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Sequence Data Mining:
Techniques and Applications
Sunita Sarawagi
IIT Bombay
Mark Craven
University of Wisconsin
http://www.it.iitb.ac.in/~sunita
http://www.biostat.wisc.edu/~craven
What is a sequence?
• Ordered set of elements: s = a1,a2,..an
• Each element ai could be
– Numerical
– Categorical: domain a finite set of symbols S, |S|=m
– Multiple attributes
• The length n of a sequence is not fixed
• Order determined by time or position and could
be regular or irregular
Real-life sequences
• Classical applications
– Speech: sequence of phonemes
– Language: sequence of words and delimiters
– Handwriting: sequence of strokes
• Newer applications
– Bioinformatics:
• Genes: Sequence of 4 possible nucleotides, |S|=4
– Example: AACTGACCTGGGCCCAATCC
• Proteins: Sequence of 20 possible amino-acids, |S|=20
– Example:
– Telecommunications: alarms, data packets
– Retail data mining: Customer behavior, sessions in a e-store
(Example, Amazon)
– Intrusion detection
Intrusion detection
• Intrusions could be detected at
– Network-level (denial-of-service attacks,
port-scans, etc) [KDD Cup 99]
• Sequence of TCP-dumps
– Host-level (attacks on privileged programs
like lpr, sendmail)
• Sequence of system calls
• |S| = set of all possible system calls ~100
open
lseek
lstat
mmap
execve
ioctl
ioctl
close
execve
close
unlink
Outline
• Traditional mining operations on sequences
– Classification
– Clustering
– Finding repeated patterns
• Primitives for handling sequence data
• Sequence-specific mining operations
– Partial sequence classification (Tagging)
– Segmenting a sequence
– Predicting next symbol of a sequence
• Applications in biological sequence mining
Classification of whole sequences
Given:
– a set of classes C and
– a number of example sequences in each class,
train a model so that for an unseen sequence we
can say to which class it belongs
Example:
– Given a set of protein families, find family of a new
protein
– Given a sequence of packets, label session as
intrusion or normal
– Given several utterances of a set of words, classify a
new utterance to the right word
Conventional classification methods
• Conventional classification methods assume
– record data: fixed number of attributes
– single record per instance to be classified (no order)
• Sequences:
– variable length, order important.
• Adapting conventional classifiers to sequences
–
–
–
–
Generative classifiers
Boundary-based classifiers
Distance based classifiers
Kernel-based classifiers
Generative methods
• For each class i,
x
train a generative model Mi to
maximize likelihood over all
training sequences in the class i
Pr(x|c1)*Pr(c1)
Pr(x|c2)*Pr(c2)
Pr(x|c3)*Pr(c3)
• Estimate Pr(ci) as fraction of training
instances in class i
• For a new sequence x,
– find Pr(x|ci)*Pr(ci) for each i using Mi
– choose i with the largest value of Pr(x|ci)*P(ci)
Need a generative model for sequence data
Boundary-based methods
• Data: points in a fixed multi-dimensional space
• Output of training: Boundaries that define regions
within which same class predicted
• Application: Tests on boundaries to find region
Linear discriminants Decision trees
Neural networks
Need to embed sequence data in a fixed coordinate space
Kernel-based classifiers
• Define function K(xi, x) that intuitively defines similarity
between two sequences and satisfies two properties
– K is symmetric i.e., K(xi, x) = K(x, xi)
– K is positive definite
• Training: learn for each class c,
– wic for each train sequence xi
– bc
• Application: predict class of x
– For each class c, find f(x,c) = S wicK(xi, x)+bc
– Predicted class is c with highest value f(x,c)
• Well-known kernel classifiers
– Nearest neighbor classifier
– Support Vector Machines
– Radial Basis functions
Need kernel/similarity function
Sequence clustering
• Given a set of sequences, create groups such
that similar sequences in the same group
• Three kinds of clustering algorithms
– Distance-based:
• K-means
• Various hierarchical algorithms
– Model-based algorithms
Need similarity function
Need generative models
• Expectation Maximization algorithm
– Density-based algorithms
• Clique
Need dimensional embedding
Outline
• Traditional mining on sequences
• Primitives for handling sequence data
– Embed sequence in a fixed dimensional space
• All conventional record mining techniques will apply
– Generative models for sequence
• Sequence classification: generative methods
• Clustering sequences: model-based approach
– Distance between two sequences
• Sequence classification: SVM and NN
• Clustering sequences: distance-based approach
• Sequence-specific mining operations
• Applications
Embedding sequences in fixed
dimensional space
• Ignore order, each symbol maps to a dimension
– extensively used in text classification and clustering
• Extract aggregate features
– Real-valued elements: Fourier coefficients, Wavelet coefficients,
Auto-regressive coefficients
– Categorical data: number of symbol changes
• Sliding window techniques (k: window size)
– Define a coordinate for each possible k-gram a (mk coordinates)
 a-th coordinate is number of times a in sequence
• (k,b) mismatch score: a-th coordinate is number of k-grams in
sequence with b mismatches with a
– Define a coordinate for each of the k-positions
• Multiple rows per sequence
One symbol per column
o
c
l
i
e
m
1
2
1
1
3
2
1
2
..
..
..
..
..
..
3
..
..
..
..
..
..
Sliding window: window-size 3
One row per trace
Multiple rows per trace
ioe cli
oli
lie
lim ...
1
1
0
1
0
1
2
..
..
..
..
..
..
3
..
..
..
..
..
..
mis-match scores: b=1
sid
open
lseek
ioctl
mmap
execve
ioctl
ioctl
open
execve
close
mmap
Sliding window examples
A1 A2 A3
1
o
l
i
1
l
i
m
1
i
m
e
ioe cli
oli
lie
lim ...
1
..
..
..
1
2
1
1
0
1
1
e
c
m
2
..
..
..
..
..
..
3
..
..
..
..
..
..
Detecting attacks on privileged programs
•
•
Short sequences of system calls made during
normal execution of system calls are very
consistent, yet different from the sequences of
its abnormal executions
Two approaches
– STIDE (Warrender 1999)
•
Create dictionary of unique k-windows in normal traces,
count what fraction occur in new traces and threshold.
– RIPPER –based (Lee 1998)
•
next...
Classification models on k-grams trace data
• When both normal
and abnormal data
available
– class label =
normal/abnormal:
7-grams
class
vtimes open seek read read read seek
normal
lstat lstat lstat bind open close vtimes
abnormal
…
…
6-attributes
• When only normal
trace,
– class-label=k-th system
call
class
vtimes open seek read read read seek
lstat lstat lstat bind open close
Learn rules to predict class-label [RIPPER]
vtimes
…
Examples of output RIPPER rules
• Both-traces:
– if the 2nd system call is vtimes and the 7th is vtrace, then the
sequence is “normal”
– if the 6th system call is lseek and the 7th is sigvec, then the
sequence is “normal”
– …
– if none of the above, then the sequence is “abnormal”
• Only-normal:
– if the 3rd system call is lstat and the 4th is write, then the 7th is
stat
– if the 1st system call is sigblock and the 4th is bind, then the 7th
is setsockopt
– …
– if none of the above, then the 7th is open
Experimental results on sendmail
• The output rule sets contain
~250 rules, each with 2 or 3
attribute tests
• Score each trace by counting
fraction of mismatches and
thresholding
Summary: Only normal traces
sufficient to detect intrusions
traces
sscp-1
sscp-2
sscp-3
syslog-remote-1
syslog-remote-2
syslog-local-1
syslog-local-2
decode-1
decode-2
sm565a
sm5x
sendmail
Only-normal
13.5
13.6
13.6
11.5
8.4
6.1
8.0
3.9
4.2
8.1
8.2
0.6
BOTH
32.2
30.4
30.4
21.2
15.6
11.1
15.9
2.1
2.0
8.0
6.5
0.1
Percent of mismatching traces
More realistic experiments
STIDE
Site-1 lpr
Site-2 lpr
named
xlock
•
•
•
•
RIPPER
threshold
%false-pos
threshold
12
12
20
20
0.0
0.0013
0.0019
0.00008
3
4
10
10
%false-pos
0.0016
0.0265
0.0
0.0
[from Warrender 99]
Different programs need different thresholds
Simple methods (e.g. STIDE) work as well
Results sensitive to window size
Is it possible to do better with sequence specific
methods?
Outline
• Traditional mining on sequences
• Primitives for handling sequence data
– Embed sequence in a fixed dimensional space
• All conventional record mining techniques will apply
– Distance between two sequences
• Sequence classification: SVM and NN
• Clustering sequences: distance-based approach
– Generative models for sequences
• Sequence classification: whole and partial
• Clustering sequences: model-based approach
• Sequence-specific mining operations
• Applications in biological sequence mining
Probabilistic models for sequences
• Independent model
• One-level dependence (Markov chains)
• Fixed memory (Order-l Markov chains)
• Variable memory models
• More complicated models
– Hidden Markov Models
Independent model
• Model structure
– A parameter for each symbol in S
• Probability of a sequence s being generated
from the model
– example: Pr(AACA)
= Pr(A) Pr(A) Pr(C) Pr(A) = Pr(A)3 Pr(C)
= 0.13  0.9
• Training transition probabilities
– Data T : set of sequences
– Count(s ε T): total number of times substring s
appears in training data T
Pr(s) = Count(s ε T) / length(T)
Pr(A) = 0.1
Pr(C) = 0.9
First Order Markov Chains
• Model structure
– A state for each symbol in S
– Edges between states with probabilities
start
0.5
• Probability of a sequence s being
generated from the model
– Example: Pr(AACA)
= Pr(A) Pr(A|A) Pr(C|A) Pr(A|C)
= 0.5  0.1  0.9  0.4
• Training transition probability between
states
Pr(s|b) = Count(bs ε T) / Count(b ε T)
0.5
0.4
C
A
0.9
0.1
0.6
Higher order Markov Chains
start
l = memory of sequence
• Model
0.5
– A state for each possible suffix of
length l  |S|l states
AA
– Edges between states with
A 0.1
probabilities
• Pr(AACA)
= Pr(AA)Pr(C|AA) Pr(A|AC)
= 0.5  0.9  0.7
• Training model
Pr(s|s) = count(ss ε T) / count(s ε T)
A 0.4
C 0.9
C 0.6
AC
C 0.3
A 0.7
CC
CA
0.8
C 0.2
l=2
Variable Memory models
start
• Probabilistic Suffix Automata (PSA)
• Model
0.2 0.5
– States: substrings of size no greater than l
where no string is suffix of another
C 0.9
= Pr(A)Pr(A|A)Pr(C|A)Pr(A|AC)
= 0.5  0.3  0.7  0.1
CC
AC
• Calculating Pr(AACA):
C 0.6
C 0.7
A 0.1
• Training: not straight-forward
– Eased by Prediction Suffix Trees
– PSTs can be converted to PSA after training
A 0.6
A
A 0.3
Prediction Suffix Trees (PSTs)
• Suffix trees with emission probabilities of
observation attached with each tree node
C 0.9
CC
AC
C 0.7
A 0.1
C 0.6
A
A 0.3
0.28, 0.72
0.3, 0.7
A
e
C
0.25, 0.75
AC
CC 0.4, 0.6
Pr(AACA)=0.28  0.3  0.7  0.1
0.1, 0.9
• Linear time algorithms exist for constructing
such PSTs from training data [Apostolico 2000]
Hidden Markov Models
• Doubly stochastic models
A 0.6
A 0.9
0.5
C 0.4
C 0.1
S1
0.9
S2
0.5
0.1
0.8
• Efficient dynamic programming
algorithms exist for
– Finding Pr(S)
– The highest probability path P that
maximizes Pr(S|P) (Viterbi)
• Training the model
– (Baum-Welch algorithm)
S3
S4
A 0.5
0.2
A 0.3
C 0.5
C 0.7
Discriminative training of HMMs
• Models trained to maximize likelihood of data
might perform badly when
– Model not representative of data
– Training data insufficient
• Alternatives to Maximum-likelihood/EM
– Objective functions:
• Minimum classification error
• Maximum posterior probability of actual label Pr(c|x)
• Maximum mutual information with class
– Harder to train above functions, number of
alternatives to EM proposed
• Generalized probabilistic descent [Katagiri 98]
• Deterministic annealing [Rao 01]
HMMs for profiling system calls
• Training:
– Initial number of states = 40 (roughly equals number
of distinct system calls)
– Train on normal traces
• Testing:
– Need to handle variable length and online data
– For each call, find the total probability of outputting
given all calls before it.
• If probability below a threshold call it abnormal.
– Trace is abnormal if fraction of abnormal calls are
high
More realistic experiments
STIDE
RIPPER
HMM
thresh
old
%falsepos
threshold
%falsepos
threshold
%falsepos
Site-1 lpr
12
0.0
3
0.0016
10-7
0.0003
Site-2 lpr
12
0.0013
4
0.0265
10-7
0.0015
named
20
0.0019
10
0.0
10-7
0.0
xlock
20
0.00008 10
0.0
10-7
0.0
• HMMs
[from Warrender 99]
– Take longer time to train
– Less sensitive to thresholds, no window parameter
– Best overall performance
• VMM and Sparse Markov Transducers also shown to perform
significantly better than fixed window methods [Eskin 01]
ROC curves comparing different
methods
[from Warrender 99]
Outline
• Traditional mining on sequences
• Primitives for handling sequence data
• Sequence-specific mining operations
– Partial sequence classification (Tagging)
– Segmenting a sequence
– Predicting next symbol of a sequence
• Applications in biological sequence mining
Partial sequence classification (Tagging)
• The tagging problem:
– Given:
• A set of tags L
• Training examples of sequences showing the breakup of
the sequence into the set of tags
– Learn to breakup a sequence into tags
– (classification of parts of sequences)
• Examples:
– Text segmentation
• Break sequence of words forming an address string into
subparts like Road, City name etc
– Continuous speech recognition
• Identify words in continuous speech
Text sequence segmentation
Example: Addresses, bib records
House
number
Building
Road
City
State
Zip
4089 Whispering Pines Nobel Drive San Diego CA 92122
Author
Year
Title
Journal
Volume
Page
P.P.Wangikar, T.P. Graycar, D.A. Estell, D.S. Clark, J.S. Dordick
(1993) Protein and Solvent Engineering of Subtilising BPN' in
Nearly Anhydrous Organic Media J.Amer. Chem. Soc. 115,
12231-12237.
Approaches used for tagging
• Learn to identify start and end boundaries of
each label
– Method: for each label, build two classifiers for
accepting its two boundaries.
– Any conventional classifier would do:
• Rule-based most common.
• K-windows approach:
– For each label, train a classifier on k-windows
– During testing
• classify each k-window
• Adapt state-based generative models like HMM
State-based models for sequence
tagging
• Two approaches:
– Separate model per tag with special prefix and suffix states to
capture the start and end of a tag
Road name
Prefix
S1
S2
S4
S3
Suffix
Building name
Prefix
S1
S2
S3
S4
Suffix
Combined model over all tags

Example: IE
 Naïve Model: One state per element
… Mahatma Gandhi Road Near Parkland ...
Nested model
Each element
another HMM
… [Mahatma Gandhi Road Near : Landmark] Parkland ...

Other approaches
• Disadvantages of generative models (HMMs)
– Maximizing joint probability of sequence and labels
may not maximize accuracy
– Conditional independence of features a restrictive
assumption
• Alternative: Conditional Random Fields
– Maximize conditional probability of labels given
sequence
– Arbitrary overlapping features allowed
Outline
• Traditional mining on sequences
• Primitives for handling sequence data
• Sequence-specific mining operations
– Partial sequence classification (Tagging)
– Segmenting a sequence
– Predicting next symbol of a sequence
• Applications in biological sequence mining
Segmenting sequences
Basic premise: Sequence
assumed to be generated
from multiple models
Goal: discover boundaries of
model change
Applications:
Bioinformatics
Better models by breaking
A
up heterogeneous
sequences
Return
A
Pick
C T G G T T T A C C C C T G T G
B
A C T G G T T T A C C C C T G T G
Simpler problem: Segmenting a 0/1
sequence
• Players A and B
• A has a set of coins with
different biases
• A repeatedly
– Picks arbitrary coin
– Tosses it arbitrary number
of times
• B observes H/T
• Guesses transition
points and biases
Return
Pick
A
Toss
0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 1
B
0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 1
A MDL-based approach
• Given n head/tail observations
– Can assume n different coins with bias 0 or 1
• Data fits perfectly (with probability one)
• Many coins needed
– Or assume one coin
• May fit data poorly
• “Best segmentation” is a compromise between
model length and data fit
0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 1
1/4
5/7
1/3
MDL
For each segment i:
L(Mi): cost of model parameters: log(Pr(head))
+ segment boundary: log (sequence length)
L(Di|Mi): cost of describing data in segment Si
given model Mi: log(Hh T(1-h)) H: #heads, T: #tails
Goal: find segmentation that leads to smallest total cost
segment i L(Mi) + L(Di|Mi)
How to find optimal segments
Sequence of 17 tosses:
0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 1
Derived graph with 18 nodes and all possible edges
Shortest path
Edge cost =
model cost
+ data cost
Non-independent models
• In previous method each segment is assumed to be
independent of each other, does not allow model reuse
of the form:
0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
• The (k,h) segmentation problem:
– Assume a fixed number h of models is to be used for
segmenting into k parts an n-element sequence (k > h)
– (k,k) segmentation solvable by dynamic programming
– General (k,h) problem NP hard
Approximations: for (k,h) segmentation
1. Solve (k,k) to get segments
S1
S2
S3
S4
A C T G G T T T A C C C C T G T G
2. Solve (n,h) to get H models
– Example: 2-medians
M1
M2
3. Assign each segment to best of H
A C T G G T T T A C C C C T G T G
A second variant (Replace step 2 above with)
– Find summary statistics for each k segment, cluster
them into H clusters
Results of segmenting genetic
sequences
From:
Gionis &
Mannila
2003
Outline
•
•
•
Traditional mining operations on sequences
Primitives for handling sequence data
Sequence-specific mining operations
•
Applications in biological sequence mining
1. Classifying proteins according to family
2. Finding genes in DNA sequences
Two sequence mining applications
The protein classification task
Given: amino-acid sequence of a protein
Do: predict the family to which it belongs
GDLSTPDAVMGNPKVKAHGKKVLGAFSDGLAHLDNLKGTFATLSELHCDKLHVDPENFRLLGNVCVLAHHFGKEFTPPVQAAYAKVVAGVANALAHKYH
image from the DOE Human Genome Program
http://www.ornl.gov/hgmis
The roles of proteins
• A protein family is…
Figure from the DOE Human Genome Program
http://www.ornl.gov/hgmis
The roles of proteins
• The amino-acid sequence of a protein determines its
structure
• The structure of a protein determines its function
• Proteins play many key roles in cells
– structural support
– storage of amino acids
– transport of other substances
– coordination of an organism’s activities
– response of cell to chemical stimuli
– movement
– protection against disease
– selective acceleration of chemical reactions
Protein taxonomies
• The SCOP and CATH databases
provide hierarchical taxonomies
of protein families
An alignment of globin family proteins

The sequences in a
family may vary in
length

Some positions are
more conserved
than others
Figure from www-cryst.bioc.cam.ac.uk/~max/res_globin.html
Profile HMMs
• Profile HMMs are commonly used to model families
of sequences
Delete states are silent; they
Account for characters missing
in some sequences
Insert states account
for extra characters
in some sequences
Match states represent
key conserved positions
i 0
start
d1
d2
d3
i 1
i 2
i 3
m1
m2
Insert and match states have
emission distributions over
sequence characters
A
R
D
N
C
E
Q
G
0.01
0.12
0.04
0.29
0.01
0.03
0.02
0.01
m3
end
Profile HMMs
• To classify sequences according to family, we can
train a profile HMM to model the proteins of each
family of interest
• Given a sequence x, use Bayes’ rule to make
classification
Pr( x | c ) Pr(c )
Pr(ci | x) 
i
i
 Pr( x | c ) Pr(c )
j
j
j
How Likely is a Given Sequence?
• Consider computing
Pr( x | ci ) in a profile HMM
• The probability that the path  0 ... N is taken and
the sequence x1...xL is generated:
L
Pr( x1...xL ,  0 ... N )  a01  e i ( xi ) a i i1
i 1
transition
probabilities
emission
probabilities
How Likely Is A Given Sequence?
0.4
0.2
0.5
A
C
G
T
0.4
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.8
A
C
G
T
1
begin
0
0.5
A
C
G
T
0.4
0.1
0.1
0.4
0.6
3
0.2
2
0.8
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.2
A
C
G
T
0.1
0.4
0.4
0.1
end
5
0.9
4
0.1
Pr( AAC,  )  a01  e1 (A)  a11  e1 (A)  a13  e3 (C)  a35
 0.5  0.4  0.2  0.4  0.8  0.3  0.6
How Likely is a Given Sequence?
• the probability over all paths is:
Pr( x1...xL )   Pr( x1...xL ,  0 ... N )


• but the number of paths can be exponential in the
length of the sequence...
• the Forward algorithm enables us to compute this
efficiently using dynamic programming
How Likely is a Given Sequence: The
Forward Algorithm
• define f k (i ) to be the probability of being in state k
having observed the first i characters of x
• we want to compute f N (L) , the probability of being
in the end state having observed all of x
• can define this recursively
The Forward Algorithm
probability that we’re in start state and
have observed 0 characters from the sequence
• initialization:
f 0 (0)  1
f k (0)  0, for k that are not silent states
• recursion for emitting states (i =1…L):
f l (i)  el (i ) f k (i  1)akl
k
• recursion for silent states:
f l (i)   f k (i)akl
k
• termination:
probability that we’re in the end state and
have observed the entire sequence
Pr( x)  Pr( x1...xL )  f N ( L)   f k ( L)akN
k
Training a profile HMM
• The parameters in profile HMMs are typically trained
using the Baum-Welch method (an EM algorithm)
• Heuristic methods are used to determine the length of
the model
– Initialize using an alignment of the training
sequences (as in globin example)
– Iteratively make local adjustments to length if delete
or insert states are used “too much” for training
sequences
The Fisher kernel method for
protein classification
• Standard HMMs are generative models
– Training involves estimating Pr( x | ci )
– Predictions based on Pr( ci | x) are made using
Bayes’ rule
• Sometimes we can get more accurate predictions
using discriminative methods which try to
optimize Pr( ci | x) directly
– One example: the Fisher kernel method
[Jaakola et al. ‘00]
The Fisher kernel method for
protein classification
•
Consider learning to discriminate proteins in class c1
from proteins other families
1. Train an HMM for c1
2. Use HMM to map each protein sequence x
into a fixed-length vector
3. Train an support vector machine (SVM)
whose kernel function is the Euclidean
distance between vectors
•
The resulting discriminative model is given by
D( x) 
i
i

K
(
x
,
x
)


K
(
x
,
x
)
i
i
i:x i c1
i:x i c1
The Fisher kernel method for
protein classification
•
How can we get an informative fixed-length vector?
Compute the Fisher score
U x   log Pr( x | c1 , )
i.e. each component of
Ux
is a derivative of the
log-likelihood of x with respect to a particular
parameter in the HMM
U x [i ] 
 log Pr( x|c1 , )
 i
Profile HMM accuracy
Figure from Jaakola et al., ISMB 1999
profile HMMs w/
Fisher kernel SVM
profile HMMs
BLAST-based
methods
• classifying 2447proteins into 33 families
• x-axis represents the median fraction of negative sequences that
score as high as a positive sequence for a given family’s model
The gene finding task
Given: an uncharacterized DNA sequence
Do: locate the genes in the sequence, including the
coordinates of individual exons and introns
image from the UCSC Genome Browser
http://genome.ucsc.edu/
image from the DOE Human Genome Program
http://www.ornl.gov/hgmis
The structure of genes
• Genes consist of alternating sequences of exons and
introns
• Introns are spliced out before the gene is translated into
protein
intergenic
region
exon
intron
exon
ATG GAA ACC CGA TCG GGC … AC
intron exon
intergenic
region
G TAA AGT CTA …
• Exons consist of three-letter words, called codons
• Each codon encodes a single amino acid (character in
a protein sequence)
The GENSCAN HMM for gene finding
[Burge & Karlin ‘97]
Each shape represents a functional unit
of a gene or genomic region
Pairs of intron/exon units represent
the different ways an intron can interrupt
a coding sequence (after 1st base in codon,
after 2nd base or after 3rd base)
Complementary submodel
(not shown) detects genes on
opposite DNA strand
The GENSCAN HMM
• For each sequence type, GENSCAN models
– the length distribution
– the sequence composition
• Length distribution models vary depending on sequence type
– Nonparametric (using histograms)
– Parametric (using geometric distributions)
– Fixed-length
• Sequence composition models vary depending on type
– 5th-order, inhomogeneous
– 5th -order homogenous
– Independent and 1st-order inhomogeneous
– Tree-structured variable memory
Representing exons in GENSCAN
• For exons, GENSCAN uses
– Histograms to represent exon lengths
– 5th-order, inhomogeneous Markov models to
represent exon sequences
• 5th-order, inhomogeneous models can represent
statistics about pairs of neighboring codons
A 5th-order Markov model for DNA
AAAAA
start
CTACA
CTACC
CTACG
Pr(A | GCTAC)
CTACT
Pr(GCTAC)
GCTAC
TTTTT
Pr(GCTACA)  Pr (GCTAC) Pr( A | GCTAC)
Markov models for exons
• for each “word” we evaluate, we’ll want to consider its
position with respect to the assumed codon framing
• thus we’ll want to use an inhomogenous model to
represent genes
G C T A C G G A G C T T C G G A G C
G C T A C G
C T A C G G
T A C G G A
G is in 3rd codon position
G is in 1st position
A is in 2nd position
A 5th-order inhomogeneous model
AAAAA
AAAAA
AAAAA
Transitions go to
states in position 1
start
CTACA
CTACC
CTACA
CTACC
CTACG
CTACT
CTACG
CTACT
TACAA
TACAC
GCTAC
GCTAC
TACAG
TACAT
TTTTT
TTTTT
TTTTT
position 2
position 3
position 1
Inference with the gene-finding HMM
given: an uncharacterized DNA sequence
do: find the most probable path through the model for the
sequence
• This path will specify the coordinates of the predicted
genes (including intron and exon boundaries)
• The Viterbi algorithm is used to compute this path
Finding the most probable path:
the Viterbi algorithm
• define vk (i ) to be the probability of the most probable
path accounting for the first i characters of x and ending
in state k
• we want to compute v N (L) , the probability of the
most probable path accounting for all of the
sequence and ending in the end state
• can define recursively
• can use dynamic programming to find v N (L)
efficiently
Finding the most probable path:
the Viterbi algorithm
• initialization:
v0 (0)  1
vk (0)  0, for k that are not silent states
The Viterbi algorithm
• recursion for emitting states (i =1…L):
vl (i )  el ( xi ) max vk (i  1)akl 
k
ptrl (i)  arg max vk (i  1)akl  keep track of most
k
• recursion for silent states:
vl (i )  max vk (i )akl 
k
ptrl (i)  arg max vk (i)akl 
k
probable path
The Viterbi algorithm
• termination:
Pr( x,  )  max vk ( L)akN )
k
 L  arg max vk ( L)akN )
k
• to recover the most probable path, follow pointers
back starting at  L
Parsing a DNA Sequence
The Viterbi path represents
a parse of a given sequence,
predicting exons, introns, etc
ACCGTTACGTGTCATTCTACGTGATCATCGGATCCTAGAATCATCGATCCGTGCGATCGATCGGATTAGCTAGCTTAGCTAGGAGAGCATCGATCGGATCGAGGAGGAGCCTATATAAATCAA
Some lessons from these
biological applications
• HMMs provide state-of-the-art performance in protein
classification and gene finding
• HMMs can naturally classify and parse sequences of
variable length
• Much domain knowledge can be incorporated into the
structure of the models
– Types, lengths and ordering of sequence features
– Appropriate amount of memory to represent various
sequence features
• Models can vary representation across sequence
features
• Discriminative methods often provide superior
predictive accuracy to generative methods
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