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Study of destructive natural phenomena in Giurgiu County: population perception of alternatives to prevent disasters , particularly floods in the border Giurgiu Ruse Drafted by: SC ECO CONCRETE SRL Data: MAI 2009 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Table of content Table of content ..................................................................................................................................2 Giurgiu Natural destructive phenomena .......................................................................................28 Demography ......................................................................................................................................37 Defining study’s target population .................................................................................................46 Defining flood sources in studied area............................................................................................48 Impactul inundatiilor si fenomenelor asociate asupra calitatii vietii .........Error! 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List of figures Figure 1 Europe map: Romania ..........................................................................................................7 Figure 2 Europe Map: Bulgaria .........................................................................................................12 Figure 3 Ruse region map ..................................................................................................................13 Figure 4 Percentage of reported people killed by disaster type .........................................................20 Figure 5 Percentage of reported people affected by disaster type ......................................................20 Figure 6 Reported economic damages by disaster type .....................................................................21 Figure 7 Percentage of reported killed people by disaster type .........................................................24 Figure 8 percentage of affected population by disaster type ..............................................................25 Figure 9 Reported economic damages by disaster type .....................................................................25 Figure 10 . Seismic zones of Romania-..............................................................................................29 Figure 11 Seismic zones classified by acceleration Cod P100-1/2006 (Elaborator UTCB) ..............29 Figure 12 Seismic zones classified by corner period Cod P100-1/2006 (Elaborator UTCB)............30 Figure 13 Historical population evolution in Giurgiu County ..........................................................39 Figure 14 Population distribution after 2002 census ..........................................................................40 Figure 15 Sex distribution of Giurgiu County population after 2002 census ...................................41 Figure 16 Sex distribution of Ruse Region population ......................................................................43 Figure 17 Giurgiu and Ruse population comparison chart ................................................................44 Figure 18 Urban population evolution comparison............................................................................44 Figure 19 Rural population evolution comparison .............................................................................45 Figure 20 Sex population evolution comparison................................................................................45 Figure 21 cross boundary area population evolution .........................................................................47 Figure 22 Bulgaria’s drainage area zones ..........................................................................................58 Figure 23 Danube river basin ............................................................................................................59 Figure 24 Spatiul hidrografic Arges -Vedea ......................................................................................63 Figure 25 River bed ............................................................................................................................65 Figure 26 Nivelul PIB Romania si Bulgaria (Eurostat 2003) ...........................................................72 2 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Study name : Study of destructive natural phenomena in Giurgiu County: population perception of alternatives to prevent disasters , particularly floods in the border Giurgiu Ruse Project manager Adriana Udroiu Beneficiary Giurgiu County Council Data source Giurgiu ISU Local Administration Affected population Designed by SC ECO CONCRETE SRL Alternate sources DIRECTIA DE TOPOGRAFIE MILITARA U.T.C.B 3 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU General information regarding natural disasters Within Romanian borders natural destructive phenomena takes place with different frequency and the main type of these disasters are: earthquake, flooding, land slides. As a result of these phenomena human lives are lost, significant material damages occur, also environmental issues might appear. In order to avoid this public administrations are responsible to take all the necessary measures to prevent and diminish the produced effects. Specific objectives and expected results to be obtained Specific objectives: Analyzing the consequence of natural disasters on population’s protection, including the impact assessment of risk factors. The analysis focuses on historical data, frequency, size and consequence of different disaster type underlining the population perception and risks based on produced effects on : population, infrastructure, environment. The aim is to create a framework for public information and decision factors in order to reduce the disaster’s effects. International data on natural disasters approach An event produced due to a natural hazard becomes a "natural disaster" when its effect on human life and property and environmental consequences are of major severity. As a region is poor, the more severe the social impact of the disaster. Reduction of natural disasters (as the statistics, floods cause cca.70% of the total global damage) is an objective necessity in the first action on international cooperation and in the European Union. In this context in December 1989, United Nations General Assembly adopted Resolution nr.44/236 which unanimously established the "International Decade for Natural Disaster ReductionIDNDR. Institution aims". Reduced by concerted international action in particular in developing countries, loss of life, economic damage and economic and social dysfunctions caused by natural disasters such as floods, earthquakes, landslides One of the prerogatives of the IDNDR was to "enhance measures of assessment, prediction and reducing natural disasters through technical assistance and technology transfer, pilot projects, education and training of specialized staff according to specific location and disaster." This resolution was subsequently materialized through an action plan developed in March 1991 by experts of world wide recognition In accordance with the action plan during 1991-2000 were performed with varying degrees of depth the following objectives considered as part of agreements regional plans of sustainable development Determine the global probability of producing disaster and risk related, Development of plans and prevention programs to national and / or local disaster Access to both the global alert, and at the regional, national, local 4 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU These three objectives of a general nature has been achieved by implementing a detailed plan, which contains the following projects Identifying areas of production of hazardous events and assess their events are as a result of this action to obtain maps including identification, characterization or destructive natural events and necessary measures on prevention and mitigation. The project’s scope is to: Determination of vulnerability and risk analysis and a cost / benefit assessment aims quantitative cost measures to prevent and expenses related damage reported from the Avoid the proposed normal duration of the works for an event with a certain frequency of occurrence. The calculations of economic efficiency are necessary to establish all the systems or schemes of arrangement necessary to work on areas located in risk areas, Reducing the degree of danger of disasters through the development of policies on development and control of natural hazards. In this respect it is proposed to develop plans of development for finding optimal solutions. Develop appropriate plans for defence and intervention at the county inspectorates in emergencies, Establish information systems, monitoring, prediction and forecasting. Information systems goal is to identify and provide an accurate prognosis and early to allow appropriate decisions on mitigation, Long term planning and carrying out structural works to prevent the effects of disasters and the design of structural measures to reduce their consequences. Structural measures in the appropriate elaboration of plans for flood defence, the director of planning schemes and river basin management and planning of urban and regional planning, in progress. These measures are complementary means for very effective defence, Planning short term measures of disaster prevention and emergency measures in case of production. In this respect have been written "Prefect Handbook" and "Mayor's Manual" and other documentation prepared by the inspectors regarding the emergency measures to be applied in the first stages of production phenomena Taking intervention measures from previous hazardous events. These measures are related to ensuring the timely availability of adequate rescue equipment and materials necessary to consolidate existing defence works. These measures fall within the powers of inspectors in emergencies, city halls and county councils, Training of personnel to be involved in the disaster or after the production in parallel with informing the population. According to "Handbook Prefect" and "Mayor's Manual" is necessary to organize courses, practical demonstrations on various cases of simulation of phenomena, Development and diversification of technology transfer. In this program states that countries that have technology and experience in this area is necessary to transfer and receive such systems effectively in the form of know-how with countries in its material and technological possibilities lower. Enhance research on technology development and disaster management. Participating countries in the collective effort of research, elaboration of models and methods of forecasting and forecasting as well as measures of information, saving lives and property, is an asset (in which Romania is involved) of the European institutions in the EU . 5 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU In this context the participation of international collective efforts of countries to research, develop the models and methods of prediction and forecast as well as the information and save property and lives, which is involved and Romania as EU member is the need to achieve this specific study as having the "Study on destructive natural phenomena in Giurgiu County: Perception population and alternative solutions to prevent disasters, particularly flooding in the area of border Giurgiu-Ruse. Danubius euro region Created in 2002 at the initiative of Giurgiu County Council and Ruse Prefecture Euro region Danubius is a district that includes Russian, from the Bulgarian, and Giurgiu County from Romanian. The main purpose of the association is to encourage cross-border cooperation in all fields of activity, implementation of programs and projects, financed from external sources. Activities of the Association are support the central and local government in achieving the European Convention for border cooperation between companies and local bodies, and identify solutions for solving common border / border fees encourage consultation and coordination of cross-border cooperation between Bulgaria and Romania in the field of economic development, transport, environment, education, tourism, labor market, protection of health and agriculture. developing relationships between its members through reciprocal exchange, coordination and consultation in areas of equivalent responsibility. A priority activity in the Association is the city halls of the Russian villages and Giurgiu. Thus was developed a project for twinning and border cooperation. Also, special attention is given to cooperation between businesses of the two areas. Surrounding Giurgiu (Romania) and Ruse (Bulgaria) located on opposite sides of the Danube are facing similar development problems and opportunities that make the transition, although at different scale and purpose of their long-term long, in agreement with respective national strategies. They share the same responsibility on the sustainable use and ecological safety of the river Danube. From the municipalities of Ruse and Giurgiu is paid a special relationship of cooperation and crossborder economy in the context of sustainable development, the tourism industry occupies an important place. Danube is the most important international river of Europe crossing it from West to East, the 2860 km, near the Rhine to the Black Sea. In Romania, between Buzias and the Black Sea, the Danube through about 1075 km, the route or the fairway, distingandu the four sectors with tourism and landscape features distinct. Of these, the Iron Gates - including Calarasi Giurgiu area, is part of the Danube waterway (for vessels with draft of about 2 m) and valences exceptional economic and tourism. Danube principal actor Euroregion Rousse-Giurgiu Close to the Carpathians and the Black Sea, the Danube is one of the major components of the natural to define the location of Romania on the continent. It gathers all the rivers in the territory of our country determining the hydrographic network unit. Almost half of the length of navigable course of the Danube is located on Romanian territory. Stems from the Black Forest Mountains of Germany, has two wells and after a squirt in 10 countries and 4 capital flows into the Black Sea through three branches: the Chilia, Sulina and St. George. River characteristics are influenced by topography and through climate conditions. Danube borders the city towards the SE over a distance of 7.3 kilometers. Form of the Danube, right in town, Cama channels and St. George and the downstream city Smarda arms and Ara. 6 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Giurgiu County Figure 1 Europe map: Romania Geography The county is situated on a plain - the Southern part of the Romanian Plain. The landscape is flat, crossed by small rivers. The southern part is the valley of the Danube which forms the border with Bulgaria. In the North, the Argeş River and Dâmboviţa River flow. The city of Giurgiu is one of the Danube’s harbours placed 1.5 km from St. Gheorghe Channel. The County has a major advantage, being a node for railways, roads, and river corridors, there is a border control and customs terminal for goods artery on E85. A new container terminal is in progress in the Commercial Free Zone Giurgiu International transport of goods and passengers in transit is accomplished by 3 points of crossing the border: PCTFE and customs terminal for goods related to the bridge over the Danube - "Bridge of Friendship" the only bridge that connects Bulgaria to Romania over natural border is the Danube, Control Point border (PCTFE) Mocanasul Ramadan and related transport with ferry over river. Port of Giurgiu is one of the main ports of Danube river. In Giurgiu Free Zone is a container terminal. In tourism there is the possibility of insurance services for passengers, the line of ferryboat to the port Giurgiu Ruse, on the other side of the Danube. Bridge over the Danube, built between 1952 - 1954, symbolically called "Friendship Bridge" is the only bridge over the Danube between Romania and Bulgaria with a total length of 2.8 km and 30 m height. The structure of the bridge is on two levels, with the upper part of the traffic and the lower order traffic railway. Middle section of the bridge can be lift depending on the height of moving vessels on the Danube. 7 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU The County’s geographical position is in favour of agriculture. Besides it there is was developed a textile sector, food industry and clothing industry. Giurgiu county relief is typical of the plain and meadow. And it is characterized by a variety of forms, the specific positioning along the river Danube: meadow, terrace areas, islands, swamps, canals. Giurgiu is the town situated at the contact between forest and meadow and geomorphologic unit represents the younger of relief, in large part a result of the action of the Danube, being established in the meadow, islands, ponds and channels (arms) The area between the river and the Burnaz Plain, with widths of over 10 km, is subdivided into: hill, valley internal and sometimes external meadow terrace meadow, arranged longitudinally and unevenly developed; minor riverbed consists of sand banks, with heights of 1-5 m and widths of several tens to several hundred meters Hydro graphic network is made up of rivers that collects the county waters, in this category we find the Arges with its main tributaries (Dambovita, Sabar, Neajlov), the Danube is the general collector and a length of 72 km separating the district of Bulgaria, the largest lake Comana is located in the meadow Neajlov. Natural resources are few and are: the oil fields in the northern part of the county, and the gravel and sands extracted from the Danube and the river channel Arges Neajlov. Main Natura 2000 sites are: - Comana forest – a SCI situated North of Comana lake, 30 km away from Bucharest with a surface of 630 ha. Economy Fields with the largest share in the county economy -%Nr. crt. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Economic field of activity Agriculture Total industry - oil industry - machinery - electric energy, gas and water Constructions Commerce Other 100,0 36,3 13,2 3,1 9,1 1,0 6,4 5,5 38,6 Industry The structure of industrial production by main activities - %TOTAL Extractive industry Hydrocarbons extraction Other extraction activity 100,0 15,3 2,1 13,2 8 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Manufacturing Food and beverages Textile Textile manufacturing, Leather and shoes Woodworking Chemistry and fibres Other minerals Metallurgy Metallic constructions and metal products Machinery and equipments Vehicles Other vehicles Furniture and unclassified Electrical energy, gas and water Producing, transport, and distribution of cold, hot water and electricity Water management, treatment and distribution 68,7 34,4 5,8 3,4 0,5 1,2 0,1 3,2 2,2 3,6 2,5 0,1 11,5 0,2 16,0 13,8 2,2 In the county there are 2 industrial parks: - Technological and Industrial Park North Giurgiu - which operates 13 companies with approx. 1500 employees with opportunities for expansion up to 3500 employees in the following areas: weaving, finishing, garments, chemicals, processing and shaping the glass plate, furniture; - Industrial Park Bolintin Vale - in the area of 143 hectares is not yet functional. The city also operates Giurgiu SC Giurgiu Free Zone Administration SA, which is lying on a surface of 160 ha and benefiting from the infrastructure works, the superstructure, telephone connections through fibber optics, spaces for production and trade. Currently there are approx. 3000 people that operate here in over 200 companies with foreign capital, or mixed Romanian and foreign companies. The interest in Giurgiu Free Zone is not limited to fiscal and customs facilities, the investors considering a favourable location that gives transport links with the main colour of road traffic, railway and river organizations. Among the companies operating in the Free Zone Giurgiu we mention: Flamingo Computers, Ager Business Tech, MB Distribution, Hyundai Auto Romania, etc.. To attract new customers, Giurgiu Free Zone Administration has started a new business, operating general goods and container terminal in Giurgiu Free Zone. By the time opening of this first terminal in any of the ports and inland river-Romanian there was no container terminal on the Danube, in the navigation at the border between Romania and Bulgaria, as well as in Romania. The goal is integrated into a structure of generating traffic flows through the main terminal with connections to the Danube (in countries like Hungary, Slovakia, Austria, Germany), with container terminals in Constanta, but with the traffic of goods from the Middle East to the Western Europe. Agriculture The county land resource in the territorial area of 352,602 ha includes 277,965 ha agricultural land (of which 99% in the private sector) and 74,637 ha non-agricultural land. 9 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU The arable land is 261,082 ha of which 99% in the private sector, vineyards of 4194 ha, orchards of 831 ha, pastures of 11,776 and hayfields of 82 ha. Currently there are 192 holdings that operate in Giurgiu which have a legal personality, with the arable land used of 90,162 ha, 315 family farms with the arable used land of 5642 ha, the rest of the arable area of 165,278 ha (63.3%) is in individual households of the population. The type of soil that is dominated is the mould ( placed in zone I of fertility in the southern county, in zone II of fertility in Central and Eastern County) and dark red soil and forest brown ( in zone III of fertility in the north county). In terms of area and obtained production, crops of wheat (75,908 ha),of maize (65,081 ha) and of sunflower (36,539 ha)are predominant. Other grown plants: barley, two-row barley, soybean, rape, vegetables, fodder plants. In the livestock sector in Giurgiu, cattle (37,840 head), pigs (53,531 head), sheep (70,519 head) and poultry (2,087,168 head)are the most representative. Fishing, both need and leisure, is facilitated by the existence of an impressive and diverse fish background (carp, crucian carp, sheat fish, pike perch, pike, etc..) lying on a surface of 2444 ha sheen of water managed by the National Agency for Fisheries and Aquaculture, Calarasi branch. In Giurgiu there are 28 production units in aquaculture with an area of 2383 hectares, 3 sport fishing associations, an association of professional fishermen for commercial fishing in the Danube river. Trade, services and tourism On 31.12.2007, in Giurgiu there were 7775 registered companies of which 2 autonomous, 149 joint stock companies, 5276 limited liability companies, 2333 individuals and family associations, 15 cooperative societies. Statistical indicators for International trade: - FOB Exports of goods during 01.01-31.10.2007 = 30,187 thousand euro - CIF imports of goods during 01.01-31.10.2007 = 214,778 thousand euro. The geographical position and the natural and cultural- historical environment encourages various forms of tourism: of traffic, cultural, rural, hunting and fishing. Comana Forest Reserve is a natural monument, a paradise of flora and fauna specific to the Danube plain. The reserve is unique because of the Romanian peony. In May, they celebrate The Peony Holiday. In the county there are now 11 tourist accommodation units, of which: 3 hotels, a hostel, 4 motels, an urban touristic hostel and 2 motor ships. Statistical indicators for tourism: - tourist arrivals in the main tourist welcome structure(in 2007): 22,842 - passing the night in the main tourist structures (in 2007): 80,740. Trends and priorities Lack of methane gas distribution network in the city of Giurgiu, plus bad condition of county roads, were the main reasons which have led to potential investors to bypass city and county of Giurgiu. Given the specificity of Giurgiu county, there is invaluable potential for development in the following areas: - Agriculture, with emphasis on areas of collection of agricultural products, on the high valuation of raw materials and on the irrigation of arable land; - Bolintin Deal Industrial Park in the north and south of the highway Bucharest-Pitesti; - Travel and tourism, focusing on Delta islands, Comana Natural Park, the archaeological sites; - Services. 10 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU In the year 2008 the gas supply for Giurgiu Municipality will be finished and the first zone (zone canter) in Giurgiu city will be connected. No. Company name 1 AGROHOLDING S.A. 2 ADMINISTRATIA ZONEI LIBERE S.A. 3 AMM S.R.L. 4 ALTIUS INTERNATIONAL S.R.L. 5 AVANTI S.R.L. 6 ARMONIA RUTIERA S.A. 7 AZOCHIM S.R.L. 8 BURDULEA CONSTRUCT S.R.L. Infrastructure Road network that traverses Giurgiu County is in a strong state of degradation, the situation presented is as follows: - County Roads: 526.5 kilometres of which 363.1 kilometres require rehabilitation works. - This year the rehabilitation programme of 57 km of roads in the county is running and it is funded from the bank loan of 30,000,000 lei contracted by Giurgiu County Council. Also this year there will be rehabilitated 18 km of county roads with funding from the state budget (VAT),its own income and association with local councils. For the rehabilitation of 288.1 kilometres county road it is required an amount of 170,000 thousand lei. - County Bridges: 33 bridges, five of them require capital repairs for which they need 11,600 thousand lei. Problems at the county level: - The technical DN 5A - totally inadequate; - Railway bridge over Arges river - severely damaged by destroying the structure of resistance and its breakdown. 11 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Ruse region Figure 2 Europe Map: Bulgaria 12 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Figure 3 Ruse region map The region is one of the 28 Bulgarian regions. It consists of eight municipalities – Ruse, Byala, Ivanovo, Tsenovo, Borovo, Slivo pole, Dve mogili and Vetovo, and the administrative region centre is the city of Ruse with 162 131 population. The north border of the region coincides with the state border and it goes along the Danube River. Its geographical situation characterizes it as an important European and republican transport crossroad. Here is the only bridge equipment over Danube River on the territory of Bulgaria. The region, with the city of Ruse as its regional centre, is situated in northern Bulgaria. It covers an area of 2 803 km2 or 2.5% of the national territory. It borders the regions of Razgrad, Silistra, Targovishte, Veliko Turnovo and the river Danube to the north. The population of the region is 264 232 inhabitants, or 3.4% of the national total, placing the region in 12th place of the 28 regions (2002 figures). The population density of 94 inhabitants per km2 (in 2002) is above national average (71 inhabitants per km2, as is its urban population of 68.8% compared to 67.7% nationally. There are 83 settlements and 6 cities (Ruse, Byala, Dve Mogili, Vetovo, Borovo and Senovo) spread through 8 municipalities. Ruse is the biggest Bulgarian city and port on the river Danube. The relief varies between undulating and flat and extends over parts of the Danube Plain and the Ludogorie area. This area has a rich historical past, as evinced by its numerous archaeological landmarks. It was 13 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU inhabited by Thracian tribes and after the 1st century A.D. the Romans built a castle at Sextaginta Prista, marking the frontier of the Empire. After the founding of the Bulgarian state the city became a strong fortress as well as a trade and administrative centre. Archaeological remains from that time include the mediaeval city of Cherven and the Ivanovo Churches in the Rocks, which are under UNESCO protection. Under Ottoman rule, Ruse and its region was a major military, commercial, manufacturing and cultural centre. From 1864 the city served as headquarters of the Tuna Villaet (Danube Region) of the Ottoman Empire. The construction in 1866 of the first railroad in Bulgaria from Ruse to Varna, contributed further to the economic development of the region. The climate is moderately continental. The main rivers are the Yantra and Rusenski Lom. The region has few raw material deposits. Deposits of quartz sand, cladding limestone and kaolin have been found and exploited. Transport, industry and agriculture Ruse Region features an advantageous transport and geographic location, and the only bridge in operation along the Bulgarian section of the river Danube is situated near Ruse. It serves the road and rail connections with Central and Eastern Europe. The region's favorable climate and soil conditions are beneficial to agriculture and one of the oldest agricultural experimental stations, providing scientific agro-technical services to the agrarian sector, is situated in the village of Slivo Pole. A skilled labor force, rich research potential, the ability to attract foreign investment, crossborder co-operation opportunities and conditions for the development of tourism are additional assets. As well as being one of Bulgaria's largest industrial centers, the city of Ruse plays an important role in the country's economic relations with abroad. There is a large oil refinery here, which does not operate to full capacity however. As a duty free zone has been established in the city, this has a positive impact on attracting foreign investors here. Unemployment rate has increased as a consequence of the current restructuring of industry and agriculture, and since 1992 a decline in the size of the region's population has been noted. There are environmental problems relating to pollution of the Danube's water as well as cross-border air pollution. As a result of the latter problem, there has been an increase in the incidence of respiratory diseases and allergies. For this reason some inhabitants have migrated to other parts of the country. One of the most developed regions In 2001, the Gross Value Added represented 3.0% of that of the country. Agriculture had a share of 18.4%, while that of industry was 28.0% and the services were responsible for the remaining 53.6%. A below average birth rate of 7.6 per thousand (in 2002), combined with a higher than average death rate (15.3 per thousand in 2002), contribute to the declining population numbers. Infant mortality at 9.9 per thousand (in 2002) is below the national average of 13.3 per thousand, and is one of the lowest values among the 28 regions. In 2002, people under 25 represented 27% of the population while those over 65 had a share of 18%. Almost one third of those gainfully employed is engaged in industry. The energy sector is represented by one of the biggest thermal power plants in this country. The most important 14 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU industrial sectors are machine tools, engineering and metal processing (shipbuilding and ship repair), followed by the food and beverages industry. The range of other industrial sectors comprises chemical and rubber industry, textile industry and the manufacture of building materials. Arable land covers 58% of the region's area (in 2002), and a quarter of it is irrigated. Cereals, sunflowers, sugar beat, hemp, vineyards and orchards predominate. In addition to cattle, sheep and pig breeding, sericulture and apiculture also play a part in agriculture here. The average annual wages were established at 11.8% under the national average in 2002. When considering agriculture alone, the level of the region was 14.0% over the national average. 3.2% of those gainfully employed nationally live in the region (2000 data) while the unemployment level of 17.4% (2002 data) is above average. The length of the regional road network is 501 km (in 2002) and road density is just over the national average. The importance of the Ruse-Varna railroad will increase with the growth of international transit traffic along European Corridor No. 7 (the river Danube) and the Ruse - Gorna Oryahovitsa railroad (part of European Corridor No. 9). The Danube Bridge was constructed in 1953 and allows for rail and road connections to Romania and other European countries. The city of Ruse has an international river port and a civil airport. All settlements have electric and water connections. A total of 124 educational establishments, including a technical university, cover the region's needs from primary school to tertiary level. During the 2002/2003 school year, there were 7 244 students in colleges and universities, most of which were at University or equivalent higher schools. Furthermore, 555 teachers were registered, representing 22.4% of all the teachers regsitered in the North Central region. In 2002, there were 4 museums, 2 cinemas and 3 theaters in Pleven. Medical services are provided by several hospitals; 8.0 beds are provided per 1 000 inhabitants. At the first of January 2003, there were 667 physicians, out of which 22% were all-practical, 132 dentists as well as 1 264 people with intermediate level of medical education. Taken together, this represented 19% of the staff of the North Central region. Types of disasters and their characteristics Disaster means: a) natural destructive phenomena of geological or meteorological origin, or disease of large numbers of people or animals, produced in short, as mass phenomena. In this category there are included: earthquakes, sliding and fall of land, floods and dangerous weather phenomena, epidemics and epizooties; b) events with extremely serious consequences on the environment caused by accidents. In this category there are included: chemical, biological and nuclear accidents, underground, damage to hydro lines and pipelines constructions, fires and explosions, major accidents in equipment and dangerous technological installations, dangerous cosmic objects falls, major accidents and great damage to large networks and telecommunications equipment. 15 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU According to the terminology adopted by the OCHA / UN (Internationally agreed glossary of basic terms related to disaster management, UN, IDNDR, Geneva, 1992), disaster (similar catastrophe) means: Serious interruption of the functioning of a society, generating human loss, material or adverse environmental changes, which can not be restored by its resources. Disasters can be categorized by event mode (slow or fast), or by cause (natural or anthropogenic). Another form of disaster is to define the following formula: Disaster = Hazard + Vulnerability Terms of the formula have the following meanings: Vulnerabilities = urbanization, environmental degradation, lack of education, population growth, the fragility of the economy, poverty, urgent bureaucratic structures. Hazard = rare or extreme phenomenon of natural or human nature that affects lives, properties and human activity and its expansion can lead to disasters; Types of hazard: - geological (earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, landslides); - climate (cyclones, floods, drought), environmental (pollution, epizootic diseases, desertification, land clearing ); - epidemic and industrial accidents, war (including terrorism). According to this terminology, there are defined: Crisis = internal or external situation whose evolution can generate a threat to values, goals interests and priorities of those involved (separately or together); Accident = unexpected unforeseen situation that stops a normal situation, because of human activity; Complementary accident = accident occurring during or after carrying out a natural disaster due to it. Definitions for destructive natural phenomena of meteorological or biological origin, or disease of large numbers of people or animals, produced in short, as mass phenomena Landslide = movement of rocks that form the slopes of hills or mountains, the slopes of dams works or other land reclamation works; Earthquake = brutal rupture rocks in the earth's crust due to tectonic plate movement, which generates a vibrating motion of the soil that can cause human victim and material destruction; Epidemic = Spreading in epidemic proportions by mass of diseases in animals; Dangerous climatic phenomena = climatic phenomena that violently affect relatively large areas of land in the long term, causing loss of human lives, material damage and environmental degradation; Floods = land cover with a layer of water stagnation or movement which, by the size and duration causes human casualties and material damage that disturb the good development of the socialeconomic activities in the affected area. Characteristic files of the main types of destructive natural phenomena Earthquake Case phenomenon: see definition. General features: vibrating motion generated by seismic waves that can trigger breakdown of land, seismic lines, tsunamis, liquefaction of the ground and landslides. 16 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Predictability: you can do long and medium term forecasts with a high probability of success. Shortterm forecasts have a low probability of success. Predictability is based on monitoring of seismic activity, its history and field observations. Factors of vulnerability: the construction of settlements in areas with high seismic risk, buildings with inadequate seismic resistance structures (deficiency in design or execution), high density of houses and population on lower surfaces, reduced information (in particular of the population) about earthquakes. Effects: material damage (damage or destruction of buildings or other infrastructure, fires, hydro accidents, landslides, etc..) human losses (high especially in the populated areas or for the poorly conformed seismic buildings) public health (high number of persons who require surgical intervention, contamination of drinking water and problems of ensuring minimum sanitary conditions of survival). Measures to reduce risk: the projection of the investment works under the norms for seismic zoning, information, preparing and training the population about the norms of behaviour in case of earthquake. Specific measures of training: notification of the population, preparing and practicing the measures included in plans for protection and intervention. Post disaster measures: damage and loss assessment, search and rescue, emergency medical assistance, rehabilitation of economic and social affected facilities, aid distribution. Tools for assessing the impact: the evaluation scale of the results caused by earthquake (Mercalli, MSK, Japanese, etc.).. Landslide Case phenomenon: see definition. General features: with more forms of developing or may occur as side effects of other types of disasters (earthquake, hazardous weather phenomena, volcanic eruptions, etc..), being considered the most widespread geological phenomenon. Predictability: having the frequency of occurrence, the extent of the phenomenon and the consequences generated by it, risk areas can be estimated, through the study of the geographical area. Factors of vulnerability: buildings built on the slopes of the hills and mountains, roads and communication lines in mountain areas, buildings with weak foundations, aerial or buried pipes. Effects: material damage, blocking roads, destruction of communication lines or water courses, reducing agricultural production and forestry, human losses. Measures to reduce risk: achieving the map of risk areas, the legislation in an area, providing goods and persons. Specific measures of training: education of the community can be made, a system of monitoring, notification and evacuation. Post disaster measures: search and rescue, medical assistance, emergency housing for people affected. Tools for impact assessment: Team experts. Floods Case phenomenon: see definition. General characteristics: speed of high flood movement, high flood height, its duration and frequency. Predictability: weather forecasts on long, medium and short term, depending on the technical 17 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU system of monitoring weather and water courses. Factors of vulnerability: the buildings built in the flooded area, the lack of warning the population system, low capacity of soil absorption, buildings and foundations with the capacity of low resistance, unprotected food stocks. Effects: material damage, human loss and contamination of water sources. Measures to reduce risk: works of protecting and upgrading dams. Specific measures of training: systems and alarm detection, education and community participation, planning the execution of protecting works. Post disaster measures: assessing the effects of the disaster, search and rescue, health care, shortterm supply of water and food, water purification and temporary housing. Tools for impact assessment: monitoring the effects. Drought Case phenomenon: water flow deficit, soil degradation, increasing ocean water temperature, increasing concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. General features: disaster with temporary effect, especially on agriculture, which depends on a number of factors (the existence of irrigation system, etc.).. Predictability: the periods of low rainfall are normal for all climate systems. Weather forecasts make possible early warning of the possibility of producing the phenomenon. Factors of vulnerability: the establishment of habitats in arid areas, isolated agricultural lands, lack of resources in water supply, lack of planning for resource allocation in risk areas, etc.. Effects: the decrease of agricultural production, vineyards and livestock, increasing prices, increasing inflation rate, reducing the nutritional status of population, disease, energy crisis, etc.. Measures to reduce risk: monitoring system and immediate notification. Specific measures of training: development of an interdepartmental plan of defense against the effects of the disaster; Post disaster measures: maintaining price stability, centralized distribution of food, ensuring food reserves, provision of water, etc.. Tools for impact assessment: monitoring meteorological and hydrological situation, nutritional and economic and social situation. Natural disaster in Romania statistics We present the statistical data on natural disasters that affected Romania within the history and specially in the past few years. Events number No of people killed No of people killed per year No of people affected Average affected per year Economic damage ( US$ x 1000) Economic damage per year (US$ x 1000) Table 1 Natural disaster statistic between 1983 and 2008 70 777 30 401,697 15,450 2,425,190 93,277 18 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Drought Earthquake Epidemic Extreme temperatures Flood Insect infestation Mass mov. dry: Mass mov. wet: Volcano Storm Wildfire 0.08 0.12 0.12 0.54 1.46 ... ... 0.04 ... 0.35 ... Table 2 Average disaster per year Type Flood Flood Flood Flood Flood Flood Flood Flood Flood Flood Table 3 Disaster classification by affected population Data 1997 2000 2005 2006 1991 2005 2004 2004 1998 2001 Affected population 122,320 60,431 30,800 17,071 15,000 14,669 14,128 14,000 12,000 10,803 Type Flood Extreme temp Extreme temp Extreme temp Flood Flood Flood Extreme temp Extreme temp Extreme temp Table 4 Disaster classification by killed people Data 1991 2006 1998 2007 2005 1998 2006 2007 2004 2006 Killed 108 68 60 38 33 31 30 30 27 26 Date 2005 2000 2005 2005 1998 2001 1997 2000 1991 1999 Cost (US$ x 1000) 800000 500000 313000 200000 150000 120000 110000 100000 50000 50000 Disaster Flood Drought Flood Flood Flood Flood Flood Flood Flood Flood 19 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Table 5 Disaster classification by reported economic damages Percentage of reported people killed by disaster type Storm, 6% Earthquake, 1% Floods Extreme temperatures Floods, 51% Extreme temperatures, 42% Earthquake Storm Figure 4 Percentage of reported people killed by disaster type Percentage of reported people affected by disaster type Storm, 2% Earthquake, 2% Epidemic, 1% Flood Epidemic Earthquake Storm Flood, 95% Figure 5 Percentage of reported people affected by disaster type 20 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Reported econom ic dam age by disaster type 1925190 2000000 1800000 1600000 1400000 1200000 1000000 800000 500000 600000 400000 200000 0 Seceta Inundatii Figure 6 Reported economic damages by disaster type Disaster classification in Romania in the past 10 years including their effects Tip Date Extreme temp 20/01/2006 Extreme temp 12/1/2008 Extreme temp 10/12/2007 Flood 14/08/2005 Flood 30/06/2006 Extreme temp 6/1/2007 Extreme temp 1/7/2004 Extreme temp 29/06/2006 Flood 12/7/2005 Flood 16/08/2005 Table 6 Disaster classification by number of people killed nr. killed 68 43 38 33 30 30 27 26 24 18 Tip Date Flood 5/4/2000 Flood 21/09/2005 Flood 13/03/2006 Flood 12/7/2005 Flood 28/07/2004 Flood 27/08/2004 Flood 19/06/2001 Flood 8/1/2008 Flood 20/06/2006 Flood 2/7/2005 Table 7 Disaster classification by number of affected people Affected 60431 30800 17071 14669 14128 14000 10803 10520 5712 5102 21 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Damages (US$ x 1000) 800000 500000 313000 200000 120000 100000 15000 500 290 Tip Date Flood 12/7/2005 Drought 6/1/2000 Flood 14/08/2005 Flood 21/04/2005 Flood 19/06/2001 Flood 5/4/2000 Flood 4/3/2001 Flood 3/1/2000 Flood 6/8/2002 Table 8 Disaster classification by reported economic damages Drought Drought Ave. per event Epidemic Viral infections Ave. per event Cold wave Ave. per event Extreme winter conditions Ave. per event Heat wave Ave. per event Unspecified Ave. per event Flash flood Ave. per event General flood Ave. per event Unspecified Ave. per event Extra tropical cyclone Ave. per event Local storm Ave. per event Extreme temperatures Flood Storm Costs (000 US$) 500000 500000 Events no 1 Killed - Total affected - 1 101 25.3 1 1 20 5 - 68 68 102 20.4 3 3 27 5.4 184 7.4 5 2.5 800 160 960 960 24712 4942.4 187365 7494.6 1200 600 1548790 61951.6 - 24 8 90 90 1500 500 - 4 1 5 1 5 25 2 1 3 Table 9 General data of disasters in the past 10 years 22 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Disaster classification in Bulgaria Events number No of people killed No of people killed per year No of people affected Average affected per year Economic damage ( US$ x 1000) Economic damage per year (US$ x 1000) Table 10 Overview period 1983 to 2008 Drought Earthquake Epidemic Extreme temperatures Flood Insect infestation Mass mov. dry: Mass mov. wet: Volcano Storm Wildfire 32 108 4 23,476 838 478,104 17,075 0.07 0.11 ... 0.21 0.43 ... ... ... ... 0.18 0.14 Table 11 Average disaster per year Type Data Flood 2005 Storm 1993 Earthquake 1986 Flood 2007 Storm 1999 Earthquake 2006 Extreme temp 1998 Flood 1997 Flood 2005 Wildfire 2000 Table 12 Disaster type classification by affected population Affected population 12000 5000 3060 1000 850 527 323 200 200 167 Type Data Extreme temp 2006 Flood 2005 Extreme temp 2008 Flood 2007 Wildfire 2000 Extreme temp 2000 Flood 2005 Flood 2005 Flood 2005 Earthquake 1986 Table 13 Disaster type classification by number of killed people No killed 18 17 10 8 7 7 7 7 6 3 23 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Disaster Date Flood 2005 Flood 2005 Wildfire 2000 Flood 2005 Wildfire 2007 Flood 2002 Extreme temp 2000 Storm 1981 Drought 1983 Earthquake 1986 Table 14 Disaster classification by reported economic damages Cost (US$ x 1000) 247000 200000 17600 10000 2454 1000 50 0 0 0 Percentage of reported people killed by disaster type Wild Fire, 9% Storm, 2% Earthquakes, 4% Floods Extreme temperatures Floods, 48% Earthquakes Storm Extreme temperatures, 37% Wild Fire Figure 7 Percentage of reported killed people by disaster type 24 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Percentage of reported people affected by disaster type Storm, 25% Flood Extrme temp Earthquake Flood, 58% Storm Earthquake, 15% Extrme temp, 2% Figure 8 percentage of affected population by disaster type Reported econom ic dam age by disaster type 458000 500000 450000 400000 350000 300000 250000 200000 150000 100000 20054 50000 0 Drought Flood Figure 9 Reported economic damages by disaster type 25 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Disaster classification in Bulgaria in the past 10 years and their effects Type Data No killed Extreme temp 22/01/2006 18 Flood 2/7/2005 17 Extreme temp 1/1/2008 10 Flood 4/8/2007 8 Extreme temp 6/1/2000 7 Wildfire 1/7/2000 7 Flood 14/08/2005 7 Flood 4/8/2005 7 Flood 26/05/2005 6 Storm 24/12/2001 2 Table 15 Natural disasters in the past 10 years - classification by no of killed people Type Data Flood 4/8/2005 Flood 22/05/2007 Earthquake 20/02/2006 Flood 2/7/2005 Wildfire 1/7/2000 Flood 16/11/2007 Extreme temp 6/1/2007 Extreme temp 22/01/2006 Flood 4/8/2007 Wildfire 7/1/2007 Table 16 Disaster classification by affected population Affected 12000 1000 527 200 167 60 50 20 10 9 Damage (US$ x 1000) 247000 200000 17600 10000 2454 1000 50 Tip Data Flood 2/7/2005 Flood 14/08/2005 Wildfire 1/7/2000 Flood 26/05/2005 Wildfire 7/1/2007 Flood 10/8/2002 Extreme temp 6/1/2000 Table 17 Disaster classification by reported economic damage Drought Drought Average/event. Earthquake Earthquake Average/event. Cold wave Average/event. Extreme temp No. events 1 1 2 No killed - Total affected - Damages (US$ x 1000) - 10 5 527 527 - - 26 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Flood Storm Wildfire Extreme winter conditions Average/event. Hot wave Average/event. Unspecified Average/event. General flood Average/event. Unspecified Average/event. Local storm Average/event. Unspecified Average/event. Forest fire Average/event. Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU 1 2 1 10 1 1 1 3 18 18 9 4.5 1 1 51 5.1 2 2 2 2 8 2.7 20 20 50 25 13270 1327 176 58.7 50 25 1000 1000 457000 45700 20054 6684.7 Table 18 General data of disasters in the past 10 years in Bulgaria Conclusions and recommendations Analyzing statistical data it can be concluded that for both countries natural disasters are mainly represented by floods followed by extreme temperatures To be noticed that several differences between the effects of natural disaster type as follows: For Bulgaria the storms creates more damages compared with Romania in terms of affected population. Also it can be concluded that flood produces more damages for both countries in terms of affected population and reported economic damages, affecting in the same time population’s perception as the most destructive natural phenomena. Also the frequency of floods is higher compared with other natural disaster. Romania is more exposed to floods than Bulgaria with an average flood per year of 1.4 compared to 0.43 floods/year between 1983 and 2008. Also in Romania were recorded a higher number of events, 70 compared with 32 in Bulgaria these events killing seven times more people than across the border. Having in mind the frequency and number of events is easy to conclude that reported economical damage affects Romania significantly, five times more than Bulgaria. History should be a lesson to be learned and special measures must be adopted to preserve human lives and property by taking the necessary actions not as much to prevent the flooding but to decrease it’s effect. In this respect, technical and institutional measures must be foreseen to prevent damages from natural disasters, measures like building and maintaining dams, construction of drainage networks, infrastructure, and the most important good public awareness campaigns. 27 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Giurgiu Natural destructive phenomena Earthquake In the county, especially in valley areas Tarnava Small and Large earthquakes can occur between the amplitude of 4-6 degrees on the Richter scale As a result of geographical and geological conditions in Giurgiu county no real danger of event actions of destructive earthquake, landslides and / or their complementary disasters Giurgiu County is located in the south of the country and is subjected to the effects of a type of seismic motion. Seismic activity Seismic zoning in Romania was made by critical analysis of information regarding earthquakes the past 900 years, and seismic studies performed between 1960 - 1992 . Conclusions resulting from the analysis of seismic Vrancea region say that this is the most important of the ten zones in the country, characterized by - high energy earthquakes - elongate elliptical area on the NE-SW direction, with lines from the Carpathians closely distanced - persistent nature of earthquake center ; - return period of 30-50 years for major earthquakes (1800-1977) - numerous superficial fractures in the rock layer Seismic risk analysis determines that there is probability of 90% in the Vrancea seismic region to produce an earthquake with magnitude up to at least M = 7.5 degrees on Richter scale, between the years 1999 - 2011 Seismic motion may be accompanied by the appearance of fluidity, subsidence, brake through, landslide, landslides (local) due to ground water infiltrations from the rainwater or surface waters, which alter the ability of resistance to shearing of rocks and sedimentary deposits of piles. Giurgiu County fits into zone D according to technical norms P 100-1/2006. 28 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Figure 10 . Seismic zones of Romania- Figure 11 Seismic zones classified by acceleration Cod P100-1/2006 (Elaborator UTCB) 29 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Figure 12 Seismic zones classified by corner period Cod P100-1/2006 (Elaborator UTCB) Specific county seismic data: - Seismic design acceleration ag= 0.2g Corner period of response time Tc= 1s Vulnerability Type Risk buildings Risk households Estimated affected population Houses Households No 17.106 26.298 51.318 78.894 Table 19 Vulnerabilitate Volume of possible damages I MSK No of buildings 17.106 Damages Wreck Partial 25-35% 5-10% VIII 4276–5987 855-1710 Table 20 Estimated volume of damages No of households 26.298 Total 2-3% 342-513 Wreck 10-15% 2629-3944 Damages Partial 1-2% 262-525 Total 30 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Number of inhabitants in vulnerable buildings Night time No of inhabitants = 51.318 General Of witch: loss Emergencies 139 Ambulatory 185 536 treatment Injuries 46 Victim 93 Killed 73 Table 21Inhabitants number in vulnerable buildings Day time No of inhabitants = 34.212 General din care: loss Emergencies Ambulatory 352 treatment Injuries Victim Killed 92 120 30 62 48 Landslides Landslide (or landslip) is a geological phenomenon which includes a wide range of ground movement, such as rock falls, deep failure of slopes and shallow debris flows, which can occur in offshore, coastal and onshore environments. Although the action of gravity is the primary driving force for a landslide to occur, there are other contributing factors affecting the original slope stability From reported damages point of view landslides are not significant by itself rather by cumulative effect, blocking roads, constructions, water course, land reclamation constructions. Two possible sources have been identified : - Natural phenomena - Human action Main characteristics of landslides in Romania and Giurgiu County : Clasiffication Depth Slide speed Movement distance Down slope distance of the landslide Type Surface slide; Small depth; Deep slide; Very deep Extremely fast; Very fast; fast; moderate; slow; very slow extremely slow. De facto landslides; Earth flow. Description <1m = 1-5 m = 5-20 m > 20 m > 3 m/s = 3 m/s-0,3 m/min = 0,3 m/min-1,5 m/day = 1,5 m/day-1,5 m/month = 1,5 m/month-1,5 m/year = 1,5 m/year-0,06 m/year < 0,06 m/year Retro regressive. Progressive 31 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Table 22 landslides characteristics Natural risk areas : Administrative units affected by landslides1 No County UAT Risk degree Landslides type Primary Reactive - Giurgiu Commune 402 Daia Table 23 UAT-landslides risk low On April the 6th 2006 landslides occurs in Prundu Parish, Puieni Village having the length of 150m, 60 m width. According to ISU following damages were reported : - The village access road. - Power line pole. - 6 individual households : Floods Flood: rising of a body of water and it’s overflowing onto dry land witch by size, duration, intensity might provoke human losses or damages of affected area. Giurgiu County has a large network of rivers (837 km length) witch can be the source of natural destructive phenomena especially in rainy seasons (spring and autumn) Nr. crt. 1 Water body Km Length (Km) HB Surface (Km²) Arges Neajlov Baracu Chipicanu Crevedia Dambovnic Ilfovat Balaria Vartop Calnistea Valea lui Damian V. Porumbeilor Silistea Raiosu Ismar 191-350 86-186 21-29 28-49 11-12 86-110 0-39 0-18 0-11 50-112 0-11 0-24 0-12 3-12 0-27 113-100 100 8 21 1 24 39 18 11 62 11 24 12 9 27 363 420 11 33 1 90 114 66 22 132 51 166 56 28 161 Conform Lege 575 din 2001 publicat in MO nr. 726 din 14 Nov 2001 32 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Nr. crt. Water body Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Km Glavacioc 95-120 Milcovat 20-47 Bratilov 0-29 Racu 0-7 Iordana 0-11 Dadilovat 0-7 Gurbanu 0-11 Sabar 79-174 Bai 30-35 Ciorogarla 4-57 V. Mamina 0-38 Dambovita 190-197 Ilfov 82-93 Ilfovat TOTAL B.H. ARGES Dunare Parapanca 0-29 Ciuvica 0-8 V.Oncesti 0-9 Zboiu 0-28 TOTAL B.H. DUNARE TOTAL GENERAL Table 24 Water body description in Giurgiu County Length (Km) HB Surface (Km²) 25 24 27 7 11 7 11 58 5 18 16 7 11 5 712-699 75 29 8 9 17 138 850 52 39 67 37 47 80 72 141 4 32 37 18 6 12 2358 520 427 63 84 74 1168 3526 The most frequent floods are caused by flood waters flowing torrents of training or as a result of heavy rainfall of long duration, the rapid melting of the layers of snow, ice blocking the water courses or by the creation of dams due to the formation deposits and alluvia onto riverbeds and bridges in small bridges areas or rupture protection dam built along the Danube . The overflow of river channel which may contain large areas of land is accompanied by the creation of a water-front wave - which depends on the size of the amount, duration and distribution of rainfall in the river basin. In the county the water courses have a linear flow in the Danube basin, the rivers that comprise the river basin district, have their origins in springs territories of the other counties. The winter phenomena (the shore ice, the ice bridge, leaks of ice blocks) begin to appear on the rivers in the first decade of November and can be maintained until the beginning of March, during this period due to rapid climate change may exceed normal rates water-floods on large surfaces. Flooding risk zones : flooding affected UAT No County UAT Flood type Water course Torrent Giurgiu 636 Town Bolintin Vale - 33 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L 637 638 639 640 641 642 643 644 645 646 647 648 649 650 651 652 653 654 655 656 657 658 659 660 661 662 663 Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Parish Bolintin Deal Bucsani Bulbucata Calugareni Calejani Colibasi Comana Crevedia Mare Floresti- Stoenesti Gaieseni Ghimpati Gostinari Hotarele Iepuresti Joita Letca Noua Marsa Mihai Bravu Ogrezeni Roata de Jos Schitu Singureni Stoenesti Ulmi Valea Dragului Varasti Vanatorii Mici - Table 25 UAT Risk zones Giurgiu County floods and their effects The winter 2005/2006 was exceptional in the sense that temperatures were below average from November to March over large areas in Europe. In the Danube region large water supplies were accumulated in the snow cover during the winter 2005 / 2006 due to several cycles of intense snowfall. The melting and fast runoff consequently had been caused by relatively high daily air temperatures and intensive rainfall. That situation caused increasing of river water stages and particularly several significant flood events mainly in the third decade of the March and in the first week of the April . The shallow low pressure area occurred over the Alps and the west part of the Carpathian Mountains from 20th to 21st of March. The high-pressure area grew bigger over the Germany and the Czech Republic on the 22nd of March and the cool air temporary flowed along its border into the central Europe at the 23rd of March. The above-mentioned high-pressure area moved from the Central Europe for the southeast direction during the next days. Simultaneously the low-pressure area moved from the Atlantic to the west Europe and the warm and humid air began to flow on its boundary to the central Europe. The waved cold front linked with the low-pressure area over the Scandinavia passed through the Central Europe in the 2nd of April. The ridge of high air pressure temporary expanded behind this front over the Alpines region in the 4th of April. The cold and humid air began to flow before its front side over the Central Europe from the northwest. The low-pressure area began to deepen over the South France on the 5th April, and moved towards to the east side. The wavy cold front linked with low-pressure area gradually influenced the weather over the whole Danube river basin area. 34 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU The ridge of the high-pressure air began to extend from the west to the Central Europe on the 6th of April, which in the following days expanded as far as over the Byelorussia. On the front side of the low-pressure area over the North Sea began to flow over the Central Europe the warm air from the southwest on the 8th of April. - 8 localities have been affected (7 by Neajlov river flooding : Crevedia Mare, Bucsani, Clejani, Bulbucata, Iepuresti, Singureni si Calugareni and one by Glavacioc river flooding : Ghimpati); - recorded damages are presented below: Crevedia Mare – 50 ha agricultural land, 50 ha grassland, 150 m DC and 1 catwalk; Bucsani – 30 ha cultivated agricultural land, 31 ha grassland and 20 m DC; Clejani – 250 ha cultivated agricultural land, 200 ha grassland and 80 m DC; Bulbucata – 20 ha cultivated agricultural land and 20 m DC; Iepuresti – 100 ha cultivated agricultural land, 90 ha grassland and 2 catwalks; Singureni – 1 ha cultivated agricultural land and 15 ha grassland; Calugareni – 5 households, 6 ha cultivated agricultural land, 150 ha grassland; Ghimpati – 35 ha grassland; . aprilie – mai 2005 due to rainfall registered in Giurgiu county and adjacent counties were increases in levels and flows on the rivers which cross Giurgiu County the impacts were: - 110 ha agricultural land, 3885 ha forest and 37 ha of cattle run; 01-16 iulie 2005 due to intense rainfall registered in Giurgiu county and adjacent counties were increases in levels and flows on the rivers which cross Giurgiu County the river levels were: : Arges la PH Malu Spart 234 cm in 13.07.2005, 24 cm over attention level, Arges la PH Gradinari 347 cm in 14.07.2005,97 cm over attention level, Arges la PH Budesti (jud. Calarasi) 367 cm in 13.07.2005, 57 cm over attention level, Neajlov la PH Vadu Lat 182 cm in 06.07.2005, 32 cm over attention level, Neajlov la PH Calugareni 342 cm in 07.07.2005 17 cm over attention level and Glavacioc la PH Crovu 330 cm in 04.07.2005 30 cm over attention level . Wildfire Afforestation area where the Forest Directorate Giurgiu is managed four stock-yards forestry, namely, Giurgiu, Comana, and Vale Bolintin Ghimpaţi Forest is located in easily accessible areas, inside which are arranged access roads are passable in any season of the year. Forest area of Giurgiu county is 38,279 ha, of which 36,152 ha managed by the National Director of Forests, representing 94.4% of the forestations area of the county is divided in four forest stockyards. Of the total area occupied by forests, 40% are of resinous woods, 39% beech, oak 12%, 6% of various hard core, 3% of various soft core. Average density of forests is 0.6. Average altitude forest is 150 m. Areas accessible to the most difficult technique of fire is the deal, Gola Forest - Bucsani, where due to technical intervention with a displacement very hard, over 20 tons and mostly worn physically can get very difficult. Vulnerability to forest fires to increase the spring, before the appearance of vegetation and fall, after drying vegetation, in periods of drought and periods of increased flow of tourists. Areas most vulnerable to fire are: - Forest weed, bypassing Forest Ghimpaţi in the territory of which the bore wells are, in some 35 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU others operating in conservation; - Russia's Forest Asan, bypassing Forest Bolintin Vale, which is crossed by tracks of high voltage electrical and highway Bucharest - Pitesti. Discharge, the main source of production of the forest fires are frequent throughout the area forest fund 36 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Demography Giurgiu County Giurgiu County population is 282,554 inhabitants in 2008 as follows: 37 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L GIURGIU MEDIU URBAN MUNICIPIUL GIURGIU ORAS BOLINTIN-VALE ORAS MIHAILESTI MEDIU RURAL ADUNATI-COPACENI BANEASA BOLINTIN -DEAL BUCSANI BULBUCATA BUTURUGENI CALUGARENI CLEJANI COLIBASI COMANA COSOBA CREVEDIA MARE DAIA FLORESTI-STOENESTI FRATESTI GAISENI GAUJANI GHIMPATI GOGOSARI GOSTINARI GOSTINU GRADINARI GREACA HERASTI HOTARELE IEPURESTI ISVOARELE IZVOARELE JOITA LETCA NOUA MALU MARSA MIHAI BRAVU OGREZENI OINACU PRUNDU PUTINEIU RASUCENI ROATA DE JOS SABARENI SCHITU SINGURENI SLOBOZIA STANESTI STOENESTI TOPORU ULMI VALEA DRAGULUI VANATORII MICI VARASTI VEDEA TOTAL 282554 87602 68083 12159 7360 194952 6565 5237 6209 3765 1478 3969 6239 3402 3526 7413 2403 4987 2803 8778 5731 5442 2572 5608 2012 2609 2194 3253 2435 2225 3719 2041 1951 4020 3289 3564 2522 2763 2530 4614 3626 4494 2736 2443 8223 2586 1973 3106 2543 2996 2081 2264 7546 3004 4630 5869 2964 Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU MASCULIN 137893 42093 32589 5985 3519 95800 3190 2606 3058 1867 727 1995 3076 1662 1756 3645 1162 2492 1369 4307 2823 2663 1275 2763 989 1260 1052 1611 1139 1089 1805 974 949 1949 1630 1791 1267 1391 1230 2262 1799 2227 1379 1205 4057 1276 930 1474 1288 1462 1005 1078 3698 1485 2234 2899 1480 FEMININ 144661 45509 35494 6174 3841 99152 3375 2631 3151 1898 751 1974 3163 1740 1770 3768 1241 2495 1434 4471 2908 2779 1297 2845 1023 1349 1142 1642 1296 1136 1914 1067 1002 2071 1659 1773 1255 1372 1300 2352 1827 2267 1357 1238 4166 1310 1043 1632 1255 1534 1076 1186 3848 1519 2396 2970 1484 38 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Table 26 Giurgiu County population distribution Starting 1977 we notice that population number decreases rapidly specially after 1999 when county population moves to major urban areas corroborated with low of birth rate Evolutia populatiei 350,000 300,000 Populatie 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 Ani Figure 13 Historical population evolution in Giurgiu County Giurgiu County 1930 1948 1956 1966 1977 1992 2002 2008 Table 27 Giurgiu County population density Inhabitants 269,577 313,793 325,045 320,120 327,494 313,352 297,859 282,554 Inabitants/km2 76.5 89.0 92.2 90.8 92.9 88.9 84.5 80.2 Population distribution after 2002 census is presented further on, to be noticed the same population number decline 39 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Giurgiu County 2002 Total (inh.) - total 291784 - Male 142435 - Female 149349 Urban (inh.) - total 90022 - Male 43717 - Female 46305 Rural (inh.) - total; 201762 - Male 98718 - Female 103044 Inh. / km2 82.8 Table 28 Giurgiu County population distribution 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 289484 141179 148305 288018 140473 147545 286208 139540 146668 284501 138804 145697 283408 138320 145088 282,554 137893 144661 89914 43541 46373 89164 43121 46043 89012 42975 46037 88741 42813 45928 88347 42614 45733 87602 42093 45509 199570 97638 101932 82.1 198854 97352 101502 81.7 197196 96565 100631 81.2 195760 95991 99769 80.7 195061 95706 99355 80.4 194,952 95800 99152 Evolutia populatiei dupa 2002 294000 292000 populatie 290000 288000 286000 284000 282000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 An Figure 14 Population distribution after 2002 census 40 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Repartizarea populatiei pe sexe 152000 150000 148000 Populatie 146000 144000 Masculin 142000 Feminin 140000 138000 136000 134000 132000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 An Figure 15 Sex distribution of Giurgiu County population after 2002 census Population movement: Judetul Giurgiu Outgoing Incomming Ballance Table 29 Giurgiu population movement Total 3907 4444 537 Urban 1390 1025 -365 Rural 2517 3419 902 Positive migration balance of population in the county is an explanation of internal migration, especially to rural areas due in large part to reduce industrial activities in urban areas represented by the two cities of the county and city of Giurgiu, which focused on agriculture to a population of subsistence in rural areas. Another explanation lies mainly in developing areas bordering Ilfov County and the areas closest to Bucharest and the ring road area characterized by infusion of capital market investment property past, many developers preferring this option offset the increased value of land between Ilfov with relatively low value properties in Giurgiu County. These trends are highlighted in particular Mihailesti and its adjacent area on the national road 5B, Adunaţii Copaceni on the national road 5, with similar phenomena occur in the vicinity of Giurgiu. Ruse region On 31.12.2008 Ruse region population was 251,236 inhabitants according to National Statistic Institute as follows: 41 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Districts Total Municipalities Total Male Ruse 251,236 121,814 Borovo 6,793 3,298 Byala 15,213 7,529 Vetovo 15,153 7,462 Dve Mogili 10,574 5,184 Ivanovo 10,633 5,255 Ruse 174,648 84,105 Slivo Pole 11,832 5,806 Tsenovo 6,390 3,175 Table 30 Ruse region population Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Female 129,422 3,495 7,684 7,691 5,390 5,378 90,543 6,026 3,215 Urban Total 189,870 2,346 9,137 10,133 4,385 160,678 3,191 - Male 91,679 1,142 4,511 4,995 2,145 77,284 1,602 - Female 98,191 1,204 4,626 5,138 2,240 83,394 1,589 - Rural Total 61,366 4,447 6,076 5,020 6,189 10,633 13,970 8,641 6,390 Male 30,135 2,156 3,018 2,467 3,039 5,255 6,821 4,204 3,175 Female 31,231 2,291 3,058 2,553 3,150 5,378 7,149 4,437 3,215 Compared with Giurgiu County same population decline can be noticed Evolutia populatiei in Regiunea Ruse 260000 259000 258000 Populatie 257000 256000 255000 254000 253000 252000 251000 250000 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 An Table 31 Rude region population evolution Ruse Total Urban Year Total Male Female Total 2008 251236 121814 129422 189870 2007 253008 122649 130359 190036 2006 255315 123821 131494 191294 2005 256835 124534 132301 187765 2004 259,173 125,828 133,345 188,759 Table 32 Sex distribution of Ruse Region population Male 91679 91775 92363 90580 91,172 Female 98191 98261 98931 97185 97,587 Rural Total 61366 62972 64021 69070 70,414 Male 30135 30874 31458 33954 34,656 Female 31231 32098 32563 35116 35,758 Ruse region sex population distribution 42 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Repartizarea populatiei regiunii Ruse pe sexe 136000 134000 132000 Populatie 130000 128000 Masculin 126000 Feminin 124000 122000 120000 118000 116000 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 an Figure 16 Sex distribution of Ruse Region population Comparative analysis of the two proposed regions Population evolution Giurgiu Total An Total Male Female 2004 288,018 140,473 147,545 2005 286,208 139,540 146,668 2006 284,501 138,804 145,697 2007 283,408 138,320 145,088 2008 282,554 137,893 144,661 Table 33 Giurgiu and Ruse population comparison I Ruse Total An Total Male Female 2004 259,173 125,828 133,345 2005 256,835 124,534 132,301 2006 255,315 123,821 131,494 2007 253,008 122,649 130,359 2008 251,236 121,814 129,422 Table 34 Giurgiu and Ruse population comparison II Urban Total 89,164 89,012 88,741 88,347 87,602 Urban Total 188,759 187,765 191,294 190,036 189,870 Male 43,121 42,975 42,813 42,614 42,093 Male 91,172 90,580 92,363 91,775 91,679 Female 46,043 46,037 45,928 45,733 45,509 Rural Total 198,854 197,196 195,760 195,061 194,952 Male 97,352 96,565 95,991 95,706 95,800 Female 101,502 100,631 99,769 99,355 99,152 Female 97,587 97,185 98,931 98,261 98,191 Rural Total 70,414 69,070 64,021 62,972 61,366 Male 34,656 33,954 31,458 30,874 30,135 Female 35,758 35,116 32,563 32,098 31,231 43 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Analiza comparativa a evolutiei populatiei 300,000 290,000 Populatie 280,000 270,000 Regiunea Ruse Judetul Giurgiu 260,000 250,000 240,000 230,000 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 An Figure 17 Giurgiu and Ruse population comparison chart Analiza comparativa populatie in mediul urban 250,000 Populatie 200,000 150,000 Ruse populatie urban Giurgiu populatie urban 100,000 50,000 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 An Figure 18 Urban population evolution comparison 44 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Analiza comparativa populatie in mediul rural 250,000 Populatie 200,000 150,000 Ruse populatie rural Giurgiu populatie rural 100,000 50,000 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 An Figure 19 Rural population evolution comparison Analiza comparativa a populatiei pe sexe 160,000 140,000 Populatie 120,000 100,000 Ruse -- Masculin Giurgiu - Masculin 80,000 Ruse - Feminin Giurgiu - Feminin 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 An Figure 20 Sex population evolution comparison The purpose of comparative analysis is to demonstrate similarity between the two areas studied, especially in terms of population evolution in the region and the general tendency of decreasing the number of people due to economic issues in particular generated a decrease of the industrial sector in Romania as Bulgaria and the background change from a majority state in a private system in 45 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU which former industrial centres not being profitability, which translates directly in the evolution of both population and in living standards especially in urban areas. A major difference between the two regions is the distribution of population by average Ruse region is clearly superior to the population settled in urban areas divided in 8 such centers, compared with 3 of Giurgiu county. Defining study’s target population Taking into account the study objectives and it’s approach based on border area flood we define as target population the flood affected inhabitants of risk areas in both countries. Two types of affected population have been identified in border area: - Inner rivers flood affected population from inner rivers - Danube river flood affected population from Danube river Giurgiu County Defining border region: For defining the border region the Administrative Territory of the following parishes were considered : - Prundu - Gostinu - Oinacu - Giurgiu - Slobozia - Malu - Vedea - Gaujani Ruse Region - Slivo Pole Ruse Ivanovo Borovo Tsenovo Total population in 2008 of studied areas: County GIURGIU MUNICIPIUL GIURGIU TOTAL 88998 MALE 42977 FEMALE 46021 68083 32589 35494 46 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Prundu Gostinu Oinacu Slobozia MALU Vedea Gaujani 4494 2194 3626 2543 2522 2964 2572 68083 Urban population 20915 Rural population Table 35 Giurgiu cross boundary target population 2227 1052 1799 1288 1267 1480 1275 2267 1142 1827 1255 1255 1484 1297 32589 10388 35494 10527 To be noticed that a large number of population in this are lives in urban area, Giurgiu Municipality, and cannot be considered real affected population due to low probability of flood affecting the city. According to local authorities a small number of population have been directly affected by natural disasters, existing protection measures (dikes) worked fine so far. Districts Total Municipalities Total Male Female Slivo Pole 11832 5806 6026 Ruse 251236 121814 129422 Ivanovo 10633 5255 5378 Borovo 6793 3298 3495 Tsenovo 6390 3175 3215 Table 36 Ruse cross boundary target population Urban Total 3191 189870 2346 - Male 1602 91679 1142 - Female 1589 98191 1204 - Rural Total 8641 61366 10633 4447 6390 Male 4204 30135 5255 2156 3175 Female 4437 31231 5378 2291 3215 Population evolution in studied areas Evolutia populatiei in zona transfrontaliera Ruse 300000 250000 200000 2004 populatie 150000 2005 100000 2006 2008 50000 2007 2008 2006 an 2004 Tsenovo Borovo Ivanovo Ruse Slivo Pole 0 localitatate Figure 21 cross boundary area population evolution 47 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU As mentioned in the Demography chapter same population trends can be easily observed in the studied area, the values are compared with 2004 population Slivo year Pole Ruse 2004 1.35% 0.90% 2005 1.28% 0.59% 2006 1.10% 0.90% 2007 2.11% 0.70% 2008 Table 37 Disaster affected population evolution trends Ivanovo Borovo Tsenovo 1.98% 2.45% 0.32% 2.62% 1.85% 1.58% 1.74% 2.75% 3.29% 2.41% 3.14% 3.75% According to statistical data can be concluded that flood did not affected the population number in studied areas. Defining flood sources in studied area Two types of sources have been identified as mentioned earlyer: - Inner rivers flood affected population from inner rivers - Danube river flood affected population from Danube river 1. Danube river The Danube River Basin is the second largest river basin of Europe, covering 801 463 km2 and territories of 18 countries (see Table 1). The Danube flows 2780-km from west to east. Its catchments area stretches from 8° 09’ at the source of the rivers Breg and Brigach in the Black Forest up to 29° 45’ eastern longitude in the Danube delta at the Black Sea. Its southernmost point is at 42° 05’ northern latitude in the source area of Iskar river in the Rila mountain and its northernmost point at 50° 15’ in the Morava/March source area. The Danube has an average discharge of 6550 m3/sec at its mouth in the Danube delta. Some of its largest tributaries are characterised below. Their key hydrologic characteristics are listed in Table 2. The Danube River Basin is bordered by that of the Rhine tributaries in the west; the Weser, Labe/Elbe, Odra/Oder and Vistula River Basins in the north, the Dnister River Basin in the northeast, and the basins of the rivers flowing into the Adriatic and Aegean Sea in the south. The water divide separating the Danube River Basin from Adriatic basins runs through the Dinaric karst, which brings some uncertainty into the definition of surface and subsurface basin limits. The situation is similar between the upper Danube and the Rhine. Thus, flood conditions of neighbouring basins are often similar. Most attention is given to floods in lowland plains; however, flash floods and torrential floods of small streams have even higher damage potential. The valleys of the Central Alps, the peripheral mountains, the Carpathians and Dinarians, belong to regions with such type of risks, combined with debris and mud flows. Due to climatic and morphologic conditions ice jam floods may also occur along the Danube and its tributaries in the Carpathian basin. Climatic conditions of the DRB are influenced by their position in the moderate climatic zone of the northern hemisphere, with regular alternating of the seasons of the year. Due to the elongated shape of the DRB in the west–east direction the climatic conditions are variable. In the main contributing areas, the Alpine and Carpathian regions, complicated orographic structure has the most significant impact on climatic variables. Differences extend from the upper 48 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Danube with high Atlantic influence to the eastern territories affected by continental climate. South of the Alps and in the Middle Danube basin, especially in the Drava and Sava basins, the climate is influenced by the Mediterranean. Interaction of the above-mentioned effects can trigger floods in the Carpathian basin in any period of the year. The range of fluctuation of mean monthly air temperatures between the warmest and coldest months increases from the upper Danube basin with 20-21 °C to the confined Carpathian basin with 22-24 °C and to the lower Danube reaches with 26 °C. Average annual air temperature within the basin ranges from -6.2 to 12 °C. The lowest value originates from the Alpine summits, the highest mean annual temperature was observed at the Black Sea coast. In the entire DRB July is the warmest month, January the coldest. Winter usually lasts from December to February. The summer is usually hot and lasts from about June to August. The absolute range of recorded temperatures covers -41 °C to 45 °C. The hydrological regime, especially the runoff conditions of the Danube, is substantially influenced by precipitation. Average annual precipitation fluctuates within the range of above 3000 mm in high mountains to 400 mm in the delta region. In upper Danube regions, precipitation fluctuates between more than 2000 mm in the upland areas of the Alps and up to 600-700 mm at mid-altitude. However, the actual figures can deviate drastically from the long-term mean values. There has been recorded daily precipitation of more than 260 mm at the upper Danube. The catchments of Central Danube regions are characterised by similar range. Annual precipitation varies from just above 500 mm in the Middle Tisza region to above 2000 mm in the high mountains. Contributing areas of the upper Drava and Sava in the Julian Alps and in the Kupa spring region have the highest value of up to 3800 mm. In the plains of the Lower Danube the precipitation is only 500-600 mm, though the lowest annual values are below 400 mm. The number of days with snow cover, the duration and snow height increase with the altitude. The Alpine valleys have an average of less than 60 days while at elevations above 3000 m this is of more than 190 days. The shortest duration of snow cover (~10 days) is at the Black Sea coast. The snow cover lasts for only 20-30 days in the Hungarian Plains, 40-60 days in the upper Danube basin, the mean proportion in the total annual precipitation being 10%-15%. In the Alpine foothills and in high regions of mid-mountains the snow cover lasts more than 100 days (20% to 30% of precipitation falls in the form of snow). The snow cover remains for more than four months in the highest regions of the Alps (above 1500 m a.m.sl.). The snow cover stays relatively longer in the Carpathians, more than 300 days in a year just above 2000 m. The upstream portion of the Danube river has a regime characterized by two distinct seasons: high-water season and low-water season. All the way to the mouth of the Morava/March the Danube river belongs to the glacial type, with maximum monthly discharge in July and minimum in winter months (January-February). Discharges down to the Tisza mouth are still under the dominant influence of the glacial regime. However, further downstream the river Danube discharge regime is changing, especially downstream from larger tributaries, such as Tisza and Sava rivers. Thus, the histogram of monthly discharges on the Lower Danube is similar to those on the lower Sava and Drina rivers, with two maximums during the year. Low discharges on the Danube River appear during early autumn (September- October). According to recent results in hydrological and climate modelling, both the probability and the extent of extreme drought events during summers and extreme rain events during winters are expected to increase. This applies also to the Danube River Basin and has therefore to be considered in future flood action plans. Through many centuries records of the occurrences of floods have been kept along the Danube Valley. The most famous among these is the 1501 flood of the upper Danube, thought to be the 49 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU largest summer flood of the last millennium, causing extensive devastation down to Vienna, and presumably, its impact was extreme downstream as far as the Danube Bend at Visegrád. Among the ice jam-induced floods, that of 1838 has historical significance; it devastated several settlements from Esztergom to Vukovar, including the towns Pest, Óbuda and the lower parts of Buda on the territory of today’s Hungarian capital. During the last century characteristic years when maximum flood levels occurred: 1902, 1924, 1926, 1940, 1941, 1942, 1944, 1954, 1965, 1970, 1974, 1991, and 2002. Table 2 shows numerical values of maximum yearly discharges with 1% probability for mouth sections of the Danube and main tributaries. On the upper Danube the tributaries from the German low-range mountains with a stable flow and no steep incline have relatively little influence on the river Danube as compared to the rivers from the Alps: rivers Altmühl, Naab and Regen. The tributaries Iller, Lech, Isar and Inn on the right bank were regulated from about 1840-1930. Along about one third of the regulated length of the river, dams were built from 1880-1970. Since 1890, numerous hydroelectric power plants were constructed along these rivers. At the river Isar, the furthest-reaching flood control system was established for one of the larger tributaries along the Danube in Germany through regulations, flood dikes and the Sylvenstein reservoir. A system of discharges, redirection and hydroelectric power plants are in place to make use of the runoff of the river Isar. The Inn is the third largest by discharge and the seventh longest Danube tributary. At its mouth in Passau it brings more water into the Danube than the latter itself. However, its catchment area of 26,130 km2 is only nearly half as big as that of the Danube at this point. The main tributary of the Inn is the Salzach River. The Inn often dominates not only the mean flow but also the flood discharge regime of the Danube. The river system is highly regulated. The Austrian Danube with its main tributaries the Traun and Enns, due to the coincidence with the Inn or upper Danube floods, are the source of major flood events at lower reaches. Flooding is mostly limited to narrow valleys of the tributaries or limited floodplains along the main river. The system of barrages has no direct influence on the flood regime of the Danube; however, it causes acceleration of the propagation of flood waves. The Morava/March river is a left-hand tributary of the Danube. Its catchment area extends to 26,658 km2 and covers parts of the Czech Republic, Slovakia and Austria. Floods originate during various precipitation situations. The upper parts of the catchments play the most significant role in the floods; however, the floods may originate also in other parts of the catchment. The Pannonian Central Danube, extending from the foothills of the Alps to the divide between the Danube and Tisza rivers, consists of hilly country in Transdanubia, Hungary. There is only one significant river (the Raab/Rába) and a few natural creeks on the territory; more important is the large system of drainage and irrigation canals, which are controlled by pumping stations at the periphery. Flood embankments protect from inundation floodplains of the Danube and tributaries in the Vienna basin, Žitny Ostrov and the Danube Lowland (Podunajská nížina) in Slovakia on the left bank and along the Hungarian (Pannonian) Lowlands in Hungary, Croatia and Serbia down to the Sava mouth. Downstream of Bratislava (river km 1,868) to 1,811 km is the Gabčíkovo barrage system. Downstream of the weir Čunovo (river km 1,851.1) the floodwater is divided between the power canal and the 40-km-long old Danube channel. Thus, operation of the Gabčíkovo hydraulic structures enables transformation of flood waves in the Danube River. Natural floodplains, protected wetlands and Ramsar-sites such as Gemenc in Hungary and the Kopački Rit in Croatia have certain importance in flood protection schemes. Among the Slovak tributaries the Váh river is a left-hand tributary of the Danube, which enters it at river kilometre 1,766. The Váh River Basin lies in the north and west part of Slovakia. Reservoirs of the Váh River Basin water management system can effectively transform the peak 50 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU discharges of floods. In case of the coincidence of floods on the Danube and the Váh, the tributary Váh may have some influence on flood conditions of the Danube downstream of the Váh mouth. The Hron and Ipel’/Ipoly rivers have no significant influence on the Danube’s flood conditions, but their valleys are in danger of floods. The Drau/Drava is the fourth largest and fourth longest Danube tributary. It rises in the Southern Alps in Italy but is the dominant river of southern Austria, eastern Slovenia, southern Hungary and northern Croatia. Main sub-tributaries are Isel, Möll, Lieser and Gurk, in Austria and the Mur/Mura with its mouth at the Croatian-Hungarian border. The flood protection scheme upstream of the Mura’s mouth is interrelated with the chain of 22 hydropower plants, barrages and reservoirs in Austria, Slovenia and Croatia. Downstream from the mouth of Mura, flood protection is based on the system of flood embankments. During the last century large floods occured in 1964, 1965, 1966 and 1972. The Tysa/Tisza/Tisa River Basin is the largest sub-basin in the Danube River Basin (157,186 km2). It can be divided into three main parts: - the mountainous upper Tysa/Tisa in Ukraine and Romania (upstream of the UkrainianHungarian border), - the Middle Tisza in Hungary (receiving the largest tributaries: Bodrog river and Slaná/Sajó river collecting water from the Carpathian Mountains in Slovakia and Ukraine, as well as the Somes/Szamos river, the Crisul/Körös River System and Mures/Maros river draining Transylvania in Romania), and - the Lower Tisa (downstream of the Hungarian-Serbian border, where it receives the Bega/Begej directly, and other tributaries indirectly through the Danube – Tisza – Danube Canal System). The Tysa/Tisza/Tisa River is also the longest tributary (966 km). Europe’s largest flood defence network was created in the region with regulation of rivers, construction of flood embankments and flood walls, system of drainage canals, pumping stations and designated flood detention reservoirs (polders) completing the system. The Sava River is the largest Danube tributary by discharge (average 1,564 m3/sec) and the second largest by catchment area (95,419 km2). It rises in the western Slovenian Alps and passes through the Croatian lowland before forming the border between Croatia and Bosnia- Herzegovina. Continuing through Serbia-Montenegro it reaches its confluence with the Danube in Belgrade. Its main sub-tributaries are Krka, Kolpa/Kupa, Una, Vrbas, Bosna, Drina and Kolubara. Currently the flood protection in most parts of the Middle and Lower Sava basin relies on flood protection embankments, as well as on natural retention areas. The natural detention and retention area, the Lonjsko Polje (approx. 500 km2) in Croatia, is a nature park of European importance. During the last century large floods occured on the Sava in 1933, 1964, 1966, 1990 and 1998. Timis/Tamis and other small tributaries of Banat and Eastern Serbia have limited floodplains protected by flood embankments. The Velika Morava river is the last which still has an influence on the hydrological regime of the main river. An extensive 1,181km length of flood embankments protects the floodplains of the river system. The Iskar is the largest Danube tributary on Bulgarian territory. It springs from the Rila mountain, flows through the outskirts of Sofia, crosses the Balkan Mountains and continues its 368 km course to the Danube. Its catchment area is 8,684 km2. Floodplains are limited due to narrow valleys and high Danube banks. Muntenian rivers Jiu, Olt, Arges, Ialomnita have a flood regime originating from the Southern Carpathians. An extensive system of reservoirs serving primarily water supply and power generation has an impact on the propagation of floods. Lower sections are protected by flood embankments. 51 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU The Siret River Basin has the third largest catchment area and is situated to the east of the Carpathians. Its source lies in Ukraine and it flows through the territory of Ukraine and Romania. Its main subtributaries are Suceava, Moldova, Bistrita, Trotus, Barlad and Buzau. The Prut river is the second longest (950 km) and the last tributary of the Danube, with its mouth just upstream of the Danube Delta. Its source is in the Ukrainian Wood Carpathians. Later it forms the border between Romania and Moldova. Main sub-tributaries are Ceremosh, Derelui, Volovat, Baseu, Corogea, Jijia, Chineja, Ciugur and Lapusna. Floods occur every season. Although the volumes of the spring floods caused by snowmelt dominate the annual flow regime, rainfallinduced floods usually exceed the spring flood level. The river water level is steadier in autumn though significant floods may occur quite often. Some of the most dangerous floods have been those of 1911, 1913, 1932, 1941, 1948, 1949, 1955, 1969, 1973, 1980 and 1998, developing in autumn and spring, and rarely in winter. March is the month of most dangerous floods, because of the snowmelt and abundant precipitation. The Danube delta is mainly situated in Romania and partly in Ukraine. The entire protected area covers 6,790 km2 including floodplains and marine areas. Flood regime is governed by attenuated floods of the Danube. 52 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Yearly are carried out a number of about 25000 - 26000 physical - chemical, biological, microbiological and radioactivity analyses. 53 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU The monitoring program of the Danube River, named Transnational Monitoring Network (TNMN) includes: 78 control sections, 12 sampling frequencies and 52 quality parameters 54 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU The Danube River Basin can - based on its gradients - be divided into three sub-regions: the upper basin, the middle basin, and the lower basin (including the Danube Delta). Upper Basin The Upper Danube has a rapid current of between 8 and 9 km/hour, due to the pronounced gradient of the river bed. Its tributaries bring flow from the northern side of the Alps as wel as out of the southern side of the Central European Highlands. Depths vary from 1 to 8 metres. Middle Basin In its middle reaches, the Danube looks more like a flatbed river, with around half the speed of the Upper Danube, with low banks and a bed that reaches a width of more than 1.5 km. Only in two stretches - at Visegrad (Hungary) and at the Iron Gates - does the river flow through narrow, canyon-like gorges. The Danube enters the Little Alföld Plain immediately after emerging from the Hungarian Gates Gorge near Bratislava. There the river slows down abruptly and loses its transporting capacity, leading to the deposition of enormous quantities of gravel and sand on the riverbed. This deposition has formed two large islands, one on the Slovakian side of the river and the other on the Hungarian side, which have a combined area of about 1,869 km², and are home to some 190,000 inhabitants in more than 100 settlements. The Danube then flows past Budapest and across the vast Great Alföld Plain until it reaches the Iron Gate Gorge. The riverbed is shallow and marshy, and low terraces stretch along both banks. Deposition has formed a large number of islands along these reaches, including Csepel Island near Budapest. In this stretch the Danube is joined by the waters of three major tributaries - the Drava, the Tisza and the Sava - which nearly triples its flow. Lower Basin Beyond the Iron Gates, the Lower Danube flows across a wide plain; the river becomes shallower and broader, with several major islands, and the current slows down considerably. The tributaries 55 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU that enter the main river along this section, including the Iskar, the Olt, the Yantra, the Siret and the Prut are comparatively small and account for only a modest increase in the total flow rate. The river finally divides into three main branches near Tulcea in Romania, some 80 km from the sea, forming a delta extending over an area of about 6,500 km². Maximum Danube flow 1954 is a banner year for upper basin of the Danube and medium: 10200 m3 / s at Krems (GermanAustrian border), 10,401 m3 / s in Bratislava (Slovak border austriaco-), 6811 m 3 / s at Mohacs ( ungaro-Serbian border), 10,360 m3 / s from Veliko Gradiste (Serbo-Romanian border) and 10,150 m3 / s at Fog Ismail (Delta). City, parish, village GIURGIU BANEASA GOSTINU OINACU Affected item No. of houses: - damaged - wrecked - in dander of falling - dependencies no - socio – economic objectives - other - bridges - km DN - km DJ-DC- 0,1 - km streets-0,1 - ha cultivated agricultural land -145 - km water and sewage network - no wells - nr. Hydro technical constr. - km electrical network - km telephony network - ha pinery- 47,9 - buc. Damaged trees-29938 - mc wood- 360 - ha cultivated agricultural land 222,5 - ha agricultural land -208,0 - ha cultivated agricultural land -195 - ha agricultural land -600 - km water and sewage network - ha pinery - 35,9 - Damaged trees -22438 - mc wood - 1268 - ha cultivated agricultural land -535 ha agricultural land -400 ha pinery - 92,4 buc Damaged trees -57750 mc wood- 169,3 56 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L City, parish, village PRUNDU Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Affected item - ha pinery - 6,3 - Damaged trees -3938 - mc wood - 537 GREACA SLOBOZIA MALU VEDEA GAUJANI TOTAL - ha pinery - 9,5 - Damaged trees -5938 - mc wood- 603 - ha cultivated agricultural land -271 - ha agricultural land -70 - ha pisciculture-140 - ha pinery - 25,1 - Damaged trees -15687 - mc wood- 1866 - ha cultivated agricultural land -40 - ha agricultural land -60 - ha pinery - 11,9 - buc. Damaged trees -7437 - mc wood- 473 - ha cultivated agricultural land -100 - ha agricultural land - ha pinery - 31 - buc. Damaged trees - 19375 - mc wood- 390 - ha cultivated agricultural land -40 - ha pinery - 15,6 - buc. Damaged trees -9750 - mc wood- 180 - ha pinery - 11,9 - Damaged trees -7437 Nr. case din care: - damaged - wrecked -8 - in danger of falling - dependencies no -3 - ha cultivated agricultural land 1548,5 - ha agricultural land -1338 - ha pisciculture-140 - ha pinery - 275,6 - Damaged trees -172251 - mc wood- 5846,3 Table 38 Flood affected 2.1. Bulgaria, hydrographic network and Danube’ s tributaries. Following the principle of river basin management in the country stipulated in the Water Act, 57 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU four river basin districts have been established in the country. They are as follows: Danube River Basin District with headquarters in the town of Pleven; Black Sea River Basin District with headquarters in the city of Varna; East Aegean Sea River Basin District with headquarters in the city of Plovdiv, and West Aegean Sea River Basin District with headquarters in the town of Blagoevgrad. Figure 22 Bulgaria’s drainage area zones Danube River Basin District with headquarters in the town of Pleven The Danube River Basin District covers 45 % of the territory of Bulgaria and the predominant part of Northern Bulgaria. An exception is the River Iskar, which originates in the Rila mountain and gets water from the mountains of Vitosha, Plana, Lozenska Planina, Lyulin, the southern slopes of the Balkan, between the Petrohan and Vitinya passes, crosses the Balkan through the Iskar gorge and has tributaries from the northern slopes of the Balkan. The network of Nishava River with its tributaries is located to the south of the Balkan’s ridge The Danube River Basin District includes two main morphological and structural units: the Danube plain, characterized by lowland and hilly-plateau relief and the northern slopes of the Balkan mountain chain which is divided into two parts: Pre-Balkan and Main Balkan Chain. 58 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU The main mountain chain has an average altitude of 900 m., and the Pre-Balkan – 384 m. Figure 23 Danube river basin As required by the WFD and encouraged by the ICPDR Bulgaria was among the countries in the International Danube River Basin District which undertook extensive coordination activities for common transboundary water bodies. One common water body with Romania along the Danube river has been identified i.e. rkm 845,5-375,5. It falls into the category “river” and is provisionally identified as a heavily modified water body following the criteria described in Directive. River basin district WB Category Total number Costal water River Lake HMWB AWB River Lake River Lake Danube 236 0 160 0 35 28 0 13 Table 39 Water body number in Danube basin Danube’s tributaries are : Basin Ogosta – Basin Yantra – Basin Iskar Basin Vit Basin Osam Basin Rusenski Lom From witch Yantra si Ruseski Lom are situated in Ruse region. The total number of significant morphological alterations in the Danube River Basin District is 214. Hydroelectric dams - 53 Wiers >30cm. - 70 Flood defense dyke- 76 Number of water supply reservoir - 15 but 5 of them are for drinking water (human consumption). 59 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU 2.2 Romania, hydrographic network and Danube’s tributaries Giurgiu County corresponding hydrographic basin is Arges – Vedea Basin composed of three basins: Arges river basin The Arges River Basin is located in the Southern part of Romania and delimitated to the North by the Fagaras Mountains and to the South by the Danube River. The Arges River Basin is bordered with the Olt River Basin in the North and West, the Vedea River Basin in the West and the Ialomita River Basin in the East. The basin is elongated in shape and oriented from NorthWest to SouthEast. The Arges River Basin is a very well populated (over 3,3 million inhabitants in urban and rural areas) and economically developed (industry, agriculture, forestry and natural resources) region in the country. The Arges River Basin is one of the most important hydrographic territories in Romania due to its very high potential for hydropower generation and water supply (for industrial, irrigation and population uses, including the Bucuresti Capital City that lays within the basin). The Arges River Basin is one of the best-equipped river basins in the country with a large number of reservoirs for power generation, flood control and water supply, river derivations for basinal and inter-basinal water transfer, river regulation works and flood protection works, intakes, and others. The Arges River Basin is administrated from water management point of view by the Arges-Vedea Territorial Water Branch of the National Authority “Apele Române”. Hydrography – water sources-resources and river network Water sources and resources Water resources found in the Arges River Basin are large, sufficient for the main users in the region, but non-uniformly distributed in time and space. The main water sources in the Arges River Basin are surface waters, represented by rivers and storage lakes (reservoirs) and groundwaters (phreatic and deep waters). The total theoretical water resources in the Arges River Basin are evaluated at 2656 million m3 (out of wich 1960 million m3 originate from surface waters and 696 million m3 from groundwater). About 85.5% from these theoretical resources are utilisable from technical point of view (2271 million m3 out of which 1671 million m3 originate from rivers, lakes and reservoirs and 600 million m3 from groundwater) The level of utilisation of water resources in the basin is high, about 600 m3/capita.annum from surface waters only. About 77% of the surface waters from the basin are of the 1st quality category, 15% of the 2nd category, 6% of the 3rd category and only 2% are degraded (in 2000). Arges River network The Arges River is an important inland river that springs in the Fagaras Mountains (with two headstreams, namely the Capra and Buda small rivers), flows in the southern direction crossing the hill area, the high- and low-lying plains, and finally discharges into the Danube River near the Oltenita City, south of Bucuresti. The Arges River is 340 km-long and has a total reception area of 12,550 km2. The main tributaries of the Arges River are the Vâlsan, R. Doamnei, R. Târgului and Dâmbovita rivers on the left side of the basin, and the Neajlov river on the right side of the basin. The Dâmbovita River flows through Bucuresti Capital City in a lined canal that was completed in 1987-1989. The river network in the Arges River Basin comprises a large number of rivers, with a total length of 4579 km (5.8% from the total length of inland rivers in the country), as summarized in Table 60 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU River Length (km) Reception area (km2) Note Arges 340 12550 flows through Pitesti Vâlsan 79 348 R. Doamnei 107 1836 R. Târgului 72 1096 Carcinov 43 184 Neajlov 186 3720 Dâmbovnic 110 639 Calnistea 112 1748 Glavacioc 120 682 Sabar 174 1346 Dâmbovita 286 2824 flows through Bucuresti The river network density is 0.36 km/km2 in average and the maximum density is over 1.40 km/km2; it varies from 0.67 km/km2 in the upper part, to 0.51 km/km2 in the middle part, and to 0.30 km/km2 in the lower part of the basin. The river slope ranges from 10% in the mountain areas, to 1-0.4% in the hill areas and to less than 0.1% in the plain areas. A 28 km-long derivation network (tunnels, galleries and open canals) is actually in function in the Arges River Basin. The main multipurpose reservoirs that were completed in the Arges River Basin are given in Table 3. The Vidraru is the largest reservoir in the basin, completed in 1965 at 465 million m3 capacity, for hydropower generation. Below Vidraru Dam a cascade of nine reservoirs was completed along the Upper Arges River, mainly for power generation and water supply (industrial, irrigation and domestic use). Other large reservoirs in the basin are Pecineagu (69 million m3) and Vacaresti (54.1 million m3) in the Dâmbovita River and Râusor (60 million m3) in the Târgului River. The Ogrezeni reservoir was completed in the Lower Arges River in 1997 for water supply to Bucuresti while for its flood protection the Lacul Morii reservoir in the Dâmbovita River was built up in 1987 Reservoir Dam Reservoir Dam River Capacity (mil m3) Surface Purpose (ha) Type Height Year (m) Vidraru Arges 465 1000 PG A 166 Oiesti Arges 1.8 42 PG G, E 20 1967 Cerbureni Arges 1.65 35 PG G, E 18 1968 Curtea de Arges Arges 1.1 26 PG G, E 19 1970 Zigoneni Arges 13.3 165 WS,PG G, E 29 1973 Vâlcele Arges 54.8 640 WS,PG,FC,I G, E 35 1975 Budeasa Arges 54.9 643 WS,PG,FC,I G, E 33 1978 Bascov Arges 5.1 140 WS,PG,I G, E 21 1970 Prundu- Arges 4.5 141 WS,PG,FC,I G, E 20 1971 1965 61 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Pitesti Golesti Arges 78.5 680 WS,PG,FC,I G, E 32 1983 Zavoiu Orbului Arges 16.1 280 FC,I G, E 20 1988 Ogrezeni Arges 7.6 241 WS,FC,I G, E 13 1997 Maracineni Doamnei 38.5 380 PG,FC G, E 20 1982 Baciu Doamnei 0.68 5.8 PG A 34 1966 Vâlsan Vâlsan 0.18 1.5 PG A 24 1966 Pecineagu Dâmbovita 69 182 WS,PG,I E 105 1984 Lacul Morii Dâmbovita 19.41 246 FC,I,R G, E 15 1987 Vacaresti Dâmbovita 54.1 730 WS,PG,FC,I MB, E 1989 Satic Speriata Dâmbovita 0.1 18 PG G, E 19 Râusor Târgului 190 WS,PG,I E 60 26 120 1987 Main reservoirs in the Arges River Basin Reservoir purpose: FC – flood control PG – power generation WS – water supply I – irrigation F – fishing R – recreation Dam type: A – arch G – gravity E – earth R – rockfill MB – mobile barrage 62 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Figure 24 Spatiul hidrografic Arges -Vedea Major disaster analysis in Bulgaria. At the end of May and beginning of June 2005, the Republic of Bulgaria experienced severe floods after torrential rainfalls, causing infrastructural damages to roads and bridges as well as to agriculture. From just starting to recover from the heavy flooding, continuous and heavy rains have been falling ever since the beginning of July reaching up to 106 litres per square meters within a 63 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU few days. As a result the rivers Yantra, Kamchia, Russenski Lom and their subsidiary streams in the Northeast and Central part of Bulgaria, increased their level and overflowed their riverbeds. Bulgaria has a population of 7.974.000 inhabitants with 68.4% of people living in urban areas (census,2001) with Sofia as the capital. The country covers 110993.6 km2 and consists mainly of mountainousterrain with lowlands in the North and Southeast. The Yantra, Kamchia, Russenski Lom rivers and their subsidiary streams flooded with damage to 264.462 decar1 of cultivable land. More than 100 villages and about 30 municipalities of the following eight regions were affected by the flooding: Targovishte, Rousse (bordering Romania), Velico Tarnovo, Stara Zagora, Haskovo, Pazardzik, Shoumen and Bourgas and some municipalities of the Vratza, Silistra and Lovech regions. About 45.000 people were affected by the flooding; of which an estimated 10.000 people directly affected and almost 6.000 people were evacuated from their houses No deaths have been reported. No major outbreaks have been reported to date. Only minor injuries mainly due to the clean-up have been reported. Table 40 Situation of affected areas The overflowing rivers flooded the fields and many houses. Around 30 municipalities suffered the most severe infrastructure damage, including to bridges, and suffered heavy damages to their railways. The main impact of the flooding has been on infrastructure and agriculture, which accounted for the biggest losses and had repercussions on the general economy of the area. According to the State Agency of Civil Protection, the damage in country due to floods is estimated to be approximately 150 million leva (approx. 75 million Euros) and the country has appealed to the EU for major capital investment. An estimated 3.500 houses (public and private) have been completely or partially damaged (Annex 1) and people moved to temporary shelters, mostly in schools and host families. Many of them do not even have the most basic of items. No major damage is reported of the health facilities and schools. Landslides have occurred in several regions undermining bridges and asphalt cover of local and regional roads. The railway lines connecting Sofia with the north of the country -Targovishte and Shoumen – were flooded and trains were out of action in several locations hampering accessibility to the affected areas. The most significant damage affected agricultural production in rural villages. Cultivated lands that 64 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU normally provide basic food items for families were also flooded and contaminated by septic pits. The resulting economic losses affected a wider population than just those directly exposed to the flood waters leaving people in a very difficult situation, especially vulnerable groups. National response A State of emergency was declared in the affected areas of the country. The Government established an intersectoral Coordination Committee at a central level, headed by the Minister without Portfolio. The Civil Protection regional units were mobilized and activated local networks. The regions and municipal coordination committees were headed by the respective mayors, and involved all relevant municipal and regional institutions and sectors, including the public health officials. They were assisted by the Bulgarian Red Cross Emergency Response teams at regional and municipal level. The unaffected municipalities placed their human and material resources at the disposal of the affected areas. The Ministry of Health (MoH) responded promptly from the beginning of the flooding at central level with its Directorate of Defence and Mobilization Preparedness, the National Medical Coordination Center and at regional level in the affected areas with its Regional Inspectorates for Public Health Protection (RIPHP)2 and the Regional Health Centers, in coordination with other governmental bodies, in particular the State Agency for Civil Protection and its regional branches. Immediate assessment and urgent rescue and search activities were conducted by the State Agency for Civil Protection, together with the health authorities and other government and private stakeholders in the main affected areas. Socio economic analysis of flood and the impact on life quality The majority of the rural villages have only a one-system approach to canalisation for sewage and irrigation and drainage purposes. Local inhabitants interviewed have stressed that the canalisation systems are apparently not maintained effectively and in respect to health the issue of single canalisation as opposed to dual would appear to exacerbate the risk of flooding with sewerage. Lack of maintenance of the river beds is a further problem in these regions and may have lead to increased flooding and again a single sewerage/drainage system may have received less attention Figure 25 River bed In a flooding situation, the following are the areas that can impact health and need to be assessed: - Water 65 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU - Sanitation and Hygiene - Vector Control - Epidemiological surveillance and basic health care - Chemical Hazards - Food - Public Awareness Water In the affected areas, the water supply came from 3 places; town water supply network, community networks from springs and shallow wells in private houses. The majority of rural villages are receiving water from community networks and from the town supply. Exact figures of those receiving water from networks and those from shallow wells of private houses could not be ascertained, during the period of the assessment, but generally it was stated that most of the houses were connected to water supply network systems. Noting the damage to the houses, the physical integrity of the water supply network should be verified to avoid cross contamination. Even if the water supply was not disrupted, the wells in private houses were largely contaminated by sewage water coming out of the tanks of external toilets in the flooded rural areas and because of the rise of underground water The population was warned by the local authorities about the risk of possible water contamination and advised to use only mineral water, which was another burden on the very limited income of rural families. Nevertheless, several people interviewed informed us that they were continuing to drink the water from the tap at home and an increased of water born diseases could be expected. Hyper chlorination of the town water supply network is regularly conducted as well as sampling (three times a day). Hyper chlorination also took place in villages with community networks; this was complemented by an offer of the RIPHP to instruct the village leaders in the importance of chlorinating their reservoirs. Sanitation and hygiene Water waste disposal (sewerage and drainage canalization systems) In the towns sewerage flow into underground canalisation systems which then travels into open canalisation trenches outside of the towns and then into the rivers. In the majority of the affected rural villages there is no system for sewage disposal. Sewage systems flow into open canals and latrines. No sewage treatment exists. In the villages latrines both open and closed septic pits are used. The majority of them were flooded, dependent on their level. Solid waste disposal Waste collection services have been continuing a normal service. Villages have less structured methods of waste collection. During the flooding period, waste and damaged furniture were moved to landfill sites which were not affected. In Rousse region, the Civil Protection has mobilized several water pumps from the Montana region. At the time of the assessment, the majority of the houses and the streets had almost dried up and the first phase of disinfection had been carried out. 66 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Communities are complaining of rats, snakes, frogs and insects in the gardens surrounding the houses. As the dampness in flooded houses may stay for weeks, mould may be a problem in the near future and disinfection activities should be continued. A shortage of disinfectants was identified both at regional and community level. A large supply of these is among the items listed in the appeal launched from the State Civil Protection to international partners. During this period waste and damaged furniture were moved to landfills, which were not affected. Teams consisting of the regional Civil Protection units have been mobilized and assisted by the Red Cross Emergency Response Teams. The unaffected municipalities have also put their human and material resources at the disposal of the affected areas. Vector control Mosquitoes are widely spread in the rural areas affected by the flooding. Flooding may force breeding into less usual grounds, such as water tanks in houses and pooled flood water around houses. Malaria was eradicated in the 1965s in Bulgaria. Since than only imported malaria cases have been reported. Rotting vegetation in the fields that were flooded is beginning to smell and is already forming breeding grounds for insects and possible illness in grazing animals that may eat them. In addition the weather remains dull and wet currently providing a good environment for propagation of mosquitoes and insects. Dead animals and rotting vegetation are becoming new breeding grounds for insects Epidemiological surveillance and basic health care A protocol for the daily routine collection of epidemiological data exists at regional and community level. A communicable disease surveillance system is in place. No outbreaks or any significant variation of the trend of communicable diseases and especially water born diseases has been reported in recent months or during and after the floods. Epidemiological data of the last three months provided at regional level by the RIPHP of Rousse region have been reviewed and compared with the same months in 2004: no significant variations have been observed. The RIPHP of both regions are aware of the potential risk for communicable diseases with a short incubation period, including Hepatitis A. The absence of any outbreak or increased cases of communicable diseases at the moment should not minimise the potential threat of an epidemic, therefore close monitoring of the public health situation of the affected areas should be continued. The reporting of suspected cases of communicable diseases has been done through direct phone calls to RIPHP and/or fast notification report by the medical practitioners in the villages on a daily basis, based on clinical diagnosis, and not waiting for confirmation from laboratories following notification. This method is allowing for identification of trends of epidemics. The RIPHP will continue monitoring the trend of communicable diseases and extra vigilance of population toward short incubation period diseases will continue for several months in the affected areas. 67 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Chemical hazard No industries that may use chemicals agents were present in the affected or neighbouring areas. Pesticide and fertiliser use is occurring in the area due to its agricultural nature. From the interviews, it appeared that huge quantities of pesticides are not generally stored at home or farm level, and are only bought when needed. Food Food has not been a problem as yet, although family food storage kept in basements was flooded. Possible mould growth on stored foods, either as a result of the floods or the dampness may occur Public information In the villages that are receiving water from the community supply network systems the risk of contaminated water was not perceived as an issue by the population as they received water from underground water sources. Even if the population was warned by the local authorities about the risk of possible water contamination and advised to use only mineral water, several people interviewed informed us that they were continuing to drink the water from the tap at home. Major destructive events in Romania 1.1 Meteorological characteristics of 2005 Year 2005 was characterized by a lower heat in the country with 0.10 C than normal climate in the reference period (1961-1990). Approaching normal values was due to the fact that during the heat of the country was characterized by positive deviations between 0.2-2.40C in six months of the year (January, May, July-September, December) and presented lower values with 0.3 - 2.60C in the other six months of the year: February to April, June, October, November Throughout the country in 2005 the average rainfall was 866.5 mm (from the normal climatological-647.0 mm). Quantities of precipitation, in excess of the months January to May, July-September, December and the poor in the months of June, October, November have made the annual pluviometric present a surplus of 33.9%, compared to the reference period In January the heat was above normal values almost throughout the country, only in isolated mountainous area it was close to normal values. Pluviometric regime was surplus in the north, central, south-east and mostly south of the country. In limited areas of the country's west and east, precipitation was below normal values, and the rest of the territory were included in the normal. In February the heat was below normal values, and the surplus was pluviometric. During the month, throughout the country to maintain a consistent layer of snow. It was outdated the largest amount of monthly rainfall for the month of February, the weather stations located in the south and south-eastern country. Was also exceed the maximum quantity of rainfall fell in 24 hours, meteorological stations in Baia Mare (37.8 mm) and Adamclisi (23.5 mm). 68 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU In March, the heat was below normal values in the northwest, west and center of the country, and was otherwise close to normal values for this month. It was outdated the largest amount of rainfall of the month in March, the weather stations Bailesti (118.2 mm) and Cuntu (130.9 mm). Maximum amount of rainfall fell in 24 hours has been exceeded at meteorological stations: Bailesti (102.4 mm), Bucin (36.8 mm), Rosia Montana (22.6 mm), Sannicolau Sea (24.2 mm), Syria (30.5 mm). April, in the heat was close to the normale.Regimul pluviometric was odd in Maramures, Crisana, Banat, Transylvania and the northern Moldavia and Dobrogea, Muntenia and lacking in normal in the rest of the territory. It was outdated the largest amount of rainfall of the month in April, precipitation exceeds 200 mm fallen from weather stations: Oravita (226.4 mm) Resita (205.3 mm), Lugoj (201.2 mm), Caransebes (200.6 mm) - in Banat and moldova at Radauti (125.6 mm). It was outdated the maximum cumulated rainfall in 24 hours for the April weather stations: Resita (79.2 mm), Caransebes (67.6 mm), Bozovici (66.4 mm), Timisoara (63.0 mm), etc.. In May temperatures were close to normal values in the south and east of the country and have exceeded the normal climate in most regions of central and west. Pluviometric regime was odd in Moldova, Muntenia, Oltenia southeast, south-eastern Transylvania, lacking in most of the country's northwest and Dobrogea, and otherwise normal. It was outdated the largest amount of rainfall of May, the weather station: PENTELEU (159.9 mm) and Slatina (162.3 mm). Precipitation fallen in 12 hours from items recorded in pluviometric: Halos-Casin (218 l / m²), Dofteana (184 l / mp) and Magura (170 l / m²). It was outdated the maximum cumulated rainfall in 24 hours for the month of May, weather stations: Slatina (50.6mm), Targoviste (137.6 mm), Sacueni (53.0 mm), Toplita (42.0 mm), Sighetu Marmatiei (43.6 mm ) In June, the heat was normal, except the eastern and south-eastern country, where was below normal values. Rainfall amounts were local surplus in Moldova, eastern and southern Oltenia Transylvania deficiency in north-west, west, south-west of the country and in normal rest. It was outdated maximum amount of rainfall fell in 24 hours for June, the weather stations Baisoara (66.2 mm) and Tg. Lapus (43.8 mm). There is the lower minimum and maximum temperatures daily series of observations of weather stations in most references. In the mountains of snow. July monthly average temperature was above normal values in most of the country except the south where it was normal. In general, in the first decade of the month have been the lower temperature maximum and minimum daily and in the last decade have achieved the highest maximum and minimum temperatures in the daily series of observations. It was outdated the largest amount of rainfall of July, with significant amounts of rainfall from meteorological stations: Bacles (202.0 mm), Baile Herculane (225.1 mm), Bucin (223.3 mm), Corugea (214.6 mm), Galati (210.1 mm), Jurilovca (217.1 mm), Medgidia (149.9 mm), Negresti (212.2 mm), Székelyudvarhely (235.6 mm), Tg. Logresti (210.3 mm), Voineasa (222.9 mm), Câmpu's Neag (165 l / m²). In the intervals 1-19.07, 23-24.07, 27-28.07 have rain with the thunderstorm, accompanied by electrical discharges, the increase of wind and hail, significant amounts (over 100 mm.) Were recorded locally in the north and in Dobrogea west and south of Moldova (even over 150 mm in small areas of the counties Bacau, Vrancea, Galati). Precipitations were quantitatively important in most of the country (31 counties), causing floods, loss of life and significant material damage. In August, the average temperature was around the normal values, with positive deviations in coastal, Danube Delta, the Eastern Carpathians and negative, local, south and west of the country. Precipitation during the month were frequent rains having torrential nature and quantity of water fell in 24 hours have exceeded the maximum quantities of August, especially in Moldova, Oltenia, Muntenia, Maramures, Transylvania and Banat Crisana, precipitation was accompanied by intensification of the issue of wind storm. In the high mountain snow. 69 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU In September, the heat was above normal values in the northwest, north and south-east of the country was below normal values in the south, in the rest of falling in the normal. Pluviometric regime was surplus in the southern, southeastern, southwestern Romania, Transylvania and East lacking on small areas in the north, northeast and east of the country. Rains were torrential character, being recorded significant amounts (over 200 mm) in the central part of the Romanian Plain, eastern and southern Plateau getic coast. Exceptional amounts of rainfall were recorded in Mangalia: 330.4 mm. (climatological normal = 32.0 mm) and Bucharest Filaret: 316.5 mm. (climatological normal = 44.8 mm). In October, average temperature was around normal values. Pluviometric regime has been lacking in most of the surplus country and in the northeast and southeast. At meteorological stations: Bucharest-Baneasa, Bucharest, Filaret, Fetesti, Slobozia, Titu and Baile Herculane, was exceed the maximum quantity of rainfall of October. In November, the heat was below normal values almost throughout the country and in the northwest and southeast ranged in normal limits. Pluviometric regime has been lacking in the west and northwest of the country, surplus in the south-east, central and local level in the east, and the rest was normal. In December, average monthly temperatures were above normal values in the south and east of the country and close to normal values in rest. Pluviometric regime was surplus in the north-west, west and center of the country, local poor in the South and in normal rest. Almost all of the months were overrun DEFENSE of quotas on water courses, the most important flood-recording is in the April-September 2005, when occurred viituri most important rivers, some with historical rates, which included extensive areas and led to loss of human life and material damage is particularly important. Although in the past 40-50 years have produced viituri most important river basins, never in the past 100 years, viituri were stretched on so long of time (from February till September). Also viituri previous highlights of which are those produced in 1970 and 1975, were held on areas much smaller than those produced in 2005. The Danube had a great evolution in the spring of 2005 (March-May), average flow entering the country recording a maximum of 12,900 m / s in April. In March, the maximum flow was 12,500 cubic meters / s and in May of 10,800 cm / s. These have led to flooding of farms in the Danube Delta and urgent measures have led to defend the city Sulina controlled by practicing a Flaw in power Sulina season - St. George - Sonda area. The lower values of the flow entering the country (around the value of 3000 m3 / s) were recorded in November. These low flows led to some hydrometric stations on the Romanian sector of Danube (downstream of Iron Gates) levels below navigable level shares (hydrometric stations Gruia, Calafat and Giurgiu). Flood effects Floods of flux of the courses of water discharges and damage of dams and accumulation of small leaks on slopes and dangerous weather phenomena (especially intensification of wind, hail and electrical discharges), produced in 2005 have affected the country and 1734 localities, the total damage is estimated at USD 5,975,201.5 thousand people have died 76. Were damaged 93,976 houses and annexes household, 1063 social and economic objectives, and over 656,392 ha agricultural land were affected. Infrastructure has suffered major damage, the damage recorded at 9860.63 km county and communal roads, 560.4 km of national roads, 2465.84 kilometers streets in localities, 2644.9 km forest roads, bridges and footbridge 9113, 23.8 km railway networks of water supply, electricity and 70 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU telephone networks. He was also severely damaged a number of 630 hydro construction role with the defense against floods, mainly dams, consolidations and defense sides, adjustment of water rates, which required urgent restoration works. In 2005, most affected by floods and dangerous weather phenomena (depending on the size of the damage) were the counties of: Vrancea (507841.9 thousand USD), Buzau (462227.5 thousand USD), Timis (406,069.3) Caras-Severin (363209.8 thousand USD), Bacau (338641.9 thousand USD), Teleorman (320122.6 thousand USD), Mehedinti (258224.7 thousand USD), Olt (220672.1 thousand USD), Galati (214,470 , 4 thousand USD), Botosani (209215.0 thousand USD), Dolj (203397.1 thousand USD), Suceava (202,092.0 thousand USD), Satu Mare (195276.9 thousand USD). Damage situation at Giurgiu county . Table 41 produced damages in Giurgiu County The main causes of flood occurrence, were as follows: fall significant amounts of precipitation (accumulated from 200 l / mp), which in the spring were superimposed over the existing layer of snow (in some areas it exceeds 1 m), leading to exceptional volumes of water wave (on the river Timis in the Sag, wave volume was 770 million cubic meters., exceeding that of 2000, which was 250 million cubic meters) damage dams as a result of flow products, which exceeded the flow Calculation of the projected dams, and a time of extremely high demand of them (over 20 days, up to 5 days in defending general phenomena and infiltrations Flaw in the creation of accumulation of fishery management councils and local individuals as a result of poor maintenance, clogging or to make unauthorized level rising; clearing forests and making inappropriate agricultural works of facilitating processes of erosion and lead to increasing the rate of leakage versions and involvement of large quantities of alluvial; 71 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU Lack of ditches drain water or pluvial maintenance of existing infrastructure in many rural localities clogging, of sewerage networks lack of villages maintenance , which are inadequate arrangements torrential leaks house construction in food area without construction permit lack of awareness by local government and by the population of authority and the measures to be taken in emergency situations generated by floods and dangerous weather phenomena. Flood impact on life quality Economy If we use GDP per capita as one of the main macroeconomic indicators, Bulgaria and Romania have the lower economic efficiency in the EU. As a result, citizens of Bulgaria and Romania have the lowest standard of living. The difference between living standards in the two countries and the EU is bigger than the difference between GDP's corresponding per capita. In recent years, the post of the two countries was marked by high growth rates and good economic recovery, but they generate a substantial increase of income level households. Figure 26 GDP level in Romania and Bulgaria (Eurostat 2003) Bulgaria and Romania has a high level of gaps in terms of standard of living, recording levels of 3.9 and 3.4 on the index gaps (based on six items deemed necessary living). In this respect, the two countries comes into sharp contrast with the six countries with lower incomes, which have an overall index of 2.5 gaps, especially with countries in the EU25, which registered an index of gaps 1 , 0. The gaps are measured based on six items that a household can not allow: a proper house warming, a meal with meat once two days, if desired, replace the outworn furniture, purchasing new clothes rather than second-hand, money for a week of leave per year to invite to dinner or a drink at friends or relatives at least once a months. Gaps Index is an attempt to construct indices to measure poverty, which exclude separate minimum standard of living. The study revealed that many people are not satisfied these basic needs in Bulgaria and Romania. 72 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU General economic conditions prevailing in Bulgaria and Romania and influence the extent to which households produce their own food. In both countries, more than half of residents have stated that maintain or grow crops for animal to ensure its food needs. In Bulgaria, 64% of households in the cvartila lower income based on their production activities to ensure the food needs of food in the household, in Romania, the situation is even more acute, with 75% of the poorest households relying on its own production to ensure food needs. Corresponding figures for the six EU countries with lower incomes and for the EU25 are significantly lower, 56% and 19% of households in cvartila the lowest incomes, relying on own production to ensure food needs. This type of subsistence agriculture represents a limited and short-term to difficult life conditions in Bulgaria and Romania. Although it has proved a useful survival strategy, it can not be considered a solution in the long term development of the two countries towards knowledge based economy. This in itself shows that the influence of destructive natural phenomena such as floods is significant quality of life, affecting the very source of obtaining the necessary food. Floods affecting both the land underlying obtain basic food and livestock in individual households in the decentralized system in two ways: by the material damage that the death of animals due viituri (death by drowning as a rule) and the second by reducing the significant feed them, being part of the culture in general animal feed. Health and healthcare Good health is a prerequisite for good quality of life health population in Bulgaria and Romania are below the EU25 average. 15% and 16% of respondents in Bulgaria and Romania have declared a state of poor health - approximately twice the EU25 average. Moreover, one quarter of the population in Bulgaria and Romania stated that chronic illness or has a disability prevents to some extent to lead an active and independent life. Elderly citizens of Bulgaria and Romania are often a poor state of health. Groups with low incomes, the unemployed, those with poor and those living in urban areas are more likely to have health problems. Except for the urban population, the level of satisfaction towards their own health status in all the groups mentioned below national average . Besides the food factor that resulted in health insurance in case of flood risk are epidemiologically the most important aspect in case of natural disasters with floods in the following major components: - Risk of pollution due to sources of drinking water especially in areas where there is no centralized system of water supply - The health risk due to development of insects carrying virus - Risk of soil contamination with chemicals, followed by direct contact with them, go here and contamination caused by discharge tanks (mostly non-organic) To mention that in the interviews in the study on the Romanian territory in the border area before the floods have had an impact on health in significant damage consisting mainly in the material damage from a leak under the dam body defense against flooding along the Danube River. The mayors interviewed mentioned that people have not been affected directly, no dead or injured following the historical flow recorded on the Danube. Also people interviewed mentioned only loss materials referring to crops in that year, but also stating that the phenomena of infiltration is not a problem disappear, with minor exceptions every 73 Studiu privind fenomenele naturale distructive din Judetul Giurgiu in special a inundatiilor din regiunea trasnsfrontaliera Giurgiu-Ruse Elaborator: S.C.ECO CONCRETE S.R.L Beneficiar: CONSILIUL JUDETEAN GIURGIU spring produces such phenomena with the increasing level of Delta. Another matter which is in close connection with the first and is represented by increasing water levels in groundwater drillings for water supply (drilling individual) in the first general groundwater aquifers whose execution technically is precarious . Regarding the analysis of the prospects of house removal study’s designer did not consider such a measure because of the fact that no construction (houses) next to the dam defense against floods, the area flooded, hearth villages situated on a high rate area prone to floods. The possibility of removal of settlements as Gostinu and Oinacu can be taken into account in the event of a major failure of the dam but is in good condition being maintained by Anif (National Agency for land improvements). Another problem reported by the village mayor is Gostinu bank erosion in the Danube riverbed to increase its current distance between the dam and defense Developed at reaching 10-20 m. This may present a risk of erosion a dam in case of levels increased Delta. This problem has been responsible authorities and are expected remedial measures means strengthening the bank on the project should be conducted in collaboration with the County Council Giurgiu and Anif Sector of the Danube in Bulgaria do not experience such problems mainly due to natural terrain, which has much higher rates compared to the Delta. Infiltration phenomena not affect population, protection forest located in major riverbed is in very good condition. 74