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Transcript
New Financial Intermediaries: Private Equity and the Corporation Eileen Appelbaum
Rutgers University
U.S. Corporations in Recovery and Beyond
New School for Social Research
April 22‐23, 2010
1
Macro Context: New Growth Model
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Retreat from “Golden Age” growth model
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Neo‐liberal growth model (1970s/1980s) 2
From Managerial to Financial Capitalism
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Managerial capitalism (1950s – 1980s)
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Principal‐Agent problem
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Deregulation of financial markets (US in 1970s)
3
Agency Theory
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Argues low‐growth, mature firms should return free cash flow to shareholders (dividends, stock repurchases)
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Provides rationale for leveraged buyouts (1980s)
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Debt financing
Assets as collateral
High free cash flow to repay debt
Debt disciplines managers; requires shareholder focus
LBO movement ended in scandal, replaced in 1990s by PE
Argues private equity improves corporate governance
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Better monitoring of managers to maximize shareholder value
Private Equity: New Proactive Intermediaries
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Equity investment by PE firms: 1989‐2009
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Substantial growth since mid 1990s
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US is center of most investment
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But substantial activity in UK, Europe
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Has declined since financial crisis – it or similar will re‐
emerge
5
PE Business Model
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2 and 20 fund income model
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Value Extraction by PE Firms
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Operational strategies (Increase revenues, reduce costs)
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Earnings multiple (Increase share price between acquisition & exit)
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Financial engineering (Dividends and distributions to PE partners; Higher returns due to debt financing)
6
Private Equity and Retail Chains
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Two high profile, highly profitable PE successes
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Aeropostale acquired 1998, went public 2001
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Burger King acquired in 2002, went public 2006
PE active 2001‐7 in retail chain sector ‰
Business model based on financial engineering
‰
Worked for all regions during bubble
‰
Failed spectacularly after bubble burst
7
PE Business Model in Retail: US (Mervyns), UK (Debenhams), Germany (Hertie)
8
PE and Risk of Bankruptcy
„
Debt
‰
PE leveraged buy outs
„
„
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Public firms „
„
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Average net debt to enterprise value of 67% Average net debt to EBITDA of 5.4 Average net debt to enterprise value of 14% Average net debt to EBITDA of 1.1%
Bankruptcy rate 1980 to 2002
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PE leveraged buyouts – 1.2% a year
„
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Only follow to exit, data set misses smaller deals, recession
Public firms – 0.6% a year
9