 48 0.04 Temperature 2 168.87 10.68 0.0002 Species 1 130.38 8.24 0.0061 Temperature 9 species 2 17.41 1.10 0.341 47 15.82 Error Leaf area Error Shoot length Temperature 2 835.90 78.95 \0.0001 Species 1 1021.80 96.50 \0.0001 Temperature 9 species 2 112.10 10.58 \0.0001 102 10.60 Temperature 2 0.22 15.39 \0.0001 Species 1 0.16 11.41 0.001 Temperature 9 species 2 0.01 0.79 0.459 102 0.01 Error Internode length Error Eggs laid/day Temperature 2 5.64 25.58 \0.0001 Species 1 77.06 349.63 \0.0001 Temperature 9 species 2 0.75 3.39 0.038 89 0.22 2 204.00 7.21 0.0027 31 28.30 Error Eggs consumed/day Temperature Error Significant effects (P \ 0.05) are in bold marginalis, respectively (Table 1; Fig. 1a, b). In both cases, but particularly so for the herbivore, the increase in egg-laying and consumption was greatest and most pronounced between 16 and 20 C compared with that between 20 and 24 C (Fig. 1a, b). Moreover, the temperature effect on egg-laying varied between plant species (Table 1). Leaf beetle females that were previously fed and allowed to oviposit on S. dasyclados laid fewer eggs compared with those on S. viminalis (Fig. 1b). Comparison of responses among trophic levels Overall, the relative response of the plant (S. viminalis), the herbivore and omnivorous predator to the temperature regimes was similar; an increase in temperature was followed by an increase in response variables (Fig. 2a). However, the rate of increase differed across trophic levels, especially when comparing the plant’s response to that of the herbivore and omnivore. The greatest relative response was observed at 24 C for S. viminalis (Fig. 2a). On the other hand, when examining responses of and on S. dasyclados, the plant and herbivore had an extremely similar pattern in their relative rate of increase across temperature regimes (Fig. 2b). Discussion Our study examining the direct effects of different temperature regimes on species at three trophic levels showed that the growth, oviposition and foraging responses of plants (Salix spp.), herbivore (P. vulgatissima) and omnivorous predator (O. marginalis), respectively, correlated positively with temperature. Hence, in the event of elevated temperatures following global climatic changes, these species could potentially respond in tandem. Nonetheless, the strength of responses varied among species, and in particular, the herbivore’s rate of response was influenced by host plant quality. 123 A. Puentes et al. OMNIVOROUS PREDATOR eggs consumed day −1 25 Direct effects of temperature (a) In line with previous studies, elevated temperature directly affected plant growth, herbivore oviposition rate and predator foraging rate. Both plant species, S. viminalis and S. dasyclados, exhibited an increase in plant biomass at greater temperature (Fig. 1c). Warmer temperatures tend to accelerate plant growth, for example, by increasing net photosynthesis or extending the growing season (Rustad et al. 2001; Weih 2001 for Salix; Norby and Luo 2004; Jamieson et al. 2012). Nonetheless, responses can be variable among plant species and vegetation types (Wu et al. 2011; Smith et al. 2015). Likewise, temperature is known to affect the rate of metabolic processes in insects (Irlich et al. 2009). In our experiment, we found that both the herbivore P. vulgatissima and omnivorous predator O. marginalis increased their egg-laying and egg-consumption 20 15 10 5 0 18 (b) 16 HERBIVORE eggs laid day −1 14 2.5 10 Salix viminalis 2.0 8 1.5 6 Relative temperature response 4 2 0 1.4 Salix viminalis Salix dasyclados (c) 1.2 PLANT aboveground production (g) (a) 12 1.0 Omnivore Herbivore Plant 1.0 0.5 2.5 (b) Salix dasyclados 2.0 0.8 1.5 0.6 1.0 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 16 °C 16 °C 20 °C 24 °C Fig. 1 Effects of the three temperature regimes (16, 20 and 24 C) on (a) consumption rate (mean number of eggs consumed/day ± S.E.) of the omnivorous predator Orthotylus marginalis, b oviposition rate (mean number of eggs laid/day ± S.E.) of the herbivore Phratora vulgatissima reared on either Salix viminalis or S. dasyclados and c aboveground production [mean change in biomass (g) ± S.E.] of S. viminalis or S. dasyclados following 14 days of treatment 123 20 °C 24 °C Temperature Fig. 2 Relative responses to three different temperature regimes (16, 20 and 24 C) of (a) the herbivore-susceptible Salix viminalis, the herbivore Phratora vulgatissima and omnivorous predator Orthotylus marginalis reared on S. viminalis, and of the (b) herbivore-resistant S. dasyclados and the herbivore P. vulgatissima reared on S. dasyclados. Aboveground production, egg-laying and consumption were relativized using the values of these variables at 16 C Direct effects of elevated temperature on a tri-trophic system: Salix, leaf beetles and… rates, respectively, at greater temperatures (Fig. 1a, b). This is in agreement with previous experiments showing that temperature can positively influence herbivore fecundity (Bale et al. 2002; Cornelissen 2011) and egg-consumption in some arthropod predators (Parajulee et al. 2006). Comparison of responses among trophic levels Plants, herbivore and omnivorous predator responded in tandem to increasing temperature in our experiment, but differential responses across trophic levels may occur more often than not (Voigt et al. 2003; Tylianakis et al. 2008; Laws and Joern 2015). For instance, in studies examining responses of plants, herbivores and natural enemies, temperature can have a small positive effect on plants, disproportionately benefit herbivores, and negatively affect parasitoids (de Sassi and Tylianakis 2012; Dyer et al. 2013). On the other hand, there can be no change in plant biomass, and a negative effect on both herbivore and predator performance following elevated temperatures (Gillespie et al. 2012; Sentis et al. 2013). These differential responses to temperature are thought to be due to asymmetric sensitivity to temperature across trophic levels (Berggren et al. 2009). While plants, herbivore and omnivorous predator did respond similarly in our experiment, the strength of responses varied among them. We expected the strongest (i.e., steepest) and weakest response to occur for the predator and plant, respectively. The pattern of relative responses on S. viminalis lends partial support to this expectation (Fig. 2). When exposed to an elevated temperature of 20 C, plants do exhibit a weaker (i.e., less steep) response than herbivores and omnivores (Fig. 2a). Given that plants should be the least sensitive, a greater change in temperature would be required to observe a response (Berggren et al. 2009); the observed steeper increase in plant biomass at 24 C would be in line with this idea (Fig. 2a). On the other hand, the omnivorous predator O. marginalis did not exhibit the strongest response to temperature; in fact, the response was similar to that of the herbivore P. vulgatissima (Fig. 2a). Because predators are generally more active foragers and should have higher metabolic rates than herbivores, they are expected to show a stronger response to temperature (Voigt et al. 2003). However, O. marginalis has been described as a ‘find-andstay’ predator (Björkman et al. 2003) and could be less active relative to other arthropod predators and specialized natural enemies like parasitoids, on which many of the temperature-related expectations are based. Moreover, O. marginalis can use plants as a food source, and this is expected to provide some buffer in responses to climatic changes (Aguilar-Fenollosa and Jacas 2014). Thus, given the special characteristic of O. marginalis, similar strength of response among herbivore and natural enemy (relative to the plant) may not be unreasonable in this tri-trophic system. Together, our results suggest that if plant, herbivore and predator respond uniformly to changes in temperature, a disruption of trophic relationships is less likely or less pronounced (Voigt et al. 2003; Tylianakis et al. 2008). For example, if temperature-driven direct responses are similar, negative indirect effects such as asynchrony between herbivore and natural enemy may not occur or be less severe (Aguilar-Fenollosa and Jacas 2014). This is of particular relevance for the biocontrol of P. vulgatissima, which can reach outbreak densities in Salix spp. plantations and shows variation in the ability to adjust oviposition rate to temperature (Björkman et al. 2011). While temperature may not or to a lesser extent alter the relationship between P. vulgatissima and O. marginalis, other climatic variables are also likely to change along with temperature and could disrupt their interaction. As species interactions are context dependent, insect responses to a climatic variable in isolation can differ from those responses to multiple variables changing simultaneously (Rosenblatt and Schmitz 2014). Effects of host plant quality on herbivore performance We found that the herbivore, P. vulgatissima, was sensitive to the level of host plant resistance it was reared on, and its oviposition rate was altered depending on whether it was fed the resistant S. dasyclados or the susceptible S. viminalis (Fig. 1b). These two plant species differ in their defensive chemical profiles, and it is not uncommon that host plant chemistry predicts herbivore performance (e.g., Awmack and Leather 2002; Zvereva and Kozlov 2006; Carmona et al. 2011; Alba et al. 2014). Genotypes of S. viminalis exhibit high concentrations of condensed tannins and no salicylates, while S. dasyclados produces salicylates but lower concentrations of tannins (Lehrman et al. 2012). In line with our expectations and previous assays, P. vulgatissima laid fewer eggs on S. dasyclados and the response to temperature was affected (Fig. 2a, b). Surprisingly, the interactive effects of host plant (nutritional and chemical) quality and climatic changes on herbivore performance have been little explored, and thus, general predictions are not straightforward (Zvereva and Kozlov 2006; Cornelissen 2011; Jamieson et al. 2012). For herbivores, the energetic costs of metabolizing plant defense compounds likely differ depending on host plant chemistry. In turn, this can affect resources available for other temperature-sensitive biological functions, such as growth and reproduction (Jamieson et al. 2012). While our experiment does not allow us to establish a direct association between 123 A. Puentes et al. defense compounds, temperature and herbivore, it suggests that host plant chemistry does have the potential to mediate differential responses to temperature. Conclusions We found that the response of species across three trophic levels, Salix sp., P. vulgatissima and O. marginalis, to elevated temperature was in the same general positive direction, but the strength of responses varied. These results suggest that indirect temperature effects, leading to a disruption of trophic associations, may be less likely or less severe in this system. However, we did not simultaneously examine all of the species’ responses to increased temperature, which limits our ability to make predictions on consequences for the strength of interactions. In addition, we found that host plant quality altered the oviposition response of the herbivore to the temperature changes. Previous studies have shown that insect body size can affect measures of metabolic activity, such as egg output (e.g., Honěk 1993; Calvo and Molina 2005). Female beetles were kept and fed under same conditions, which should minimize environmentally driven differences, but we are not able to determine if body size explains any of the variation in egg output. Nonetheless, our study is an important contribution to understanding the direct effects of environmental change on physiology and behavior at different trophic levels, which strongly influences interaction strength and community-level responses (Tylianakis et al. 2008; Gillespie et al. 2012; Aguilar-Fenollosa and Jacas 2014). Acknowledgments We thank Karin Eklund and Hans Johansson for practical help, Mikael Andersson for valuable discussions about statistics, and Richard Hopkins for editing earlier versions of the manuscript. CB and MW acknowledge financial support from the Swedish Energy Agency and the Faculty of Natural Resources and Agricultural Sciences at SLU (SAMBA-project), the MISTRA-funded project ‘‘Future Forests’’ and the Lamm Foundation. 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