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Text Mining the Contributors to Rail Accidents
Abstract:
Text
mining,
also
referred
to
as text data mining,
roughly
equivalent
to text analytics, refers to the process of deriving high-quality information
from text. High-quality information is typically derived through the devising of
patterns and trends through means such as statistical pattern learning.
Rail
accidents represent an important safety concern for the
transportation industry in many countries. In the 11 years from 2001 to
2012, the U.S. had more than 40 000 rail accidents that cost more than
$45 million. While most of the accidents during this period had very
little cost, about 5200 had damages in excess of $141 500. To better
understand the contributors to these extreme accidents, the Federal
Railroad Administration has required the railroads involved in accidents
to submit reports that contain both fixed field entries and narratives that
describe the characteristics of the accident. While a number of studies
have looked at the fixed fields, none have done an extensive analysis of
the narratives. This paper describes the use of text mining with a
combination
of
techniques
to
automatically
discover
accident
characteristics that can inform a better understanding of the contributors
to the accidents. The study evaluates the efficacy of text mining of
accident narratives by assessing predictive performance for the costs of
extreme accidents. The results show that predictive accuracy for
accident costs significantly improves through the use of features found
by text mining and predictive accuracy further improves through the use
of modern ensemble methods. Importantly, this study also shows
through case examples how the findings from text mining of the
narratives can improve understanding of the contributors to rail
accidents in ways not possible through only fixed field analysis of the
accident reports.
Apriori Algorithm:
The Apriori Algorithm is an influential algorithm for mining frequent item sets
for Boolean association rules.
• APriori uses a "bottom up" approach, where frequent subsets are extended one
item at a time (a step known as candidate generation, and groups of candidates are
tested against the data. Apriori is designed to operate on databases containing
transactions (for example, collections of items bought by customers, or details of a
website frequentation). Other algorithms are designed for finding association rules
in data having no transactions or having no timestamps (DNA sequencing). Each
transaction is seen as a set of items (an item set). Given a threshold the Apriori
algorithm identifies the item sets which are subsets of at least transactions in the
database.
Module Description:
Generate Accident Report
This paper integrates methods for safety analysis with accident report data and text
mining to uncover contributors to rail accidents. This section describes related
work in rail and, more generally, transportation safety and also introduces the
relevant data and text mining techniques.
Characteristics of Accident Report
This report has a number of fields that include characteristics of the train or trains,
the personnel on the trains operational conditions (e.g., speed at the time of
accident, highest speed before the accident, number of cars, and weight), and the
primary cause of the accident.
This field has become increasingly important because of the large amounts of data
available in documents, news articles, research papers, and accident reports.
Stored In databases:
Text databases are semi structured because in addition to the free text they also
contain structured fields that have the titles, authors, dates, and other Meta data.
The accident reports used in this paper are semi structured.
Step by Step Process:
User:
User Register the Accident details and casualty details.
All the details stored in the Database.
Admin:
Admin can verify the Accident details.
Predict the accident and casualty details.
SYSTEM SPECIFICATION
Hardware Requirements:
• System
: Pentium IV 2.4 GHz.
• Hard Disk
: 40 GB.
• Floppy Drive
: 1.44 Mb.
• Monitor
: 14’ Colour Monitor.
• Mouse
: Optical Mouse.
• Ram
: 512 Mb.
Software Requirements:
• Operating system
: Windows 7 Ultimate.
• Coding Language
: ASP.Net with C#
• Front-End
: Visual Studio 2010 Professional.
• Data Base
: SQL Server 2008.
Conclusion:
In this Paper, show that the combination of text analysis with ensemble methods
can improve the accuracy of models for predicting accident severity and that text
analysis can provide insights into accident characteristics. Modern text analysis
methods make the narratives in the accident reports almost as accessible for
detailed analysis as the fixed fields in the reports. More importantly as the
examples illustrated, text mining of the narratives can provide a much richer
amount of information than is possible in the fixed fields. Finally, as described in
the work here used standard methods to clean the narratives. However, train
accident narratives use jargon common to the rail transport industry and classical
stemming and stop word removal do not necessarily do a good job of
characterizing the words used in this industry. For train safety analysis, text mining
could benefit from a careful look at ways to extract features from text that takes
advantage of language characteristics particular to the rail transport industry.