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SNC2P Earth’s Dynamic Climate The Science of Climate Change Is climate change new? • Climate change is a natural part of Earth’s history. – For example, thousands of years ago, thick ice sheets covered most of Canada and a large portion of the United States. Increased Temperature • In the last 100 years the earth has warmed by 0.74°C • Eleven of the twelve years (1995-2006) rank among the twelve warmest years since 1850 • There is a risk that by the end of the 21st Century temperatures could rise by between 1.1 and 6.4°C. WEATHER AND CLIMATE • Have you ever wondered why it can rain one minute and be sunny the next? • Have you ever wondered why it is always drier in central Canada than it is on the coast? • The reason is simple: while weather can change quickly, with big variations over a day, climate changes over much longer timeframes. • Rainfall patterns, for example, do not simply change overnight. • Changes in the weather are generally well-understood and despite what many people think, meteorologists are pretty good at predicting what the weather will be the following day. Weather • Weather is what atmospheric conditions are present over a short period of time. • Weather is the day-to-day state of the atmosphere. • Weather is thought of as the combination of temperature, humidity, precipitation, cloudiness, visibility, and wind. • We talk about the weather in terms of: – "What will it be like today?” –"How hot is it right now?” –"When will that storm hit our section of the country?" Climate • Climate is how the atmosphere "behaves" over relatively long periods of time. • Climate is defined as statistical weather information that describes the variation of weather at a given place for a specified interval. • It is the weather of a locality averaged over some period (usually 30 years) plus statistics of weather extremes. TEMPERATURE AND CLIMATE Temperature and Climate • The Earth is surrounded by an envelope of gases called the atmosphere. • Without this envelop, the days would be too hot and the nights would be too cold! • So how is heat energy transferred? How is Heat Transferred? • Heat is always transferred from the hotter object to the colder object. • There are three types of heat transfer: Conduction • The transfer of heat between substances that are in direct contact with one another • The better the conductor the more rapidly the heat will transfer. Convection • The up and down movement of gases and liquids caused by heat transfer. • As a gas/liquid is heated it expands and rises because it is less dense. As it rises and expands, it cools and falls. This creates convection currents. Radiation • Electromagnetic waves moving through space. These waves come in contact with an object and transfer the heat to the object. THE EARTH’S CLIMATE SYSTEMS • The Earth’s climate system is affected by the interactions of different subsystems such as the atmosphere, the hydrosphere (oceans and rivers) and the biosphere (forests, plants and soil). • Although individual interactions between forests and the atmosphere are well understood, the way all these different subsystems interact is very complex and much harder to understand. Earth’s Climate Systems What does it involve? • Lithosphere • Atmosphere •Hydrosphere These components interact with one another and with aspects of Earth’s biosphere to determine not only day-today whether, but also long term averages, climate. Lithosphere • The lithosphere is the rocky layer that covers the earth. Atmosphere • The atmosphere is the air that surrounds the earth. Hydrosphere The hydrosphere is all the water on or near the earth’s surface. Factors Affecting Climate Change 1. The Sun 2. The Earth 3. The Atmosphere 4. The Hydrosphere 5. Human Activity Factors Affecting Climate Change 1. The Sun 2. The Earth 3. The Atmosphere 4. The Hydrosphere 5. Human Activity The Sun • The sun is a huge globe of mostly hydrogen (73%), the lightest of the gases. There is also 25% Helium. • It is about 1.4 million kilometers in diameter (110 times the diameter of the earth). • The sun is so hot (15 000 000 oC) that the gas glows and it is this light that speeds through space to reach and warm the earth. The sun is all “atmosphere” because it is all gas. When people refer to the “surface” of the sun, they are referring to the outside glowing region called the photosphere. • The surface of the sun (photosphere) constantly churns and writhes. • Solar prominences are streamers of glowing gas that arch into space. • Some regions on the sun are cooler than their surrounding and therefore appear to be darker. These are known as sun spots. • Near sun spots are where violent solar flares occur, sending streams of high energy subatomic particles into space. This outflow of particles is known as the solar wind and can have a great affect on the activities of earth. Solar Energy • Heat produces winds, rain and other features of climate. Changes in Solar Activity • The Sun produces a variable amount of energy. • When the number of sunspots is high, the Sun emits higher amounts of solar radiation. • Some scientists believe that changes in solar output are the main cause of climate change in the past. Factors Affecting Climate Change 1. The Sun 2. The Earth 3. The Atmosphere 4. The Hydrosphere 5. Human Activity Factors on Earth that Affect Climate 1.Rotation 2.Revolution 3.Tilt 4.Latitude Rotation vs. Revolution Review • Earth rotates once every 24 hours (1 day) around its axis, an imaginary line that goes from the North Pole to the South Pole through the center of the Earth. • The Earth also revolves (orbits) around the Sun every 365 and a half days (1 year). • Another important detail is that the Earth’s axis of rotation is tilted at an angle of about 23.5˚ Solar Energy and the Earth • The amount of solar energy that reaches Earth depends on solar activity, the shape of the Earth and the tilt of the Earth. Earth’s Seasons The seasons are created by Earth’s revolution and its tilted axis. Latitude • A crucial feature of the climate system is that the energy coming from the sun is not distributed uniformly across the surface of the Earth. • Due to the shape of the Earth, the energy is most intense at the equator and weakest at the poles. Temperatures Around the World • This non-uniform energy distribution leads to temperature differences. MORE ON EARTH Land Surfaces • Earth’s outer layer is made of massive pieces of solid rock, called tectonic plates. • Earth has about 12 major plates that move at a rate of a few centimeters per year. The plates carry the continents with them as they move. • This means that the shape of the oceans and continents is always changing. The Movement of the Continental Plates • Patterns of air and water circulation are affected, which in turn affects the thermal energy around the world. • The formation of mountain chains also affects the patterns of wind and precipitation around the globe. Volcanoes • Most volcanoes are located at the boundaries of tectonic plates. • Plate movement affects climate by producing volcanic activity. • In these areas, molten rock and gases from below the Earth’s crust rise up through cracks in the rock and spew into the air as volcanic eruptions. • During a volcanic eruption, particles called aerosols (such as ash) are released into the atmosphere. • Aerosols: – reflect solar radiation and have a cooling effect on the global climate – scatter light • Some volcanic eruptions can raise global temperatures by releasing greenhouse gases. Volcanic Eruptions Factors Affecting Climate Change 1. The Sun 2. The Earth 3. The Atmosphere 4. The Hydrosphere 5. Human Activity Atmospheric Factors that Affect Climate 1.Greenhouse Effect 2.Wind The Atmosphere… Earth’s Warm, Snuggly Blanket • The Earth’s atmosphere is like a big blanket that surrounds the globe keeping humans warm. If it was suddenly stripped off, the Earth’s average temperature would plummet and everything would freeze. • Like a blanket that could be made from a mix of cotton and wool, the Earth’s atmosphere is made from a mixture of gases. • The atmosphere starts at Earth’s surface and goes up to about 560 km into space. • It is mostly made of nitrogen (N2) and oxygen (O2) gases as well as water vapour, very low concentrations of other gases and particles of solids. The Earth’s Atmosphere •The greenhouse effect occurs because the Sun’s shortwave radiation passes through the atmosphere and warms the Earth’s surface. •This warm surface then radiates long wave infra-red radiation back into space. •The greenhouse gases absorb some of the infrared radiation and re-radiate it back to the atmosphere and the ground. • The process is similar to how a greenhouse traps warmth and why the term greenhouse effect has become part of everyday language. • Any change to the volume of greenhouse gases therefore changes the temperature on Earth. It is a bit like putting an extra blanket on your bed – it traps more of your body heat under the covers. • As the earth slowly warms, the whole climate system is affected. Greenhouse Gases • The main gases are nitrogen, oxygen and argon. • There are also trace gases such as carbon dioxide, water vapour, methane, ozone and nitrous oxide. • These are called the greenhouse gases because they create a warm environment for the Earth. • Some greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide, are constantly being added to and removed from the atmosphere by natural processes. • However, the recent increase in their concentration and the addition of new gases due to human actions is the driving force of changes in climate that the world is now experiencing. Wind • Wind is caused by uneven heating of Earth’s surface. • The air moves as wind transfers thermal energy around the world from warm areas to cooler areas. • It is the movement of air from an area of high pressure to an area of lower pressure. Prevailing Winds • Winds blow in fairly constant directions around the world. These are known as prevailing winds. Wind • Winds disperse energy throughout the atmosphere. • The movement of air affects: – precipitation patterns – ocean currents Precipitation • As air masses of different densities move across the Earth’s surface, they interact. • When air masses meet (called a front), one air mass usually rises over the other. • The rising air cools and any water vapour in the air condenses to form precipitation. • Winds start the ocean currents flowing, but two other factors influence the patterns of flowing waters – continents and the Coriolis effect. • Ocean currents turn right in the Northern Hemisphere and turn left in the Southern Hemisphere. Result of all Factors that act on the Oceans • Looking at the diagram, you may notice the nearly circular currents. These are called gyres. Ocean Currents • The difference in atmospheric temperature cause the ocean to react and create convection currents. These currents transport heat from the warm tropics to the cold Polar Regions and back again. Factors Affecting Climate Change 1. The Sun 2. The Earth 3. The Atmosphere 4. The Hydrosphere 5. Human Activity The Hydrosphere • Two thirds of the Earth is covered by oceans. • The hydrosphere includes all of the water on the planet in its different forms. • On Earth water is found in many forms: – vapour and clouds of water droplets in the atmosphere – liquid in the oceans, seas, and smaller bodies of water – ice and snow in temperate and colder regions Gas Liquid Solid Specific Heat Capacity • Oceans and lakes act as heat reservoirs. They buffer temperatures in the atmosphere. • Large bodies of water influence climate because water has a large specific heat capacity compared with other substances. Specific Heat Capacity • Specific heat capacity is the amount of heat required to raise the temperature of one gram of a substance by one degree Celsius. • Water has a large specific heat capacity. This means it takes more heat to raise the temperature of 1 g of water by 1oC than it does to do the same to many other substances. Specific Heat Capacity… So what? • The higher the heat capacity, the longer it takes to warm the substance up and the slower the substance loses its heat. • Water’s high specific heat capacity means that a land mass near a large body of water will have its temperature “moderated” by the water – it will warm up more slowly in summer and cool down slowly in winter than will a land mass further from water. The water will warm and cool more slowly than the beach 25 degrees 20 degrees Specific Heat Capacity Some Common Specific Heat Capacity Values Substance Specific Heat Capacity in “The number of joules of heat energy needed to raise the temperature of 1 g of the substance by 1oC.” Pure Water 4.18 Sea Water 3.89 Dry Air 1.00 Wet mud 2.51 Sandy soil 0.92 Snow and Ice • Ice and snow reflect heat • The light colour of ice and snow allow them to reflect solar radiation. • Because as we know, light-coloured surfaces reflect energy, and dark surfaces absorb energy. Humidity • Absolute humidity is the actual amount of water vapor in the air, expressed in grams of water vapor per kg of air. • Relative humidity is the percent of water vapor in the air compared with the amount of water vapor that the air would contain if it were saturated. Factors Affecting Climate Change 1. The Sun 2. The Earth 3. The Atmosphere 4. The Hydrosphere 5. Human Activity • In the past, scientists have had great difficulty understanding and predicting changes in climate. • Recently though, reliable evidence has emerged on how subsystems interacted and produced past climatic changes. Using and improving complex climate models with sophisticated computer programs, scientists have been able to simulate weather and climate. Scientists are now able to predict climate changes that could follow from human actions. Human Activities and The Greenhouse Effect • Over the past century major changes have occurred in agriculture, manufacturing and transportation, most notably since the middle of the 19th century and the Industrial Revolution. • One major change is the replacement of organic fuels such as wood, with fossil fuels such as coal and oil. Burning of Fossil Fuels • With the exception of water vapour, the concentration of greenhouse gases has steadily been increasing. – The concentration of carbon dioxide (CO2) in the atmosphere has been increasing rapidly since the Industrial Revolution as we have burnt more fossil fuels. • To check whether this might simply be a coincidence, scientists have examined the long term geological record to see whether the increase in CO2 over the last two centuries is normal or unusual. Ice Cores • Ice cores taken from Antarctica and the Arctic indicate that the concentrations of CO2 have risen at a rate that has no precedent in the geological record. There are no known natural processes that would create such a large increase in CO2. • Scientists have concluded that human activities are the main cause of the increase in CO2 in the atmosphere. • In addition to burning fossil fuels, clearing of forests and releasing industrial gases such as refrigerants, have also contributed to the enhanced greenhouse effect. Tree Rings and Global Warming • A continuous record has been established by examining tree rings. • Rings in wood reflect the changing seasons of cold and drought, warmth and precipitation during the life of a tree. • By examining wood from trees of different ages and from different time periods, a continuous record of climate changes can be established that goes back a few thousand years. More on Greenhouse Gases • Another of the main greenhouse gases is methane (CH4), which is 25 times more effective a greenhouse gas than CO2. This means that although methane is less abundant than CO2, its presence has a major impact on heat absorption in the atmosphere. • In other words, even though most of the blanket surrounding the Earth is made of CO2, the part made of methane is a bit like pure wool, it keeps you very warm. Methane • Methane is generated by the bacterial decay of dead plant and animal material (including in waste landfills). • It is also produced by livestock farming (due to fermentation processes in the gut of cattle). • Rice cultivation produces methane. • Methane can also be found in leakage from fossil fuel production processes such as coal mining and natural gas distribution. • Unstable and collapsing ice sheets allowed frozen pockets of methane to erupt to the surface. Methane belching out from beneath ice sheets • Some scientists believe that methane is a far more damaging greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide! • The analysis of ice cores indicates that changes in methane concentrations in the atmosphere over time coincide with rises in the human population. • This suggests that human activities associated with urbanization, industry and agriculture are all significant factors in methane production, and hence climate change. Ozone Layer • Ultraviolet radiation is a part of the solar radiation spectrum. It causes sun-burn and is deadly to living organisms, including humans. • Ozone can absorb the most lethal type of ultraviolet rays and is therefore crucial to life on Earth. • Since 1980, the ozone in the atmosphere has been depleting because of pollutants emitted by human manufacture. • The issue of ozone depletion is an entirely different process to the greenhouse effect. • The two are commonly confused, but they are, simply, two destructive processes occurring in the atmosphere in response to human activities.