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Water in the Atmosphere Water in the Atmosphere Jonathon S. Wright Jackson School of Geosciences University of Texas October 23, 2011 Water in the Atmosphere The Importance of Atmospheric Water The Water Cycle Water in the Atmosphere Overview 1 Water provides an efficient mechanisms for moving energy within the atmosphere. This energy transport plays a large role in determining weather and climate. 2 Water in the atmosphere accounts for approximately three-quarters of the present-day greenhouse effect (50% water vapor and 25% clouds): without atmospheric water, the average temperature of Earth would be much colder (40◦ F). 3 Water vapor amounts are temperature-dependent and feed back to temperature changes: water vapor roughly doubles the climate sensitivity to changes in atmospheric carbon dioxide. 4 Clouds also feed back to temperature changes. The sign and magnitude of this feedback are not yet known. 5 The water cycle plays a large role in pollutant transport within the atmosphere, particularly vertically. Water in the Atmosphere Energy and Radiation Energy Transport Water Vapor: Fluid Sunshine Sunlight evaporates water from the ocean surface, storing the energy in the form of latent heat in atmospheric water vapor. Water in the Atmosphere Energy and Radiation Energy Transport Water Vapor: Fluid Sunshine In this form, the energy can be transported efficiently to distant places, where the heat is released by condensation. Water in the Atmosphere Energy and Radiation The Water Vapor Feedback Water Vapor: The Dominant Greenhouse Gas Water vapor accounts for approximately half of the present-day greenhouse effect. Water in the Atmosphere Energy and Radiation The Water Vapor Feedback Forcing: Climate Changes Radiative climate forcings, such as increases in carbon dioxide, change the temperature structure of the atmosphere. Water in the Atmosphere Energy and Radiation The Water Vapor Feedback Feedback: Water Vapor Responds Water vapor is temperature dependent, and may therefore represent a positive feedback to temperature changes. Water in the Atmosphere Energy and Radiation The Water Vapor Feedback Models: Constant Relative Humidity Climate models suggest that the magnitude of the water vapor feedback can be estimated by assuming that global-mean relative humidity remains constant. Water in the Atmosphere Energy and Radiation The Water Vapor Feedback Observations of Constant Relative Humidity This constancy can be directly observed in the water vapor response to other climate forcings, such as volcanic eruptions. Water in the Atmosphere Energy and Radiation The Water Vapor Feedback Observations of Constant Relative Humidity This constancy can be directly observed in the water vapor response to other climate forcings, such as volcanic eruptions. The Magnitude The water vapor feedback roughly doubles climate sensitivity. Water in the Atmosphere Energy and Radiation The Water Vapor Feedback Water in the Atmosphere Energy and Radiation The Water Vapor Feedback Water in the Atmosphere Energy and Radiation The Water Vapor Feedback Why the Upper Troposphere? Greenhouse gas forcings are logarithmic in concentration. Water in the Atmosphere Energy and Radiation The Water Vapor Feedback Stratospheric Water Vapor An increase of water vapor in the stratosphere: 1 warms the surface 2 cools the stratosphere 3 enhances stratospheric ozone destruction Water in the Atmosphere Energy and Radiation The Water Vapor Feedback The Stratospheric Tape Recorder Stratospheric water bears the imprint of the seasonal cycle of temperatures at the tropical tropopause. Current work in the Climate Group focuses on better constraining additional factors. Water in the Atmosphere Energy and Radiation The Cloud Feedback Clouds: A Balancing Act Like water vapor, clouds are strong greenhouse absorbers, but they also cool the climate by reflecting sunlight. Water in the Atmosphere Energy and Radiation The Cloud Feedback Low Cloud Forcing Low clouds reflect sunlight, and their temperatures are similar to surface temperatures. Increases in low clouds cool the climate. Water in the Atmosphere Energy and Radiation The Cloud Feedback High Cloud Forcing Cirrus clouds are less reflective, with temperatures much colder than the surface. Increases in high clouds warm the climate. Water in the Atmosphere Energy and Radiation The Cloud Feedback Water in the Atmosphere Energy and Radiation The Cloud Feedback The Global Cloud Feedback Observations of cloud feedback to temperature changes associated with El Niño variability indicate that this feedback is positive but small. El Niño is problematic as a global warming analogue. Water in the Atmosphere Pollutant Transport Fire Products Convective Transport of Fire Products Deep convection in the tropics can transport carbon monoxide and particles from fires at the surface to the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere, where they can impact chemistry and the water budget. This is an area of active research in the Climate Group at the Jackson School of Geosciences. Water in the Atmosphere Pollutant Transport Carbon Monoxide Water in the Atmosphere Summary 1 Water provides an efficient mechanisms for moving energy within the atmosphere. This energy transport plays a large role in determining weather and climate. 2 Water in the atmosphere accounts for approximately three-quarters of the present-day greenhouse effect (50% water vapor and 25% clouds): without atmospheric water, the average temperature of Earth would be much colder (40◦ F). 3 Water vapor amounts are temperature-dependent and feed back to temperature changes: water vapor roughly doubles the climate sensitivity to changes in atmospheric carbon dioxide. 4 Clouds also feed back to temperature changes. The sign and magnitude of this feedback are not yet known. 5 The water cycle plays a large role in pollutant transport within the atmosphere, particularly vertically.