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Geoneutrino Overview 1.Review of Geoneutrino Physics (with KamLAND) 2.KamLAND Result and Prospects 3.Physics with Proposed Detectors Sanshiro Enomoto KamLAND Collaboration RCNS, Tohoku University Neutrino Science 2007 – Deep Ocean Anti-Neutrino Observatory Workshop, Univ. of Hawaii at Manoa, March 23-25 2007 Geoneutrinos • Geoneutrinos are produced by 238 U 232 Th 40 K 206 40 Pb 8 4 He 6 e - 6 ν e 208 Pb 6 4 He 4 e 4 ν e Ca e ν e – Direct measurement of HPE – U:~8TW, Th: ~8TW, K: ~3TW • Geoneutrinos are detected by e p e n – Two consecutive signals – Threshold 1.8 MeV – Not sensitive to 40K; other targets discussed [M.C.Chen (2005)] Threshold: 1.8 MeV KamLAND: The First Detector Sensitive to Geoneutrinos Detector Center Liquid Scintillator 1000 ton Contained in plastic balloon Surrounded by 17-inch PMT 1325 20-inch 554 (PMT : Photo Multiplier Tube, a photo sensor) Liquid Scintillator CH3 CH3 CH3 HHHHHHHHHHHH HCCCCCCCCCCCCH HHHHHHHHHHHH 80% N O 1.5g/l 20% 20m • Yields light on ionization (8000 photons / MeV) • Mainly consists of only C and H KamLAND Location Geological Setting KamLAND • Boundary of Continent and Ocean • Island Arc (Orogenic) • ‘Hida’ Metamorphic Zone • Zn, Pb, limestone mine (skarn) • Surrounded by Gneiss Rocks You are here Sea of Japan KamLAND Japan Trench KamLAND is surrounded by a number of nuclear reactors First Result from KamLAND • Fiducial Volume: 408 ton • Live-time: 749 days • Efficiency: 68.7% [T. Araki et al. (2005)] Expected Geoneutrinos • U-Series: 14.9 • Th-Series:4.0 Backgrounds • Reactor: 82.3±7.2 • (α,n) : 42.4±11.1 • Accidental:2.38±0.01 BG total: 127.4±13.3 Observed: 152 Number of Geoneutrinos: 25 +19 -18 A Reference Earth Model to Predict Flux • • • • • BSE composition by [McDonough1999] Crustal composition by [Rudnick et al. 1995] Crustal thickness by CRUST 2.0 Uniform Mantle Model No U/Th in the Core Geoneutrino Origination Points Detectable at KamLAND (MC) KamLAND 50% within 500km 25% from Mantle Australia Greenland Antarctic South America Expected Geoneutrino Flux •U-Series 2.3x106 [1/cm2/sec] •Th-Series 2.0x106 [1/cm2/sec] With 1032 target protons, •U-Series 32 events / year •Th-Series 8 events / year Total 19 is predicted for KamLAND 749 days Uncertainties of the Model • Geochemical / Geophysical data rarely come with error estimation • Fiorentini et al. (2005) – Error is given as “spread in published estimates” • Fogli et al. (2006): GeoNeutrino Source Model (GNSM) – Correlations (reservoirs, elements) added • Enomoto et al. (2005) – Inversion framework discussed Local Geological Effects • ~50% of flux comes within ~500km radius • ~25% within ~50km ~500km • Characteristic U/Th depletion in Japan Arc [Togashi et al. (2000)] – U: -17%, Th: 22% ⇒ affects total flux at 6.4% (U) and 8.4% (Th) • Surface heterogeneity [Enomoto et al. (2005)] – 20% flux variation possible ⇒ 3.2% uncertainty in total flux • Vertical heterogeneity ??? Other Source of Uncertainties • Crustal Thickness Map Resolution (2×2 deg) – 3~4% Total Flux Uncertainty • Neutrino Oscillation Parameter (sin22θ=0.82±0.07) – 6% Flux Uncertainty Comparison of CRUST 2.0 and Zhao et al. CRUST2.0 Propagation of crustal thickness error Zhao et al. (1992) Summary of Total Flux Uncertainties • Global Modeling (not uncertainty; our interest) – BSE comopsition: ~20% – Mantle models (uniform / layered): <3% • Local Geological Effects – Island Arc Characteristics: 6-8% – Surface Geology Heterogeneity: 3.2% – Vertical Heterogeneity: ??? • Other Uncertainties – Crustal Thickness Map Resolution: 3~4% – Neutrino Oscillation Parameter: 6% Geoneutrino Flux [1/cm2/sec] Flux Prediction from Earth Models Scale Bulk Composition Fix Crustal Composition, Parameterize Mantle U+Th Mass [kg] KamLAND Result [T. Araki et al. (2005)] • Fiducial Volume: 408 ton • Live-time: 749 days • Efficiency: 68.7% Expected Geoneutrinos • U-Series: 14.9 • Th-Series:4.0 Backgrounds • Reactor: 82.3±7.2 • (α,n) : 42.4±11.1 • Accidental:2.38±0.01 BG total: 127.4±13.3 Observed: 152 Number of Geoneutrinos: 25 +19 -18 KamLAND Spectrum Analysis Parameters NU, NTh: Number of Geoneutrinos sin22θ, Δm2 : Neutrino Oscillation α 1, α 2: Backgrounds Uncertainties Total Number of U and Th • KamLAND is insensitive to U/Th ratio → adopt U/Th ~ 3.9 from Earth science • Number of Geoneutrinos:28.0 +15.6 -14.6 • 99% C.L. upper limit:70.7 events • Significance 95.3% (1.99-sigmas) Discrimination of U and Th Geoneutrino Flux [1/cm2/sec] Comparison with Earth Model Predictions KamLAND 99% Limit KamLAND 1-σ Range Earth Model Prediction U+Th Mass [kg] • Consistent with BSE model predictions • 99%C.L. upper limit too large to be converted to heat production (No Earth models applicable) KamLAND Problem (α,n) BG Reactor Neutrino BG 210Pb 222Rn 22.3 y 3.8 d 210Bi 5.013 d 210Po 210Po 138.4 d 206Pb stable decay rate error 14% 13C (α,n) 16O n+p→n+p Cross-section error: 20% Quenting factor error: 10% KamLAND Prospects (1) (α,n) Background error had been reduced • New (α,n) Cross section data available • Vertex reconstruction algorithm improved • Proton quenching factor measurement • 210Po-C source calibration performed ⇒ (α,n) error reduced from ~26% to ~5% P quenching measurement Po-C Calibration (MC/Data) KamLAND Prospects (2) LS Distillation in Progress ⇒ removes radioactivity by 10-5 we remove these BEFORE AFTER Another 749 days operation after purification, • Error is reduced:from 54% to 28% (error is dominated by reactor neutrinos) • Significance: 99.96% KamLAND Prospects Upper limit (~40TW) comparable with heat flow (~40TW) 28% uncertainty Future Geoneutrino Experiments Mass (kton) Depth (m.w.e.) Kamioka / Japan 1.0 2700 Borexino Gran Sasso / Italy 0.3 3700 SNO+ Sudbury / Canada 0.7 5400 Hano-hano Hawaii / U.S. 10 4000 BNO Baksan / Russia 1.0 4800 LENA Phyasalm / Finland Nestor / Greece 50 4000 4000 HSD Kimballton / U.S. Homestake / U.S. Soudan / U.S. 100 1850 4200 2070 Project Location KamLAND The World Map of Geoneutrino Flux Typical Rate from Crust 30~70 /1032P/year from Mantle ~10 /1032P/year Reactor Neutrino Backgrounds KamLAND-II 750 days (expected) without reactor BG The World Map of Geoneutrino S/N Ratio Geoneutrino Flux @ Future Detector Sites KamLAND SNO+ LENA Borexino Hanohano Required Exposure for 20% precision determination Typical Time on CC, estimate BSE 0.5~1 [1032P・year] Sensitive to Crustal Composition on CC, estimate M ~30 [1032P・year] on OC, estimate M 4.5 [1032P・year] Worst Place Sensitive to Mantle Composition Sensitivity to “Regional” Structure Kamioka / Island Arc Gran Sasso / Mesozoic Crust Hawaii / Oceanic Island Sudbury / Archean Crust • We have to discriminate the global and regional signature • Correlation matrix used by GNSM (Fogli et al (2006)) could be extended ?? if correlation coefficients among different crustal types are given. Plumes, Ocean Ridges, … Neutrino Detector on Plume At Tahiti, 13% comes from “hot” mantle ⇒ sensitive to a factor enrichment Neutrino Detector on Mid-Ocean Ridge If the mantle beneath mid-ocean ridge Is depleted by a factor, it should be visible Portable detector (like Hanohano) will open new application Summary • Geoneutrino provides a direct measurement of heat producing elements (HPE) • KamLAND measurement will be improved – Reduced systematic error for existing data – Radioactive BG reduction by LS distillation • Multiple site measurement is important – – – – Reduction of local geological effects Separation of mantle and core Sensitivity to regional characteristics No nuclear reactor BG • Wish List – Error estimations for U/Th content in each reservoir – Better resolution crustal map Appendix Backup Slides Geoneutrino Spectrum Geoneutrino Angular Distribution at Kamioka