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Characteristics of Japanese drug market and recommended strategy for Korean mfrs. Only 2% growth of Japanese drug market is expected towards 2010. a) Japanese government’s budget deficit amounts to $8trillion in return for bolstering long economic slump. b) Accumulated government debt requires Japanese Health Care Scheme save $10billion until 2011. c) Japanese drug prices are under strict government control. d) Japanese government resorted to sharp reduction of drug prices, such as 8% price reduction once every two years, low price of new drugs, additional price reduction of patent-expired drugs, additional price reduction of drugs which surpassed expected sales. Pre-requisite for the entry to Japanese market 1) Preparing at least 2 new products which have unique medical advantages. 2) Showing lessons of how Japanese drug makers succeeded in US entry. a) Takeda: b) Eizai Anti-hypertensive ‘Olmetek’ Anti-clotting ‘prasugrel’ d) Astellas Pharmaceuticals Alzheimer drug ‘Aricept’ Anti-ulcer ‘Pariet’ c) Daiichi-Sankyo Prostate cancer drug ‘Luprondepo’ Anti-ulcer ‘Prevacid’ Immune suppression drug ‘Prograf’ Over active bladder drug ‘Vesicare’ 3) Korean drug makers have to strengthen in-house drug research to produce two products. Critical mass for annual R&D budget: $100mil Advised critical mass for the initial product marketing in Japan 1) Lessons of Santen Pharmaceutical’s retreat from US market in 2004. Annual Sales: $50mil Annual financial loss: $20mil Numbers of MRs:150 persons 2) Korean drug makers have to attain sales of $100mil to maintain 150 MRs in Japan in the same token. Procedures for the entry to Japanese market 1) First: Starting from simple-licensing 2) Second: Joint sales & promotion a) Product for niche market requires 150 MRs b) Product for mass market requires 1000 MRs Korean maker’s MRs: 150 persons Japanese maker’s MRs: 850 persons(Co-promotion) e.g.: Eizai’s Aricept promotion in US Eizai:500 MRs Pfyzer: 3000 MRs Step-by-step entry Example of Eizai’s US entry 1) First step: ‘Aricept’ 2) Second step: ‘Pariet’ Small promotion by Eisai itself assisted by Pfyzer’s strong co-promotion Expanded full promotion by Eizai in collaboration with Janssen’s co-promotion 3) Third step: ‘E-7389’ Eizai intends independent promotion & sales by itself Partnering with Japanese drug makers Korean makers need Japanese partners for both development and marketing. Keys for deciding good partner 1) Franchise of Japanese makers 2) Synergies in products between Korean and Japanese 3) Take friendship approaches instead of confrontation style 4) Cross-licensing 5) Cooperation in international clinical trials 6) Success of Joint Venture depends on case-bycase Entry to Japanese generic market Japanese generic market is starting to expand, but its market share is still very small. The share of generic in Japan is only 16% compared with that of 50% in US. Japanese consumer still put priority on quality and show strong brand royalty. Big market share of Japanese generic products would take years probably until 2010~2015. Recommendation for Korean generic maker’s entry to Japanese market 1) Critical mass for a generic maker in Japan will become annual sales of $1billion in the medium term future. Heated price competition will inevitably lead to heavy M&As. 2) Advice to Korean generic makers a) Try to achieve critical mass of $1bil by making M&As. b) Collaborate with Sandoz or Indian drug makers as well as with major Japanese generic mfrs. Recommendation for the entry to Japanese market 1) Establish good relations with doctors by furnishing useful information on drugs. 2) Specialized MR system is being in fashion in Japan. 3) Establish good relations with one of the 3 biggest wholesalers(Suzuken, Alfressa, Kuraya-Sanseido) 4) Keep in mind that drug prices decrease by 8% once every two years. 5) Sales decrease less sharper than in the US after patent expiration. 6)Orphan drugs make big fortunes in US, but not in Japan.