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Transcript
The Central Limit for Sums
Suppose X is a random variable with a distribution that may be known
or unknown (it can be any distribution) and suppose:
a. ΞΌX = the mean of X
b. ΟƒX = the standard deviation of X
If you draw random samples of size n, then as n increases, the random
variable Ξ£X which consists of sums tends to be normally distributed and
Σ𝑋~𝑁(𝑛 βˆ™ πœ‡π‘‹ , βˆšπ‘› βˆ™ πœŽπ‘‹ )
The Central Limit Theorem for Sums says that if you keep drawing
larger and larger samples and taking their sums, the sums form their
own normal distribution (the sampling distribution) which approaches a
normal distribution as the sample size increases.
The normal distribution has a mean equal to the original mean
multiplied by the sample size and a standard deviation equal to the
original standard deviation multiplied by the square root of the
sample size.
The random variable Ξ£X has the following z-score associated with it:
a. Ξ£x is one sum.
b. 𝑧 =
βˆ‘ π‘₯βˆ’π‘›πœ‡π‘‹
βˆšπ‘›πœŽπ‘‹
c. nβ‹…ΞΌX= the mean of Ξ£X
d. βˆšπ‘› βˆ™ πœŽπ‘‹ = standard deviation of Ξ£X
EXAMPLE 1
An unknown distribution has a mean of 90 and a standard deviation of
15. A sample of size 80 is drawn randomly from the population.
PROBLEM 1
a. Find the probability that the sum of the 80 values (or the total of the
80 values) is more than 7500.
b. Find the sum that is 1.5 standard deviations above the mean of the
sums.
SOLUTION
Let X = one value from the original unknown population. The probability
question asks you to find a probability for the sum (or total of) 80 values.
Ξ£X = the sum or total of 80 values. Since ΞΌX = 90, ΟƒX =15, and n = 80, then
ο‚· Σ𝑋~𝑁(80 βˆ™ 90, √80 βˆ™ 15)
ο‚· mean of the sums = nβ‹…ΞΌX = (80)(90)=7200
ο‚· standard deviation of the sums = βˆšπ‘› βˆ™ πœŽπ‘‹ = √80 βˆ™ 15
ο‚·
sum of 80 values = Ξ£x=7500
a: Find P(Ξ£x > 7500)
P(Ξ£x > 7500) = 0.0127
TI83/84:
normalcdf(lower value, upper value, mean of sums, stdev of sums)
The parameter list is abbreviated (lower, upper, nβ‹…ΞΌX, βˆšπ‘› βˆ™ πœŽπ‘‹ )
normalcdf(7500,1E99, 80β‹…90, √80 βˆ™ 15) = 0.0127
Reminder: 1E99=1099. Press the EE key for E.
b: Find Ξ£x where z = 1.5:
Ξ£x = nβ‹…ΞΌX + zβ‹…βˆšπ‘› βˆ™ πœŽπ‘‹ = (80)(90) + (1.5)(√80 βˆ™ 15) = 7401.2