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KNR 445 Statistics Hyp-tests Slide 1 Stage 5: The test statistic! 1 So, we insert that threshold value, and now we are asked for some more values… The sample mean The sample size The population SD 2 3 KNR 445 Statistics Hyp-tests Slide 2 Stage 5: The test statistic! Why do we need these three? Because now we have to convert our difference score to a score on the distribution of sample means Remember this? 1 XX Ζ SD The purpose of this statistic was to convert a raw score difference (from the mean) by scaling it according to the spread of raw scores in the distribution of raw scores KNR 445 Statistics Hyp-tests Slide 3 Stage 5: The test statistic! The purpose of this statistic is the same, but it converts a sample mean difference (from µ) by scaling it according to the spread of all sample means in the distribution of sample means Sample mean 1 X Z SE X Population mean 2 3 Variability of sample means KNR 445 Statistics Hyp-tests Slide 4 Stage 5: The test statistic! Understanding influences on the distribution of sample means…we’ll use the applet again 1 Note sample size… & note spread of sample means KNR 445 Statistics Hyp-tests Slide 5 Stage 5: The test statistic! Understanding influences on the distribution of sample means…we’ll use the applet again 1 As sample size goes up… Spread of sample means goes down KNR 445 Statistics Hyp-tests Slide 6 Stage 5: The test statistic! Understanding influences on the distribution of sample means… That means that the test statistic has to take sample 1 2 3 size into account Other influences are mean difference (sample – population) and variability in the population How do you think each of these things influence the test statistic? This will help you understand why the test statistic looks like it does 4 KNR 445 Statistics Hyp-tests Slide 7 Stage 5: The test statistic! A closer look: to understand how the mean difference, population variance, and sample size affect the test statistic, we need to look at the SEM in more detail 1 Sample mean X Z SE X Population mean Variability of sample means KNR 445 Statistics Hyp-tests Slide 8 Stage 5: The test statistic! 1 Population standard deviation SE X So…can you see the influences? 4 Sample size n 2 3 X Z SE X KNR 445 Statistics Hyp-tests Slide 9 Stage 5: The test statistic! To calculate, then… First the standard error of the mean: 1 13.62 13.62 SE X 1.8534 n 54 7.3484 Now the test statistic itself: X 51.88 49.52 Z 1.273 SE X 1.8534 KNR 445 Statistics Hyp-tests Slide 10 Stage 5: The test statistic! For you to practice, I’ve provided a simple excel file that does the calculation bit for you… 1 KNR 445 Statistics Hyp-tests Slide 11 Stage 6: The comparison & decision Do we fail to reject the null? Or reject the null? 1 KNR 445 Statistics Hyp-tests Slide 12 3 ways of phrasing the decision… What is the probability of obtaining a Zobs = 1.273 if the difference is attributable only to random sampling error? Is the observed probability (p) less than or equal to the -level set? Is p ? 1 KNR 445 Statistics Hyp-tests Slide 13 Reporting the Results The observed mean of our treatment group was 51.88 ( 13.62) pages per employee per week. The z-test for one sample indicates that the difference between the observed mean of 51.88 and the population average of 49.52 was not statistically significant (Zobs = 1.27, p > 0.1). Our sample of employees did not use significantly more paper than the norm. 1 KNR 445 Statistics Hyp-tests Slide 14 Do not reject H0 vs. Accept H0 Accept infers that we are sure Ho is valid Do not reject implies that this time we are unable to say with a high enough degree of confidence that the difference observed is attributable to anything other than sampling error. 1 2