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EASTERN MEDITERRANEAN UNIVERSITY FACULTY OF BUSINESS AND ECONOMICS DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS 2011-2012 SPRING SEMESTER STAT 201 - COURSE OUTLINE COURSE CODE COURSE TITLE COURSE TYPE STAT201 COURSE LEVEL 3rd Semester/ 2nd year undergraduate Statistics I Faculty Core LECTURER(S) Groups 2,3: Gülcay Tuna Office: BE 270, Phone: 2115 Group 1, 4: Nuru Giritli Office: BE 277 Phone: 2124 ECTS VALUE 6 3 MATH104 None One semester http://fbemoodle.emu.edu.tr >> Dept. of Econ >> STAT201 To be announced. To be announced. CREDIT VALUE PREREQUISITES COREQUISITES DURATION OF COURSE WEB LINK OFFICE HOURS ASSISTANT CATALOGUE DESCRIPTION Statistics I will concentrate on Descriptive Statistics covering methods of organizing, summarizing and presenting data in an informative way. Inferential statistics that covers the methods used to determine something about a population, based on a sample will be briefly introduced and will be covered extensively in Statistics II. AIMS & OBJECTIVES The aim of this course is to familiarize students with the basic concepts and techniques in statistics. To enhance the analytical skills of students to interpret data and to produce information for decision making in functional areas of business and economics. To help students think statistically and to motivate students to study furthers in areas of challenge offered by statistics. GENERAL LEARNING OUTCOMES (COMPETENCES) On successful completion of this course, all students will have developed knowledge and understanding of: Frequency distribution Measures of central location and dispersion Probability concepts Discrete probability distribution Empirical Rule and the Central Limit theorem Confidence Intervals On successful completion of this course, all students will have developed their skills in: Constructing frequency distribution Computing and interpreting various measures of central location and dispersion Applying probability theory in solving problems in business and economics Using characteristics of binomial and normal probability distributions in solving business and economic problems On successful completion of this course, all students will have developed their appreciation of and respect for values and attitudes regarding the issues of: Using descriptive statistics and the probability theory in application Understanding the features of different probability distributions Using characteristics of probability distributions and the Central Limit theorem in application RELATIONSHIP WITH OTHER COURSES Applications involve topics in business and economics. Inferential statistics introduced develops the basis for understanding the topics covered in the course of Statistics II. LEARNING / TEACHING METHOD 1 Lectures, application exercises by topic in classroom and tutorials, applications using Microsoft excel in tutorials in the lab where applicable, assignments. ASSIGNMENTS Problems assigned in lab on each topic from the end of each chapter. METHOD OF ASSESSMENT Midterm: Final Exam: Quizzes: Lab quiz: Class Participation 30% 40% 20% (4 Quizzes will be given) 5% 5% ATTENDANCE Attendance is compulsary. Unexcused absence for more than twelve lecture and Tutorial hours will result in Grade “F” If the unexcused absence is on a continual basis the ‘NG’ grade will be given. TEXTBOOK/S Statistical Techniques in Business and Economics (15th ed. D. Lind, W. Marchal and R. Mason. McGraw-Hill Irwin.) (available in Bookstore) INDICATIVE BASIC READING LIST None EXTENDED READING LIST None SEMESTER OFFERRED 2012-2013 Sprıng Semester COURSE SCHEDULE Lectures will be held according to the following schedule: Mon. Fri. Group 1 8:30 - 9:20 9:30-10.20 BEA7 8:30-9:20, RD201 9:30-10:20, LAB 2 Tue. Thu. Group 2 12:30-13:20, 13:30-14:20 RD 102 13:30-14:20 RD 102 Mon. Wed. 14:30-15:20 LAB2 Group 3 14:3015:20 15:3016:20 RD 102 10:3011:20, RD 103 11:3012:20, LAB 2 2 Tues. Group 4 11:30-12:20 BEA6 12:30 -13:20 LAB2 Thurs . 8:30 - 9:20 9:30 – 10:20 RD304 CONTENT and SCHEDULE WEEKS 1-2 DATES 14 - 22 February 25 Feb. – 01 March 2 3 04 – 08 March SUBJECT Ch. 1 What is Statistics TOPICS 1.1 Introduction 1.2 Why Study Statistics 1.4 Types of Statistics 1.5 Types of Variables 1.6 Levels of Measurement Ch. 2 Describing Data: Frequency Distributions and Graphic Presentation 2.1 Introduction 2.2 Constructing a Frequency Table 2.3 Constructing Frequency Distribution: Quantitative Data 2.5 Relative Frequency Distribution 2.6 Graphical Presentation of a Frequency Distribution: Histogram, Cumulative Frequency Distribution. (Frequency Polygon Excluded) Ch. 3 Describing Data: Numerical Measures Ch. 4 Describing Data: Displaying and Exploring Data (Skewness) 4 11 – 15 March 5 18 – 22 March 6 25 – 29 March Ch 3 (cont.) Describing Data: Numerical Measures Ch 5 Probability Concepts Ch 5 (cont.) Probability Concepts 3.1 Introduction 3.2 The Population Mean 3.3 The Sample Mean 3.4 The Properties of the Arithmetic Mean 3.5 The Weighted Mean 3.6 The Median 3.7 The Mode 3.9 The Relative Positions of the Mean, Median and Mode 4.5 Skewness 3.10 The Geometric Mean (Quiz # 1) 3.11 Why Study Dispersion 3.12 Measures of Dispersion; Variance & Standard Deviation 3.14 Interpretation and Uses of Standard Deviation: Chebyshev’s Theorem, The Empirical Rule 3.15 The Mean, and Standard Deviation of Grouped Data; 5.1 Introduction 5.2 What is Probability 5.3 Approaches to Probability: Classical, Empirical and Subjective; 5.4 Some Rules of Probability: Rules of Addition, Rules of Multiplication; 5.5 Contingency Tables 5.6 Tree Diagrams 5.8 The Combination Formula, Permutation Formula (Quiz # 2) 7, 8 03 - 13 April MIDTERM EXAMS 9 15 – 19 April Ch. 6 Discrete Probability Distribution 22 – 26 April Ch. 7 The Continuous 6.1 Introduction 6.2 What is a Probability Distribution; 6.3 Random Variables; 6.4 The Mean, Variance and Standard Deviation of a Discrete Probability Distribution 6.5 Binomial Probability Distribution How is a Binomial Probability Distribution Computed, Binomial Probability Tables; Cumulative Probability Distributions; 6.7 Poisson Probability Distribution (Excluded: 6.6 Hypergeometric Probability Distribution) 7.1 Introduction 7.2 The Family of Uniform Distributions 3 10 Probability Distribution 29 April – 03 May 11 Ch 7 (contin.) The Continuous Probability Distribution Ch. 8 Sampling Methods and the Central Limit Theorem 12 06 - 10 May 13, 14 13 – 23 May Ch. 9 Estimation and Confidence Intervals 15 28 May-12 June FINAL EXAMS 7.3 The Family of Normal Probability Distributions 7.4 The Standard Normal Probability Distribution Applications of the Standard Normal Distribution, The Empirical Rule, Finding Areas under the Normal Curve (Quiz # 3) 8.1 Introduction 8.2 Sampling Methods 8.3 Sampling Error; 8.4 Sampling Distribution of the Sample Mean 8.5 The Central Limit Theorem 8.6 Using the Sampling Distribution of the Sample Mean 9.1 Introduction 9.2 Point Estimates for a Population Mean 9.3 Confidence Intervals for a population Mean: known ; Unknown (Quiz # 4) LAB WORK WITH MICROSOFT EXCEL AND TUTORIAL PROBLEMS The following topics will be tutored by assistants in the lab. It is advised that you review the following problems solved during the tutorial hours in the lab. as well as the quiz problems for preparation for the exams. LAB WORK AND TUTORIAL SCHEDULES WEEK 2,3 CHAPTER 1, 2 COMPUTER LAB and PROBLEM SESSION TOPICS - Types of Variables, Sample vs. Population, Levels of Measurement - LAB: Construction and graphing Frequency Distribution; Histogram, Bar, Pie Charts, Line Graphs (Instructions -Software commands for Excel 1 & 3 on p. 54) 4 3 - LAB: Range, Arithmetic mean, MD computaion and interpretation as example on P/77-78 - LAB:Descriptive Statistics (As shown on p. 69, Excel software commands on P/ 100) 5 3 -PROBL.: Chebyshev’s Th. & Empirical Rule, Grouped Data 6 4, TUTORIAL Lab. & PROBLEM Session QUESTIONS Tutorial 1 Ch 1 Q.6,10,13, 20 (P/16-19) Ch 2 Q 29 (p/47) Tutorial 2 Ch 3 Q. 39 Ch 3 Q.77, 79, 46 (pop. Var. to be computed on excell sheet for Q.46) Tutorial 3 Ch 3 Q. 54, 55, 58 Tutorial 4 Ch 5 Q. 24, 25,26, 29,70,77 -PROBL. Probability applications 5 7 6 8 -LAB.: Binomial Probability Distribution (Ex. P. 200- Excel Commands 2. on p.219) Mid-term Exam Solutions 9 10 - LAB: Determining Permutations & Combinations (Software commands for Excel on P/183-184) -PROBL.: Discrete Probability Distributions: 7 -PROBL.: Continious Prob. Distributions 4 Ch. 5 Q.44,45,46 Tutorial 6 Ch 6 Q. 3, 6, 13, 18, 24 Tutorial 7 Tutorial 8 Ch 7 Q. 2, 3, 9, 20, 50. (Uniform Distribution and standard Normal Distribution.) 11 12 13 7 -LAB.: Areas Under a Normal Curve, Finding Value of an Observation. (Excel software commands 1 and 2 on P/256-257 for the examples on P/235, P/241) 8 - PROBL.: Sampling Methods - LAB.: Excel commands on P/295 - PROBL.: Developing Confidence Intervals 9 14 Tutorial 9 Ch 8 Q. 5, 29 Q.46 using Real Estate Data Tutorial 10 Ch. 9 Q. 5, 11, 13 LAB QUIZ PLAGIARISM This is intentionally failing to give credit to sources used in writing regardless of whether they are published or unpublished. Plagiarism (which also includes any kind of cheating in exams) is a disciplinary offence and will be dealt with accordingly.) MAKE-UP EXAMS Students who have valid excuses, will be allowed to take make-up examinations for mid-term and final exams. No make-up exams for quiz. IMPORTANT DATES February 11-13 2013 Course Registration Period (With Supervisor ) February 14 2013 Classes Commence First Day Of Registration With Penalty February 21 2013 Last Day For Late Registration Last Day For Submission Of Grade Change To The Registrar Last Day For Submission Of Graduation Make – Up Exam Grades To The Registrar February 28 2013 Last Day For Add / Drop April 03 - 13 2013 Mid-Term Exams Period April 23 2013 National Sovereignty & Children’s Day April 26 2013 Last Day For Course Withdrawal, Last Day For Applying To Get Leave Of Absence May 01 2013 Workers' And Spring Day May 19 2013 Atatürk Commemoration, Youth And Sports Day May 23 2013 Last Day Of Classes 27 - 11 2013 Final Exams Period 2013 Last Day For The Submission Of Grades To The Registrar 2013 Graduatıon Ceremony For Spring Graduates May - June June 20 June 25 5