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Quarterly update from the Church Commissioners: January to March 2007 The Church Commissioners manage assets worth over £5.3 billion on behalf of the Church of England. They aim for the best long term return from a diverse investment portfolio, to meet their pension commitments and to provide the maximum sustainable funding for other purposes. These include support for the work of bishops and cathedrals and for parish ministry. Their assets include stock market investments and commercial, residential and rural property. For details of the Commissioners’ holdings and performance in 2006, see their annual report at http://www.cofe.anglican.org/about/churchcommissioners/annualreport. Highlights The UK stock market recovered following a sharp dip in February and achieved a return of 2.9% in the first quarter, marking a third successive quarter of positive returns. The average initial yield on commercial property at the end of March had fallen to 4.6%, the lowest since 1985 when the relevant performance benchmark began. Fund performance in the first quarter The total return from the FTSE All-Share index was 2.9%, a positive return for the third quarter running. Our UK equities holdings returned a lower 2.3%. Most (0.4%) of the underperformance was down to the impact of ethical exclusions. Basic materials and consumer service stocks did well, the latter boosted by mergers and acquisitions. Our investments in global stocks and shares produced a 2.7% return, ahead of the 2.3% benchmark index. Equity markets have strengthened since the end of the quarter but returns in 2007 are likely to be moderate compared with last year’s. In the quarter our managers reduced holdings in European stocks in favour of more investment in Japanese stocks. Commercial property stayed in demand. The initial yield has fallen to a record low of 4.6%. A lower yield results in a higher capital value and many commentators now believe that UK commercial property is currently fully valued. Over the past twelve months reducing yields have driven returns, but improving rents are likely to drive returns in 2007. Rural property land values have gone up by 9% in the past year. Overseas and ‘lifestyle’ (ie non-farming) buyers are competing with greater activity among farmers to add to the already strong demand for the limited supply of land. The quarter’s six rents reviews showed an average decrease of 1.8%. 1 House prices in central London rose by 6.8% in the quarter and 20.9% in the past year. London rents were up by 4.7% and 13.8% over those periods. Transactions At the end of January we sold for £134.5 million most of the financial interest in our loans to the Pensions Board for shared-ownership clergy retirement housing to Grainger Trust (see http://www.cofe.anglican.org/news/pr1107.html). This increases our immediate cash and bond holdings to around £300 million, well above the agreed liquidity reserve (£125 million). Of this sum, we will seek to invest in readily realizable assets any cash that we have not allocated for current investment or spending plans. In the quarter we invested a further £25 million in our UK equities index tracking mandate and raised £5.9 million and £5.5 million respectively from residential and rural property. Our main commercial property sale was a London West End office (£2.35 million). We received a net £6 million from private equity funds following some profitable sales of investments made by the funds. Our UK and global fund managers, who vote on our behalf on company resolutions within agreed guidelines, voted in line with management in 95% of UK cases in the quarter, opposing in 3% and abstaining in 2% of cases. Voting on overseas company resolutions went with management in 92% of cases, with 7% opposition and 1% abstentions. Future plans Our three-yearly independent in-depth actuarial review estimated that at 31 December 2006, our clergy pension liabilities stood at £1,741 million, representing 33.0% of the fund. Our actuaries advised that the maximum we should distribute for other purposes in 20082010 is £243.8 million - an above-earnings increase compared with the previous triennium. This means our aim of sustaining non-pensions spending in real terms is on track. As noted in our latest annual report, depending on whether proposed changes to clergy pension terms that are currently out to consultation with scheme members come into effect, a further £18.5 million could be available from us in 2008-2010. We have accepted the recommendation of a policy review sub-group that we should refine the Commissioners’ ethical investment policy to place more emphasis on positive criteria and less on the exclusion of whole sectors of the market, with the adoption of a more company-specific approach to exclusion. We will consult other church bodies and think more about how we can best achieve this. Andreas Whittam Smith First Church Estates Commissioner 24 May 2007 2