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Superintelligence
Intelligent systems, 7.10.2015
Matjaž Gams
Institut “Jožef Stefan”
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AI ENDANGERS HUMAN EXISTENCE
• Elon Musk, the billionaire
chief executive of SpaceX
and Tesla Motors and a
techno-optimist
• Bill Gates
• Stephen Hawking
• ….
„The development of full
artificial intelligence could
spell the end of the human
race“
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SUPERINTELLIGENCE
• Bostrom, N. 2014. Superintelligence – Paths, Dangers,
Strategies. Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK.
(100 Global Thinkers)
• Future of Life Institute:
„Because of the great potential of AI, it is
important to research how to reap its benefits
while avoiding potential pitfalls“
• Relations when computers surpass humans
3 forms of superintelligence: speed, collective, quality
Intelligence can not be controlled
Depending on the form, AI will be more or less dangerous
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AI PROGRESS
Examples of AI progress
• Self-driving cars: Google car: over 1 million miles
without accident fault,
several cars with lane assist
• Computers surpass humans in
symbolic tasks like chess,
Jeopardy, IQ tests, verbal IQ tests (Microsoft Beijing,
2015; an average person)
• Autonomous robots
(walking, flying)
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EXAMPLES OF AI PROGRESS
IJCAI 2015
Gerhard Widmer
MusicCompanion
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IJCAI 2015
• World-best AI conference, 30% increase of paper numbers
• Computer and Thought Award recipient Ariel Procaccia AI:
Kidney exchange, security (Nash agents), fair division
• Christof Koch presented Consciousness in Biological and
Artificial Brains: necessary conditions for consciousness
(feelings, self-consciousness), axioms and postulates,
numeric function to compute consciousness, computers
probably not (no simulation, HW insufficient)
• Chinese advances: Alibaba, Baidu, Taoobao, Vivian …top
no. of users
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AI DANGERS - SUMMARY
• BAN all activities potentially dangerous to humans such
as autonomous weapons (Slovenian AI society voted)
• Prevention: Programs and robots should not ever be
given rights of animals, far less humans
• So far, the negative effects of AI have been
negligible and so far all the doomsday
predictions turned false
(every 13 minutes a person dies in car crash in USA)
• Most likely, warning (Hawking, Musk, Gates …) is
inside the doomsday category cooperation is more beneficial
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Computer/Human
memory
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INFORMATION HUMAN SOCIETY
Humans versus computers
Kurtzweil
processing
power
humans
+
computers
Fermi
paradox
computers
humans
Moore’s
law
time
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SUMMARY
• Of all dangers to the EU/Slovenian population, the
technological ones, climate changes, business, … only one
stands out: demographic
• Civilization dangers - Fermi paradox?
• The sooner superintelligence (safe) the better for humans
• Fantastic human progress
• Science progressing fast, colliding with ideology and myths
• It is up to the AI society to fulfil its own prophecy and not
the mass media’s fears
• The human civilization is to step into a new civilization area
of unimaginable power and success
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Thank you
Contact: [email protected]
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