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SMC ANNUAL REPORT FOR 2007 FOCUS STUDY ON BREAST CANCER 2000-2005 This year, 2007, the NCI estimates there will be over 180,000 new cases of Breast Cancer in the United States. Approximately 41,000 deaths will occur for an adjusted mortality of 22.7%. This continues the favorable overall national trend with a 1.1% decline in incidence and a 2.4% decline in mortality as well as a proportional decline in Colorado. TOP TEN PRIMARY SITES AT SMC IN 2006 NUMBER 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 BREAST 141 PROSTATE 134 PIRMARY SITE LUNG 91 COLORECTAL 50 LYMPH NODES 27 KIDNEY 25 BLADDER 23 ESOPHAGUS UNKNOWN BONE MARROW 19 17 16 160 For the Registry year of 2006, Breast Cancer was our number one site, accessioning a total of 141 cases. The age of presentation for Breast Cancer at SMC (St. Mary-Corwin Regional Medical Center) peaked in the sixth decade with just under 40% diagnosed in Stage I. 95% of patients underwent surgical treatment with up to 75% completing some form of adjuvant treatment. AGE OF BREAST CANCER PATIENTS DIAGNOSED 2000-2005 NCDB, SMC AND COLORADO 30 PERCENTAGE 25 20 NCDB DATA SMC 15 COLORADO 10 5 0 16-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 AGE 60-69 70-79 80+ Adjuvant treatments, directed by our Board Certified Radiation and Medical Oncologists, include radiation, chemotherapy, hormone therapy and targeted therapies based on the specific prognostic profile of each individual patient. TREATMENT OF BREAST CANCER DIAGNOSED 2000-2005 NCDB, SMC AND COLORADO 40 35 PERCENTAGE 30 25 NCDB SMC COLORADO 20 15 10 5 0 Surg Surg & Surg & Rad Chemo Surg, Rad & Chemo Surg, Rad & Horm. Surg & Horm TREATMENT Surg, Surg, Rad, Chemo Chemo, & Horm Horm Other No 1st course tx The patterns of age and treatment did differ slightly at SMC when compared to state and national statistics. Local incidence showed a 5% shift into the older 7th and 8th decades which dictated a slight shift away from adjuvant chemotherapy and towards more hormonal therapy. There was no significant shift in stage however when the data is compared with the NCDB (National Cancer Data Base). Comparison with Colorado State data for stage is more difficult as there is an 8% cohort of unstaged Breast cancers in the Colorado State Registry. STAGE OF BREAST CANCER DIAGNOSED 2000-2005 NCDB, SMC AND COLORADO 45 40 35 PERCENTAGE 30 NCDB DATA SMC 25 20 COLORADO 15 10 5 0 0 I II III STAGE IV UNKNOWN Observed Survival by Year for Stage I Breast Cancer 100.0% 95.0% Percentage 90.0% SMC COLORADO NCDB 85.0% 80.0% 75.0% 1 2 3 Year(s) after diagnosis 4 5 Observed Survival by Year for Stage II Breast Cancer 120.0% 100.0% Percentage 80.0% SMC 60.0% COLORADO NCDB 40.0% 20.0% 0.0% 1 2 3 Year(s) after diagnosis 4 5 Observed Survival by Year for Stage III Breast Cancer 120.0% 100.0% Percentage 80.0% SMC 60.0% COLORADO NCDB 40.0% 20.0% 0.0% 1 2 3 Year(s) after diagnosis 4 5 When compared to NCDB, both State and local data however show gross differences in survival for all stages as shown: Stage I 5% LESS Stage II 7% Stage III EVEN Stage IV INADEQUATE SAMPLING # Explanation of these survival differences are difficult but probably lie in several areas: 1.Older population 2.Higher comorbid disease 3.Lower access to care in rural areas. Further analysis of survival is not currently possible but could be the focus of future studies. Vaughan Cipperly, MD Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 10/31/2007 8:58 am. Death Rate/Trend Comparison by Cancer, death years through 2004 Colorado Counties versus United States Breast All Races, Female Above US Rate Priority 1: rising Rising Trend [none] Priority 4: stable Stable Trend Trend [none] Priority 2: rising and similar [none] and above and above Priority 6: stable Priority 8: falling Below US Rate Priority 3: rising and below [none] and similar Fremont County La Plata County Mesa County Montrose County Morgan County Weld County5 [none] Priority 5: falling Falling and above Similar to US Rate Priority 7: stable and below Douglas County and similar Colorado Adams County5 Arapahoe County Boulder County5 Denver County El Paso County Jefferson County5 Larimer County Priority 9: falling Pueblo County and below Trend2 Rising when 95% confidence interval of annual percent change is above 0. Stable when 95% confidence interval of annual percent change includes 0. Falling when 95% confidence interval of annual percent change is below 0. Rate Comparison Above when 95% confident the rate is above and Rate Ratio 3 > 1.10 Similar when unable to conclude above or below with confidence. Below when 95% confident the rate is below and Rate Ratio 3 < 0.90 1 Priority indices were created by ordering from rates that are rising and above the comparison rate to rates that are falling and below the comparison rate. Recent trend in death rates were calculated using the Joinpoint Regression Program and are expressed as the annual percent change over the recent trend period. Recent trend period is the period since last change in trend as determined by Joinpoint. 3 Rate ratio is the county rate divided by the US rate. 4 Due to data availability issues, the time period used in the calculation of the joinpoint regression model may differ for selected racial groups or counties. 5 The county boundaries for Adams, Boulder, Jefferson and Weld changed in 2002 when Broomfield was incorporated into a county (officially November 15, 2001) from portions of Adams, Boulder, Jefferson and Weld. Data prior to 2002 is used in the calculation of statistics for these counties using the old county boundaries. Additionally, data for Broomfield County has been suppressed since five years of data is not available. 2 Source: Death data provided by the National Vital Statistics System public use data file. Death rates calculated by the National Cancer Institute using SEER*Stat. Death rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 US standard population (19 age groups: <1, 1–4, 5–9, … , 80–84, 85+). Population counts for denominators are based on Census populations as modified by NCI. Note: When the population size for a denominator is small, the rates may be unstable. A rate is unstable when a small change in the numerator (e.g., only one or two additional cases) has a dramatic effect on the calculated rate. Suppression is used to avoid misinterpretation when rates are unstable. State Cancer Registries may provide more current or more local data. Data presented on the State Cancer Profiles Web Site may differ from statistics reported by the State Cancer Registries (for more information). Data for the following has been suppressed to ensure confidentiality and stability of rate and trend estimates: Alamosa County, Archuleta County, Baca County, Bent County, Broomfield County 45, Chaffee County, Cheyenne County, Clear Creek County, Conejos County, Costilla County, Crowley County, Custer County, Dolores County, Eagle County, Elbert County, Gilpin County, Grand County, Gunnison County, Hinsdale County, Huerfano County, Jackson County, Kiowa County, Kit Carson County, Lake County, Las Animas County, Lincoln County, Logan County, Mineral County, Moffat County, Ouray County, Park County, Phillips County, Pitkin County, Prowers County, Rio Blanco County, Rio Grande County, Routt County, Saguache County, San Juan County, San Miguel County, Sedgwick County, Summit County, Washington County, Yuma County Trend for the following could not be reliably determined due to small number of deaths per year: Delta County, Garfield County, Montezuma County, Otero County, Teller County Found at: http://statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov/