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Update on GECAFS Food System Conceptual Framework Gabarone, Botswana 4 July 2005 What is a food system? GECAFS Science Plan bases its notion of a food system on three components: Access Utilisation Availability FAO bases its notion of food systems on a number of human activities • Producing food • Processing & packaging food • Distribution & retailing food • Consuming food 1º production Providers and sellers of inputs, Farmers (big and small), buyers of produce Processing & Packaging Middle men who buy and sell, processing industry, packaging industry Availability Access Production Affordability Exchange Allocation distribution preference Distribution & retail Consumption Supermarkets, local markets, transporters, government institutions, international markets, advertising, trade regulation Consumers w/ preferences, preparation and utilization requirements Utilization Nutritional value Social value Food safety In reality there are more activities and more outcomes…. People who construct scenarios use six categories of drivers: • • • • • • Demographic Economic Socio-political Cultural Science and technology Environmental GECAFS primarily interested in Global Environmental Change Changes in: • Land cover & soils • Atmospheric composition • Climate variability & means • Water availability & quality • Nutrient availability & cycling • Biodiversity • Sea currents & salinity • Sea level Relationship between the drivers Demographic Economic Socio-political Cultural Science & Technology DRIVERS Non humaninduced drivers e.g. Volcanoes Earthquakes GEC DRIVERS Changes in: Land cover & soils Atmospheric composition Climate variability & means Water availability & quality Nutrient availability & cycling Biodiversity Sea currents & salinity Sea level Social and ecological well-being • Food Security • Environmental Security • Other Securities OUTCOMES Contributing to Contributing to Other Food Security: Securities: • Food Availability •Income •Employment •Wealth •Social & political capital •Human capital •Infrastructure •Peace •Insurance (produce, exchange, distribution) • Food Accessibility (affordability, allocation, preference) • Food Utilization (nutritional value, social value, food safety) Contributing to Env Security: • Natural Capital (ecosystem services function) •Access to NC assured Drivers, Activities and Outcomes relevant to Scenario Development for analysing the interactions of GEC and Food Systems Social and ecological well-being • Food Security • Environmental Security • Other Securities OUTCOMES Contributing to Other Securities: •Income •Employment •Wealth •Social & political capital •Human capital Infrastructure •Peace •Insurance DRIVERS Contributing to Food Security: Contributing to Env Security: • Food Availability (produce, exchange, distribution) • Natural Capital (ecosystem services function) • Food Accessibility (affordability, allocation, preference) • Food Utilization (nutritional value, social value, food safety) ACTIVITIES • Producing food • Processing & packaging food • Distribution & retailing food • Consuming food Demographic Economic Socio-political Cultural Science & Technology Non humaninduced drivers e.g. Volcanoes Earthquakes •Access to NC assured GEC DRIVERS Changes in: Land cover & soils Atmospheric composition Climate variability & means Water availability & quality Nutrient availability & cycling Biodiversity Sea currents & salinity Sea level Drivers, Activities and Outcomes relevant to Scenario Development for analysing the interactions of GEC and Food Systems Social and ecological well-being • Food Security • Environmental Security • Other Securities FOOD SYSTEMS OUTCOMES Contributing to Other Securities: •Income •Employment •Wealth •Social & political capital •Human capital Infrastructure •Peace •Insurance DRIVERS Contributing to Food Security: Contributing to Env Security: • Food Availability (produce, exchange, distribution) • Natural Capital (ecosystem services function) • Food Accessibility (affordability, allocation, preference) • Food Utilization (nutritional value, social value, food safety) ACTIVITIES • Producing food • Processing & packaging food • Distribution & retailing food • Consuming food Demographic Economic Socio-political Cultural Science & Technology Non humaninduced drivers e.g. Volcanoes Earthquakes •Access to NC assured GEC DRIVERS Changes in: Land cover & soils Atmospheric composition Climate variability & means Water availability & quality Nutrient availability & cycling Biodiversity Sea currents & salinity Sea level