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Download All Forested Wetlands Continental Plan Estimate
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Biological Planning Process for Partners in Flight How to Translate Population Targets into Habitat Objectives at Eco-Regional Scales West Gulf Coastal Plain Bird Conservation Region How Do We Utilize the Population Estimates and Objectives Listed in the Continental Plan? What does this mean to my BCR? How do I derive habitat objectives? Example: Forest Breeding Birds Associated with Forested Wetlands in the West Gulf Coastal Plain Proposed PIF Biological Planning Process Biological Foundation Identify Species of Concern Establish Population Targets Discern Limiting Factors Refinement Develop Biological Models Measure Existing Conditions Conservation Strategies Establish Objectives to Counter Limiting Factors Apportion Habitat Objectives Establish Programmatic Objectives Implement Conservation Programs Monitor Habitat Change Monitoring Programs Monitor Population Response Evaluate Biological Assumptions Species of Concern High Density Species • Density ~ 1 pair / 3 ha (7.5 ac) • Species ACFL REVI PROW YBCU SUTA BGGN Low Density Species • Density ~ 1 pair / 8 ha (20 ac) • Species HOWA GCFL YTVI NOPA CERW EAWP KEWA AMRE YTWA WOTH SCTA SWWA Limiting Factors Fragmentation Nest Parasitism Nest Parasitism Land Conversion Nest Predation Biological Model Relating Birds to their Habitat Assumptions Parameters Edge effect 300 m 300 m buffer from hostile habitats All forest types, water, wetlands, shrublands are non-hostile Incorporate all non-hostile when identifying “forest core” Minimum viable population (MVP) of 50 pairs Minimum suitable forested wetland core supports 50 pairs MVP in contiguous or aggregated patches Contiguous or aggregated patches w/in 500 or 1,000 ha landscapes Minimum patch size equals area required to support 1 pair Minimum patch size = 3 ha for high density birds and 8 ha for low density birds Habitat Requirements Core Habitat • Core needed to support 50 breeding pairs – 150 ha (species w/ 3 ha territories) – 400 ha (species w/ 8 ha territories) Contiguous Habitat: • Total forest patch size (core & buffer) – ~ 500 ha – ~1,000 ha (assumes ~10% addition for shape) Habitat Requirements • Contiguous • Non-contiguous – Acceptable aggregations • 150 ha of core within 500 ha landscape with a minimum core patch size of 3 ha • 400 ha of core within 1,000 ha landscape with a minimum core patch size of 8 ha Habitat Requirements Example: >400 ha within 1,000 ha landscape Contiguous Core Habitat Non-Contiguous Core Habitat Non-Forest 1,000 ha landscape Bottom Land Hardwood Forest Core 1,000 ha landscape Non-hostile Hostile Proposed PIF Biological Planning Process Biological Foundation Identify Species of Concern Establish Population Targets Discern Limiting Factors Refinement Develop Biological Models Measure Existing Conditions Conservation Strategies Establish Objectives to Counter Limiting Factors Apportion Habitat Objectives Establish Programmatic Objectives Implement Conservation Programs Monitor Habitat Change Monitoring Programs Monitor Population Response Evaluate Biological Assumptions West Gulf Coastal Plain Bird Conservation Region Forested Wetland Habitat Characterization Example Area GIS Process: Extract “non-hostile” Habitats Using National Land Cover Data (NLCD) Land Cover – – – – – – NLCD Non-hostile in White 11 water 33 transitional 41, 42, 43 forest 51 shrubland 61 orchards 91, 92 wetlands NLCD Non-hostile Cover Classes GIS Process: Filter to Remove “Speckles” • “Non-hostile” habitat • Change habitat of 0.09 ha pixel if >75% of a 2.25 ha area not the same. • Two filter passes. GIS Process: Calculate Distance from “Hostile Edges” • Meters from edge to interior • Warmer colors are farther from hostile edges. GIS Process: Extract Core Area (non-hostile) • >300 m from edge • Remove water • All “core” forest remains core GIS Process: Extract Bottomland Hardwood Core Area • Identify forested wetlands within Core area (NLCD Classes 91,92) • Filter to remove “speckles” in BLH core core GIS Process: Characterize BLH Core Suitability • Forested wetland core habitat for bird conservation – 150 ha / 500 ha – 400 ha / 1000 ha • All BLH forest habitat in WGCP 3,424,664 acres 1,386,504 hectares ACFL (1 pair / 0.85 ha) 3,262,362 individuals PROW (1 pair / 2.7 ha) 1,027,040 individuals SWWA (1 pair / 25 ha) 110,920 individuals • Suitable BLH forested core habitat for bird conservation – 150 ha / 500 ha 1,690,056 acres 684,233 hectares ACFL (1 pair / 0.85 ha) 1,609,960 individuals PROW (1 pair / 2.7 ha) 506,839 individuals • Suitable BLH forested core habitat for bird conservation – 400 ha / 1000 ha 1,117,586 acres 452,464 hectares SWWA (1 pair / 25 ha) 36,197 individuals KEWA (1 pair / 9 ha) 100,548 individuals West Gulf Coastal Plain Forested Wetland Bird Assessment Species Continental Plan Estimate All Forested Wetlands ACFL 464,102 3,262,362 +2,798,260 PROW 129,689 1,027,040 +897,351 SWWA 37,962 110,920 +72,958 KEWA 240,489 308,112 +67,623 HOWA 1,173,443 308,112 -865,331 YBCU 1,090,128 749,462 -340,666 Units of measure = individuals “Balance” West Gulf Coastal Plain Forested Wetland Bird Assessment Species Continental Plan Estimate All Forested Wetlands ACFL 464,102 3,262,362 +2,798,260 PROW 129,689 1,027,040 +897,351 506,839 +377,150 SWWA 37,962 110,920 +72,958 36,197 -1,765 KEWA 240,489 308,112 +67,623 100,548 -139,941 HOWA 1,173,443 308,112 -865,331 100,548 -1,072,895 YBCU 1,090,128 749,462 -340,666 369,856 -720,272 Units of measure = individuals “Balance” “Suitable Habitat” “Balance” 1,609,960 +1,145,858 West Gulf Coastal Plain Forested Wetland Bird Assessment Questions and Challenges Step-down - Are the BBS derived population estimates accurate? - Are the percentage of populations within a BCR correct? - How do I incorporate the C-Plan objectives (increase by 10%, increase by 50%, or double population estimate)? Step-up - Are the population estimates derived from “suitability” models accurate? - Are the (local) density estimates valid? - How do I distribute a species population among habitats (upland vs. bottomlands)? - Should I use a population estimate derived from the 1990s as the basis of my habitat objectives? Next Steps….. 1. Resolve the outstanding questions and challenges. 2. Pursue the development of spatially-explicit habitat objectives and a decision support model to guide restoration and management. 3. Incorporate Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) data into the biological models, such that models speak to both, quantitative and qualitative aspects of bird biology. Next Steps….. 1. Resolve the outstanding questions and challenges. Examples: -How do I incorporate the C-Plan objectives (increase by 10%, increase by 50%, or double population estimate)? -How do I distribute a species population among habitats (upland vs. bottomlands)? - Should I use a population estimate derived from the 1990s as the basis of my habitat objectives? Next Steps….. 1. Resolve the outstanding questions and challenges. 2. Pursue the development of spatially-explicit habitat objectives and a decision support model to guide restoration and management. Reforestation Decision Support Model Example: Mean [(forest)+(2patch)+(3core)+(2percent)+(area)] Forest West Gulf Coastal Plain Patch Core Red River Valley Percent Area Reforestation Priority Next Steps….. 1. Resolve the outstanding questions and challenges. 2. Pursue the development of spatially-explicit habitat objectives and a decision support model to guide restoration and management. 3. Incorporate Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) data into the biological models, such that models speak to both, quantitative and qualitative aspects of bird biology. Current Models are Based on Quantitative Aspects of Bird Biology (i.e., Patch Size Requirements to Support Source Populations). Future Models Need to Address Qualitative Aspects of Bird Biology (i.e., Structural Complexity, Stem Density, Basal Area, Canopy Cover, etc…) Forest Inventory and Analysis -- Data Collected at each Plot •Tree species, diameter, height, damage, etc… •Tree regeneration •Site quality information •General land use •Stand characteristics – forest type, stand age, etc… •Estimates of growth, mortality, and removal -- Data Collected on a Subset of Plots •Crown conditions •Soil conditions •Lichen communities •Vegetation diversity •Down woody debris •Ozone bioindicator data Phase 2/Phase 3 Plot Design Subplot 24.0 ft (7.32 m) radius Microplot 6.8 ft (2.07 m) radius Annular plot 58.9 ft (17.95 m) radius Lichens plot 120.0 ft (36.60 m) radius Vegetation plot 1.0 m2 area Soil Sampling (point sample) Down Woody Debris 24 ft (7.32 m) transects Products: Stand Level Information: (Examples) • • • • Stand BA (ft2/acre) - 161.846 Gross Stand Volume (ft3/acre) - 6065.49 Net Stand Volume (ft3/acre) - 5570.11 Number of Trees, 1.0 in diameter and greater (number/acre) - 120 Historic and Future Projections by State, Forest Type, Forest Growth, etc…. Questions / Comments Winter 2003-04 Winter 2002-03