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Selwyn College Level 3 Statistics and Modelling 90642 Calculate confidence intervals for population parameters. Credits: Three Answer ALL questions in the spaces provided in this booklet. Show ALL working for ALL questions. For Assessor’s use only Achievement Criteria Achievement Calculate confidence intervals for population parameters. Achievement with Merit Demonstrate an understanding of confidence intervals. Overall level of Performance Achievement with Excellence Demonstrate an understanding of the theory behind confidence intervals. Page 2 of 5 You are advised to spend 35 minutes answering the questions in this booklet. Show ALL working Question One (a) Coffee stains are a common form of damage to books at the library. A random sample of 200 books at the library found that 26% of the books had coffee stains. Calculate a 99% confidence interval for the proportion of all books at the library that have coffee stains. _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ (b) The library wants to estimate the proportion of all its books which have at least one page missing to within 10%, at a 98% level of confidence. What is the minimum sample size needed? _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ Page 3 of 5 (c) The shelves of the library are designed to hold different weights of books. (i) A random sample of 150 young adult fiction books at the library gave a mean weight of 340g and a standard deviation of 52g. Construct a 95% confidence interval for the mean weight of all young adult fiction books at the library. _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ (ii) 50 of the books from the sample in (c)(i) were randomly selected to be placed on a shelf. Construct a 90% confidence interval for T, the total weight of 50 randomly selected books from the sample in (c)(i). _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ Page 4 of 5 Question Two (a) The library is considering the popularity of its digital media service. A random sample of the amounts spent on borrowing digital media was taken from the library’s issues database. The amount spent on borrowing music and movies was compared, and the results are summarised in the table below: Music Movies 40 50 Sample mean ($) 314.50 424.80 Sample standard deviation ($) 287.20 298.90 Sample size (i) Let µ1 = the mean amount of money spent on borrowing music and µ2 = the mean amount of money spent on borrowing music. Construct a 95% confidence interval for µ1 - µ2 _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ (ii) Explain what the confidence interval constructed in (i) indicates about whether music is more popular than movies from the library’s digital media service. _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ Page 5 of 5 (b) The library sends out a newsletter each month. Last month’s newsletter contained an article titled “Last month teenagers borrowed more books per visit than adults”. The article explains that when asked how many books they had borrowed on their last visit, a random sample of 60 teenagers gave a sample mean of 3.5 books per visit and a random sample of 60 adults gave a sample mean of 2.8 books per visit. (i) If the library used a 99% confidence interval as the basis for the claim for their article, give the range of possible values for the standard error of the estimated difference. _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ (ii) The library analysed the number of issues per visit for all teenagers on its issues database and discovered the mean number of books borrowed per visit is actually 2.9. If standard deviation for the number of books borrowed per visit for teenagers is 2.3, calculate the probability of obtaining a sample mean of 3.5 or higher using the same sample size as used by the library and discuss what this indicates about the original sample of teenagers obtained. _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________