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GECAFS
Implementation, Management
and Funding
GECAFS Implementation
GECAFS will be implemented in four main ways
 Regional research projects
 Vulnerability studies
 Scenario development
 Integrative studies
Initial GECAFS Projects
 Indo-Gangetic Plain food system
 Caribbean food system
 Pacific coastal fisheries
 Southern Africa livestock-maize food system
 Vulnerability science
 Scenario development
GECAFS Project on the
Indo-Gangetic Plain Food System

The IGP food system is both threatened by GEC (esp. climate
variability) and contributes to further GEC “forcing”.

In the face of increased climate variability, regional policy
requirements are to develop strategies that:
a) sustain/boost agricultural production and diversification
while limiting further environmental degradation
b) promote food provision systems which alleviate poverty and
improve socioeconomic conditions for the more vulnerable
c) encourage reduced intra-regional and ruralurban labour
migration

Research needs to recognise marked socioeconomic and
biophysical differences across the region.
GECAFS Regional Research Projects
 Based on a strongly interdisciplinary approach and include all
3 GECAFS Science Themes
 Designed to improve regional-level policy formulation for
increasing preparedness and reducing vulnerability to GEC
 Address issues identified in consultation with regional policy
makers and the regional and international science and donor
communities
 Maintain close links between researchers and end-users in
project design, implementation and reporting & interpretation
 Develop research agendas of equal interest to development and
science agencies
IGP Eastern Region
•
•
•
•
low productivity – food deficit region
poor infrastructure and low inputs of fertilizer and water
high risk of flooding
out-migration of labour
Example GECAFS Issues
Theme 1: How will climate variability and associated changes in
flooding affect food provision?
Theme 2: What are the institutional and market opportunities,
social constraints and technical options for diversifying crops to
make more effective use of flood and groundwater (e.g. deepwater rice, aquaculture)?
Theme 3: How would diversification effect rural incomes, labour
migration, water quality and regional biodiversity?
IGP Western Region
•
•
•
•
high productivity – food surplus region
high investment in infrastructure
major use of fertilisers and ground-water for irrigation
in-migration of labour
Example GECAFS Issues
Theme 1: How will climate variability affect change in water
demand in IGP food systems?
Theme 2: How can changes in water management (e.g. though
policy instruments and/or agronomic aspects) reduce
vulnerability of rice-wheat productivity to climate variability?
Theme 3: What will be the consequences of changed water
management on rural livelihoods, intra-regional trade, GHG
emissions and water tables?
GECAFS IGP Research Areas
 assessment of vulnerability
 policy needs and responses
 scenario development
 institutional analysis
 food provision system development
 socioeconomic and environmental feedbacks
 data management and GIS development
 water management policy
 carbon management policy
Example GECAFS Research Products
 Indices of human vulnerability based on a combined
socioeconomic-biophysical approach.
 Comprehensive scenarios of future socioeconomic and
environmental conditions.
 Region-specific recommendations on the institutional and
technological factors that can reduce societal vulnerability to GEC.
 Quantitative methods for assessing the environmental and
socioeconomic tradeoffs of scenario-based adaptations to food
systems.
GECAFS interactions with Sponsoring Programmes
and Strategic Partners
CGIAR
& NARS
GECAFS
FAO
IIASA
WMO
MA
example collaborations in grey
GECAFS Management
1. Scientific Advisory Committee (15)
Executive Committee Chair (ex officio; Chair)
Executive Committee Vice-Chair (ex officio; Vice-Chair)
Executive Officer (ex officio; Secretary)
12 individuals invited from (i) international science, (ii) strategic-partner and
(iii) donor communities (in a liaison capacity).
2. Executive Committee (6)
Chair
Vice-Chair
Executive Officer (ex officio, Secretary)
and one rep. from each of the sponsoring Programmes.
3. Executive Officer
supported by an International Project Office
GECAFS Funding
Overview
Research Project funds
 GECAFS vulnerability science
 Developing comprehensive scenarios
 GECAFS regional projects (regional coordinators; commissioned reviews
and studies; data gathering; synthesis workshops; publications)
 Integrative studies
Coordination funds
 Scientific Advisory Cmmtt and Exec Cmmtt travel and admin
 IPO costs (staff, travel, communications, admin)
 Integration and networking fund
GECAFS Funding
Planning Phase: 2001-02
General planning and IPO establishment
ca. £200,000
NERC, ICSU, IGBP, IHDP, WCRP, US-NAS, FRN-Sweden,
Research Council of Norway
Regional Project Planning
ca. £150,000
USAID, DFID, NOAA, IAI
GECAFS will build on UK research investment, e.g.:
NERC: TIGER Programme: hydrology; GHG emissions; VBD;
biodiversity…; Coordination of IGBP-agroecology & fisheries research, and WCRP-CLIVAR
ESRC: GEC Programme: institutional analyses; vulnerability; …
BBSRC: impacts on crops, pests and diseases; SOM dynamics; …
Tyndall Centre: adaptation studies, agent-based approaches;…
Royal Society: GER Committee
FCO/DEFRA: Climate Change Challenge Fund
DfID: Environment Policy Dept; Rural Livelihoods Dept;…
UK contributions to Framework Programme, GEF and CGIAR
GECAFS “Distinguishing Features”
 A robust framework for novel, interdisciplinary approaches to
GEC research that examines vulnerability to impacts,
adaptations and feedbacks.
 A problem-oriented, policy-relevant approach which can bring
together the GEC and Development agendas, and their donor
communities.
 A design for analyses at regional and sub-regional levels which
will help develop effective policy to protect vulnerable sections
of society.
 A methodology which allows an analysis of trade-offs between
managing resources for both food provision and environment.