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Download Scrutiny November 3 2011 - Hertfordshire County Council
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Agenda Item No. TREASURY MANAGEMENT TOPIC GROUP FRIDAY 23 MARCH 2012 AT 10.00AM 4(b) Background Report 1. Introduction 1.1 This Scrutiny is intended to provide members with an understanding of the treasury management function, the risks managed by the treasury management team, and the regulatory background. 1.2 In particular, the Scrutiny will be addressing the following questions: (1) What is Treasury Management and why does Hertfordshire County Council have a treasury management function? What are the treasury risks that the Council is exposed to and how does the treasury function manage these risks? Why does the Council have an annual treasury management strategy? How do external consultants support the Council’s treasury team? How does the economic climate impact upon treasury strategies and activities? (2) (3) (4) (5) 2. Background 2.1 The Treasury Management team is a small specialised team that sits within the Specialist Accounting team in finance. The role of the treasury team within an organisation was originally to ensure the liquidity of the organisation i.e. to ensure that the organisation could pay its debts as and when they became due. Treasury has evolved since then, taking on new roles such as the management of financial risk, particularly those associated with fluctuating interest rates, exchange rates, and counterparty credit risk. 2.2 The activities of the treasury team include funding of the Council’s capital programme, the management of the Council’s investment portfolio, the management of its relationship with its bank and the day-to-day management of the Council’s cash flow. 2.3 The definition of treasury management activities in the Council’s Treasury Management Policy Statement is defined as the: Management of the Council’s investments and cash flows, its banking, money market and capital market transactions; Effective control of the risks associated with those activities; and Pursuit of optimum performance consistent with those risks. 1 2.4 Treasury Management is the organising, monitoring, and controlling of the treasury activities outlined in 2.2, and the size of a treasury function can vary depending on the size of the organisation. Generally a treasury management team within a local authority is small consisting of no more than four officers, compare this to a multi-national organisation where there will be specialist teams managing a number of treasury operations such as foreign exchange, corporate funding, investments etc. 2.5 This paper will provide members of the scrutiny committee with some background information to inform them about the treasury management function and gain a better understanding of the activities in this particular part of Finance. 3. What is Treasury Management and why does Hertfordshire County Council have a treasury management function? 3.1 Treasury Management as an activity in a local authority can be broken down into the following functions: Liquidity Management Capital Funding Investment management 3.2 Taking each activity separately, as discussed in 2.1 the primary role of a treasury management team was traditionally to ensure that the Council had sufficient liquidity to meet its financial liabilities when they became due. Liquidity management is therefore the process of maintaining the right amount of funds in the right place and at the right time. The key tool that officers use to meet this objective is the cash flow tool. An annual cash flow forecast is prepared by officers using various sources of information to determine peaks and troughs in available funds and officers use this forecast to inform their decision making i.e. whether to borrow short or long term and vice versa how long to invest surplus cash. Liquidity can be managed over different time horizons from days and weeks to years. 3.3 Capital funding involves the arrangement of debt finance to fund the Council’s capital programme. As part of the Integrated Planning Process (IPP), a capital programme is agreed by Council each year and the funding of this programme can be by grant, revenue, or by borrowing. The treasury team will arrange this borrowing from either banks or the PWLB1 and will take into account the prevailing interest rate climate and the maturity profile of the Council’s current loan portfolio. An alternative form of funding available to local authorities is the bond market whereby a local authority can make a bond issue. A bond issue is usually for amounts greater than £100m but it is now being considered as a viable alternative to the traditional sources of funding for local authorities. 1 PWLB – Public Works Loan Board, part of HM Treasury’s debt management office. 2 3.4 The other main activity conducted by the treasury team is investment management. This activity occurs when there are surplus funds and the treasury team will invest these funds to gain a return. However, the principal tenet of treasury management is that security and liquidity rank above yield when investing surplus funds. The length of investment will be determined by the cash flow and funds can be invested with banks, building societies, and money market funds. 3.5 In order that the Council can perform these treasury activities it is necessary for it to have a specialised team of officers and this is why Hertfordshire County Council has a treasury team. In addition, this team manages the relationship with the Council’s bank and are currently in the process of managing the transition of our bank from Nat West to Barclays Bank. 4. What are the treasury risks that the Council is exposed to and how does the treasury function manage these risks? 4.1 The previous section talked about the activities of the treasury teams. As with any activity there will be some form of risk, and these risks need to be managed. This section identifies some of those risks and explains how the treasury team manage them. 4.2 The main risk in liquidity management is that funds will not be available to meet obligations as and when they fall due. For example, a company may need to pay salaries at the end of the month, but does not have the money in the bank or access to additional borrowing facilities to make the payment. The treasury team uses its cash flow forecast to identify where the authority may need to borrow either short term or long term and will arrange for funding to be in place to meet these demands. Short term borrowing can be arranged through money brokers who act an intermediary between lenders and borrowers. Longer term borrowing will be arranged either through banks, the PWLB, or the bond market. 4.3 There are a number of risks associated with funding and they are as follows: Refinancing risk – the risk that when borrowing facilities are due for renewal, the terms and conditions will compare unfavourably with the existing facilities. Concentration of maturity risk and supply – this essentially means that all your borrowing is due to be repaid at the same time when market conditions such as interest rates are unfavourable. Supply risk is the risk of using a limited number of suppliers for key financing such as banks, bond markets and the PWLB. 3 Interest rate risk – the risk that interest rates may change, raising or lowering the cost of borrowing. The treasury tries to mitigate these risks by ensuring that the maturity profile of its loan portfolio is not skewed to one particular period of time, and works with its treasury advisors to identify optimum points in the interest rate cycle when identifying opportunities to borrow. Officers will look at future interest rate forecasts from various economic sources to assist them with these borrowing decisions. 4.4 Investment risks are counterparty credit risk and interest rate risk. Counterparty risk is the risk that the counterparty with whom funds are deposited will be unable to repay at maturity. Interest rate risk is the risk that interest rate may change, raising or lowering the yield on investments. In managing counterparty credit risk, officers receive daily bulletins from its treasury advisors informing them of economic news, economic data and credit agency notices. To supplement this information, officers will refer to other sources such as credit default swap rates, equity prices, outlook reports from credit agencies, and news sources such as the Financial Times and reputable news websites. Officers also meet weekly with the Head of Specialist Accounting and/or the Assistant Director of Finance to review all information available and adjust investment policy accordingly. The current investment strategy is defensive in that funds are kept at short notice preserving security of deposits and instant access to funds should market conditions change quickly. 5 Why does the Council have an annual treasury management strategy? 5.1 CIPFA’s Treasury Management in the Public Services: Code of Practice requires the Council to adopt the CIPFA code and to approve a treasury management strategy in advance of each financial year. The Department for Communities and Local Government (CLG) has published guidance on local authority investments in March 2010 and this guidance requires the Council to approve and investment strategy in advance of each financial year. The Localism Act 2011 provides additional freedoms to local authorities including the use of financial derivatives. 5.2 The Council’s treasury management strategy forms part of part C of the Integrated Plan (IP) and is approved by the Council before each financial year. As well as the treasury management strategy, Part C of the IP includes the prudential code for Capital finance; this outlines the capital expenditure and capital financing requirement of the Council for the next three years. 4 5.3 The Treasury Management Strategy is made up of a number of sections which are as follows: Context for the Treasury Management Strategy – this sets the economic background and forecast for the forthcoming financial year, including an interest rate forecast; The actual Treasury Management Strategy which sets out the Council’s borrowing and lending strategy for the financial year; Treasury management Prudential indicators – the Prudential code requires us to set a range of indicators relating to borrowing and lending activities such as an authorised limit for borrowing and a maximum tenor for investment; Financial implications and sensitivity to interest rate changes; Policy on use of Financial Derivatives –the use of derivatives will be permitted under the Localism Act 2011 with effect from 1 st April 2012; Treasury management performance indicators and frequency of reporting; Training and use of advisers; and The investment policy. 5.4 The treasury management strategy is a plan of the Council’s treasury activities for the forthcoming financial year and provides members with background to its planned borrowing and lending policy as well as the criteria for lending surplus cash to counterparties. 6 How do external consultants support the Council’s treasury team? 6.1 There are many third party specialist providers that can provide support to a treasury management function. These providers can provide specialist advice on the development of interest rate and foreign exchange rate hedging strategies, advice on leasing arrangements, and capital strategies for borrowing. 6.2 Local authorities use specialist treasury management advisers to provide advice and information relating to its investment and borrowing activities. This authority has a contractual relationship with Sterling Consultancy Services who support the Council’s treasury team by providing the following services: Advice and guidance on relevant policies, strategies and reports; Advice on regulatory changes and their impacts; Advice on investment decisions; Notification of credit rating changes to counterparties; Other information on credit quality of counterparties; Advice on debt management decisions; Technical accounting advice; 5 Reports of treasury management and performance; Forecasts of interest rates and economic news; and Training courses for officers and members. 6.3 This additional layer of consultancy provides the treasury team with support in the delivery of the Council’s treasury management strategy and managing the risks associated with some of these activities. 7 How does the economic climate impact upon treasury strategies and activities? 7.1 The economic climate and government policy sets the backdrop to the decision making process in the implementation of the treasury management strategy by the treasury function. The treasury section receives a great deal of economic information on a daily and weekly basis from both its external advisor and other financial sources. 7.2 Interest rates and exchange rates fluctuate as a consequence of developments in the economy as a whole and this will have an impact on the timing of some of this authority’s borrowing and investment decisions. Officers follow closely the macroeconomic climate and key indicators such as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), inflation expectations, consumer indicators, unemployment figures, monetary policy indicators and some global indicators such as the US non-farm payroll figures. 7.3 Monetary policy and in particular the decisions by the Monetary Policy Committee on interest rates has a direct impact on short term interest rates and indirectly on longer term rates via their relationship with expectations for short-term rates in the future. It is with this information and advice from external advisers such as Sterling Consultancy Services that the Council’s treasury officers determine the appropriate time in the interest rate cycle to borrow money. 7.4 In addition, investments decisions are also influenced by economic indicators and long term interest rates expectations. For example, an authority may defer lending surplus cash long term until a later date if the expectations are that interest rates will rise in the future. 7.5 Sovereign stability is another factor that will influence market sentiment and the Eurozone sovereign debt crisis has seen the UK as a safe haven with a consequent fall in gilt yields and hence PWLB rates. What does this mean for a local authority with a borrowing need? Well, it allows local authorities to borrow funds at currently very low interest rates. Once there is a resolution to the Eurozone crisis and there is a faster economic recovery than the expectation is that interest rates will rise in the future. 6 8 Summary 8.1 The treasury management team plays a key role in managing the day-today cash flow of the Council as well as implementing its borrowing and investment strategies. In undertaking these activities there are associated risks and treasury officers mitigate these risks by the use of external consultants, market information, and a regular review of its treasury strategy to ensure these risks are managed effectively. Patrick Towey Head of Specialist Accounting 7