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Plasma fibrinogen lever and risk of Coronary Heart Disease among Chinese population: a systematic review and meta-analysis Running Title: systematic review and meta-analysis for Plasma fibrinogen and Coronary Heart Disease Zhang juan 1, Zhang wei-guo*1, Song heng-liang1,Wan da-guo1 1 Department of cardiovascular medicine, The 2th Affiliated Hospital of Zheng zhou University, Zhengzhou,Henan 450014,China. *Corresponding Author: Zhang wei-guo Department of cardiovascular medicine, The 2th Affiliated Hospital of Zheng zhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan 450014,China. Telephone: 0371-63974563 Mobile phone: 13140001222 Email: [email protected] Abstract Background: Coronary heart disease (CHD) remains the leading causes of death and disability for men and women in most developed countries and will soon become the leading cause of death in developing countries. Several studies have examined the role of fibrinogen levels in the prediction of atherosclerosis and CHD events. Objective: The aim of this study was to explore the effects of plasma fibrinogen levels in a large cohort of Chinese patients with CHD and to examine the relationship of fibrinogen. Methods: We performed a meta-analysis of case-control and prospective studies of plasma fibrinogen level in relation to CHD risk in electronic database of Medline, EMBase, the Cochrane Library and CNKI (China National Knowledge Infrastructure). Plasma fibrinogen levels were measured in patients with angiographically confirmed CHD and in controls without CHD. Results: The selected 23 studies included 2984 CHD cases and 2279 controls. Our results found that plasma fibrinogen levels of patients were significantly higher than control group (p<0.0001). The predicted causal odds ratio for a 1 g/L higher plasma fibrinogen level was 0.94 (95% CI=0.78-1.10).Furthermore, fibrinogen levels were slightly related to age-related CHD patients. Conclusive: The plasma fibrinogen lever was associated with CHD in the Chinese population, and may be a risk factor and predictor of CHD. Further studies assessing any causal relevance of fibrinogen levels to disease are requires. Keywords: coronary heart disease, plasma fibrinogen lever, meta-analysis Introduction Cardiovascular disease is the leading cause of global mortality, with coronary heart disease (CHD) its major manifestation in today's clinical practice. CHD is a multifactorial disease with a prominent inflammatory vascular component and results from a complex interplay between environmental and genetic factors1. Every year, more than 16.3 million adults have CHD, and an estimated 935 000 heart attacks occur in the United States alone2. It remains not only the leading cause of death in most developed countries and will soon become the leading cause of death in developing countries, but also complicates the identification of the causal pathways, and delaying the development of new treatments3,4. In the last few decades novel risk factors for CHD have been identified in previously healthy subjects, such as inflammatory markers (C-reactive protein), and prothrombotic markers (fibrinogen)5,6. Although prospective cohort studies have examined fibrinogen in large populations with long periods of follow-up, whether these markers are a cause or consequence of CHD remains debatable. Fibrinogen, the precursor of fibrin, was the first described blood coagulation factor7, 8. The mature fibrinogen protein is made up of two chains, each of which has three different polypeptides, alpha, beta, and gamma, encoding by three genes located in a cluster of 51 kb on chromosome 4 at q23–q329. Fibrinogen is an acute-phase inflammatory protein involved in blood clotting and is also a potentially suitable target for CHD10. Many studies had demonstrated that the plasma fibrinogen concentration was associated with CHD11. These associations have led to evaluation of fibrinogen as a possible causal factor in cardiovascular disease, as a therapeutic target, and as a risk predictor in both healthy persons and those with established cardiovascular diseases. Observational studies show that an increase of 1 g/L of plasma fibrinogen is associated with more than a two-fold increase in CHD and fibrinogen lever may predict the development, the course, and negative prognosis of coronary heart disease (CHD)12,13. However, the relevance of circulating levels of plasma fibrinogen to CHD risk remains uncertain. Moreover, Okwuosa et al. have demonstrated that among young black and white men and women with few baseline cardiovascular risk factors, fibrinogen tracked longitudinally with changes in traditional risk factors over 13 years through middle age14. Considering the diversity between age, sex and ethnicity, and the necessity to improve prevention strategies in CHD patients, we conducted this meta-analysis and aimed to evaluate the prognostic implications of fibrinogen in a unique and relatively large cohort of Chinese patients with acute coronary syndrome. Materials and methods 1 Search strategy for identification of studies Four major electronic databases, Medline, EMBase, the Cochrane Library and CNKI (China National Knowledge Infrastructure) were searched for related reports between 2005 and 2013 using the following medical subject heading terms and keywords: coronary heart disease, CHD, plasma fibrinogen and risk factors. The title and abstract of each article were scanned, and all studies matching the eligibility criteria were retrieved. We also searched bibliographies of identified reports, and references were retrieved for other relevant publications. 2 Criteria for article screening Studies were defined as eligible if: 1) they were case-control or prospective cohort studies relating fibrinogen level to CHD risk; 2) adult patients with longer than 1 year of follow-up; 3) all CHD patients accorded with the diagnosis standard of WHO in 1999, and coronary angiography results show that at least one coronary artery lumen diameter was stenosed more than 50%15; 4) the two groups of subjects have no significant difference in such aspects as age and gender. No language restrictions were applied. The excluded criteria were: 1) patients with diabetes, podagra, and immune system diseases; 2) patients with blood disease, malignant tumor, and heart kidney function; 3) patients have anticoagulant therapy prior to admission to hospital. 3 Data Extraction All of the data were independently abstracted in duplicate by 2 authors using a data abstraction form to retrieve information on study characteristics, participant information, CHD outcome, analyses, and adjustment. Discrepancies were resolved by consensus 4 Statistical analysis The mean difference with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) was used to assess the strength of association between fibrinogen level and CHD risk. The significance of the pooled mean level was determined by the Z test, and a P value less than 0.05 was considered significant. The heterogeneity for the included articles was evaluated using Cochran’s Q test and I2 statistics. P-value less than 0.1 and I2 less than 50% were considered to be statistically significant. When a significant heterogeneity existed across the included studies (I2 > 50 %), the random effect model was used; When there was no significant heterogeneity across the included studies (I2 < 50 %), the fixed effect model was used. To assess whether our results were substantially influenced by the presence of any individual study, we conducted a sensitivity analysis by systematically removing each study and recalculating the significance of the result. Begg’s funnel plot was performed to examine the publication bias. Analyses were carried out using the Review manager 5.2 (The Cochrane Collaboration). All tests were two-sided. Results 1 Characteristics of Included Studies The electronic database search identified 5321 references. Of those, 3949 records excluded after title review and 1372 articles were judged potentially relevant. Following abstracts screened for relevance, 667 full-text articles comprehensively assessed against inclusion criteria. Overall, a total of 23 prospective cohort studies representing data from 5263 participants were finally included in this review. Figure 1 shows the study flow. Fig 1. Summary of article selection process Among the 23 papers, one was written in English16, twenty-two were published in Chinese17-38. All of them, including 2984 patients and 2279 healthy controls, was assessed the relationship between fibrinogen level and CHD. The major characteristics of the eligible publications are reported in Table 1. Table 1 Main characteristics of included studies in this meta-analysis First author-published year Cases Age Controls Total FB level Age Total FB level Li Y-2005 66.1±7.4 58 3.82±0.56 62.5±8.3 22 2.92±0.32 Xia HJ-2005 68.3±19.2 109 3.99±1.17 65.7±12.3 162 3.32±1.05 Zhou BR-2005 63.8±7.5 100 4.82±0.46 - 36 3.46±0.57 Zhao Y-2005 70.65±11.35 75 3.69±0.81 67.62±10.60 65 3.33±0.86 Hao JH-2006 71.02±15.56 78 5.74±2.54 68.35±14.83 60 3.82±1.70 Ma ZX-2006 58.4±7.8 46 3.72±1.08 51.3±7.5 82 3.31±0.74 Zhang ZL-2006 68.6±4.6 91 3.48±0.96 67.4±4.9 72 2.65±0.38 Chen SA-2007 66.4±13.88 80 4.25±0.32 50.53±9.01 78 3.21±0.65 Sun AJ-2008 64.2±10.2 836 3.43±2.03 59.7±11.1 418 3.11±0.68 Tian CL-2008 62.5±11.2 120 3.64±0.76 58.7±10.3 100 2.89±0.62 Bai CW-2009a 43± 4 60 3.27±0.54 41±6 74 2.67±0.30 Bai CW-2009b 65±6 105 3.15±0.49 41±6 74 2.67±0.30 Li GT-2009 67.1±8.4 106 4.04±0.49 64.5±7.3 50 2.91±0.36 Li JQ-2010 69.8 83 4.91±0.51 63 54 3.21±0.54 Liu CF-2010 41-75 112 4.01±0.51 23-67 150 3.17±0.73 Lv LS-2010 44.1 103 4.03±0.43 43.6 108 3.19±0.25 Hu YW-2011 62.16±8.72 100 3.50±1.06 56.00±10.25 100 2.83±0.46 Sun RL-2011 46 76 3.51±0.52 44 82 2.21±0.32 Wang YH-2011 62.5±11.2 120 3.64±0.76 58.7±10.3 100 2.89±0.62 Zhang YQ-2011 60±12 128 4.94±1.87 - 32 3.06±0.58 Rong YZ-2012 63.25±8.06 50 4.76±0.25 59.31±4.79 50 3.22±0.43 Du MY-2013 68.5±5.6 112 4.35±0.55 68.0±5.2 100 3.58±0.48 Liang ZH-2013 63.2±1.4 80 3.4±0.6 62.7±1.9 80 2.4±0.4 Zhang Y-2013 42.5 156 4.12± 0.58 43.1 130 3.20±0.27 2 Association of fibrinogen level and CHD risk The case-control comparison yielded a risk ratio for CHD of 0.94 (95% CI=0.78-1.10) per 1 g/L higher usual plasma fibrinogen concentration, which is equivalent to a risk ratio of middle-aged less than 50-year-old (OR=0.90, 95% CI=0.71-1.10) and old-aged (OR=0.96, 95% CI=0.75-1.16). There is a significantly association between plasma fibrinogen level and CHD risk (P<0.0001). Table 2 shows the predicted OR for about 1 g/L increase in plasma fibrinogen, calculated assuming a linear-logistic relationship between plasma fibrinogen level and risk of CHD. Figure 2 showed the relationship among middle-aged patients (less than 50-year-old). However, there is a significantly heterologous among studies. Table 2 Meta-analysis of predicted association for plasma fibrinogen level and CHD risk OR (95% CI) P value PHeterogeneity Model All studies 0.94 (0.78, 1.10) P< 0.0001 P< 0.0001 Random-effect model Studies with middle patients 0.90 (0.71, 1.10) P< 0.0001 P< 0.0001 Random-effect model Studies with old patients 0.96 (0.75, 1.16) P< 0.0001 P< 0.0001 Random-effect model Fig 2. Forest plot on the association between plasma fibrinogen level and CHD risk among middle-aged patients 3 Sensitivity analyses and publication bias A single study included in the meta-analysis was deleted each time to reflect the influence of the individual data set to the pooled ORs. The corresponding pooled ORs were not materially changed, which confirmed the stability of our overall result. Egger’s test was conducted to assess the publication bias of the literature. The shape of funnel plots did not reveal any evidence of funnel plot asymmetry. As shown in figure 3. The statistical results still did not show publication bias. Fig 3. Publication bias for the analysis of all the studies Disscussion Fibrinogen plays a key role in the final step of the coagulation cascade such as the formation of fibrin39. It is also a major determinant of plasma viscosity and erythrocyte aggregation40,41. Fibrinogen, as well as its decomposition products, mediate the transportation of adhesion molecules in the surface of endothelium and their further migration to the intima42. They can also trigger proliferation and migration of smooth-muscle cells43. In regard to the inflammatory aspect of fibrinogen, inflammatory process is mainly mediated by the interaction of fibrinogen-leukocytes mediated by integrins 44. Many studies have examined the role of fibrinogen levels alone or combined with other risk factors in the prediction of atherosclerosis and CHD events. Hale et al. have found that fibrinogen may be a mechanism through which long sleep duration is associated with CHD and mortality6. Xu et al. shown that high fibrinogen may be a possible link between job stress and cardiovascular disease45. Aliberti et al. found an association between fibrinogen plasma levels and platelet counts in an outpatient population and in patients with CHD46. In the past years, plasma fibrinogen is under debate whether it is a primary risk factor/mediator for CHD, or whether it is a marker for disease47. Many cohort studies showed that fibrinogen may partly mediate the effects of other risk factors on carotid atherosclerosis48. Molecular biology found that fibrinogen is a marker, rather than a mediator, of vascular disease49. The present meta-analysis involves individual participant data from 23 prospective studies of CHD among 2984 individuals with known CHD at baseline and 2279 health controls. Our results found plasma fibrinogen levels of patients were 0.94-folder higher than control group, and showed a significantly association between plasma fibrinogen level and CHD risk (p<0.0001). The predicted causal odds ratio for a 1 g/L higher plasma fibrinogen level was 0.94 (95% CI=0.78-1.10), indicating fibrinogen level is associated with the incidence rates of CHD. These data showed that throughout the range of fibrinogen levels recorded in Asian populations, the proportional differences in risk of each of these end points associated with a given absolute difference in usual fibrinogen are generally similar at all fibrinogen levels. It has been suggested that methods for reducing fibrinogen levels should be sought for they may have the potential to reduce CHD risk50. Fibrinogen levels can be reduced considerably by lifestyle interventions that also affect levels of established risk factors (such as regular exercise, smoking cessation, and moderate alcohol consumption), there is interest in the possibility that measurement (or modification) of fibrinogen may help in disease prediction or prevention51. A meta-analysis of published data from 18 such studies, involving about 4000 CHD cases, indicated a relative risk of 1.8 (95% CI=1.6-2.0) per 1g/L increase in plasma fibrinogen level52. Fibrinogen levels were correlated with several established risk factors (such as blood pressure and serum cholesterol levels). Panagiotakos et al. showed that in individuals with heterozygous familial hypercholesterolemia, fibrinogen levels are among the strong predictors of CHD53. These confounding factors probably have been measured with some error so substantial residual confounding may remain. Furthermore, an interesting study by Several limitations were presented in this study. Firstly, as this is a cross-sectional study, we evaluated associations, not predictions nor causation between plasma level and CHD risk only among Chinese population. Secondly, our observations are based on a small group of patients, so there is large heterologous among studies. Thirdly, fibrinogen levels may correlate with several other factors such as smoking, sex, serum lipid levels which should be considered. Fourthly, we did not investigate whether genetic and environmental factors modify each other in these associations. Overall, our study found that plasma fibrinogen levels were higher in patients with CHD compared to normal subjects. These results proved that there is a significant correlation between plasma plasminogen levels and the progress of CHD. Further studies involving larger numbers of patients and relating with other risk factors may elucidate the clearly association between plasma levels of plasminogen and the severity of CHD. Conflict of interest The authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest. Reference 1. Allender, S., et al., Coronary heart disease statistics. 2012. 2. Roger, V.L., et al., Heart disease and stroke statistics--2012 update: a report from the American Heart Association. Circulation, 2012. 125(1): p. e2-e220. 3. 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