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Ed Rousseau Monday No ember 14th November 14.40-15.05 Value Chain Renewable Energy DSM’s position in the value chain DSM and Renewable Energy our mission our mission Ed Rousseau Our purpose is to create brighter lives for people today and generations to come d ti t DSM Introducing Royal DSM N.V. Annual net sales (2010) of € ~8,2 billion Net profit (2010) of € ~500 million Locations in five continents ~ 22,000 employees Nr 1 in Dow Jones Sustainability World Index Ed Rousseau DSM 100 yr DSM from coal to Life Science & Materials Science from coal to Life Science & Materials Science Bioterials / Biologics Life Science Products Performance Materials Petrochemicals Fertilizers Coal 1902 1930 1950 1970 classical 1990 2000 Technological competences 2010 modern Mechanical engineering Chemical engineering Polymer technology Material science Fine chemicals Biotechnology Ed Rousseau DSM Renewable Energy fully in line with DSM’ss business drivers fully in line with DSM business drivers Ed Rousseau DSM People - Planet - Profit: creating value along three dimensions Renewable energy has a huge market potential for DSM for DSM Ed Rousseau DSM Renewable energy DSM 4 opportunities 4 opportunities Ed Rousseau Bio-ethanol DSM Biogas Waste streams Biogas / Industrial Production Agricultural Upgrade Wind energy Solar energy Bio‐ethanol from biomass & waste DSM’ss opportunities in 2 DSM opportunities in 2nd generation bio‐ethanol generation bio‐ethanol Ed Rousseau DSM Fi t generation First ti S Second d generation ti DSM’s unique combination in biomass conversion Pilot scale test by Ab bengoa (con ncentration in g/l) DSM Advanced Yeasts capable of converting both C6 and C5 sugars C6 sugar Start C5 sugar 20 hours Bio-Ethanol 72 hours DSM leader in yeast technology Ed Rousseau DSM DSM’s leadership in cellulosic ethanol technology • Global cellulosic ethanol market expected to grow to 18bn gallons in 2022, ~ US$ 50bn Market expectations(*) cellulosic ethanol (global demand in billion gallons) DSM 20 15 • Resulting in market value for enzymes R lti i k t l f & yeasts of ~ US$ 3‐5 bn in 2022 US China 10 Brazil • DSM well‐positioned for cellulosic DSM well positioned for cellulosic ethanol – no. 1 position in yeasts – top 3 position in enzymes top 3 position in enzymes Ed Rousseau EU 5 0 2011 2015 2020 2022 * d *: derived i d ffrom Hart’s ’ Gl Global b l Energy S Study d Biogas 40 Waste streams / Industrial Agricultural Biogas Production Upgrade Market expectations(*) biogas ((US$ $ billion)) DSM 30 ~17% 20 • • • Biogas market expected to grow by ~16% p.a. to ~100 BCM in 2020 (US$ 35bn) Market for biogas enzymes and process improvement: ~US$ 1bn by 2020 DSM leading provider of biogas enzymes and process improvements in Europe Ed Rousseau ~15% 10 0 2011 2015 2020 *: Source : DSM analysis, conservative scenario for biogas based on: Chinese Government data & outlook, NREAPs and Eurobserver data, * Swedish government study for global biogas potential (’09) Wind Energy Ed Rousseau DSM 1 MW = 3 - 3.5 tons of resin = 0.5 – 0.6 tons of adhesive Trends in the Wind Turbine Market Optimizing production process and cost structure • Shift from hand layup to infusion • Shorter cycles times in infusion and curing • Lower total system cost Longer blades L bl d • Increasing structural strength of blades Sustainability y • Sustainable products (reduced Carbon footprint) • Sustainable ways to produce (reduced impact on workers) Key drivers: efficiency & reliability Ed Rousseau DSM DSM‘s Solution Package for Wind Turbine Blades Wind Turbine Blades Ed Rousseau Blade Design ReinforceProcess Technology ment Resin Bonding Gelcoat / Coating paste DSM expertise ti Blade Designer Blade Designer Expertise • Blade Design • g Blade Manufacturing DSM Expertise • Resins • Bonding Paste • Gelcoats • Tooling Strong Partnership is the key to success DSM Solar energy market ‐ segmentation market ‐ Ed Rousseau photons heat Thermal Solar Photovoltaic y Silicon Crystalline Thin film Emerging technologies concentrated collector collector Efficiency 13-18% 2.5-3.5 Mono€/Wp Polysilicon 80% Efficiency 6-12% 2.5-3.5 €/Wp 20% Efficiency 2-30% >2€/Wp <1% 1% Efficiency 15-35% 3-6€/Wp Efficiency 70% 0,05€/Wth <1% 1% DSM Solar energy market ‐ characteristics market ‐ Strong fast growing global market with many opportunities increasing demand; new emerging markets Ed Rousseau DSM Solar energy market ‐ characteristics market ‐ PV production in Asia; usage in Europe Ed Rousseau DSM Solar energy market ‐ characteristics market ‐ Cost-down drive grid parity (€/kwh) Ed Rousseau DSM PV price learning curve towards grid parity 2030 2020 Estimated time schedule for reaching grid parity over Europe 2015 DSM current opportunities in solar AR coating technology for solar cover glass Ed Rousseau DSM 1 module frame 2 sealant 3 cover glass 4 encapsulant 5 solar cell 6 backsheet Encapsulant material Arnite® Stanyl® EcoPaXXTM Junction box Power inverter DSM future opportunities in solar c-Si modules • Integrated module design & production • Building Integrated Thin Film materials and technologies g • Stanyl® ForTii™ as polymeric substrate • Graphene for electrical conductive, transparent barrier layer • multi-layer packaging know-how • coatings technology • new deposition technologies gy conversion and storage g Energy • Radical solutions in batteries, supercapacitors, photocatalysts Ed Rousseau DSM DSM long term opportunities in solar towards artificial photosynthesis ??? towards artificial photosynthesis… ??? Ed Rousseau DSM Summary DSM and Renewable Energy DSM and Renewable Energy Bio-ethanol enzymes/yeasts y y for 2nd g generation bio-fuels Biogas enzymes for a more efficient production and higher performance Wind energy resins & coatings & technology for windblades Solar energy AR coatings & engineering plastics for cost–effective solar modules Ed Rousseau DSM Successful Renewable Energy only by technology push AND market pull technology push AND market pull Ed Rousseau “technology push” from industry DSM Source: 2005 Annual Report REC, Norwayy Example: South Korea “market pull” supported by government Towards a smart world… Smart island Smart home Smart country Smart city Smart world Ed Rousseau DSM