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Evolution, 60(6), 2006, pp. 1242–1253 EFFECTS OF NATURAL AND SEXUAL SELECTION ON ADAPTIVE POPULATION DIVERGENCE AND PREMATING ISOLATION IN A DAMSELFLY ERIK I. SVENSSON,1 FABRICE EROUKHMANOFF,1,2 AND MAGNE FRIBERG1,3 1 Section for Animal Ecology, Ecology Building, Lund University, SE-223 62 Lund, Sweden E-mail: [email protected] 2 Département de Biochimie-Génie Biologique Ecole Normale Supérieure de Cachan, 61 Avenue du Président Wilson, 94235 Cachan, Cedex, France E-mail: [email protected] 3 Department of Zoology, Stockholm University, SE-106 91 Stockholm, Sweden E-mail: [email protected] Abstract. The relative strength of different types of directional selection has seldom been compared directly in natural populations. A recent meta-analysis of phenotypic selection studies in natural populations suggested that directional sexual selection may be stronger in magnitude than directional natural selection, although this pattern may have partly been confounded by the different time scales over which selection was estimated. Knowledge about the strength of different types of selection is of general interest for understanding how selective forces affect adaptive population divergence and how they may influence speciation. We studied divergent selection on morphology in parapatric, natural damselfly (Calopteryx splendens) populations. Sexual selection was stronger than natural selection measured on the same traits, irrespective of the time scale over which sexual selection was measured. Visualization of the fitness surfaces indicated that population divergence in overall morphology is more strongly influenced by divergent sexual selection rather than natural selection. Courtship success of experimental immigrant males was lower than that of resident males, indicating incipient sexual isolation between these populations. We conclude that current and strong sexual selection promotes adaptive population divergence in this species and that premating sexual isolation may have arisen as a correlated response to divergent sexual selection. Our results highlight the importance of sexual selection, rather than natural selection in the adaptive radiation of odonates, and supports previous suggestions that divergent sexual selection promotes speciation in this group. Key words. plasticity. Adaptive ridge, direct selection, divergence-with-gene flow, fitness valley, indirect selection, parapatry, Received January 24, 2006. Several meta-analyses of selection studies in natural populations have recently been published (Hoekstra et al. 2001; Kingsolver et al. 2001; Hereford et al. 2004), and one conclusion from these studies is that the strength of selection on phenotypic traits may often be strong in natural populations, although the definition of weak and strong selection is still subject to discussion (Hereford et al. 2004). These studies have also suggested that directional sexual selection on phenotypic traits may be stronger than directional natural selection on the same traits (Kingsolver et al. 2001), although the effect might have arisen because of the different time scales over which natural and sexual selection were measured (Hoekstra et al. 2001). One way to resolve this issue would be to estimate sexual selection gradients over several different time scales (Kingsolver et al. 2001) and compare the results within traits with the magnitude of the natural selection gradients. The strength of directional selection on phenotypic traits will also provide information about how well adapted populations are to their local environments. Strong directional selection on phenotypic traits (i.e., selection gradients that are large in magnitude) implies that populations have not yet reached their adaptive peaks (Coyne et al. 1997; Kingsolver et al. 2001). Directional selection gradients thus provide information about two aspects of the adaptive landscape: the location of the population mean in relation to the adaptive peak and the steepness of the slope on the landscape (Kingsolver et al. 2001; Hereford et al. 2004). Other aspects of landscape structure, such as its curvature and the depth of Accepted April 1, 2006. fitness valleys require visualization of the adaptive surfaces (Phillips and Arnold 1989; Schluter and Nychka 1994; Fear and Price 1998; Arnold et al. 2001). Visualization of adaptive surfaces separately for different fitness components, such as survival and mating success may also throw light on the relative importance of natural and sexual selection in population divergence and speciation (Schluter 2000; Gavrilets 2004). Traditionally, there has been a focus on fitness valleys between populations and the presence of multiple fitness peaks (Whitlock et al. 1995), but more recently there has been an increased attention to the possible existence of adaptive ridges in genotypic or phenotypic space (Schluter 2000; Gavrilets 2004). Adaptive ridges and other flat regions in the fitness landscape indicate that several alternative phenotypes have approximately equal fitness and would suggest that populations may diverge by stochastic forces in addition to the well-recognized deterministic forces of natural and sexual selection (Schluter 2000; Gavrilets 2004). The strength of divergent selection in natural populations is of interest because of its potential role in generating reproductive isolation between populations (Rice and Hostert 1993; Schluter 2000). According to one common view of the speciation process, reproductive isolation between populations evolves as a correlated response to divergent natural selection in different environmental settings (Schluter 2000). This view is supported by many laboratory experiments on speciation (Rice and Hostert 1993). Moreover, both phenotypic divergence and reproductive isolation may evolve in spite of extensive and ongoing gene flow between parapatric 1242 q 2006 The Society for the Study of Evolution. All rights reserved. SELECTION AND POPULATION DIVERGENCE populations (Endler 1977; Smith et al. 1997; Hendry et al. 2000; Gavrilets 2004; Coyne and Orr 2004). However, gene flow constrains adaptive divergence, and the resulting population differences will therefore reflect the balance between the diversifying effects of natural selection and the homogenizing effects of gene flow (King and Lawson 1995; Hendry et al. 2002; Hendry and Taylor 2004; Nosil and Crespi 2004). Although studies of natural and sexual selection have often been performed in such settings (Kingsolver et al. 2001), they are seldom integrated with studies on reproductive isolation (Coyne and Orr 2004). Thus, these different research traditions thus often remain separated from each other. In this study we present empirical data that should be relevant to the resolution of some of the issues above. Our first goal is to provide a comparison between the strength of different types of selection. We have studied natural and sexual selection on morphology in field populations of the bluebanded demoiselle (Calopteryx splendens), an insect with pronounced population divergence in several morphological traits (Svensson et al. 2004). We proceed by visualizing the fitness surfaces for natural and sexual selection for two populations, to further investigate the relative importance of natural and sexual selection in morphological population divergence. Finally, we investigate the strength of premating sexual isolation between several populations of this species. Results in this study support previous suggestions from comparative studies (McPeek and Brown 2000) that speciation and adaptive radiation in odonates is primarily driven by sexual selection and that natural selection has a less pronounced role, compared to its role in other taxa and in other adaptive radiations (Schluter 2000). MATERIAL AND METHODS Study Organism, Ecology and Study Populations Calopteryx splendens is a common damselfly along slow flowing streams in Europe (Askew 1988). It emerges as an adult from the larval stage in late May or early June in southern Sweden (Svensson et al. 2004). After reaching sexual maturity, males and females return to the shores of the water where mating and oviposition takes place (Corbet 1999). Males are territorial and polygynous, and may mate with several females during their life span, although many males are much less successful and obtain no matings (Corbet 1999). This generates large variance in male mating success, making this species an excellent model organism for studying sexual selection in the wild (Svensson et al. 2004). Previous studies on sexual selection in the genus Calopteryx have revealed that the melanized dark wing patches of males function in mate choice as species recognition characters and in both con- and hetero-specific male-male competition (Waage 1979; Siva-Jothy 1999; Svensson et al. 2004; Tynkkynen et al. 2004). The size of the black wing patches is correlated with male immunological condition, because the melanin-producing enzyme phenoloxidase (PO) is involved in the development of melanin as well as having an important function in insect immune defence (Siva-Jothy 2000). Recent studies of northern European populations have revealed that the size of the black wing patch in C. splendens males is negatively correlated with the relative occurrence of the con- 1243 generic C. virgo, which has entirely black wings (Tynkkynen et al. 2004). This is partly a result of interspecific antagonistic male-male interactions in sympatry: here small-patched C. splendens males are favored because they are attacked less frequently by C. virgo males (Tynkkynen et al. 2004, 2005). Finally, comparisons of wing remnants of C. splendens males that were killed by bird predators (mainly pied wagtails Motacilla alba) have revealed that natural selection acts on wing length and wing width (E. Svensson and M. Friberg, unpubl. data). Thus, multiple selection pressures are acting on the morphological traits of C. splendens, and evidence for divergent natural and sexual selection has recently been presented in south Swedish populations (Svensson et al. 2004). In southern Sweden, populations of C. splendens have diverged extensively in their morphological traits, including the melanized wing patch, in spite of gene flow between populations (average FST 5 0.05; range ; 0–0.13; Svensson et al. 2004). A significant correlation (r 5 0.39: P 5 0.005) between the phenotypic and molecular-genetic distances of populations (Svensson et al. 2004) indicates that adaptive population divergence in this species is partly constrained by gene flow (Hendry et al. 2002). Based on these values of FST (Svensson et al. 2004), the estimated number of migrants (Nm) between our populations range from 1.7 to 919.4 (mean 5 31.00 6 15.75). In addition, natural and sexual selection differ in magnitude and direction between closely located populations (Svensson et al. 2004; Tynkkynen et al. 2004), and these multiple features of C. splendens ecology and genetics therefore make it a suitable model species to investigate the interactions between divergent selection, gene flow, and morphological divergence. Field Study of Natural and Sexual Selection We studied natural and sexual selection in two populations during the summers of 2001–2003 (Klingavälsån) and 2002– 2003 (Höje Å) outside Lund, southern Sweden. During these summers, we captured a total of 1645 males at Klingavälsån (2001: 374; 2002: 486; 2003: 785) and 1445 males at Höje Å (2002: 453; 2003: 992). We measured 12 morphological traits on these males (Tables 1–2). Because recent meta-analyses (Kingsolver et al. 2001; Hereford et al. 2004) recommend that future selection studies present mean trait values and their phenotypic variances and covariances, we present them in Appendices 1 and 2, respectively. All captured males were individually marked with unique three-digit color codes on the last three abdominal segments (Svensson et al. 2004). Marked males were released in the field again after they were measured, except for those that were included in reciprocal transplant experiments (see below). Of the males released locally, a total of 612 (Klingavälsån) and 571 males (Höje Å) were later observed at least once in the field. We base all of our estimates of natural and sexual selection on this sample of resighted males. Emigration of males to other sites is unlikely to substantially bias our selection estimates, because mature males that have been resighted once usually remain resident at their streams, and both populations are surrounded by inhospitable habitat of agricultural fields without suitable aquatic habitats for Calopteryx. Although we have marked and released several thou- 1244 ERIK I. SVENSSON ET AL. sands of mature Calopteryx males at both Klingavälsån and Höje Å, not a single male (apart from our experimental immigrant males; see further below) has been observed to migrate between Klingavälsån and Höje Å, which are located about 30 km from each other. This strongly suggests that dispersal is indeed limited to other phases of the life cycle, that is, immediately after emergence from the larval stage. Therefore, our estimates of local survival at both sites are likely to reflect true survival and are unlikely to be biased by emigration between sites. We performed daily field work during June–August to quantify male life span and mating success in the wild and relate this to variation in morphological traits (Svensson et al 2004). Field work in all seasons continued until all marked males disappeared from each site. In this study, we present selection gradients based both on a long-time scale (days) and a shorter time scale (minutes and hours, from time budget data) to investigate the role of time interval over which sexual selection is measured. Long-term sexual selection estimates were obtained by dividing the number of observed copulations for each male by the number of days he was observed in the field (life span), whereas short-term sexual selection estimates were obtained by dividing the total number of copulations for each male by the time he was actually observed in the field during time budget studies (mean minutes observed 5 15.84 60.61; n 5 1153 males). Both types of sexual selection estimates are thus measures of ‘‘mating rate’’ (i.e., number of copulations per unit time) and these estimates are therefore not inflated by differences in life span between males, which could potentially confound the effects of natural and sexual selection (Hamon 2005; Hamon and Foote 2005). Both long-term and short-term estimates of male mating rates are from 2001–2003 (Klingavälsån) and 2002–2003 (Höje Å). These two sites were chosen as target populations because they differ ecologically, which should maximize the power to detect divergent selection. At Klingavälsån, C. splendens are sympatric with C. virgo, and sexual selection does at least in some years favor smaller wing patches in the males (Svensson et al. 2004). At Höje Å, C. virgo is absent and here sexual selection favors large wing patches (Svensson et al. 2004). These two populations also differ markedly in the intensity of avian predation: at Klingavälsån, avian predation pressure from pied wagtails (Motacilla alba) is high, judged by the extensive occurrence of wing remnants at ‘‘slaughter stations.’’ In contrast, at Höje Å predation from wagtails is less intense and wagtails are observed much less frequently than at Klingavälsån (mean number of wagtails observed per day: Klingavälsån: 4.92 60.70; Höje Å: 0.52 6022; paired t-test comparing the localities with respect to the number of birds observed each day: t48 5 5.726, P , 0.001). We emphasize that this almost tenfold difference in wagtail occurrence could potentially lead to divergent natural selection through mortality effects on the males. Higher wagtail occurrence at Klingavälsån could also indirectly fuel divergent sexual selection by affecting operational sex ratios and male or female mating behaviors. Survival in a New Environment: Reciprocal Transplant Experiments In 2002 and 2003, we performed reciprocal transplant experiments between Klingavälsån and Höje Å to estimate survival of immigrant and resident males in their native and novel habitats. A total of 507 individually marked males were transported either from Höje Å to Klingavälsån (2002: 116; 2003; 137) or from Klingavälsån to Höje Å (2002: 122; 2003: 132). These experimental ‘‘immigrants’’ were released in their new populations, whereafter we estimated their survival through the regular field observations. Handling and transportation of the experimental immigrant males took about three hours. To investigate whether there could be any negative effects of this extra handling time of experimental males, we kept some resident males as ‘‘shams’’ (n 5 392) for three hours and compared their survival with resident males that we released immediately after marking (‘‘controls’’; n 5 1747). We found no difference between these two male categories in establishment success, or in the average life span in the field of males that were established and resighted (GLZ-models: P . 0.10 in both populations and during both years). We therefore conclude that the extra handling time of the experimental immigrant males did not have any confounding effect on their survival in the novel habitat. Courtship Success of Resident and Immigrant Males We presented resident and immigrant males (n 5 240 males) to local females at seven of our 12 study populations (Svensson et al. 2004). These experiments were performed to quantify male courtship success towards local females and thereby estimate the degree of premating sexual isolation between populations. The seven study populations included Klingavälsån and Höje Å (see above), which were also part of a reciprocal experiment in both directions. The other five populations were Omma, Världs Ände, Rosendala, Gemla, and Härnäs (Svensson et al. 2004). We used a 0.5 m long thread to tie males at the thorax, without binding their legs, and tied the other end of the thread to a 1.5 m long bamboo stick. Tied males were thereafter used during presentation sessions that lasted for 10–30 min. During these sessions, the tied male was put in close proximity to target females. Each female was mature and resting on vegetation when the presentations started. The tests were performed during midday (10:00 to 16:00), in calm and sunny weather conditions during 2003 and 2004. We quantified the females’ sexual responses using an 11degree nominal scale ranging from 0 (female attacks the male) toward 10 (tandem formation and/or successful copulation of the male). The scale (for details, see Supplementary Material 1 available online at: http://dx.doi.org/10.1554/06036.1.s1) is similar to the approach used by previous workers investigating sexual isolation in damselflies (Paulson 1974; Waage 1975). In this study, we included several additional steps to obtain a fine-grained scale that included all the discrete and well-defined precopulatory behaviors that have been described in the genus Calopteryx (Corbet 1999). We performed 2258 presentations (of 160 resident males) toward females during the summers 2003 and 2004 (mean SELECTION AND POPULATION DIVERGENCE number presentations per resident male 5 14.11; SE 5 4.22). To avoid pseudoreplication due to multiple presentations to multiple females by each male, the average female response scores to each male were used. These mean response scores were approximately normally distributed (Supplementary Material 1 available online), justifying the use of parametric statistical tests. The average female response towards males was low, and hence most male approaches were rejected by females, reflecting the general mating biology of this species. Male mating harassment of females is frequent in damselflies (Corbet 1999), and many, perhaps most, male mating attempts by males are rejected by females in the field (E. I. Svensson, unpubl. data). Hence, our female response scale (Supplementary Material 1 available online) of male courtship success should be interpreted both as female propensity to mate as well as indicating female resistance toward unwanted mating attempts from males. Female response scores can also be viewed as a form of proximity score to a given male, because only males that were permitted to approach a female at very close distance were subsequently able to contact and obtain tandem position (Supplementary Material 1 available online). Statistical Analyses We analyzed data using general linear models (GLMs) and generalized linear models (GLZs) using the STATISTICA software package (Statsoft 2003). Standardized linear selection gradients for all 12 traits were quantified for both Klingavälsån (2001, 2002, and 2003) and Höje Å (2002 and 2003). We thus regressed relative fitness against standardized trait values (mean zero; unit variance) of all 12 traits and estimated the standardized selection gradients as the partial regression coefficients for each trait in multiple regression models (Lande and Arnold 1983; Svensson et al. 2004). Standardized linear selection gradients of this kind separate direct selection on a trait from the fitness effects of other correlated traits. Standardized selection differentials and standardized selection gradients are highly correlated across studies (Kingsolver et al. 2001) and this was the case in our study (E. I. Svensson, unpubl. data). All our results and conclusions hold for both standardized selection gradients (the metric presented in this paper) and standardized selection differentials. The relationships between standardized selection differentials, standardized selection gradients and curvilinear selection coefficients (stabilizing and disruptive selection) will be presented and discussed in detail in a future paper. In this study, we used two different fitness components to estimate linear selection gradients: minimum life span in the field (last date observed minus date of marking; a measure of survival and hence natural selection) and mating rate (number copulations/life span; a measure of sexual selection). Selection gradients were initially estimated as the parametric slopes of fitness regressed againt trait values, using ordinary GLMs. All significant estimates were subsequently checked using GLZ (poisson error, logit link, type-3 errors) because mating rate was highly skewed, with a few males obtaining most matings. We included the year (2002 and 2003) as a main effect to take into account annual variation when estimating overall selection gradients. We did not in- 1245 clude two-way interaction terms between year and traits, because such models would become extremely large and complex (13 main terms and 12 two-way interactions). Interaction terms involving year are also of questionable biological significance in this system. Year effects mainly result from differences in visibility of the damselflies to observers in different years, that is, the available observation time and probability of detecting male copulations in the field. To investigate natural and sexual selection on overall morphology in Klingavälsån and Höje Å, we performed a principal component analysis on all 12 traits for both populations combined. Because the different traits are not necessarily diverging independently due to trait correlations, the use of principal components should overcome such statistical difficulties arising from multicollinearity. We employed the nonparametric projection pursuit regression (PPR) approach on the first two principal components (PC1 and PC2) and visualized the three-dimensional fitness surfaces using multivariate spline surfaces (Schluter and Nychka 1994). Prior to the analyses, we performed grid search to find the best value of the smoothing parameters (l) that minimized the general cross-validation (GCV) score. We subsequently used the obtained value of the smoothing parameter when estimating the final surface (Schluter and Nychka 1994). Spline surfaces were visualized using the maximum stiffness-option in the ‘‘Surface Plot’’ module in STATISTICA. In these PPR regressions, we searched through the fitness surfaces in the PC1/PC2 plane in 5000 random directions to find the two directions (a1 and a2) that showed the maximum fitness increase. Standard errors and associated significance levels for a1 and a2 were obtained through 100 bootstrap replications of the data. The two directions were subsequently imposed on the fitness surfaces to visualize multivariate selection (Schluter and Nychka 1994). All other statistical results in this study come from ordinary parametric tests (ANOVAs, t-tests, repeated-measures analyses) and all P-values refer to two-tailed tests. Standard errors are presented whenever means are presented. All relevant variables were checked for the assumption of normally distributed residuals and equal variances. Selection gradients differ somewhat from previous estimates from these populations, because we included one additional year (2003), included more traits (12 instead of 2–4) and also estimated sexual selection gradients on a longer time scale (days), compared to our previous study (Svensson et al. 2004). In addition, we used a logit link function in the GLZ-models instead of the probit link function used in our earlier analyses (Svensson et al. 2004). Results from logit models and the parameters obtained from ordinary parametric regression analysis were very similar or identical, and we only present the estimates from the parametric models. The use of logistic regression has been suggested as an alternative to parametric regression, but this approach is limited to situations when the dependent fitness variable has an dichotomous outcome (e.g., death or survival) and these parameters cannot be directly incorporated into models for predicting microevolutionary change, but have to be translated into linear coefficients (Janzen and Stern 1998). In contrast, parameters obtained from parametric regression 1246 ERIK I. SVENSSON ET AL. TABLE 1. Factor loadings and associated test statistics (eigenvalues) for the principal component analysis of the 12 traits included in the fitness surfaces (Fig. 2; Table 2). Shown are the first two principal components, which jointly explained 70.74% of the total morphological variation. Trait abbreviations as in Appendix 1. FIG. 1. Natural selection gradients and sexual selection gradients (absolute values zbz: means 6 95 % CI) on morphological traits across three years (2001–2003) and two populations (Klingavälsån and Höje Å) in Calopteryx splendens. analyses can be directly incorporated in such models (Lande and Arnold 1983). RESULTS Comparison of selection gradients measured in our two different populations over several seasons revealed that sexual selection was indeed stronger than natural selection across all traits, and the difference between the three selection categories was highly significant (Fig. 1; repeated measures ANOVA: effects of selection category: F2,116 5 23.974, P , 0.001; population: F1,58 5 0.335, P 5 0.56; selection category 3 population: F2,116 5 0.569, P 5 0.57). Moreover, sexual selection was stronger than natural selection, irrespective of the time-scale over which sexual selection was estimated (minutes/hours or days; Fig. 1), and both sexual selection categories are higher in magnitude than the natural selection category (Tukey HSD posthoc tests; P , 0.001). In contrast, there was no significant difference between the two sexual selection categories (Tukey HSD posthoc tests; P 5 0.13). Hence, sexual selection was stronger than natural selection on these traits, independent of the time scale over which sexual selection was estimated (Hoekstra et al. 2001; Kingsolver et al. 2001). Natural and sexual selection gradients for all years and populations are provided in Supplementary Material 2 available online at: http://dx.doi.org/10.1554/06-036.1.s2), to facilitate future meta-analyzes (Kingsolver et al. 2001). In the reciprocal transplant experiment, aimed to investigate survival of immigrant and resident males, we found no evidence for an interaction between phenotype origin and population (log likelihood 5 25864.69; x2 5 1.020; P 5 0.31). Longevity in the field was similar for both resident and immigrant males at both Höje Å (mean field life span in days: 3.83 60.21 for residents and 4.47 60.44 for immigrants) and Klingavälsån (mean field life-span: 4.81 60.23 for residents and 4.71 60.50 for immigrants). The first two principal components explained 46.42% Trait PC1 PC2 PCS THW THL FWL FWW FPL HWL HWW HPL TOL ABL MASS Eigenvalue % explained variation 0.008 0.008 0.022 0.147 0.035 0.284 0.143 0.032 0.261 0.184 0.156 0.002 3.971 46.42 20.008 0.025 0.003 0.171 0.043 20.328 0.160 0.036 20.284 0.365 0.318 0.001 2.081 24.32 (PC1) and 24.32% (PC2) of the total morphological variation, respectively (Table 1). Visualizing the fitness surface for natural selection (life span) and sexual selection (mating rate) against PC1 and PC2 revealed striking differences between the surfaces for survival and mating rate. The fitness surfaces for survival (Fig. 2A, B) were rather flat for both Höje Å and Klingavälsån. These flat fitness surfaces lacked pronounced curvature or clear fitness peaks, indicating that variation in morphology had small consequences for survival. This confirms our previous conclusion from the comparison between selection gradients (Fig. 1) that natural selection on these morphological traits is weak to moderate. The general impression of flat fitness surfaces and weak natural selection on morphology was also confirmed by the results from the PPR analyses (Table 2). Out of the eight PPR coefficients for how survival was affected by PC1 and PC2, only one was significant (Table 2). In striking contrast to these rather flat fitness surfaces, we found evidence for adaptive surfaces with considerably more curvature and with clear fitness peaks when we visualized variation in mating rate in relation to variation in the two principal components (Fig. 2C, D). These surfaces indicated that sexual selection in the two different populations promoted divergent selection on morphology, because the two population peaks were located in different regions of the PC1/ PC2-plane (Fig. 2C, D). Note that the extraction of these principal components was performed on the total sample of all males from both populations, hence these fitness surfaces are directly comparable between the two populations. The presence of two fitness optima with different locations in the PC1/PC2 plane was confirmed in the PPR analysis (Table 2). The PPR analysis and the spline surfaces indicated the presence of a fitness peak in a region of low values of PC1 and PC2 at Klingavälsån (Fig. 2C) and another peak at intermediate values of PC1 and high values of PC2 at Höje Å (Fig. 2D). It is particularly notable that the two fitness surfaces were similar in shape and structure but differed in orientation of the peaks in relation to PC1 and PC2: The fitness peaks and the directions of maximum fitness increase were almost orthogonally oriented toward each other (Table 2). FIG. 2. Fitness surfaces (splines) for survival and mating rate in relation to the first two principal components of 12 morphological traits (PC1 and PC2) for males at Klingavälsån (A, C) and Höje Å (B, D). The three-dimensional surface plots are shown in the left panel and the two-dimensional surface plots with individual data points are shown in the right panel. The three-dimensional surface plots have been rotated for visual clarity. The location of each population (mean phenotypic value) is indicated in each panel by circles. Although the two populations may appear close to each other, they differ significantly in the morphological traits (Appendix 1), as well as in their mean values of PC1 and PC2 (Wilk’s l 5 0.992; F2,1019 5 3.945; P 5 0.020). Shown in the two-dimensional plots are also the two directions for maximum increase in fitness (a1 and a2), obtained from projection pursuit regression analysis (Table 2). Solid line, both coefficients for PC1 and PC2 significant; dashed line, one of the coefficients significant; dotted line, none of the coefficients significant. The intersection of the two fitness directions in each graph coincides with the data point with the highest estimated (‘‘Y-hat’’) fitness value. Note differences in scale on vertical axis between fitness surfaces for survival and mating rate. SELECTION AND POPULATION DIVERGENCE 1247 1248 ERIK I. SVENSSON ET AL. TABLE 2. Coefficients for the directions of maximum fitness increase in the PC1/PC2-plane (Fig. 2). Coefficients were obtained from projection pursuit regression (Schluter and Nychka 1994), and their standard errors, in parentheses, were obtained through 100 bootstrap replications. Significant coefficients are indicated in bold. Fitness component Survival Population Klingavälsån Höje Å Mating rate Klingavälsån Höje Å Principal component PC1 PC2 PC1 PC2 PC1 PC2 PC1 PC2 One reflection of this orthogonal direction of the fitness surfaces was that three of the four possible PPR coefficients differed in sign between the populations (Table 2). Five of eight of these PPR coefficients were significant for these sexual selection surfaces, in striking contrast to only one of eight for the natural selection surfaces (Table 2 and above). At Klingavälsån, sexual selection appears to favor damselflies with shorter wings, shorter abdomen, and shorter total length than at Höje Å, where instead larger damselflies were favored (Fig. 2C,D, Table 1). There also appears to be a tendency for sexual selection towards shorter forewing and hindwing patch lengths at Klingavälsån, although this pattern was less pronounced than for the other traits (Fig. 2C; Table 1). These results are of interest given the sympatric occurrence of C. virgo at Klingavälsån, and are partly consistent with results from Finnish C. splendens populations occuring in allopatry and sympatry with C. virgo (Tynkkynen et al. 2004, 2005). To experimentally investigate the magnitude of sexual isolation between populations, we performed presentation experiments in the field in which we presented resident and immigrant males to local females. Across all of our popu- Direction a2 Direction a1 20.034 0.681 0.471 20.568 20.462 0.830 0.660 20.202 (0.636) (0.362) (0.486) (0.467) (0.211)* (0.232)*** (0.329)* (0.644) 0.382 20.672 0.066 0.671 0.411 0.599 20.303 0.651 (0.502) (0.387) (0.671) (0.310)* (0.194)* (0.659) (0.611) (0.332)* lations, there was a highly significant difference in male courtship success between native and immigrant males, demonstrating significant sexual selection against migrants and premating isolation (Fig. 3; paired t-test: t6 5 3.162, P 5 0.020). In six of seven cases, immigrant males had lower courtship success than resident males, whereas in the remaining case immigrants had (nonsignificantly) higher success (Fig. 3). The average success of immigrant males compared to resident males, measured across all populations was 0.85 (SE 5 0.046). These data suggest that sexual selection plays an important role in population divergence and that divergent sexual selection has caused incipient sexual isolation between these populations. In our two most intensively studied populations (Klingavälsån and Höje Å), we analyzed the reciprocal effect of presenting males of each category in both populations. Here we found evidence for a significant population interaction (F1,86 5 13.878, P , 0.001; Fig. 4) between male category (immigrant or resident) and male source population (Klingavälsån or Höje Å). This interaction effect implies that sexual selection is divergent between the two populations. DISCUSSION FIG. 3. Differences (means 695 % CI) in male courtship success (female response; y-axis) between resident males and experimental ‘‘immigrant’’ males in seven different populations of Calopteryx splendens. Female courtship response towards residents and immigrants was quantified on a nominal scale using well-described and distinct precopulatory behaviors (Supplementary Material 1 available online). Each male was presented to several different females in tethering experiments in the field, and the average female response was used as a measure of male courtship success. Our data suggest that directional sexual selection arising from mating success is stronger than directional natural selection arising from mortality, at least when measured during the adult part of the life cycle (Figs. 1 and 2). Furthermore, this is not simply an artifact of the different time intervals over which sexual selection is estimated (Hoekstra et al. 2001; Kingsolver et al. 2001). Directional selection has been suggested to be the primary cause of phenotypic diversification, based on a recent study on the sign of genetic differences between closely related taxa (Rieseberg et al. 2002), but such indirect inferences can never distinguish between the relative importance of different forms of selection. Therefore, field studies of natural and sexual selection are necessary complements to indirect inferences about selection from molecular data (Schluter 2000; Merilä and Crnokrak 2001; Svensson and Sinervo 2004; Svensson et al. 2004). The typical magnitude of sexual selection gradients in this study (median zbz 5 0.25; mean 5 0.37 6 0.04; Fig. 1) is almost 40% higher than than the typical sexual selection gradient reported in Kingsolver et al.’s meta-analysis (median zbz 5 0.18). In contrast, the magnitude of natural selection gradients in our study (median zbz 5 0.08; mean 5 0.11 6 0.01; SELECTION AND POPULATION DIVERGENCE FIG. 4. A sexually selected fitness trade-off between two Calopteryx splendens populations differing in morphology and ecology. Resident males have higher courtship success towards females than experimental immigrant males, resulting in a significant male category 3 source population interaction (see Results). Fig. 1) is closer to the typical natural selection gradient in Kingsolver et al.’s (2001) study (median zbz 5 0.09). These results and conclusions from the selection gradient analyses apply only to directional forms of selection. However, our fitness surface analysis of how variation in morphology (PC1 and PC2) affected survival and mating rate confirmed this picture and revealed considerably stronger sexual than natural selection on the principal components (Fig. 2; Table 2). The steep slopes toward the fitness peaks on the sexual selection landscapes suggest that directional sexual selection is considerably stronger than directional natural selection (Fig. 2; Table 2). It is interesting that in both populations that we investigated, the optimal phenotypes favored by sexual selection were at the extreme ends of the population distributions. This indicates that the average male phenotype in both populations is quite maladapted with respect to the morphology that would maximize male mating rate, leading to strong directional sexual selection (Figs. 1, 2C, 2D). The explanations for this could be due to several different biological mechanisms, such as costs of developing secondary sexual traits (Kotiaho 2001), sensory bias in local females favoring male phenotypes outside the current population range (Fuller et al. 2005), strong condition-dependence and high mutational input for secondary sexual traits (Rowe and Houle 1996), or maladaptive gene flow displacing populations from their optima (Kirkpatrick 1996). Although these explanations may all contribute to explain the presence of strong directional selection on natural populations, none of them is likely to exclusively explain the patterns in our data. For instance, gene flow alone could not explain why our populations are more maladapted with respect to the sexual selection optima than the natural selection optima, although gene flow is a general explanation for the displacement of populations from their adaptive peaks (Coyne et al. 1997). Survival costs of secondary sexual traits is a possibility, but clear fitness peaks for natural selection are lacking in this study that would support such an explanation. 1249 The fitness landscapes for natural selection were considerably flatter, and variation in morphology thus appeared to be only weakly correlated with survival (Fig. 2A,B; Table 2). The populations are located in a region with relatively weak survival selection on morphology, that is, on a flat fitness landscape (Fig. 2A, B; Table 2). This suggests that both populations are relatively well adapted to their local environments and that divergent natural selection is weak. In contrast, the similar analysis for sexual selection revealed evidence for divergent selection between populations and fitness landscapes with considerably more curvature (Fig. 2C, D; Table 2). Visualizing fitness landscapes separately for different fitness components may thus be rewarding and should be a useful complement to selection gradient analyses (Gavrilets 2004). More generally, visualization of fitness landscapes for two or more traits has a strong tradition in evolutionary biology (Arnold et al. 2001), and it is increasingly being used in empirical studies to investigate the ecology of fitness valleys and divergent selection between populations (Svensson and Sinervo 2000; Benkman et al. 2003; Benkman 2003). Our data suggest that the morphological divergence between populations at Klingavälsån and Höje Å (Appendix 1, Table 1) is maintained and promoted by strong divergent sexual selection rather than natural selection (Fig. 2). The extent to which these morphological differences are heritable is unknown. We also note that both recent theory and empirical data point to an important role for adaptive plasticity, particularly in the early stages of divergence (Losos et al. 2000; Badyaev et al. 2002; West-Eberhard 2003; Price et al. 2003). Our reciprocal transplant experiment revealed no evidence for lower survival of immigrant males compared to resident males (see Results). The lack of experimental support for a strong role for divergent natural selection in this species contrasts markedly with most previous reciprocal transplant experiments performed in both plants and animals (Schluter 2000; Kawecki and Ebert 2004; Nosil et al. 2005), although it is possible that these previous results are biased towards systems where divergent natural selection is predicted to be strong. Based on these previous experimental studies, it has been suggested that fitness trade-offs between environments usually result from divergent natural selection (Schluter 2000). However, reciprocal transplant experiments of this kind are expected to reveal divergent natural selection only if populations are located on different adaptive peaks separated by a fitness valley (Schluter 2000). In contrast, if populations are located in a trait region connected by phenotypic intermediates with approximately equal fitness (cf. Fig. 2A, B) or on an ‘‘adaptive ridge’’ (Schluter 2000), the pattern of lower immigrant fitness and such phenotype 3 population interactions are not expected. Thus, the lack of any effect of our reciprocal transplant experiment on immigrant survival and the flat fitness surfaces for our natural selection data (Fig. 2A, 2B) provide independent lines of evidence indicating weak divergent natural selection on morphology in this species. The data in this study instead suggest the presence of a fitness trade-off between environments that is caused by divergent sexual selection. Sexual selection on morphology is 1250 ERIK I. SVENSSON ET AL. divergent between our two populations (Fig. 2B) and females apparently also prefer local males over immigrant males (Figs. 3, 4). The magnitude of the sexually selected fitness trade-off between our populations can be characterized by the proportion of nonerror variance that is attributable the interaction term between phenotype and population, following the approach used by Schluter (2000) in his meta-analysis of published reciprocal transplant experiments. In this study, the proportion of nonerror variance explained by the interaction (Fig. 4) was about 0.84, which is considerably higher than the more typical value of 0.50 in the experiments reviewed by Schluter (2000). This pronounced between-environment trade-off in male courtship success is of general interest for at least two reasons. First, the fact that females prefer local males over immigrant males indicates some degree of premating sexual isolation, which could potentially act as a barrier against gene flow between these populations. This is particularly notable in light of some degree of gene flow between these same populations (Svensson et al. 2004). Second, female preference over local rather than foreign males appears to contradict predictions from at least one model of sexual conflict: ‘‘chase-away sexual selection’’ (Holland and Rice 1998). According to this model of the coevolutionary arms race between the sexes, females should be more susceptible towards sensory manipulation from males from other populations or species, and hence we would have expected local females to show the strongest preference for the immigrant males. Correlative (nonexperimental) data from some previous studies of birds also suggest stronger female preference for local, rather than immigrant males (Bensch et al. 1998), as do laboratory experiments on sexual isolation in some species of fish (Wong et al. 2004; Boughman et al. 2005). Both observational and experimental data in this study suggest that sexual selection may be more important than natural selection in this species, at least during the adult part of the life cycle and in the early stages of evolutionary divergence. The coexistence of multiple but ecologically similar damselfly species has previously been used as an argument that evolutionary divergence in damselflies is primarily driven by sexual selection (McPeek and Brown 2000). Sympatric coexisting damselfly species often differ strikingly in coloration traits, but less so in ecological traits (McPeek and Brown 2000). An important role for sexual selection in the evolutionary divergence of this group is supported by the observational and experimental field data in this study. In particular, the finding of both strong sexual selection on morphology and sexual isolation between populations indicate the potential for sexual isolation arising between populations as a by-product of divergent sexual selection. The relative importance of natural and sexual selection in speciation processes has been subject to several recent reviews, but a paucity of empirical data preclude any general conclusions (Schluter 2000; Coyne and Orr 2004). An important role of natural selection is universally acknowledged in adaptive radiations (Schluter 2001), but the role of sexual selection remains more controversial (Coyne and Orr 2004). Closely related species do often differ more markedly in male secondary sexual characters than in other traits (Darwin 1871; West-Eberhard 1983; Price 1998; Panhuis et al. 2001), which suggest an important role for sexual selection in evolutionary divergence. However, these interspecific differences may have arisen secondarily, after speciation was already accomplished (Butlin 1987, 1989), making conclusions from comparative studies open to alternative interpretations. Furthermore, divergent sexual selection is supposed to result in incipient species that are only weakly ecologically differentiated, in contrast to divergent natural selection (Coyne and Orr 2004). How such ecologically similar incipient species formed by sexual selection could coexist and be able to evolve reproductive isolation before extinction is a problem for speciation models based solely on sexual selection (Schluter 2000; Coyne and Orr 2004). Reproductive isolation readily evolves in allopatry as a correlated response to divergent natural selection (Rice and Hostert 1993; Schluter 2000). There is accumulating empirical evidence for the evolution of reproductive isolation as a correlated response to divergent natural selection (Jiggins et al. 2001; Nosil et al. 2002). In theory, divergent sexual selection could also promote the development of sexual isolation between populations (Lande 1982; Iwasa and Pomiankowski 1995; Day 2000), although the empirical evidence for this effect in nature is much more limited than for natural selection (Seehausen et al. 1997). In C. splendens, divergent sexual selection between parapatric populations may have resulted in partial sexual isolation between populations as a correlated response (Figs. 2B, 3, 4). Alternatively, such premating isolation may result from either direct selection on female mate preferences (Servedio 2001, 2004) or indirect selection through so-called ‘‘good genes’’ (Kirkpatrick and Barton 1997). Although our data does not permit us to conclusively confirm or reject any of these possibilities, recent theory and empirical evidence strongly suggest that indirect selection is a relatively weak force in the evolution of mate preferences (Kirkpatrick and Barton 1997; Möller and Alatalo 1999; Arnqvist and Kirkpatrick 2005; Orteiza et al. 2005). Because the magnitude of indirect fitness benefits of female mate choice is usually small and on the order of only a few percent (Möller and Alatalo 1999), the strong sexual selection coefficient (20.15) against immigrant males in this study (Fig. 3) seems more likely to either be a correlated response to sexual selection or a result of direct selection on female preferences. The novelty of this study is that we have disentangled the relative role of natural and sexual selection in the phenotypic divergence of natural populations, and related this to the development of sexual isolation. Previous studies of free-living vertebrate populations have shown that directional natural selection may drive population divergence but the extent of divergence is constrained by gene flow over both large and small geographical distances (Smith et al. 1997; Hendry et al. 2000, 2002; Badyaev et al. 2002). However, we are unaware of studies that have demonstrated such a predominant role for directional sexual selection, in combination with such a pronounced degree of sexual isolation between closely located, parapatric populations. Previous studies on sexual isolation and other forms of reproductive isolation have focused mainly on the two extreme cases of full gene flow (sympatry) or zero gene flow (allopatry) between populations (Coyne and Orr 2004). More recently, it has been suggested that SELECTION AND POPULATION DIVERGENCE future studies should focus on the more common scenario of intermediate gene flow, or parapatry (Gavrilets 2004; Coyne and Orr 2004), as we did in this study. To our knowledge, field studies on the extent of premating isolation between parapatric populations are still relatively few, except in the context of hybrid zones or between highly diverged taxa. In light of a recent focus on the role of natural selection in evolutionary divergence (Schluter 2000), time is now ripe to evaluate the relative importance of natural and sexual selection, as well as interactions between these different forms of selection. A major challenge of future studies will be to quantify the strength and evaluate the relative importance of natural selection, sexual selection (this study) and sexual conflict (Gavrilets 2000; Svensson et al. 2005) in the divergence of natural populations. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS We are grateful to R. Härdling, T. Gosden, C. Benkman, A. Hendry, and an anonymous referee for constructive criticisms on the first draft of this manuscript, and to all the field assistants that participated in this project during 2001–2003. 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Mean (SE) Trait Abdomen length (ABL) Forewing length (FWL) Forewing width (FWW) Forewing patch length (FPL) Hindwing length (HWL) Hindwing width (HWW) Hindwing patch length (HPL) Mass (MASS) Patch color score (PCS) Total length (TOL) Thorax width (THW) Thorax length (THL) Klingavälsån 35.26 29.97 9.76 15.73 28.93 9.49 15.04 0.122 3.24 43.34 3.86 4.50 (0.08) (0.06) (0.02) (0.10) (0.06) (0.02) (0.09) (0.001) (0.07) (0.09) (0.01) (0.01) Höje Å 35.57 29.97 9.81 15.85 29.08 9.60 15.35 0.118 2.86 43.58 3.81 4.34 (0.07) (0.05) (0.02) (0.08) (0.05) (0.02) (0.07) (0.001) (0.06) (0.07) (0.01) (0.01) Diff. t P 20.31 ;0 20.05 20.12 20.15 20.11 20.31 0.04 0.38 20.24 0.05 0.16 4.514 0.014 2.489 1.380 2.819 5.691 4.073 4.750 5.980 3.106 6.239 15.688 ,0.001 0.99 0.013 0.170 0.005 ,0.001 ,0.001 ,0.001 ,0.001 0.002 ,0.001 ,0.001 APPENDIX 2. PCS THW THL FWL FWW FPL HWL HWW HPL TOL ABL Mass PCS THW THL FWL FWW FPL HWL HWW HPL TOL ABL Mass 1.80986 0.04144 0.05647 0.03068 0.07029 0.20061 0.11845 0.06344 0.22049 0.07528 0.12472 0.00263 0.51366 0.03734 20.06014 20.00710 20.00059 20.12931 20.04391 20.00895 20.15761 20.06130 20.03170 20.00094 PCS 0.23245 0.01756 0.01502 0.07355 0.01985 0.05264 0.06969 0.01695 0.04575 0.08066 0.05961 0.00114 0.33949 0.02355 20.00739 0.02701 0.01652 20.03388 0.01711 0.01186 20.04508 0.04325 0.03494 0.00022 THW 0.22838 0.61685 0.03378 0.06959 0.02208 0.06664 0.06708 0.01942 0.05920 0.09117 0.06788 0.00109 20.37128 20.21293 0.05108 0.03565 0.01414 0.10394 0.05401 0.01878 0.11622 0.06546 0.05614 0.00102 THL 0.02521 0.61361 0.41868 0.81798 0.15227 0.50379 0.70866 0.12002 0.42817 0.61426 0.47647 0.00728 20.01267 0.22504 0.20169 0.61155 0.11737 0.28370 0.54160 0.11051 0.28220 0.49869 0.42534 0.00368 FWL 0.17020 0.48802 0.39144 0.54849 0.09422 0.12226 0.15944 0.07260 0.12507 0.14524 0.12736 0.00166 20.00276 0.35866 0.20850 0.50014 0.09005 0.05744 0.11880 0.07343 0.05461 0.12599 0.11633 0.00103 FWW 0.10658 0.28388 0.25918 0.39813 0.28467 1.95757 0.48342 0.10272 1.61691 0.41768 0.30497 0.00545 20.13942 20.17057 0.35537 0.28033 0.14790 1.67475 0.28238 0.06577 1.43178 0.27520 0.25220 0.00386 FPL 0.10037 0.59946 0.41610 0.89322 0.59211 0.39387 0.76951 0.12925 0.43916 0.56800 0.45391 0.00706 20.07873 0.14324 0.30703 0.88991 0.50869 0.28038 0.60566 0.11688 0.31756 0.48397 0.41917 0.00379 HWL 0.16826 0.45641 0.37708 0.47349 0.84391 0.26195 0.52573 0.07854 0.10655 0.12090 0.10373 0.00127 20.04210 0.26052 0.28009 0.47626 0.82469 0.17129 0.50615 0.08804 0.07530 0.10633 0.11291 0.00101 HWW 0.13084 0.27559 0.25714 0.37792 0.32525 0.92254 0.39964 0.30350 1.56923 0.37223 0.28255 0.00464 20.18290 20.24433 0.42768 0.30012 0.15136 0.92016 0.33937 0.21105 1.44569 0.28195 0.24968 0.00402 HPL 0.05063 0.55069 0.44882 0.61448 0.42810 0.27009 0.58582 0.39030 0.26884 1.22165 0.89866 0.00784 20.07364 0.24265 0.24939 0.54910 0.36152 0.18311 0.53548 0.30856 0.20192 1.34873 0.94054 0.00580 TOL 0.09620 0.46680 0.38327 0.54670 0.43057 0.22620 0.53696 0.38407 0.23406 0.84373 0.92861 0.00632 20.04235 0.21799 0.23786 0.52080 0.37118 0.18660 0.51573 0.36438 0.19884 0.77546 1.09072 0.00406 ABL 0.14610 0.64120 0.44358 0.60063 0.40409 0.29063 0.60046 0.33889 0.27657 0.52925 0.48981 0.00018 20.12303 0.13718 0.42473 0.44065 0.32170 0.27950 0.45702 0.31890 0.31369 0.46807 0.36477 0.00011 MASS Phenotypic variance-covariance and correlation matrices for all the morphological traits in the divergent selection study. Trait abbreviations as in Table 1. Diagonal: variances. Below diagonal: covariances. Above diagonal: correlations. Significant correlations (P , 0.05) are indicated in boldface. Data are shown separately for the two populations: Klingavälsån (upper matrix; n 5 455) and Höje Å (lower matrix; n 5 568). For explanation of trait abbreviations, see Appendix 1. SELECTION AND POPULATION DIVERGENCE 1253