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Domestic Heating and Ventilation Preparation For Change Electrex - Birmingham 17th May 2006 Kelly Butler Director Struggling To Keep Up? • • • • • Why we face constant regulatory change How have we arrived where we are today? What can we expect in the future? Key product issues now and in the future The probable industry response Change Is Not Negotiable! • The Energy White Paper 2003 To put ourselves on the path to cut the UK’s CO2 emissions by some 60% by about 2050, with real progress by 2020 To ensure every home is adequately and affordably heated To maintain the reliability of energy supplies • The Energy Review 2005/6 Further action needed on climate change beyond 2012 Rising fuel prices UK is a net importer of gas and becoming a net oil importer The wider view Renewables Nuclear LNG Carbon Efficiency Gas Oil Coal Energy Production Mix Energy Efficiency Climate Change Environmental Energy Security National Security Result: Ever tighter regulation Political 9 Years of Change & Influence 1997 – 2000 EST Grants HECAction Energy Efficiency Advice EE Campaign HEES (Electric) SoP1&2 (Electric) Best Practice New Build Regulations 1997 2000-2005 SoP3 & EEC (gas) Warm Front HECAction Energy Efficiency Advice EE Campaign Endorsement Best Practice (CHeSS) Existing Build Regulations Clear Skies Eco Homes PV Programme Community Heating 2006 - - - EEC (bigger but relevant?) Energy Services pilots Warm Front Sustainable Energy Advice EE Campaign Endorsement Best Practice Building Regulations Low Carbon Building Programme Community Heating Home Condition Report Sustainable Housing Code Sustainable Construction Strategy Eco Homes The 2006 Macro Market View • Best Practice • Home Energy Report • Eco Homes • Warm Front/HEES • ECA Technology list • Building Regulations L & F • Energy Saving Recommended • SAP 2005 • Energy Efficiency Commitment • Code for Sustainable Homes • Advice Programmes • Low Carbon Programme • Innovation Programmes • Decent Homes • Information campaigns Agencies etc Government • Energy Policy/Mix Electric Heating Sector • WEEE/RoHS Directives Europe • Energy Using Products Directive • Energy Performance in Buildings Directive In A Nutshell • Thermally efficient Buildings • Air tight • Lower heat demand • Ventilation challenge • Highly efficient Products • Sustainable manufacture • Local generation demand • System specified • Lower carbon central generation Supply • Financial incentives for local generation • Electrical renaissance expected • Better metering and tariff options 2006 Product Issues • • • • Mechanical ventilation expansion Predictive controls for electric heating Highly efficient direct/storage systems Introduction of new renewable offers – Solar Thermal – Heat pumps – Micro wind and photovoltaic modules Life In 2010 • 20% further improvement in buildings • Tougher challenges: – Diminishing returns on thermal performance – Hot water dominant, low heat load (1-2kW) – Adequate fresh air in an air tight house • Probable emphasis towards ventilation, solar and heat pumps 2010 – Product Issues • ‘Services’ integration (traditional heating/ventilation/renewables combinations) – Revised SAP approach – Clear package exemplars for dwelling types • Consolidated supply routes (single supply and distribution/professional contractor relationships) – Product and design training – Marketing support – Design services The Next 5 years • Large manufacturers backing systems (big players will drive renewables) • Distribution framework will converge (merchant and wholesaler takeovers) • Introduction of Super Contractors (supported by manufacturers and aligned to the brands) Change Can Be OK • If you understand the policy vision and • If the industry works towards that vision… in a focused and business like fashion.