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Chapter 15 Why Do Financial Institutions Exist? Chapter Preview This chapter provides an outline of this literature to the student and provides him or her with an understanding of why our financial system is structured the way it is. Topics include: Basic Facts About Financial Structure Throughout the World Transaction Costs Asymmetric Information: Adverse Selection and Moral Hazard 2 Chapter Preview (cont.) The Lemons Problem: How Adverse Selection Influences Financial Structure How Moral Hazard Affects the Choice Between Debt and Equity Contracts How Moral Hazard Influences Financial Structure in Debt Markets Financial Crises and Aggregate Economy Activity 3 15.1 Basic Facts About Financial Structure Throughout the World The financial system is a complex structure including many different financial institutions: banks, insurance companies, mutual funds, stock and bonds markets, etc. The chart on the next slide indicates how American businesses finance their activities with external funds. 4 15.1.1Sources of External Finance in U.S. Figure 15.1 Sources of External Funds for Nonfinancial Businesses in the United States 5 15.1.2 Basic Facts About Financial Structure Throughout the World The chart on the next slide how nonfinancial business attain external funding in the U.S., Germany, Japan, and Canada. Notice that, although many aspects of these countries are quite different, the sources of financing are somewhat consistent, with the U.S. being different in its focus on debt. 6 15.1.3 Sources of Foreign External Finance Figure 15.2 Sources of External Funds for Nonfinancial Businesses: A Comparison of the United States with Germany, Japan, and Canada 7 15.1.4 Facts of Financial Structure 1. Stocks are not the most important source of external financing for businesses. 2. Issuing marketable debt and equity securities is not the primary way in which businesses finance their operations. 8 15.1.5 Facts of Financial Structure 3. Indirect finance, which involves the activities of financial intermediaries, is many times more important than direct finance, in which businesses raise funds directly from lenders in financial markets. 4. Financial intermediaries, particularly banks, are the most important source of external funds used to finance businesses. 9 15.1.6 Facts of Financial Structure 5. The financial system is among the most heavily regulated sectors of economy. 6. Only large, well-established corporations have easy access to securities markets to finance their activities. 10 15.1.7 Facts of Financial Structure 7. Collateral (抵押品) is a prevalent feature of debt contracts for both households and businesses. 8. Debt contracts are typically extremely complicated legal documents that place substantial restrictions on the behavior of the borrowers. 11 15.2 Transactions Costs Transactions costs influence financial structure E.g., a $5,000 investment only allows you to purchase 100 shares @ $50 / share (equity) No diversification Bonds even worse—most have a $1,000 size In sum, transactions costs can hinder flow of funds to people with productive investment opportunities 12 15.2.1 Transactions Costs Financial intermediaries make profits by reducing transactions costs 1. Take advantage of economies of scale (example: mutual funds) 2. Develop expertise to lower transactions costs Also provides investors with liquidity. 13 15.3 Asymmetric Information: Adverse Selection and Moral Hazard In your introductory finance course, you probably assumed a world of symmetric information—the case where all parties to a transaction or contract have the same information, be that little or a lot In many situations, this is not the case. We refer to this as asymmetric (不对称) information. 14 15.3.1 Asymmetric Information: Adverse Selection and Moral Hazard Asymmetric information can take on many forms, and is quite complicated. However, to begin to understand the implications of asymmetric information, we will focus on two specific forms: Adverse selection(不利选择) Moral hazard (道德风险) 15 15.3.2 Asymmetric Information: Adverse Selection and Moral Hazard Adverse Selection 1. Occurs when one party in a transaction has better information than the other party 2. Before transaction occurs 3. Potential borrowers most likely to produce adverse outcome are ones most likely to seek loan and be selected 16 15.3.3 Asymmetric Information: Adverse Selection and Moral Hazard Moral Hazard 1. Occurs when one party has an incentive to behave differently once an agreement is made between parties 2. After transaction occurs 3. Hazard that borrower has incentives to engage in undesirable (immoral) activities making it more likely that won't pay loan back 17 15.3.4 Asymmetric Information: Adverse Selection and Moral Hazard The analysis of how asymmetric information problems affect behavior is known as agency theory. We will now use these ideas of adverse selection and moral hazard to explain how they influence financial structure. 18 15.4 Lemons Problem Lemons problem in used car market: potential buyers of used cars are frequently unable to assess the quality of the car, that is, they can tell whether a particular used car is a good car or a LEMON that will continually give them grief. Adverse selection is referred to as the Lemons problem. 19 15.4.1 The Lemons Problem: How Adverse Selection Influences Financial Structure Lemons Problem in Securities Markets 1. If can't distinguish between good and bad securities, willing pay only average of good and bad securities’ value 2. Result: Good securities undervalued and firms won't issue them; bad securities overvalued so too many issued 20 15.4.2 The Lemons Problem: How Adverse Selection Influences Financial Structure Lemons Problem in Securities Markets 3. Investors won't want buy bad securities, so market won't function well Explains Fact # 1 and # 2 on p372 ( p378) Also explains Fact # 6 on p374: Less asymmetric info for well known firms, so smaller lemons problem 21 15.4.3 Tools to Help Solve Adverse Selection (Lemons) Problems 1. Private Production and Sale of Information (e.g., Moody and S&P) – Free-rider problem (“搭便车”问题) interferes with this solution 2. Government Regulation to Increase Information (explains Fact # 5 on p374) – For example, annual audits of public corporations – Does not eliminate the problem 22 15.4.4 Tools to Help Solve Adverse Selection (Lemons) Problems 3. Financial Intermediation 4. Analogy (类似) to solution to lemons problem provided by used car dealers (二手车商) Avoid free-rider problem by making private loans (explains Fact #3 and # 4, on 374 ) Collateral and Net Worth Explains Fact # 7 on p374 23 15.5 How Moral Hazard Affects the Choice Between Debt and Equity Contracts Moral Hazard in Equity Contracts: the Principal-Agent Problem (委托-代理问题) 1. Result of separation of ownership by stockholders (principals) from control by managers (agents) 2. Managers act in own rather than stockholders' interest 24 15.5.1 How Moral Hazard Affects the Choice Between Debt and Equity Contracts Tools to Help Solve the Principal-Agent Problem 1. 2. 3. 4. Production of Information: Monitoring (costly state verification) Government Regulation to Increase Information Financial Intermediation (e.g, venture capital) Debt Contracts (lenders only care if the loan can be repaid) Explains Fact # 1: Why debt is used more than equity 25 15.5.2 How Moral Hazard Influences Financial Structure in Debt Markets Because of the design of debt contacts, borrowers only pay a fixed amount and keep any cash flow above this amount. In some circumstances, this creates an incentive for borrowers to take on riskier projects. For example, if a firm owes $100 but only has $90, it will be bankrupt. The firm “has nothing to lose” by looking for “risky” projects to raise the needed cash. 26 15.5.3 How Moral Hazard Influences Financial Structure in Debt Markets Tools to Help Solve Moral Hazard in Debt Contracts 1. 2. 3. Net Worth Monitoring and Enforcement of Restrictive Covenants (契约) Financial Intermediation—banks and other intermediaries have special advantages in monitoring Explains Facts # 1–4 on p374 27 15.5.4 Asymmetric Information Problems and Tools to Solve Them 28 Case: Financial Development and Economic Growth Financial repression (制约) leads to low growth Why? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Poor legal system Weak accounting standards Government directs credit Financial institutions nationalized Inadequate government regulation 29 Financial Crises and Aggregate Economic Activity Our analysis of the affects of adverse selection and moral hazard can also assist us in understanding financial crises, major disruptions (破坏)in financial markets. Then end result of most financial crises in the inability of markets to channel funds from savers to productive investment opportunities. 30 Financial Crises and Aggregate Economic Activity Factors Causing Financial Crises 1. Increases in Interest Rates 2. Increases in Uncertainty 3. Asset Market Effects on Balance Sheets Stock market effects on net worth Unanticipated deflation Cash flow effects 31 Financial Crises and Aggregate Economic Activity Factors Causing Financial Crises 4. 5. Bank Panics (恐慌) Government Fiscal Imbalances As shown in the next slide, most U.S. financial crises have begun with a deterioration in banks’ balance sheets. 32 Figure 15.3 Sequence of Events in U.S. Financial Crises Case: Financial Crises in Emerging Market Countries: Mexico, East Asia, and Argentina The three countries show how a country can shift from a path of high growth just before a financial crises. An important factor was the deterioration in banks’ balance sheets due to increasing loan loses. 34 Figure 15.4 Sequence of Events in Mexican and East Asian Financial Crises Chapter Summary Basic Facts About Financial Structure Throughout the World: we reviewed eight basic facts concerning the structure of the financial system Transaction Costs: we examined how transaction costs can hinder capital flow and the role financial institutions play in reducing transaction costs 36 Chapter Summary (cont.) Asymmetric Information: Adverse Selection and Moral Hazard: we defined asymmetric information along with two categories of asymmetric information—adverse selection and moral hazard The Lemons Problem: How Adverse Selection Influences Financial Structure: we discussed how adverse selection effects the flow of capital and tools to reduce this problem 37 Chapter Summary (cont.) How Moral Hazard Affects the Choice Between Debt and Equity Contracts: we reviewed the principalagent problem and how moral hazard influences the use of more debt than equity How Moral Hazard Influences Financial Structure in Debt Markets: we discussed how moral hazard and debt may lead to increased risk-taking, and tools to reduce this problem 38 Chapter Summary (cont.) Financial Crises and Aggregate Economy Activity: we discussed how adverse selection and moral hazard influence financial crises, and showed examples from both the U.S. and abroad 39