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The Impact of Patient Adherence on Physician Performance Measurement Michael B. Nichol, Ph.D. Pharmaceutical Economics and Policy University of Southern California 1 Presentation Objectives The nature of the problem: Why do adherence and persistence impact P4P? The problem metric: How do we measure adherence and persistence? The population: Who adheres or persists? Solving the problem: What can we do to improve our performance, especially for P4P? 2 Definitions Why are we going to use compliance and adherence interchangeably? Compliance = whether patients follow the instructions of their doctor Dichotomous measure Adherence = whether patients endorse the instructions of their doctor Dichotomous measure Persistence = how long they follow the advice (whether they modify it over time) dichotomous or continuous 3 Motivation for Compliance Studies General recognition that non-compliance is a problem Ultimate goal is to improve health outcome by targeting some patients on modifiable factors to improve compliance Different parties in health care have different perspectives and interest (e.g., clinicians, patients, and payers) 4 Evidence that Non-Compliance is a Problem: Medication Event Monitoring System (MEMS) 5 Administrative Data on Drug Reimbursement Information about patient’s medication acquisition and procurement behavior using pharmaceutical benefit manager (PBM) reimbursement data Features Good snapshot of acquisition in relationship to other mediations Affordable Reliability can be ascertained Insight into dosing intervals Limitations Many confounders Selection bias Dependent on provider of data Retrospective 6 Advantages of Administrative Claims-based Analyses Objective (no recall bias) Real-world (not controlled) Relatively cheap to obtain Large sample Multiple outcomes Cost analysis Pattern recognition 7 Measuring the Complexity of Non-Compliance Drug A Drug B 8 An Example of Non-Compliance: Statins Benner et al. JAMA 2002;288:455-461. 9 Days Covered for Statins and CCBs 100 Proportion of patient in cohort (%) 90 80 70 Statin only Statin+CCB* CCB only CCB+Statin* Statin&CCB 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1 31 61 91 121 151 181 211 241 271 301 331 361 Day Source: Unpublished data 10 Medication Possession Ratio for Statins/CCBs Figure 1. Average 180-Day MPR by Index Year Average 180-Day MPR (%) 80 CCB only Statin only Statin+CCB Statin*+CCB CCB+Statin CCB*+Statin 70 60 * MPR is for the newly initiated (not current) medication in the combination therapy. 50 40 30 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Index Year Source: Unpublished data 11 Patterns of Non-Compliance 15-20% of first scripts never filled Of those filled, 20-35% never fill a second Persistence declines slowly after 6 months Patients who discontinue rarely restart, at least within a two year window for many chronic problems 12 Why Do We Care? Lack of efficacy from recommended treatment Increased mortality and morbidity Increased costs Inability to meet P4P goals 13 Health Care Costs Associated with Discontinuation: Hypertension $600 $281 $400 $200 $0 ($200) ($400) ($600) ($800) ($174) ($591) ($637) Type of Service Ambulatory Hospital Drugs Total Costs N=6,430 Source: McCombs JS, Nichol MB, Newman C and Sclar DA: The costs of interrupting antihypertensive drug therapy in a Medicaid population. Medical Care, 32(3): 214-226, 1994. 14 Health Care Costs Associated with Discontinuation: Major Depressive Disorder $600 $515 $100 ($157) ($400) ($900) ($753) ($922) ($1,400) Type of Service Ambulatory Hospital Drugs Total Costs N=1,240 Source: McCombs JS, Nichol MB, Stimmel GL. The role of SSRI antidepressants for treating depressed 15 patients in the California Medicaid (Medi-Cal) program. Value in Health, 2(4): 269-280, 1999. Goal Attainment Efficacy/Goal Relationship 100% 100% Efficacy 16 Goal Attainment Efficacy/Goal/Adherence Relationship 100% 10% Efficacy reduction Plus 30% Adherence reduction 100% Efficacy 17 Impact on P4P Goals: LDL <= 130 Simulation of impact on P4P LDL goal Data source is the IHA 2007 P4P reporting for LDL <= 130 84.3% of the cardiovascular population were screened Assumes that all patients screened are treated Assumes that treatment is 100% efficacious 18 Impact on P4P Goals: LDL <= 130 Proportion adherent to Rx baseline All screened 90% screened treated, Proportion treated, Proportion meeting goal meeting goal 59.6% 59.6% (70% “adherent”) (78% “adherent”) 80% Rx adherent 67.4% 60.7% 90% Rx adherent 75.9% 68.3% Source: Table computed from 2007 P4P results provided at iha.org 19 Theory of Compliance Behavior 20 Multiple Causes (current or recent) Factor level Ease of tak i n g, dosi n g fre qu e n cy, taste , Bran d l oyal ty, S i de e ffe cts Latent Construct Medication (treatment) Level Di se ase S tatu s S ati sfacti on Generalized Concept of Compliance Be l i e fs S e l f-e ffi cacy Individual Level Compliance Pe rson al i ty (forge tfu l n e ss, re spon si ve n e ss) Locu s of con trol Un i de n ti fi e d Patient-Physician Relations (ex pert power) Interpersonal Level Fami l y an d S oci al S u pport (re fe re n t powe r) In su ran ce (copay) Pol i cy (re sou rce , care acce ss) C u l tu ral n orm S oci al S tan dard Community Level 21 Target of compliancepromoting intervention Causes of Non-Compliance Multiple causes with multiple levels Many factors may not be observable to researchers (many latent variables) Each causal level can be targeted to improve compliance 22 What Can We Do About Non-Adherence: Targeting for Compliance Who is non-compliant? Why are they non-compliant? How can we change their behavior? When can we change their behavior? 23 Demographic Associations with Adherence Few studies show clear correlations with adherence among characteristics like age, gender, education, and socio-economic status Correlation between patient education level and adherence is positive, but only for medications to treat chronic disease DiMatteo MR. Variations in patients’ adherence to medical recommendations, Medical Care: 42:200-209, 2004 24 Selected Disease Condition Adherence Rates Mean Rate 100 90 80 Mean Rate 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 HIV (N=8) Cancer (N=65) CVD (N=129) Infectious disease (N=34) Diabetes (N=23) DiMatteo MR. Variations in patients’ adherence to medical recommendations, Medical Care: 42:200-209, 2004 25 Reasons for Non-Compliance Don’t like being told what to do (0.6%) Too expensive (1.8%) Don’t like being dependent on drugs (7.3%) Other (3.6%) I just forget (54.9%) If I don’t take them, supply will last longer (1.3%) Side effects (6.4%) Don’t think drugs are working (3.4%) Hate taking drugs (7.1%) Don’t think its always necessary (13.7%) Cheng JW, et al. Pharmacotherapy. 2001;21:828-841. 26 What Works? A Review of Reviews Review of 38 meta-analytic reviews of adherence interventions Technical Interventions (simplifying medication regimen; electronic monitoring) Less frequent dosing = improved adherence Single dose/day better than multiple doses/day Electronic device improvements attributed to reduction in doses Van Dulmen S, et al. Patient adherence to medical treatment: A review of reviews, BMC Health Services Research, 7:55, 2007 27 What Works? A Review of Reviews Behavioral Interventions (memory aids, monitoring by calendars, support or rewards) Financial rewards improved adherence in 10/11 studies Mail and telephone reminders can improve adherence Van Dulmen S, et al. Patient adherence to medical treatment: A review of reviews, BMC Health Services Research, 7:55, 2007 28 What Works? A Review of Reviews Educational Interventions (teaching/providing knowledge, including personal, group, audio-visual, home visits) Effects can be important in the short term, but decay over time (> 4 weeks) When tested against dosing simplification, educational interventions less robust Collaborative care (systematic inclusion of multiple providers) superior to education alone intervention Van Dulmen S, et al. Patient adherence to medical treatment: A review of reviews, BMC Health Services Research, 7:55, 2007 29 What Works? A Review of Reviews Social Support Interventions (practical, emotional, undifferentiated) Large effect sizes seen with social support in welldesigned studies Van Dulmen S, et al. Patient adherence to medical treatment: A review of reviews, BMC Health Services Research, 7:55, 2007 30 What Works? A Review of Reviews Complex or Multi-faceted Interventions (combine multiple approaches) Less than half resulted in improved adherence, and only a third better treatment outcomes Successful interventions very resource intensive Even the most effective did not yield large effect sizes Variability in intervention and study design compromises assessment Van Dulmen S, et al. Patient adherence to medical treatment: A review of reviews, BMC Health Services Research, 7:55, 2007 31 Intervention Effects: Largest to Smallest Reduced drug dose frequency Financial rewards Prompting devices Adherence-enhancing packaging Telephone calls Personal counseling Home visits Reminder letters Written education material 32 Pitfalls to Avoid Starting with the intervention “concept” Doing too little Intervening too late Preaching to the choir Not from a trusted source Measurement via self-report Broad intervention population 33 Recommendations for Improving Adherence to Chronic Medications Low hanging fruit Quick follow-up by medical staff after initial prescription (not automated calls) Only apply sampling for cost reasons Get the discontinuers back! 34 Recommendations for Improving Adherence to Chronic Medications Medium term Screen for depression Build IT capacity to support clinical staff Long term Targeted populations Medical Home Social support 35 Conclusions Non-compliance remains an on-going and significant problem in health care The factors associated with non-compliance are now being investigated Literature reviews indicate that largest effect sizes will be produced by complex or multi-faceted interventions Multiple longitudinal interventions may be required to obtain positive results Non-compliance can significantly affect attainment of P4P goals 36