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Unit 1: Measurement Introduction to Earth science and Experimental Design Ch 1, pgs 1-15 Our island: Earth • Earth may seem enormous • But it and its systems are finite and limited • We can change the Earth and damage its systems • Environment: all the living and non-living things around us • Animals, plants, forests, farms, etc. – Continents, oceans, clouds, ice caps – Structures, urban centers, living spaces – Social relationships and institutions Environmental science • Environmental science is the study of: • How the natural world works • How the environment affects humans and vice versa • We need to understand our interactions with the environment • To creatively solve environmental problems • Global conditions are rapidly changing • We are also rapidly gaining knowledge • The opportunity to solve problems is still available Limitations of Environmental Science • Environmental science has its limitations • Some data has to be estimated • How many acres of rainforest are cut down each year? • How many people are affected by pollution • Interactions between humans and the environment is complex and not easily simplified • Environmental models are therefore inherently limited • Predictions into the future must take these assumptions we make into consideration • Will environmental education have an impact on the future? • Will less developed nations harm the environment as much as developed nations have in the past? • How fast will human population grow? We rely on natural resources • Natural resources = substances and energy sources needed for survival • Renewable natural resources: can be replenished • Perpetually renewed: sunlight, wind, wave energy • Renew themselves over short periods: timber, water, soil • These can be destroyed • Nonrenewable natural resources: unavailable after depletion • Oil, coal, minerals We rely on ecosystem services • Natural resources are “goods” produced by nature • Earth’s natural resources provide “services” to us • Ecosystem services: arise from the normal functioning of natural services • Purify air and water, cycle nutrients, regulate climate • Pollinate plants, receive and recycle wastes • We degrade ecosystem services • By depleting resources, destroying habitat, generating pollution • Increased human affluence has intensified degradation Human population growth amplifies impacts • There are over 7.2 billion humans • Agricultural revolution • 10000 years ago • Crops, livestock, stable food supplies • Able to have more surviving children • Industrial revolution • Spread 19th century from Great Britain and Europe to America • Urbanized society powered by fossil fuels (oil, gas, coal) • Sanitation and medicines • Pesticides and fertilizers World population=7.2 billion Tragedy of the Commons • A dilemma coming from the situation in which multiple individuals, acting independently and in their own selfinterest, will ultimately deplete a shared limited resource, even when it is clear that it is not in anyone's longterm interest for this to happen • “If I don’t use it, someone else will” • Overusing which belongs to all of us • Air, water, ocean • Everyone is looking out for themselves • Described by ecologist Garrett Hardin Our “ecological footprint” • Affluence increases consumption • Ecological footprint: the environmental impact of a person or population • The area of biologically productive land + water • To supply raw resources and dispose/recycle waste • People in rich nations have much larger ecological footprints If everyone consumed the amount of resources the U.S. does, we would need 4.5 Earths! Overshoot Overshoot: humans have surpassed the Earth’s capacity to support us Year 1987 1990 1995 2000 2005 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Overshoot Date December 19 December 7 November 21 November 1 October 20 October 26 September 23 September 25 August 21 September 27 August 22 August 20 August 19 August 13 We are using renewable resources 30% faster than they are being replenished What is an “environmental problem”? • Whether an environmental condition is seen as a problem • Depends on the individual and situation • Ex.: the pesticide DDT • In malaria-infested Africa: welcome because it kills malaria-carrying mosquitoes • In America: not welcome, due to health risks People also differ in their awareness of problems, depending on who they are, where they live, what they do The scientific method • A scientist makes an observation and asks questions of some phenomenon • Hypothesis: a statement that tries to explain the question • The hypothesis generates predictions: specific statements that can be directly tested • The test results either support or reject the hypothesis Experiments test the validity of a hypothesis • Variable: a condition that can change • Independent variable: can be manipulated • Dependent variable: depends on the independent variable • Controlled experiment: the effects of all variables are controlled • Except the independent variable whose effect is being tested • Control: an unmanipulated point of comparison • Quantitative data: uses numbers • Qualitative data: does not use numbers The scientific process is part of a larger process • It guards against faulty research – Includes peer review, publication, competition for funding Theories and paradigm shifts • Theory: a well-tested and widely accepted explanation – Consolidates widely-supported, related hypotheses • Paradigm shift – a dramatic upheaval in thought – It changes the dominant viewpoint • Wicked problems: are complex, with no simple solution – I.e. environmental problems Resources Ch 1, pgs 15-19 Ch 6, pgs 137-146 Developed Countries • Highly industrialized • Have 20% of world’s population • Have 85% of world’s wealth and income • Use 88% of its natural resources • Generate 75% of its pollution & waste • May be referred to as First World Countries, but that’s an outdated term Developing Countries • Low to moderate industrialization • Most are in Africa, Asia, and Latin America • Have 80% of the world’s population • Have 15% of its wealth and income • Use only 12% of its natural resources Development Sustainability and the future of our world • Sustainability: we must live within our planet’s means • So the Earth and its resources can sustain us and all life for the future • Sustainability involves conserving resources • Developing long-term solutions • Keeping fully functioning ecosystems • Natural (earth) capital: Earth’s total wealth of resources • We are withdrawing it faster that it’s being replenished • We must live off Earth’s natural interest (replenishable resources), not its natural capital Population & consumption • Population growth amplifies all human impacts • The root of all environmental issues is human population • The growth rate has slowed, but we still add more than 200,000 people to the planet each day • Resource consumption has risen faster than population • Life has become more pleasant • Rising consumption also amplifies our demands on the environment • The 20 wealthiest nations have 55 times the income of the 20 poorest nations • Three times the gap that existed 40 years ago Issues surrounding population growth • Increased human population growth leads to… • Loss of biodiversity • Pollution • • • • • • • Air Water Noise Land Biological Solid waste Light • Exploited resources • Using too much of any resource before it can be replaced Ecological footprints are not all equal • Not everyone benefits equally from rising affluence • The ecological footprints of countries vary greatly - The U.S. footprint is much greater than the world’s average • In the U.S. the richest 1% have 25% of all income World Ecological Footprint We face challenges in agriculture • Technology expanded food production – Leading to increased population and consumption • It’s one of humanity’s greatest achievements, but it comes at an enormous environmental cost – Nearly half of the land surface is used for agriculture – Chemical fertilizers and pesticides poison and change natural systems – Erosion, climate change and poor management destroy millions of acres each year Humans have changed the Earth’s landscape Agriculture, urban sprawl, and other land uses have substantially affected most of the landscape of all nations We face challenges in pollution • Waste products and artificial chemicals – Are used in farms, industries, and households – Contaminate land, water and air – Kill millions of people • Humans are affecting the Earth’s climate – Melting glaciers – Rising sea levels – Impacted wildlife, forests, health and crops – Changed rainfall and increased storms Since the Industrial Revolution, atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations have risen by 39%, to the highest level in 800,000 years We face challenges in biodiversity • Biodiversity: the cumulative number and diversity of living things • Human actions have driven many species extinct – Biodiversity is declining dramatically – We are setting in motion a mass extinction event Biodiversity loss may be our biggest problem; once a species is extinct, it is gone forever Our energy choices will affect our future • The lives we live today are due to fossil fuels – – – – Machines Chemicals Transportation Products • Fossil fuels are a one-time bonanza – Supplies will certainly decline We have used up ½ of the world’s oil supplies; how will we handle this imminent fossil fuel shortage? Sustainable development • The poor suffer the most from environmental degradation • Development: purposeful changes to improve the quality of life • Sustainable development: resources satisfy current needs • • • • Without compromising future availability of resources It is not ever increasing economic gain It values and prioritizes environmental protection Human-made capital cannot substitute for natural capital Ethics and economics involve values • Both disciplines deal with what we value – Values affect our decisions and actions • Solving environmental problems needs more than understanding how natural systems work – Values shape human behavior – Ethics and economics give us tools to pursue the “triple bottom line” of sustainability – Environmental, economic, social We value things in two ways • Instrumental (extrinsic) value: valuing something for its pragmatic benefits by using it • Animals are valuable because we can eat them • Inherent (intrinsic) value: valuing something for its own sake because it has a right to exist • Animals are valuable because they live their own lives • Things can have both extrinsic and intrinsic value • But different people emphasize different values • How we value something affects how we treat it Environmental ethics • Environmental ethics = application of ethical standards to relationships between human and nonhuman entities • Hard to resolve: it depends on the person’s ethical standards and their area of ethical concern Should we save resources for future generations? Should humans drive other species to extinction? When is it OK to destroy a forest to create jobs? Is it OK for some communities to be exposed to more pollution? Environmental justice (EJ) • The poor and minorities are exposed to more pollution, hazards, and environmental degradation North Carolina wanted to put a toxic waste site in the county with the highest percentage of African Americans Environmental justice and Native Americans • From 1948 to the 1960s, neither the U.S. government nor industry provided Navajo miners with information or protection Significant inequities still remain • Significant inequities remain despite progress toward racial equality – Economic gaps between rich and poor have widened – Minorities and the poor still suffer substandard environmental conditions • Poor Latino farm workers in California suffer from unregulated air pollution (dairy and pesticide emissions) – Organized groups convinced regulators to enforce the Clean Air Act and state legislatures to pass new laws Environmental justice and Hurricane Katrina People most affected by the hurricane and its aftermath were poor and nonwhite Environmental justice: an international issue • Wealthy nations impose pollution on poorer nations • Hazardous waste is expensive to dispose of • Companies pay poor nations to take the waste • It is dumped illegally • It may be falsely labeled as harmless or beneficial • Workers are uninformed or unprotected • The Basel Convention prohibits international export of waste • But illegal trade and dumping continue • The United States has not ratified this treaty The environment vs. economics • Friction occurs between ethical and economic impulses • Is there a trade-off between economics and the environment? • – People say protection costs too much money, interferes with progress, or causes job loses – But environmental protection is good for the economy Traditional economic thought ignores or underestimates contributions of the environment to the economy – Human economies depend on the environment Chapter 6, pgs. 146-163 Economics Economics • Economics studies how people use resources to provide goods and services in the face of demand • Most environmental and economic problems are linked • • Root oikos, meaning “household,” gave rise to both ecology and economics Economy = a social system that converts resources into: – Goods: manufactured materials that are bought, and – Services: work done for others as a form of business Types of modern economies • Subsistence economy = people get their daily needs directly from nature or their own production – They do not purchase or trade products • Capitalist market economy = buyers and sellers interact to determine prices and production of goods and services • Centrally planned economy = the government determines how to allocate resources • Mixed economy = governments intervene to some extent – Unregulated financial practices caused the 2009 recession Governments intervene in a market economy • Even in mixed market economies, governments intervene to: – Eliminate unfair advantages held by single buyers or sellers – Provide social services (national defense, medical care, education) – Provide safety nets for elderly, disaster victims, etc. – Manage the commons – Mitigate pollution and other threats to health and quality of life The economy exists within the environment • Economies receive inputs (resources) – Process them – Discharge outputs (waste) • Traditional economics – Ignores the environment – Resources are “limitless” – Wastes are absorbed at no cost Environmental view of economics Human economies exist within, and depend on, the environment for goods and services Environmental systems support economies • Environmental goods = natural resources (sun’s energy, water, trees, rocks, fossil fuels) • Ecosystem services = essential services support the life that makes economic activities possible * Soil formation * Pollination * Water purification * Nutrient cycling * Climate regulation * Waste treatment • Economic activities affect the environment – Depleting natural resources, generating pollution 15 of 24 ecosystem services are being degraded or used unsustainably Cost-benefit analysis • Cost-benefit analysis = costs of a proposed action are compared to benefits that result from the action – If benefits > costs: pursue the action • Cost-benefit analysis is controversial: not all costs and benefits can be identified or defined – It is easy to quantify wages paid to miners – But hard to assess the cost of a destroyed landscape • Monetary benefits are overrepresented – Analysis is biased in favor of economic development – Biased against environmental protection Adam Smith’s “invisible hand” • Classical economics: when people pursue economic self-interest in a competitive marketplace – The market is guided by an “invisible hand” – Society benefits • This idea is a pillar of free-market thought today – It is also blamed for economic inequality between rich and poor • Critics feel that market capitalism promotes environmental degradation Assumption: resources are infinite • Economic models treat resources as substitutable and interchangeable • A replacement resource will be found • Goods and services are treated as “free gifts of nature” • Infinitely abundant, resilient, and substitutable • But Earth’s resources are limited • Nonrenewable resources can be depleted • Renewable resources (e.g., forests) can also be depleted Assumption: costs and benefits are internal • Only the buyer and seller experience costs and benefits • Pricing ignores social, environmental, or economic costs of pollution and degradation • Externalities = costs or benefits involving people other than the buyer or seller • External costs = borne by someone not involved in a transaction • Health problems, resource depletion, property damage • Governments develop laws and regulations • But how do you assign monetary value to illness? People suffer external costs External costs include water pollution, health problems, property damage, and harm to other organism Assumption: discounted long-term effects • A future event counts less than a present one • Discounting = short-term costs and benefits are more important than long-term costs and benefits • Present conditions are more important than future ones • Cutting trees now brings in more money than cutting them in the future • Policymakers ignore long-term consequences of actions • Puts costs of degradation, resource depletion, pollution on to future generations Assumption: growth is good • Economic growth = an increase in an economy’s production and consumption of goods • It is necessary to maintain social order • Promoting economic growth creates opportunities for poor to become wealthier • Progress is measured by economic growth • Growth is used to measure progress • All economic growth is seen as good and necessary • Economic growth is always good news • Modern global economic growth is unprecedented • Higher trade, production, amount and value of goods • The United States has a “more and bigger” attitude • Americans are in a frenzy of consumption Can growth go on forever? • Economic growth comes from: • Increased inputs (labor, natural resources) • Economic development = improved efficiency of production (technology, ideas, equipment) • Uncontrolled economic growth is unsustainable • Technology can push back limits, but not forever • Efficient resource extraction and production perpetuate the illusion that resources are unlimited • Many economists believe technology can solve anything Computer simulations project future trends Current consumption patterns predict economic collapse Results of policies of sustainability Measuring economic progress: GDP • Gross Domestic Product (GDP) = the total monetary value of goods and services a nation produces – Does not account for nonmarket values – Does not express only desirable economic activity – Pollution, oil spills, disasters, etc. increase GDP GPI: An alternative to the GDP • Genuine Progress Indicator (GPI) = differentiates between desirable and undesirable economic activity • Positive contributions (e.g., volunteer work) not paid for with money are added to economic activity • Negative impacts (crime, pollution) are subtracted In the United States, GDP has risen greatly, but not GPI Valuing ecosystem goods and services • Our society mistreats the very systems that sustain it • The market ignores/undervalues ecosystem values • Nonmarket values = values not included in the price of a good or service (e.g., ecological, cultural, spiritual) The global value of all ecosystem services • The global economic value of all ecosystem services equals $46 trillion • More than the GDP of all nations combined • Protecting land gives 100 times more value than converting it to some other use The market can counter market failure • Ecolabeling = tells consumers which brands use environmentally benign processes • A powerful incentive for businesses to change • Dolphin-safe tuna, organic food • Socially responsible investing in sustainable companies • $2.7 trillion in 2007 Corporations are responding to concerns • Industries, businesses, and corporations make money by “greening” their operations • Ben & Jerry’s (ice cream), Patagonia (clothing) • Industries donate to environmental groups, preserve land, etc. • Manufacturers use recycled materials, cut energy use, etc. • Local sustainable businesses A “green wave” of consumer preferences • Large corporations are riding the “green wave” of consumer preference for sustainable products • McDonald’s, Starbucks, Intel, Ford, Dow, etc. • Greenwashing: consumers are misled into thinking companies are acting more sustainably than they are • “Pure” bottled water may not be safer or better • Any changes made by large companies will help • Hewlett-Packard, Wal-Mart • Corporate actions hinge on consumer behavior • People must support sustainable economics For the test tomorrow • Experimental design (variables, quantitative/qualitative data, theory, control, hypothesis, etc) • Natural resources and ecosystem services • Sustainable development • Developing and developed countries (resource use, populations, wealth, etc) • GDP/GPI • Supply/demand and cost benefit • Tragedy of the commons scenarios • Types of modern economies and how they value the environment • Ecolabeling/greenwashing