Download I. Green Growth and Green Technology

Korea’s Strategic Roadmap
of Technology and Industry
under Green Growth Paradigm
President
Prof. June Seung Lee, Ph.D
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I.
Green Growth and Green Industry
II.
Current Situation and Investment Target
III.
Green Technology R&D Roadmap
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I.
Green Growth And Green Technology
Changes in Future Society and Need of Green Growth
I. Green Growth and Green Technology
 Need to respond resource crisis and environmental problems
Future
Threat
Three trends threatening our future – Global Warming (Hot), Globalization & Growing
Middle Class (Flat), and Population Growth (Crowded)
Combination of all these accelerates climate change and increases demand on
natural resources and deepens energy polarization.
 Regulatory support for the efficient use of resources and minimization
of environmental pollution.
Response
Industry-oriented economic growth reached a limit in terms of environment and
economy.
Green growth is not an option but a must; However, Korea is facing a long way ahead.
 Need to set a policy direction on GT R&D according to the environmental
changes.
Preoccupancy
Policy
Develop a new growth engine through GT and environmental regulation.
Future-oriented low-carbon green growth was presented as a new national vision to
overcome resource crisis such as high oil price and climate change. (President Lee
Myungbak, in his Liberation Day speech)
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I. Green Growth and Green Technology
Market Outlook of Green Industry
Global Market
Global market to show an annual growth rate of 10.2%
- 1.5 trillion in 2007 → 5.7 trillion by 2020
Domestic market to show an annual growth rate of 13.2%
- 37 billion in 2007 → 230 billion by 2020
Domestic Market
(Tri. Dollar)
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’12
High Eff., Low Poll.,
Vehicles
‘Greenization’ of industries to be accelerated
- High efficient, low pollution vehicles
(Hybrid, Electric, H2, etc.)
: 0.7% in 2007 → 31.4% by 2020
’20
Rechargeable
Battery
63%
47%
30.5%
- Rechargeable Battery (Li-ion, Redox flow)
: 30.5% in 2007 → 63.0% by 2020
31.4%
24.3%
0.7%
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’20
I. Green Growth and Green Technology
Concept of Green Technology
Traditional GT refers to eco-friendly resource
technology such as renewable energy, clean
energy, etc. (Technet, 07)
 Traditional GT : new & renewable energy, high
energy efficiency technology, environmental
technology, climate change adaptation technology.
 Technet : Bipartisan policy network of USA
The concept of GT has expanded to include
technological trends that support
environmental sustainability and economic
growth together.
Fusion GT refers to low carbon, eco-friendly
technology that drives low carbon green growth
through making a synergetic fusion between
IT·BT·NT, etc and between these new technologies
and existing products & industries.
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I. Green Growth and Green Technology
Expansion to Fusion Green Technolgy
Drawing fusion technological characteristics, creative and innovative, out of
traditional green technologies which focus only on individual purpose, function
and use.
Technology
Overcoming
limitations of
existing
technology
Traditional Green
Technology &
Industry
Creation of New
Industry &
Employment
Making the best of what Korea is doing
well such as IT,BT,NT to the development
of fusion GT, and being able to overcome
the limitations of existing technology and
creating new markets.
Replacing existing technology with
alternative ones, for example,
production & storage of hydrogen
using bio-mass & sunlight.
Enhancement
of existing
industry
Industry
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Creating New fields via cutting-edge
fusion technology like electrical
power IT, new energy, etc.
I. Green Growth and Green Technology
Roles of Green Technology
Roles of GT
Pending Issues
Worsening Energy Problems
Improving Energy Independence
by energy source and energy efficiency technologies.
(Solar cell, atomic power, lighting LED, Intelligent grid
(electrical power IT))
Fossil fuel running out, Korea importing 97% of its energy.
Energy consumption per capita increases 5.8% per annum.
Protecting ecosystem
by preemptive investment
Adapting to Changes by Disturbed Ecosystem
The average temperature of Korea rose about 1.5% over
the last 100 years, while the world gets 0.74℃ warmer.
As the average temperature of the world gets 2℃ higher,
15~40% of flora and fauna disappear.
into environmental protection technology.
(prediction of climate change, CCS,
water quality management, control of toxic materials)
Shifting to low carbon industries
Emerging low carbon green industry
via greenization of industry & space and zero-emission
technologies.
(Intelligent transportation & logistics, city revitalization,
and virtual reality)
Market for carbon emission reduction and green industry
expected to grow to 3 trillion won by 1220.
Green Technology Race to be more competitive among
advanced countries like the U.S., Japan and EU.
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II. Current Situation & Investment Target
Korea’s Green Competitiveness
II. Current Situation & Investment Target
Green Competitiveness refers to the national competitiveness to realize green growth
via low-carbon and green industry.
Classification
Japan
Germany
U.K.
U.S.A.
Korea
OECD
- Green Competitiveness Index (Rank)
112.8 (1)
109.6 (3)
109.0 (4)
103.2 (7)
97.4 (11)
104.3
- Low-Carbonization Index (Rank)
114.0 (1)
105.2 (6)
108.3 (3)
101.4 (9)
88.2 (13)
104.3
- Green Industrialization (Rank)
110.9 (1)
110.8 (2)
108.5 (4)
103.8 (7)
102.3 (8)
103.8
※comparing with major 15 countries
11th
Overall Green
Competitiveness
Weakness
13th
Low-Carbonization
Index
Strength
8th
New, renewable energy application &
energy efficiency
Green
Industrialization
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Science & technology,
environmental management
Korea’s Overall Conditions
II. Current Situation & Investment Target
Steady Increase of Green House
Gas Emission
Level of GT Lower
than Advanced Countries
 16th in the world for green house
gas emission
 10th in the world for CO2 emission
Korea’s leading GT is around 60% of
that of advanced countries
Renewable energy (62%)
atomic energy& nuclear fusion
(64%)
Hydrogen & fuel cell (55%), etc.
Need to Implement the GT
Development Strategy in
National Scale
Inclination to Import New technology
Rather than Develop One
Import Dependency: Solar Power 75%, Wind Power 99.6%
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II. Current Situation & Investment Target
Issues by Type of GT
Not enough preparation for commercialization and export, to preoccupy rapidly-growing
new, renewable energy market.
Core original technology of solar cell not secured, and need to improve localization of
manufacturing equipment for greater price competitiveness and to secure an economic scale of
production.
Insufficient verification, distribution & core original technology for enhancing energy
efficiency
Intelligent grid or electrical power IT needs governmental support to build a verification complex.
For IGCC, not enough infrastructure like plants and not enough incentives to attract power
companies.
Urgent need to enhance green competitiveness of key industries and acquire living-based
technology.
Levels of eco-friendly city and city revitalization technology are 20~50%,
so that technological competitiveness is in urgent need.
Need to introduce certification system and reinforcement of regulatory standard in order to
enhance the greenization of key industries.
Not enough response capacity to climate change and resource circulation system in regard
to domestic circumstances.
Resource circulation and environment purification technologies do not meet international standards.
Few information DB for the evaluation of environmental hazards.
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Governmental Implementation by Department
Fusion GT
Traditional GT R&D
MEST
Mid & long-term, fundamental & original
technology research and training;
atomic energy & nuclear fusion research
MKE
Research on energy sources such as
developing new & renewable energy and
enhancing efficiency of electrical power;
research on high efficiency green-tech.
MoE
Environmental green technology such as
reducing air pollution, improving water
quality and waste treatment.
MLTM
Research on eco-friendly method of
construction and green technology in the
field of marine energy.
II. Current Situation & Investment Target
Base-type Fusion GT
Fundamental technology applicable to
every field through the fusion between IT,
BT and NT.
Mission-type Fusion GT
Technology to create added vale in the
industry and products specifically
connected to each ministry’s mission
through the fusion of IT, BT and NT.
Selection of major fields for FGT in close consultation with related ministries /
Implementation of R&D by the ministries according to their division of roles.
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II. Current Situation & Investment Target
Investment Target of Green Technology
R&D Investment Target
Plans to double the R&D investment on green technology by 2012.
R&D investment on green technology: from estimated 1 trillion won in 2008 to
2 trillion won by 2012.
 7.3 trillion won over 5 years, which is annual growth rate of 19%.
Strategically Focus on fusion green technology.
Total investment will be
more than doubled
“Green Technology includes IT, BT, NT, CT
and goes beyond all these combined.”
(Pr. Lee Myung-bak, the Liberation Day speech)
2007
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2012
III. Green Technology R&D Roadmap
III. Green Technology R&D Roadmap
Area of Strategic Focus
Prediction
Production
Consumption
• Environmental load reduction
and recycle
PostProcess
Technology
Prediction
Technology
• Climate change
prediction
and evaluation
High Efficiency
Technology
• Efficiency
Alt. Energy
Resource
Technology
• Alternative energy
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Application
Technology
• Knowledge
based
pollutant free
industry
III. Green Technology R&D Roadmap
Picking Technologies of Strategic Focus
Basic Technology like IT, BT, NT & Other Industrial Technologies
Information based pollution free industry
Climate Change
Technology
Monitoring & Prediction of Climate Change
Impact Evaluation and Countermeasures
Future Energy (Nuclear Fusion · atomic power), CO2 Absorbent
Renewable Energy
Bio Energy
Hydro Power
Maritime Energy
Geothermal Energy
Green Energy
Environmental Technology
Solar Power
Wind Power
Hydrogen & Fuel Cell
Coal Liquefaction &
Gasification
CO2
Capture &
Storage
Energy Efficiency
Green Home
Green Car
Energy-saving Home
Applicances
High-capacity Generation
Energy Storage
LED
Electric Power IT
Gas To
Liquids
(GTL)
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Non-CO2
Control
Eco-Friendly Products &
Process
Environmental Health
Environmental Recovery
Resource Circulation
Water Treatment
Pollution Prevention
III. Green Technology R&D Roadmap
Investment Strategy for GT Development
To set investment direction in consideration of current investment scale, technologies and the
timing of commercialization.
R&D investment on GT of strategic focus will be more than doubled by 1012 from 1.4 trillion
won in 2008.
Short-term,
intensive
investment
Mid-term,
intensive
investment
Long-term,
intensive
investment
Long-term,
Incremental
Investment
Technologies that require timely market entry by shortterm verification, distribution.
→ silicon solar cell, advanced reactor, lighting LED,
high-efficiency, low pollution vehicles (hybrid cars, etc.)
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’20
’30
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Technologies needed to get dominant position in the
market for mid-term competitiveness.
→ High efficiency low pollution vehicles (electric & fuel cell),
virtual reality, green process, rechargeable battery,
non-CO2 treatment, water quality management,
alternative water resource, waste cut-down
Technologies that needs to be nurtured as the world
leading ones.
→ fast reactor, nuclear fusion reactor, hydrogen energy, fuel cell,
eco-friendly plant growing, IGCC, urban revitalization,
eco-friendly building, intelligent grid, CCS, toxic materials,
prediction, evaluation & adaptation of climate change
Fundamental and original technologies that must be
acquired by steady investment.
→ non-silicon solar cell, bio energy,
intelligent transportation & logistics
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III. Green Technology R&D Roadmap
GT-Related Human Resources
Level of HR Required by Technological Area
High-quality HR Rate by Technology
Demand on high quality HR are the highest
Original & Fundamental
in original & fundamental technology.
Verification & Distribution
※High-Quality HR Ratio =
Growth Engine
Masters & PhDs / Undergraduates + Masters & PhDs
0.77
0.69
0.62
Number of HR Required by Technological Area
R&D personnel in the 27 technologies of strategic focus will rise to 33,000 by 2012 from 20,000
in 2008.
Supply will be made with hiring about 7,000 unemployed people of related major and recruiting
14,000, and by re-educating 9,000 existing personnel and inviting 2,700 HR from abroad.
How to Acquire GT Personnel
Job rotation of the existing personnel.
- Qualitative more than quantitative recruitment is needed. (ex) green job rotation training
Offering special courses at graduate schools and GT basic track at undergraduate schools.
International projects to attract GT human resources from abroad.
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III. Green Technology R&D Roadmap
GT-related Regulatory Change
Technology Concerned
Intelligent Grid
[Electric Power IT),
Rechargeable Battery
Eco-friendly Building
High Efficiency,
Low Pollution Vehicles
Solar Cell, Bio Energy
Green Process
Regulation
Merits
Real-time Energy Trade System
Changes in consumption pattern,
Cut-down of energy consumption
Installation of Energy Storage System
Vitalization of battery market,
Stabilization of power supply
Reinforcing Standard for Energy
Efficiency of Buildings
Acquiring state-of-the-art energy
efficiency technology;
More energy savings of buildings
Restricting Carbon Emission from Cars
No more trade barrier when
exporting cars to Europe
Electric Cars Only Lanes for Shortdistance Driving
(120Km/h → 80Km/h)
Enable to expand consumer market
for electric cars
Expanding domestic market for
Distribution System of Renewable Energy,
renewable energy and boosting
strategically combining (FIT & RPS)
export
Reinforcing Standard for Renewable
Increasing Reliability of the
Products & Facilities
products & facilities
Reinforcing Standard for Eco-friendly
Development of plant industry and
Production Design and Tax Break for
Low carbon industrial sites
Building the Facilities.
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Challenges to Yield Results in Short Time
III. Green Technology R&D Roadmap
7 Core Technology & Products to Be Developed or Commercialized by 2012
Lighting
LED
To be a growth
engine by 2012
Improving Efficiency of Lighting Devices for Home and Industry over
120lm/w from 80lm/w as of now.
Silicon
Solar Cell
To be
commercialized
early 2012
Completing the development of hetero-junction/ rear contact technology
and high-efficiency, scalable module production technology. And raising
energy conversion efficiency to around 16.5% from 15% as of now.
Hybrid
Cars
To be developed
by 2010
Completing the development of LPG hybrid cars with CO2 emission cut
down by 30% and commercializing them by 2012.
Intelligent
Grid
To be
commercialized
by 2011
Completing the development of Smart Meter, Networking technology,
distribution connection technology and commercializing Advanced
Metering System by 2011.
Advanced
Reactor
To be developed
by 2012
Completing the development of APR+ standard design technology, and
starting to export OPR1000, APR1400, SMART, which have been already
developed.
Fuel Cell
Products to be out
for an early entry
into the market no
later than 2012
Completing the commercialization of 1kW PEMFC (Proton Exchange
Membrane Fuel Cells) for home use. And starting to commercialize
products for portable/ mobile devices like notebook computers.
CO2
Capture
To be develped
by 2012
Completing the development of 200~1000MW CO2 capture plant for trial
service and test. And reducing the capture cost to 10$/ CO2 ton by 2020
from 30$/CO2 ton of 2008.
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III. Green Technology R&D Roadmap
Expected Effects
Sscience
& Technology
Securing World Class GT Ahead of Others.
- GT will grow from 51% in 2008 to 94% by 2030.
Making GT Next Generation Growth Engine.
Economy
- Soaring growth of domestic market and occupying the world
market in advance.
Drastic Cut-down of CO2 and Preservation of Environment
Environment
- Less CO2 emission thorough lessening dependency on fossil fuel
and improving energy efficiency
90(%)
4.1 (100bil. dollars)
129 (1mil. CO ton)
2
1,185(1000)
80
51
481
1.5
47
222
0.6
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Technological Advancement
’07
1
’12
’20
’07
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Job Creation
Expanding Export
& Domestic Market
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’07
’12
’20
Cutting down CO2
III. Green Technology R&D Roadmap
Future Scenario of GT Development
GT Is the Key to Adapt to Climate Change
369ppm(’00)
454ppm(’30)
532ppm(’50)
CO2 concentration would
rise 44%('00~'50),
(Balanced Development(A1B)
Scenario(IPCC, ’07))
CO2 emission
Aadvanced Reactor
Non-CO2 Treatment
CCS
Lighting LED
Highly Efficient
& Clean
Eco-friendly Building
High Efficiency,
Low Pollution Vehicles
Hydrogen
Energy
Fast Reactor
Nuclear Fusion
Reactor
Bio Energy
Silicon Solar Cell
IGCC
Green Process
Intelligent grid
Fuel Cell
’08
’12
Non-Silicon Solar Cell
’20
’30
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’50
Energy Sources
Green growth, contributing to Korean and Beyond
Contribution to
the International
Community
Improvement
of the Quality
of life
National
Development
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