Download Rating Risk in Pacific Fisheries Workshop March 30

PRESENTATION
Inside the Risk Assessment Tool
Presenter:
Katie Beach, KT Beach & Associates
Rating Risk in Pacific Fisheries Workshop
March 30-31, 2015
RISK ASSESSMENT TOOL
A Look at the Risk Criteria
Rating Risk in Pacific Fisheries Workshop
March 30-31, 2015
RISK ASSESSMENT TOOL
Risk Assessment Tool
PART A
PART B
Fisheries &
Licensing Info
Ecosystem
Risks
Rating Risk in Pacific Fisheries Workshop
March 30-31, 2015
PART C
Resource
Management
Needs
PART D
Final Risk
Scoring
RISK ASSESSMENT TOOL: PART A
PART A: Fishery and Licensing Information
1 DFO Management Area(s)
2 Fishing Group
3 Licence Type
4 Fish Species
5 Size of Fishery
6 Timing of Analysis
7 Gear Type
Rating Risk in Pacific Fisheries Workshop
March 30-31, 2015
RISK ASSESSMENT TOOL: PART B ECOSYSTEM RISKS
PART B: Ecosystem Risks
Rating Risk in Pacific Fisheries Workshop
March 30-31, 2015
1
Impacts on Main
Species/Stocks
2
Impacts on By-Catch
Retained/Released
3
Impacts on Ecological
Community & Habitat
RISK ASSESSMENT TOOL: ECOSYSTEM RISKS
Main Species & Stocks
5
Variables
Rating Risk in Pacific Fisheries Workshop
March 30-31, 2015
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Status of Main Species/ Stock
Potential for Overharvest
Vulnerability
Impact on Incidental Catch
Behavioural Changes
RISK ASSESSMENT MODEL: ECOSYSTEM RISKS
By-Catch Species
(Released / Retained)
2
VARIABLES
Rating Risk in Pacific Fisheries Workshop
March 30-31, 2015
1. Status of By-Catch Species
2. Vulnerability of
Released/Retained Species
RISK ASSESSMENT MODEL: ECOSYSTEM RISKS
Ecological Community & Habitat
3
VARIABLES
Rating Risk in Pacific Fisheries Workshop
March 30-31, 2015
1. Impact on key predators or
prey species
2. Direct Habitat Impacts
3. Indirect Habitat Impacts
RISK ASSESSMENT TOOL: ECOSYSTEM RISKS
Summary of Ecosystem Risks
Impacts on
Main Species and Stocks
5 VARIABLES
Impacts on By-Catch
2 VARIABLES
Impacts on Ecological
Community & Habitat
3 VARIABLES
Rating Risk in Pacific Fisheries Workshop
March 30-31, 2015
RISK ASSESSMENT TOOL WALK-THROUGH
SCORING THE RISK
Rating Risk in Pacific Fisheries Workshop
March 30-31, 2015
RISK ASSESSMENT TOOL: SCORING THE RISK
Approach to Calculating Risk
RISK =
Consequence
X
Likelihood of Negative Event
Rating Risk in Pacific Fisheries Workshop
March 30-31, 2015
RISK ASSESSMENT TOOL: PART A
PART A of Tool:
Fishery Description
& Licensing Info
Fishery Description & Licensing Information
DFO MGMT
AREA
Area 300
NAME of
FISHING
GROUP
Fictitious
Fishery
LICENCE
TYPE
FISH SPECIES
for ANALYSIS
Commercial
Fictitious
Groundfish
Rating Risk in Pacific Fisheries Workshop
March 30-31, 2015
SIZE OF
FISHERY
TIMING of
ANALYSIS
GEAR TYPE
June-July
Net
RISK ASSESSMENT TOOL: ECOSYSTEM RISKS
PART B of Tool:
Steps in Scoring Ecosystem Risks
STEP 1
Assign a CONSEQUENCE RATING (for each ecosystem variable)
STEP 2
Assign a LIKELIHOOD RATING (for each ecosystem category)
STEP 3
Calculate a PRELIMINARY RISK SCORE (for each category)
STEP 4
Consider MANAGEMENT CONSIDERATIONS that may
impact risk scores
STEP 5
Calculate a FINAL RISK SCORE (for all ecosystem categories)
Rating Risk in Pacific Fisheries Workshop
March 30-31, 2015
RISK ASSESSMENT TOOL: ECOSYSTEM RISKS
STEP 1
Ecosystem Consequence Scores
0
1
2
3
NO
CONSEQUENCE
LOW
CONSEQUENCE
MODERATE
CONSEQUENCE
HIGH
CONSEQUENCE
Rating Risk in Pacific Fisheries Workshop
March 30-31, 2015
RISK ASSESSMENT TOOL: ECOSYSTEM RISKS
Scoring Main Species/Stocks
ECOSYSTEM RISKS
Main Species/Stock Impacts
VULNERASPECIES or
MAIN
IMPACT on
POTENTIAL BILITY OF
STOCK
SPECIES or
INLIKEto OVERMAIN
BEHAVSTOCK
CIDENTAL
LIHOOD
HARVEST SPECIES or
IOURAL
STATUS
DISCARDS
STOCK
CHANGES
3
1
Rating Risk in Pacific Fisheries Workshop
March 30-31, 2015
1
1
1
PRELIM
RISK
SCORE
RISK ASSESSMENT TOOL: ECOSYSTEM RISKS
STEP 2
Scoring Likelihood
0
1
2
3
NO
LIKELIHOOD
LOW
LIKELIHOOD
MODERATE
LIKELIHOOD
HIGH
LIKELIHOOD
Rating Risk in Pacific Fisheries Workshop
March 30-31, 2015
RISK ASSESSMENT TOOL: ECOSYSTEM RISKS
Scoring Likelihood (Main Species)
ECOSYSTEM RISKS
Main Species/Stock Impacts
VULNERASPECIES or
MAIN
IMPACT on
STOCK
POTENTIAL BILITY OF
SPECIES or
INLIKEto OVERMAIN
BEHAVSTOCK
CIDENTAL
LIHOOD
HARVEST SPECIES or
IOURAL
STATUS
DISCARDS
STOCK
CHANGES
3
1
Rating Risk in Pacific Fisheries Workshop
March 30-31, 2015
1
1
1
3
PRELIM
RISK
SCORE
RISK ASSESSMENT TOOL: ECOSYSTEM RISKS
STEP 3
Calculate Preliminary Risk
Score for Category
PRELIMINARY RISK SCORE =
Ecosystem Variable of Highest Consequence
X
Likelihood Score
Rating Risk in Pacific Fisheries Workshop
March 30-31, 2015
RISK ASSESSMENT TOOL: ECOSYSTEM RISKS
Preliminary Risk Score Scale
0
1-2
3-5
6-9
NO SCORE
LOW RISK
MODERATE
RISK
HIGH RISK
Rating Risk in Pacific Fisheries Workshop
March 30-31, 2015
RISK ASSESSMENT TOOL: ECOSYSTEM RISKS
Preliminary Risk Score
(Main Species)
ECOSYSTEM RISKS
Main Species/Stock Impacts
VULNERASPECIES OR
MAIN
POTENTIAL
BILITY OF IMPACT ON
STOCK
SPECIES or
to
MAIN
INCIDENTAL BEHAVSTOCK
OVERSPECIES or DISCARDS
IOURAL
STATUS
HARVEST
STOCK
CHANGES
3
1
1
Rating Risk in Pacific Fisheries Workshop
March 30-31, 2015
1
1
X
PRELIM
RISK
SCORE
LIKELIHOOD
3
=
9
RISK ASSESSMENT TOOL: ECOSYSTEM RISKS
Scoring By-Catch Impacts
(Retained/Releases)
ECOSYSTEM RISKS
By-Catch Species Impacts
BY-CATCH SPECIES
STATUS
VULNERABILITY OF
BY-CATCH
3
1
Rating Risk in Pacific Fisheries Workshop
March 30-31, 2015
LIKELIHOOD
X
2
PRELIM RISK
SCORE
=
6
RISK ASSESSMENT TOOL: ECOSYSTEM RISKS
Scoring Ecological Community
& Habitat Impacts
ECOSYSTEM RISKS
Ecological Community & Habitat Impacts
KEY
PREDATOR
OR PREY
DIRECT
HABITAT
IMPACTS
INDIRECT
HABITAT
IMPACTS
1
2
1
Rating Risk in Pacific Fisheries Workshop
March 30-31, 2015
LIKELIHOOD
X
2
PRELIM
RISK SCORE
=
4
ABOUT
Final Score and Monitoring Level
Rating Risk in Pacific Fisheries Workshop
March 30-31, 2015
RISK ASSESSMENT: FINAL SCORING
PART D OF Tool:
Final Risk Scoring & Monitoring Levels
1. Final Score is based on the Preliminary
Risk score which considered the
variable of HIGHEST Consequence x its
likelihood
2. Final Score considers Resource
Management Considerations that may
lead to an override
Rating Risk in Pacific Fisheries Workshop
March 30-31, 2015
RISK ASSESSMENT: RESOURCE MANAGEMENT
Part C of Tool:
Resource Management Impacts
1. Type of Fishery
2. Compliance and Enforcement
History
3. International & Treaty Criteria
4. Info to Manage Other
Fisheries
5. Public Relations
Rating Risk in Pacific Fisheries Workshop
March 30-31, 2015
RISK ASSESSMENT: FINAL SCORING
Part D: Final Risk Scoring
Final Risk Scoring
RISK TO
MAIN
SPECIES
9
RISK TO
BY-CATCH
RISK TO
COMMUNITY
& HABITAT
RISK TO
FISHERY
FM & CR
CATEGORY
6
4
9
ENHANCED
Rating Risk in Pacific Fisheries Workshop
March 30-31, 2015
RISK ASSESSMENT: FINAL SCORING
Final Risk Scores & Monitoring Levels
FINAL SCORE
FOR FISHERY
LEVEL OF
MONITORING & REPORTING
Low Risk
Low
Moderate Risk
Generic (Default Level)
High Risk
Enhanced
1-2
3-5
6-9
Rating Risk in Pacific Fisheries Workshop
March 30-31, 2015
Questions & Comments
THANKS FOR THE MEMORIES!
Photo credits
Gulf of Georgia Cannery Archives
Rating Risk in Pacific Fisheries Workshop
March 30-31, 2015
THANKS FOR THE MEMORIES!
Photo credits
Gulf of Georgia Cannery Archives
Rating Risk in Pacific Fisheries Workshop
March 30-31, 2015
THANKS FOR THE MEMORIES!
Photo credits
Gulf of Georgia Cannery Archives
Rating Risk in Pacific Fisheries Workshop
March 30-31, 2015
THANKS FOR THE MEMORIES!
Photo credits
Gulf of Georgia Cannery Archives
Rating Risk in Pacific Fisheries Workshop
March 30-31, 2015