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The Design Argument (Part 1) Colin Crowder (Dialogue, Issue 1) The design argument is the third of the classic ‘theistic proofs’, or.arguments for the existence of God. Students often heave a sigh of relief when they reach it. First, it appears to be a great deal more ‘user-friendly’ than the ontological and cosmological arguments which so often precede it in both courses and textbooks. Second, it seems to be refreshingly ‘modern’ (or relatively so), at home in an intellectual atmosphere which we breathe more easily than we do that of Anselm, say, or Thomas Aquinas. Yet appearances can be deceptive, and the design argument is neither modern nor unfortunately - simple. A historical enquiry could show you just how old the design argument really is. But this is a philosophical enquiry, and so I shall try to show you that the argument is complex - but all the more interesting for that. What I want to do is to bring the design argument into focus. We need to ask what it tries to do, what it fails to do, and what value, if any, it might still have. So my paper is composed of three sections: a: a statement and analysis of the design argument; b: a critique of the argument at four levels; c: a contemporary perspective upon the argument. Part 1 of my paper, in this first issue of Dialogue, is devoted entirely to section A. To help you to think about the argument, I look at some logic; to encourage you to read about it, I suggest a bit of further reading. Part 2 of the paper, in the next issue of Dialogue, takes in sections B and C. I should add that my remarks about religious language there, like the logical remarks here, can be applied to many other philosophical topics. A: Statement and Analysis of the Argument (1) Let us begin by considering the best-known English champion of the design argument. William Paley (l743-1805) was a churchman with a strong interest in apologetics - the defence (apologia) of the truth of Christianity by appeal to ‘natural reason’ rather than to ‘revelation’. The apologist need not rule out a subsequent appeal to revelation, provided he or she gives good reasons for believing that any purported divine revelation (such as the Bible) is, in fact, what it is said to be. But that only underlines the fact that the apologist’s real job is to argue for the truth of Christianity in ways acceptable (at least in principle) to all rational people, whether religious or not. This is very much what we see Paley doing in more than one of his works. As an apologist of a distinctively eighteenth-century kind, moreover, Paley liked to talk in terms of the ‘evidences’ of Christianity. What such talk gives us a sense of, perhaps, is the self-understanding of the apologist, as one who trusts to the facts of the matter, the hard evidence available to one and all; it places the apologist in the sober company of the scientist, the historian and the lawyer. This is Paley’s rhetorical strategy, and it is nowhere better displayed than in his treatment of the design argument. This treatment is found in Paley's Natural Theology of 1802. Paley imagines himself walking upon a heath, and coming across a stone. He would not be puzzled by finding it; no explanation would be needed. But suppose that he had found a watch there instead. He would be puzzled by its presence; he wouldn’t simply treat it (as he had the stone) as the sort of thing that might have occurred naturally. The difference between the two cases is twofold: the watch (unlike the stone) is composed of finely adjusted parts manifesting orderly behaviour, and the interaction of these parts serves a specific purpose - telling the time. Because of these two aspects of the watch - order and purpose - we are obliged to believe that it is the product of an intelligent designer. Now we reach the crucial stage of the argument: Paley says that nature is full of things which resemble the watch in those key respects of orderly complexity and purposeful arrangement. What we recognise in the watch, we must recognise in the world, only to a vastly higher degree: [Everyl indication of contrivance, every manifestation of design, which existed in the watch, exists in the works of nature; with a difference, on the side of nature, of being greater and more, and that in a degree which exceeds all computation. I mean that the contrivances of nature surpass the contrivances of art, in the complexity, subtlety, and curiosity of the mechanism; and still more, if possible, do they go beyond them in number and variety: yet, in a multitude of cases, are not less evidently mechanical, not less evidently contrivances, not less accommodated to their end, or suited to their office, than are the most perfect productions of human ingenuity. The conclusion seems obvious: if we must argue from watch to watchmaker, we must argue from world to worldmaker. What watch and world have in common are orderly complexity and purposeful arrangement, only on a very different scale in each case. Correspondingly, what watch and worldmaker have in common is that both are intelligent designers, and again, the difference between them is one of scale. Paley goes on to devote most of his book to piling up examples of design in the natural world. From this point onwards the reader is in the hands of the clergyman naturalist, an exquisitely English type; but that means that the philosopher has done his work. Paley may continue to illustrate his design argument, but the statement of the argument as such is now complete. Let us recall what Paley has done. He has considered a mechanism (the watch), and identified in it certain features. These have compelled us to ascribe the production of the watch to an intelligent designer. (So far, so good: we know from experience, independently of the argument, that watchmakers are indeed responsible for watches.) He has then argued that the natural world is full of things with the same features, things which are, in effect, also mechanisms showing orderly complexity and purposeful arrangement. And he has concluded that we must make the same inference as we did in the case of the watch - namely, to an intelligent designer. It is a case of ‘similar effects, similar cause’. The known designer (that is, the watchmaker), and the postulated designer (that is, God), are therefore similar in kind, but dissimilar in degree. And this is the same distinction that was deployed to express the ways in which our machines and the natural world are alike and not alike. (2) Before I attempt to ‘unpack’ these ideas a little more, I would like to give you another example of the design argument. It is taken from the work of David Hume (1711-1776), a Scottish philosopher and historian, who crops up in connection with the design argument just as often as Paley does. His key work in this connection is Dialogues Concerning Natural Religion, published posthumously (in 1779), but drafted over twenty years earlier - hence predating Paley’s Natural Theology by nearly half a century. The Dialogues are much more entertaining than any treatise, since in them Hume creates three memorable characters who try to outmanoeuvre one another, not always very fairly, in arguing about the existence of God. Although a sceptical character (Philo) is allowed to run rings around the others, a somewhat Paleyesque character called Cleanthes makes a lot of the early running. The speech from which the following summary of the design argument comes is, perhaps, his finest hour: Look round the world: contemplate the whole and every part of it: You will find it to be nothing but one great machine, subdivided into an infinite number of lesser machines, which again admit of subdivisions, to a degree beyond what human senses and faculties can trace and explain. All these various machines, and even their most minute parts, are adjusted to each other with an accuracy, which ravishes into admiration all men, who have ever contemplated them. The curious adapting of means to ends, throughout all nature, resembles exactly, though it much exceeds, the productions of human contrivance; of human design, thought, wisdom, and intelligence. Since therefore the effects resemble each other, we are led to infer, by all the rules of analogy, that the causes also resemble: and that the Author of nature is somewhat similar to the mind of man; though possessed of much larger faculties, proportioned to the grandeur of the work, which he has executed. By this argument a posteriori, and by this argument alone, we do prove at once the existence of a Deity, and his similarity to human mind and intelligence. There are a couple of technical ideas there which I will come back to shortly. For now, what we should note is the way in which Hume’s statement (through Cleanthes) of the design argument brings out the ideas we saw at work in Paley’s formulation: note again the idea that the world and its parts are mechanisms, comparable to the ones we ourselves produce; note again the concern with both order (the accurate adjustment of parts to one another) and purpose (the adaptation of means to ends) in natural mechanisms; note again the principle of ‘similar effects, similar causes’, which is the argument’s backbone; note again the concern with proportion; although the makers of ‘artificial’ and ‘natural’ mechanisms are similarly intelligent, there is a huge difference between them corresponding to the huge difference between their products. This is essentially a matter of scale: the unknown designer must be like the known, human designer, only much more so since the work of the former so completely dwarfs the work of the latter which it otherwise closely resembles. By now we should be getting a little clearer about what is going on in the design argument. Obviously, it isn’t just a matter of saying ‘there must be a God because the world is so complex and amazing’ - although, as I hope to indicate later, I don’t want to ignore the element of awe from which the argument profits. But the design argument as an argument needs patient unpacking. So far I have tried to set out some of the basic stages of the argument, at least as it appears in the work of Paley and Hume. What I want to do now is to carry the analysis a little further, by asking how the design argument should be characterised. (3) (a) I can begin by quickly mentioning some informal characteristics of the argument the ones which strike us first, and perhaps linger longest in the mind. What I have in mind is the argument’s ‘user-friendly’ character, which I mentioned at the beginning of this paper. It is easy to get the hang of the design argument, even if we don’t understand its inner workings particularly well - and we can’t say that of all the classic theistic proofs. The argument presents itself as vivid, accessible, and ‘common-sensical’, with its feet firmly on the ground. It makes use of things with which we are familiar in daily life - clocks and houses, plants and animals - and is flexible enough to range from gastropods to galaxies in its tireless accumulation of examples of purported divine design. It can capitalise on moods as distinct as scientific curiosity and religious awe, reserving its suspicion for philosophical abstraction, which it seeks to replace by a nononsense appeal to our everyday experience of the human and natural world. Is it any wonder that its persuasive power outstrips (as we shall see) its logical force? Even the great German philosopher Immanuel Kant (1724-1804), who punctured the pretensions of the ontological and cosmological arguments, and who seemed set to deal the design argument a devastating blow, went out of his way to cushion his criticisms of it: This proof always deserves to be mentioned with respect. It is the oldest, the clearest, and the most accordant with the common reason of mankind. He is not alone in having a soft spot for an argument he nevertheless believes to be false. As arguments go - not least theistic arguments - this one is downright amiable. (b) It is time to turn to some formal characteristics of the argument. Setting these out will help us to see rather more clearly what the argument is, and is not. First, the design argument is an a posteriori argument, not an a priori one. We shouldn’t let the Latin tag dazzle us, since the distinction being made here is quite straightforward. In the case of propositions, one that is a priori (‘from what comes before’) can be known to be true or false without reference to experience. One that is a posteriori (‘from what comes after’) can only be known to be true or false by reference to experience, to how things actually are in the world. Take an example: ‘All bachelors are unmarried’. We don’t need to conduct a survey to find out if this is true - we can see it is true because of the meaning of the words themselves. It is therefore true a priori (just as ‘No bachelors are unmarried’ is false a priori). But if I say, instead, ‘all Norwegians are unmarried’, the truth or falsity of the proposition depends upon an actual state of affairs. You must know something about the relevant facts to be able to judge the truth or falsity of an a posteriori proposition. In the case of arguments, the a priori ones are staking claims on the back of the corresponding propositions. This is what the ontological argument does, in attempting to deduce the existence of God from the concept of God alone. The design argument is an a posteriori argument, because it relies upon things being a certain way not just in the order of concepts but in the order of reality too. (It is a relatively rich a posteriori argument, it might be added, in typically appealing to a lot of facts, often highly specific ones; the cosmological argument, by contrast really depends upon one fact, a highly general one at that: the sheer existence of the universe.) This characteristic, then, is the logical foundation upon which is built that sense of the design argument as being ‘down to earth’, ‘factual’, ‘scientific’, and so forth. Second, the design argument is an inductive argument. This isn’t quite so obvious as the formal characteristic I have just noted, and so my claim needs to be developed a little. Again, let us consider the alternative, by asking what the design argument would look like if it were a deductive argument instead. Deductive arguments are particularly strong ones, since their conclusions follow ‘automatically’ from their premises. So, for instance, if we have two premises: (a) ‘Socrates is a man’ (b) ‘All men are mortal’ Then the conclusion (c), ‘Socrates is mortal’, is just as sound as the premises, which in this case are certain. To deny the conclusion would be to deny the premises; alternatively, the premises can be said to ‘contain’ the conclusion, which we simply have to ‘bring out’. Not surprisingly, then, many arguments would like to join the deductive club, because deduction provides such a ‘strong’ logical connection between premises and conclusions. But look what happens if we state the design argument in a would-be deductive form: (a) ‘Nature is full of designed things’ (b) ‘Designed things are attributable to designers’ (c) ‘Therefore, nature is attributable to a designer’ There is more than one logical sleight-of-hand here, but what really matters is that the conclusion can be no better than the weakest premise. This premise is the first one, which asserts something which the design argument is, in fact, obliged to prove. I could tighten up the argument above in order to remove some mismatches (between things in nature and nature as a whole, between designers and a designer), but I couldn’t eliminate the unacceptable premise. At best I could put the weak link elsewhere: (a) ‘Nature is full of orderly structures’ (b) ‘Orderly structures are products of intelligence’ (c) ‘Therefore, nature is the product of intelligence’ Now it is the second premise which assumes what has to be proved. Again, the conclusion is unproven because a key premise is unproven. There is no alternative, then, but to reconstruct the design argument in inductive terms. In induction, we move from premises about some things of a certain kind to conclusions about other or all things of that kind: we could argue, for instance, that ‘All swans are white’, on the basis of those swans that we know about. If not as ‘strong’ as deduction, induction can still be very secure in certain cases. Consider how this affects the design argument. The ‘weak premise’ identified above needs to be defended, because the whole argument rests upon it. But it can only be defended inductively: (a) ‘Some orderly structures are products of intelligence’ (b) ‘Therefore [it is reasonable to believe that] all orderly structures are products of intelligence.’ Well, perhaps. There are, of course, ways in which the inference from ‘some’ to ‘all’ here can be frustrated. But at least we can see that inductive reasoning will have to have a place in the design argument, and that it is deceptive to dress up the argument as a deductive proof relying upon self-evidently true premises. (Moreover, the distinction being made here will become clearer when we consider the next formal characteristic of the argument.) Third, the design argument is analogical. Following the pattern I used with regard to the previous two characteristics, let us first try to imagine what a non-analogical inductive design argument would look like: (a) ‘Most [or all] other universes are known to be the product of intelligent design’ (b) ‘Therefore, this particular universe is probably the product of intelligent design’ The problem with this, obviously, is that universes don’t come in batches. The very concept of the universe puts it in a class of one, and this means that we cannot argue straightforwardly (i.e. non-analogically) from some members of the class of universes to another member. The kind of argument outlined above works well enough for machines, say, but cannot work for universes. But my mention of machines should remind you of the way in which the design argument actually operates. It starts with things held to be analogous to the universe (or parts of it), such as machines, and argues that the cause of apparently ‘designed’ properties in the universe must therefore be analogous to the known cause of undoubtedly designed properties in machines. Put simply, the world is similar to a watch, so the worldmaker must be similar to a watchmaker - making the necessary adjustments for the scale of the handiwork, of course. You should now think back to the quotations from Paley and from Hume’s Cleanthes, and consider the way in which they manifest this analogical character of the design argument. You should also note that analogical reasoning is weaker than straightforward inductive reasoning: it forces us to deal with two classes of things rather than one, and it is perfectly possible to make the wrong comparison between the classes at the outset. But analogical reasoning certainly isn’t valueless. (Hume, interestingly, goes too far at this point: he suggests we cannot form rational hypotheses about the cause of this universe because we don’t have any experience of other universes to give us something to go on. Well, if we had the relevant experience, we wouldn’t need to argue analogically in the first place, would we? We could argue directly from items in the same class. Moreover, if Hume was right we couldn’t trust any analogical arguments, or say anything sensible about apparently ‘one-off’ phenomena either. Think what this would mean for theories about the Big Bang, or the evolution of life. So, Hume’s reminder about the ‘singularity’ of the universe is important, naturally, and can stop us from falling into some kinds of logical nonsense. But it does not, in itself, mean the end of the road for the design argument, which is an analogical argument precisely because of the otherwise insuperable problem of the singularity of the universe.) In the next issue of Dialogue I shall investigate whether the logical structure of the design argument - as set out here - helps it to stand up against the attacks of its critics, or whether it is the logic in particular which is its problem. I shall also ask if the design argument has anything left to say to us if it cannot prove to us what it sets out to prove. In the meantime, you could conduct your own analysis of the argument, and develop your own ideas concerning its philosophical persuasiveness and religious value, for example. Here are some ideas for further reading: Most of the modern introductions to the philosophy of religion have useful sections on the argument, e.g: H.D. Lewis, Philosophy of Religion (1965) T. McPherson, The Philosophy of Religion (1965) J. Hick, Philosophy of Religion (2nd ed., 1975) B. Davies, An Introduction to the Philosophy of Religion (1982) J.C.A. Gaskin, The Quest for Eternity (1984) C.S. Evans, Philosophy of Religion (1985) There are many other introductions like these, so my list – of believers and atheists, Catholics and Protestants, conservatives and liberals – is merely a starting-point. Paley’s Natural Theology turns up in a variety of old editions; some libraries have a handy abridgement, edited by Frederick Ferr (1962). The secondary sources tend to quote most of the important parts anyway. Hume’s Dialogues Concerning Natural Religion can be found in many modern editions, the ‘standard’ one being that of Norman Kemp Smith (1935/47). Stanley Tweyman’s Routledge paperback edition (1991) contains lots of good critical material; Martin Bell’s Penguin paperback (1990) is slim, cheap, and worth buying. Although it is quoted at length in the secondary sources there is much to be said for reading the original, especially for Hume’s wit. ************ The Design Argument (Part 2): Why it Fails Colin Crowder (Dialogue, Issue 2) In the last issue of Dialogue I subjected the Design Argument to an analysis which was intended to reveal its logical workings. The remainder of my paper - which presupposes Part 1 - is concerned with the critical problems raised by the Design Argument, and the further issue of whether the argument amounts to any more than a would-be ‘proof’ which proves absolutely nothing. B: Critique of the Argument There are many objections to the Design Argument, varying in character, complexity, and quality. I suspect that the best way to encounter them is through a reading of Hume’s Dialogues. But a more systematic (if much duller) survey of these objections at least has the merit of giving a sense of what one should be looking for amid the intellectual and stylistic fireworks of Hume’s work. I shall attempt to offer that kind of survey in this section. (But please note that not all of Hume’s objections are mentioned here; nor, in fact, are all the objections mentioned taken from Hume.) My strategy is to show that the critique of the Design Argument operates at a number of distinct ‘levels’: thus, even if the Design Argument is given the benefit of the doubt at one level, the critique can simply start again at a deeper level. For the sake of convenience, I will identify four such levels at which the critique creates serious problems for the Design Argument - but remember that other ways of organising the critical material are possible, and may, indeed, be more desirable. 1. Is the Scope of the Argument Exaggerated? Orderly complexity and purposeful arrangement are said to be common to our machines and to things in nature such as animals and plants. This is the basis for the analogy which, together with the principle of ‘similar effects, similar causes’, seems to justify a belief in an intellectual world-designing being. But consider this idea more closely: things in the world, like animals and plants, are indeed composed of inter-related parts which serve particular purposes (such as survival and reproduction), but that does not tell us anything about the world as a whole. We have only seen a small part of the universe, after all; and even if we accept, using an uncontroversial inductive argument that the laws of science in this part of the universe obtain everywhere, we are still only ascribing ‘orderly complexity’ to the whole. The Design Argument gives no reason to believe that the world as a whole is a ‘teleological system’, a system serving some purpose (telos), even though many such systems exist within it. So the Design Argument, upon closer analysis, can at best compare parts of nature with a machine; it is in no position to talk about nature itself in the same terms. And that means that the argument can’t point to a ‘worldmaker’ quite so unequivocally as the ‘watchmaker’ comparison seemed to suggest. 2. Is the Analogy used by the Argument Arbitrary? Even if we concede the point about the scope of the argument, what the Design Argument compares the world (or parts of the world) to is a machine - although any kind of human artefact will do. The Design Argument, in other words, relies upon a mechanical analogy. Must we make this particular comparison once we recognise orderly complexity and purposeful arrangement in the world? Hume’s alter ego Philo thinks not. Can we not think of the world, he asks, as analogous to an animal or plant rather than a machine? Of course - there is a case for using an organic analogy, just as there is a case for using a mechanical one. But whereas both are compatible with talk of order and purpose, only the mechanical analogy suggests that the world is the product of intelligent design. The organic analogy takes us in a different direction: just as animals and plants come into being by generation, and not by intelligent design, so the same could be true of a world significantly resembling animal or plant life. Well, this move is certainly imaginative, but it could easily be said to issue in stalemate. For it to be really effective, we would need to know that animals and plants are not in any sense the products of design - but that is exactly the point at issue, since the Design Argument is saying that animals and plants are ultimately designed, that they can be comprehended by the mechanical analogy It is probably best, then, to treat that particular criticism as a spanner thrown in the works, and to direct our attention to a more serious point. Hume seems to be interested in the organic analogy not for its own sake but as a way of exposing the arbitrary nature of its mechanical counterpart. And he is interested in this because he wants to argue that the world’s order can be explained without recourse to the idea of intelligent design. The order we observe in the world, Hume suggests, need not be the product of divine intelligence: order might well emerge naturally from the motion of matter over immense periods of time, or order might (for all we know) be inherent in matter itself. In this way Hume gives an airing to naturalistic explanations of phenomena which the Design Argument accounts for ‘supematuralistically’, for want of a better word. He didn’t have the benefit of later scientific theories of course, but it is easy to see how certain kinds of cosmology and evolutionary biology are the heirs to Hume’s alternative explanations of teleological systems. It is perfectly possible, needless to say, that a naturalistic explanation - say, Darwinian biology - will prove compatible with a more ‘ultimate’ explanation in terms of God’s action. Given that there are still some who haven’t heard that the so-called war between science and religion is over - if it ever really existed in the way popularly imagined - this talk of ‘compatibility’ is most welcome. But it won’t do any good against Hume. The post-Darwinian tendency to incorporate naturalistic explanations within an over-arching supernaturalistic explanation (‘evolution is the way God works’) masks the fact that the Design Argument has beat a hasty retreat: once it was thought obvious that nature’s ‘machines’ were designed by God, just as our machines were designed by craftsmen, but now it isn’t ‘obvious’ at all. The argument urged people to think about what they saw in the world, but the development of well-organised competition means that their thoughts may not move in a theistic direction. Look what’s happening here: Hume’s sketchy alternatives to the design theory don’t need to be better explanations of teleological systems in nature, they just need to be possible ones, and then the Design Argument’s aura of ‘self-evidence’ fades away. So: can we show that theism is compatible with one or more of the alternative explanations? Fine. But what is the basis of that theism in the first place? We can’t say ‘the Design Argument’ any more since it is the Design Argument’s own success which has been thrown into question by the partial credibility of these other explanations. The point, then, is not whether the design theory fits other theories, but whether it fits the facts it purports to explain: examples of orderly complexity and purposeful arrangement in nature. Perhaps it does. But perhaps other theories do too, and they may have the edge in certain respects (such as simplicity and economy). Hume’s organic analogy has to be understood in this kind of context. It breaks the mechanical analogy’s stranglehold on our thoughts by its very existence. And in so doing, the ‘obviousness’ of the Design Argument’s way of reasoning from the world to God is called into question, and space is created in which naturalistic explanations may flourish. 3. Is the Conclusion of the Argument Justified? Even if we concede that the world (and not just parts of it) constitutes a teleological system, and even if we consider it properly and primarily analogous to a machine, what exactly does the Design Argument prove? The answer seems obvious: the existence of God. But, once again, Hume subjects the structure of the Design Argument to close examination, with surprising results. In this case, he exposes a gap between real and desired conclusions - between what the argument yields, and what we think it yields. Hume opens up the possibility that the Design Argument, like sinners, falls short of the glory of God: even if it was a perfectly sound argument up to this point, it could not justify belief in the God of theism. Just as we are not forced to see the argument's ‘raw material’ (as it were) in mechanical terms, so we are not forced to see its ‘finished product’ in theistic terms. Let us consider three different ways in which the conclusion of the Design Argument can be questioned: First, why should the thesis that there is an intelligent designing being be treated as a conclusion at all? What explains the being which (in turn) explains order and purpose in nature? Isn’t there an explanatory ‘infinite regress’ with each new explanation crying out to be explained? Now, a Cleanthes might say that once we reach the designing being, explanation comes to an end: we don’t need further explanation. But a Philo might say exactly the same about, say, the ultimate laws of nature and if Philo isn’t allowed to stop explaining when he reaches the laws of nature, he won’t let Cleanthes get away with stopping explanation after one more move - to a being responsible for those laws. If order needs explaining, so does an orderer. (What is needed here, of course, is an account of why the buck stops at God in religious thought; of why the familiar question ‘Who created God?’ is a pseudoquestion. Hume’s point, then, has no universal validity, but it does make life difficult for the Design Argument, which has to preserve its facts-and-common-sense public image by playing down or ignoring the special character of language about God.) Second, given that the Design Argument suggests an analogy between human design and divine design, why is it assumed that intelligence is the only significant factor common to both? Designing involves body as well as mind; shouldn’t we say, then, that a divine designer analogous to human designers must have a body too? Design projects often involve several people; shouldn’t we say, then, that there are many divine designers? Hume, naturally, isn’t interested in making theism ultra-anthropomorphic, or in turning monotheists into polytheists either. What he wants to show is that there is nothing in the Design Argument as such which can rule certain aspects of the analogy between human and divine design ‘in’ and others ‘out’. The Design Argument itself, therefore, cannot produce orthodox religious conclusions (such as that God is a spirit, for example, or that God is one), and so they are supplied from other sources. And yet the argument is supposed to concentrate, exclusively, on the facts of nature, and to draw only commonsense conclusions. (There may well be some legitimate ways of making judgements here, however: the uniformity of basic order in the world, for instance, tends to support the one-designer theory against its rival. Nevertheless, Hume still has much to teach us about the problems of the Design Argument as an example of analogical reasoning.) Third, doesn’t the Design Argument confuse the concept of a superhuman designer with the concept of God? Let me explain this idea with reference to the analogy between the watch and the world. It is a well established principle that what is ascribed to a cause should be proportionate to the effect it is said to bring about. So, in the case of a watch, we would be right to infer that the watchmaker responsible for it was intelligent to a degree proportionate to the work, but wrong to infer that he was rich or tall or alive – or, indeed, a ‘he’ at all! These factors are strictly irrelevant to the task of deciding on the kind of cause which is sufficient to explain this effect. Exactly the same applies, argues Hume, to the case of the world. Even if we make all the concessions noted so far, we cannot conclude that the God of traditional belief exists - only that there is some kind of design-producing being. This being must be considered highly intelligent, but not necessarily omniscient; powerful, but not necessarily omnipotent; capable of designing, but not necessarily capable of creating. And that’s it. Other theistic attributes (such as eternity or omnipresence) are not in the picture at all: they can never be conjured out of an argument which is about positing a cause sufficient to explain order and purpose in the world. Even if - and we now know that it is a big ‘if’ - we make all the concessions described so far, the Design Argument still points us to a shadowy cosmic architect, not a creator 4. Is the Evidence Considered by the Argument Limited? At this point things are looking pretty bad for the Design Argument, but there is still one way in which they can get significantly worse. Note that most of the criticisms considered so far have been directed towards aspects of the analogy which the Design Argument sets up between ‘artificial’ and ‘natural’ mechanisms, between the order and purpose established by humans and the order and purpose visible in the world around us. As we have seen, there are questions to be asked about the scope of the analogy, about the necessity of using this analogy alone, and about the kinds of conclusion which the analogy could possibly sustain. But we should remember that the Design Argument is not only analogical - it is, even more fundamentally, a posteriori, geared to ‘the way things are’. And it is the argument’s own desire to deal justly with ‘the evidence’ which leads us to the heart of the final criticism to be considered. Up until now, we have not had to consider the moral character of the evidence used by the Design Argument. It has been more or less neutral, morally speaking, or perhaps the kind of thing which could be described positively (the argument could claim, for example, that the arrangement of parts in a given animal is geared to purposes which include the animal’s general wellbeing.) But has all the evidence been considered? The critic of the argument could claim that it ignores inconvenient evidence - and in particular, suffering. The natural world is full of apparently gratuitous pain: if this doesn’t count as morally negative evidence, what does? The spectre of suffering is raised towards the end of Hume's Dialogues, not by Philo but by the pious Demea who places the Paleyesque Cleanthes in a difficult position. For while Demea believes that eternity will compensate for the miseries of this life, Cleanthes cannot ‘solve’ the problem of evil so easily. He knows he must stick to the ‘facts’ and the hypotheses which the facts clearly support, or else forfeit the claim to commonsense rationality which is so vital to the Design Argument. In other words, he knows - even before Philo rubs it in - that evil and suffering cannot be missed out of the equation. His only option, then, is to minimise suffering, claiming that pleasure far outweighs pain even in this life, so that the goodness of the designing God can still be inferred from the way things are. Philo’s criticisms of Cleanthes’ position are very instructive. For example, can we be so sure that pleasure ‘outweighs’ pain? And even if it does, what does the presence of any suffering tell us about the character of the designing being? Well, we all know that the problem of evil can be addressed in different ways, so that evil in the world doesn’t reflect badly upon God, as it were. Usually, an extra hypothesis is thrown in so that the reality of evil and the reality of God don’t appear to be contradictory: for example, ‘It is better for God to give us free will (which can be used for good or evil) than to make us like robots’. Well, alright, but notice what Cleanthes has just done: he has told Demea that invoking heaven won’t prove that God is good, since the issue is not whether an extra hypothesis helps the God-hypothesis, but whether the God-hypothesis fits the facts. Then he gets into trouble, and Philo pounces, forcing Cleanthes to be absolutely consistent. Cleanthes has looked at the evidence optimistically, and thinks that the residual evil of the world is compatible with God’s goodness, but (says Philo) ‘compatibility’ isn’t the point The question is not this: ‘How can the theory cope with the bad evidence?’ - but this: ‘What kind of theory does all the evidence suggest?’ In other words, Cleanthes still seems to be introducing extra hypotheses - as Demea had done -rather than letting his initial hypothesis (about a designing God) be properly informed by the evidence. And this evidence, Philo insists, is of a morally mixed character. What should we infer about its designer? Here Philo returns to the inventiveness which gave us, as we saw earlier, the possibility of a physical deity, or design by divine committee. Now he canvasses new possibilities. Does the mixed character of the evidence suggest a morally good designer plus a morally bad one? Or a designer indifferent to morality? Or an incompetent designer? Or a designer struggling with evil materials which cannot be bent fully to his will? As usual, Hume does not seem to advocate one particular inference. Whether it is the unity or the goodness or the power of God which ‘has to go’ is, in a sense, beside the point. His concern is to expose the unacceptably selective character of the Design Argument, and the way in which it evades its own promise to argue solely from the facts to nothing but the hypotheses which are needed to account for them. In introducing the problem of evil, Hume once again subjects the Design Argument to an examination too searching for it to bear. So Hume’s enquiries suggest two things, perhaps: that the Design Argument does not, in reality, live up to its ‘evidential’ and ‘commonsense’ reputation; and, even if it were fully consistent, it could not hope to demonstrate the existence of a being anything like the creator God of the monotheistic religions. C: Understanding the Design Argument Today Many philosophers have treated Hume’s criticisms as the last word on the Design Argument, in effect saluting the Dialogues as the most comprehensive demolition job in the history of philosophy. Is this going too far? You must judge for yourself how secure Hume’s objections are, of course. But I have already registered caution on a couple of occasions. (For example, recall that the ‘singularity’ of the universe proved no bar to the Design Argument, which is analogical for precisely this reason; and that the organic analogy did not prevent us from thinking organisms were ultimately products of design). On the other hand, Hume’s critique isn’t like a chain, only as strong as its weakest link. It is more like a web, composed of interconnected strands, many of which can be broken without endangering the total structure. So, although some of Hume’s objections must be abandoned or modified, the flexibility of his approach means that it remains an impressive and daunting critique of the Design Argument. Nevertheless, the Design Argument keeps cropping up to this day. On this occasion I can only point to a couple of ways in which the argument has been revived recently, although in each case one may wonder whether the ghost of Hume has been properly exorcised or not. First, it is possible to think that our understanding of the evidence to which the Design Argument appeals has changed dramatically - so much so that theism becomes the oddson favourite explanation, with naturalistic explanations looking like also-rans. This brings us to the ‘anthropic cosmological principle’, which I can hardly explain in a few lines. For our purposes, we simply need to note that it is a scientific claim, arguing that intelligent life could not have evolved if the most basic physical constants of the universe had been even slightly other than what they are. Put even more crudely, the universe looks like it has been set up with the specific object of producing us. Not surprisingly, some proponents of the Design Argument can’t believe their luck: respectable scientists are handing them on a plate the kind of ‘evidence’ which was beyond their wildest dreams. So, has the Design Argument been vindicated after all? First, perhaps, we should recall and apply Hume’s comments on restricted evidence - and therefore ask about the character of a designing being who seems to value the emergence of intelligent life absolutely, but seems indifferent to all the suffering that attends it. Moreover, and more importantly, most of Hume’s objections to the Design Argument are logical: it isn’t clear that these will go away just because things are looking up on the evidence front. (I ought to add that the anthropic cosmological principle itself comes in different forms, and that the ones which assert most are the ones most open to new kinds of logical objection.) Second, it is possible to think that our understanding of the method which the Design Argument employs has changed significantly. Some maintain that the Design Argument has learned the lesson of ‘pride before a fall’. So it has cleaned up its logical act; it treats naturalistic explanations with the respect they deserve; and its conclusions are far from extravagant. In this humbler modern form, it has been argued, the Design Argument still has something to say. Philosophers of religion who take this view may seek to do no more than to show that the design hypothesis is plausible: there is a residue of good sense in the argument’s basic analogy which should prevent us from ruling out the possibility that the world is designed. More ambitiously, they may seek to show that the design hypothesis is more probable than a naturalistic account, yet without suggesting that it could ever be proven true. There are, on the philosophical market today, a number of complex ways of calculating such competing probabilities. But that isn’t all: many of the same proponents of the Design Argument believe that if one puts together several theistic arguments that have been similarly humbled, one can build a cumulative case for theism - with the better features of one argument making good the deficiencies of another, as it were. And so the Design Argument’s modest post-Hume claims are supplemented by the equally modest claims of other reformulated theistic arguments, in order that a more convincing claim can be built up. What are we to make of this? Well, since this approach to the Design Argument begins by conceding many of Hume’s criticisms, it is less vulnerable to attack. (Having said that, some still argue that Hume’s most important objections have the logical power to wreck any restatement of the argument, actual or potential.) What is most interesting here is the celebration of the argument’s genuine and very modest conclusion, which I think Hume found to be so minimal as to be virtually worthless. But then again, the new heirs of Cleanthes have a place for that conclusion in a cumulative case for belief in God, where, we must presume, every little helps. Cumulative case arguments, however, have been dubbed ‘the ten leaky buckets approach’: ten leaky buckets hold no more water than one leaky bucket, and several faulty theistic arguments prove no more than one. This last judgement is a rather extreme one, I think, but is symptomatic of an understandable feeling, a concern that partial rehabilitations of deeply flawed arguments should be carefully inspected. One can be forgiven for being cautious about the claim that failed would-be proofs still somehow ‘point towards the existence of God’, both individually and collectively. For these reasons and others, I don’t like to rest much hope in the prospect of a Design Argument revival. But I do agree with the various heirs of Cleanthes that the argument is far too impressive to be abandoned altogether. Why is this? Even if Hume’s affectionate tributes to the argument at the end of the Dialogues are entirely ironic, why did Kant and many others since his day find the argument so fascinating, not so much logically persuasive as psychologically compelling? I suspect that this isn’t like admiring the ingenuity of the Ontological Argument while declaring it philosophically bankrupt, an outrageous philosophical fraud. Rather, the Design Argument seems to have a certain profundity about it which has made critics like Kant soften the impact of their objections. I think we have to try to understand the roots of this, if we want to understand the Design Argument today. Let’s say, for the sake of argument, that the claim that there is evidence of design in nature is an unsound one, and cannot be revived. Perhaps, then, we should be looking for a less ‘formal’ way of talking about the amazing teleological systems we see all around us? It is along these lines that some have talked of an impression of design in nature, suspecting that the Design Argument distorts that impression by trying to build upon it a formal proof of God’s existence. What are we to make of the idea of an ‘impression’ of design? First, it is people who have impressions, so to talk of an impression of design may be to talk about a ‘subjective’ state. In that case, perhaps we are making a mistake, ‘getting the wrong impression’; or perhaps we can’t avoid imposing order and purpose on the world we perceive, since they are part of our mental furniture. So the question may be whether there is anything ‘out there’ corresponding to our (subjective) impression of design. Therefore, second, we may look for ‘objective’ causes of this impression. I presume these can’t just be teleological systems in themselves, or else we are back in the Design Argument proper: we might have to say that the ‘impression’ of design was a vague feeling attending what was still an inference from facts to hypothesis. The ‘impression’ approach seems to be looking for something rather different, in order to bypass the Design Argument’s assumptions and procedures. But what else could cause the impression? And if we can’t say, how could we ever know if our impression of design was a right or wrong interpretation of its objective cause? (Perhaps it is a misinterpretation sometimes?) Confused? So am I. It is difficult to see how this kind of unpacking of the Design Argument’s strange attraction can be more credible than the argument itself. Let’s try a different angle. I tend to agree that the Design Argument transposes something significant from one ‘key’ into another, and that this is the secret of the argument’s failure to convince and its refusal to fade away. But I don’t think that the transposition takes place when some kind of hazy ‘impression’ is misinterpreted as hard ‘evidence’. I’m more inclined to think that religious discourse is misconstrued as philosophical discourse. In a moment I will sketch what I mean by this. But please note that in making this claim I am asking you to think about the ways in which perceptions are related to language, and about the ways in which individuals are related to communities. Knowing that these shifts of emphasis are going on will help you to understand the kind of claim I am advancing. A few philosophers of religion think that the Design Argument can be found even in the Bible, although its ‘expression’ is obviously not the same as it is in Paley or Hume. This is the kind of example they give: When I look at thy heavens, the work of thy fingers, the moon and the stars which thou hast established; what is man that thou art mindful of him, and the son of man that thou dost care for him? (Psalm 8:3-4) But I suspect that any similarity between what is going on here and the Design Argument is fairly superficial. Admittedly, both involve contemplating (in some sense) the world around us. But in the psalm there is no obvious reference to issues of order or purpose, no explicit analogical reasoning, and above all no inference from the natural facts to a supernatural designer. God is not identified with the result of any argument at all. It doesn’t take much imagination to see that many of the typical concerns of the Design Argument are missing, and many other concerns are present in their place. So I think it won’t do to say that the only difference is one of ‘expression’, as if the psalmist should be grateful to philosophers who have come along to rescue him from the limitations of his rudimentary logic. What, then, is so distinctive about the ways of contemplating nature found in the Bible? Since we read that ‘The heavens are telling the glory of God’ (Psalm 19:1), why not treat texts like these as so many early versions of the Design Argument? Well, I think that the context in which the biblical authors write is all-important. Their belief in God is not something added on to ‘common-sense’ beliefs about the world, but a framework for thought and action, the ‘atmosphere’ in which they move. That doesn’t mean belief in God can’t be shaken, but it does mean that such belief affects perceptions, imaginings and thoughts, just as it is affected by them in turn. In other words, there is a two-way traffic between belief in God and various aspects of human life. The Design Argument, by contrast, presupposes a one-way traffic system. It assumes that there is a common experience of the world which is fundamental to believer and nonbeliever, and that the believer has the right interpretation of it. The character of religious belief as I describe it above, however, leads me to think that that picture is false. Instead, I would suggest that the believer’s experience of the world is shaped by her belief. There is no way in which we can contemplate the world independently of our perspectives, whether they be those of faith or of unbelief. Therefore perhaps we should see religious perspectives on nature as bound up with the whole of life for religious believers and communities - not as something established (even in principle) by arguing from a ‘neutral’ body of evidence which everyone perceives in the same way. There can be no such neutrality, because belief and unbelief make a difference to the way we see the world: the world of the believer is, in an important sense, not the same as the world of the atheist. Nothing I have said so far is incompatible with what we know about belief and unbelief, and in particular that people are converted to religion, or lose their faith. All I am doing is asking what it means to come to see the world as charged with God’s presence and creative power, or to fail to find the hand of God in the world. In both cases, we need to investigate the language and the practices in which these responses are found. The richness and the complexity of what lies before us in such cases is, I submit, ill-served by the Design Argument. It tries to codify religious responses to the world, but distorts their character by treating beliefs as the problematic superstructure raised over an unproblematic universally agreed foundation. It also tries to arbitrate between the claims of belief and unbelief, but distorts the conflict between them by presenting it as a difference of opinion over what can be inferred from mutually agreed premises. Perhaps we can move away from thinking of religious responses to nature as primitive attempts at constructing a design argument, and towards thinking of the Design Argument as a distortion of these religious responses. The distortion, of course was wellmeaning, in the interests of rational apologetics. But the character of religious reflection on the world was bound to be affected by the Design Argument’s assumptions, as I have indicated above. The argument’s peculiar problem is that it is motivated by religious perspectives, but tries to situate itself outside of the communities and traditions in which religious perspectives on nature are embedded. (To think that we can impartially judge whether the believer or nonbeliever is ‘right’ about the world is odd; to think that the Design Argument is capable of doing the judging is, perhaps, odder still.) If there is something in all this, then it is hopeless to imagine that the atheist could ever be convinced by the Design Argument as such. It can only ‘work’ for those who have no need of it, whose perspectives on the world are generated and sustained by nonphilosophical currents - which, nevertheless, run beneath the argument’s deceptive and distorting surface. Could it be that the Design Argument’s unwitting testimony to the enduring power of these currents is the secret of its continuing attraction? Some would undoubtedly say that this kind of analysis is a bit of a con, evading the real issue. To them, the Design Argument works or it doesn’t, because the world is designed or it isn’t. They would say that my look-beneath-the-surface approach to the Design Argument is futile at best, dishonest at worst, since the argument must stand or fall by its visible merits. I think there are problems with this ‘either-or’ attitude, and especially with the refusal to look at the wider context of an argument, but I will let them pass. Instead, let me note a final irony. It is often assumed that revisionary analyses like the one sketched above have nothing in common with the honest apologetics of an earlier age, which understood itself to be in the business of proof, and nothing else. That this is true to a certain extent, at least, is obvious. But it isn’t the whole story. No-one these days reads more than the first few chapters of Paley’s Natural Theology, with which we began, but if they did they would find the heart of Paley’s devotion to design expressed in these terms: ... If one train of thinking be more desirable than another, it is that which regards the phenomena of nature with a constant reference to a supreme intelligent Author. To have made this the ruling, the habitual sentiment of our minds, is to have laid the foundation of every thing which is religious. The world thenceforth becomes a temple, and life itself one continued act of adoration. The change is no less than this: that whereas formerly God was seldom in our thoughts, we now scarcely look upon anything without perceiving its relation to him. You could say that this ‘train of thinking’ is all very well, provided that the Design Argument is made logically watertight first. Or you could say that this ‘train of thinking’ explains how people get an ‘impression’ of design, because religious conditioning makes them expect design in the world. But I am inclined to take a different view, and a more charitable one at that. For Paley, in this context at least, seeing the world as God’s world appears to involve celebrating rather than interrogating nature: it is a moral and spiritual discipline, not an intellectual achievement. (Alternatively, the lesson may be that nature’s mediation of the presence of God takes the form of ‘sacraments’ rather than arguments, ironically making Paley, of all people, an unwitting herald of the move from eighteenth-century rationalism to nineteenth-century Romanticism. But there is no need to push this argument.) Unlike Paley, I’m not sure that the Design Argument as such is an appropriate means for preserving and communicating this profound vision - and it is, I think, genuinely profound. In saying that, I am not forgetting that there are many factors which make such a vision culturally impossible, or even morally unacceptable. Perhaps it cannot be revived; perhaps it should not be revived. Given what we have done to our planet, however, it is a vision which surely deserves the exercise of a critical but imaginative understanding. And it would be unwise to leave that task entirely to the philosophers.