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Chapter 20 The Student Handbook to THE APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE The Income Capitalization Approach 1 Relationships to Value Influences and Appraisal Principles Supply and Demand Application and Limitations Interests to Be Valued Leased fee Leasehold Leases Gross lease Net lease Triple net leases Student Handbook to THE APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE Chapter 20 2 Future Benefits Periodic cash flows Reversion or resale of the investment Common Lease Structures Flat rental lease Variable rate lease Step-up or step-down lease Lease with annual increase Revaluation lease Percentage lease Student Handbook to THE APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE Chapter 20 3 Common Rent Types Market rent Contract rent Effective rent Excess rent Deficit rent Percentage rent Overage rent Student Handbook to THE APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE Chapter 20 4 Table 20.1 Reconstructed Operating Statement Potential gross income (PGI) Vacancy & collection loss Effective gross income (EGI) 25,000 5% @ of $9.00 PGI = = $225,000 -$11,250 $213,750 Estimated Annual Expenses Property taxes Property insurance Repairs Management Utilities Reserves for new roof Reserves for parking lot Total expenses Net operating income (I 5.848% 1/20 1/15 $ 33,000 $ 4,500 $ 30,000 $ 12,500 $ 22,000 $ 1,250 $ 800 $ 104,050 O) Fixed expenses Variable expenses Reserves for replacement -$104,050 $109,700 Student Handbook to THE APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE Chapter 20 5 Potential Gross Income Starting point As if full and w/o collection losses Vacancy and Collection Losses Effective Gross Income Less Fixed Expenses Less Variable Expenses Less Reserves for Replacement (Sometimes) Net Operating Income (NOI or IO) Student Handbook to THE APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE Chapter 20 6 Equity Dividend Rate Also called cash on cash Equity income (IE) divided by equity input (VE – down payment) The ratio of the income to the equity to the equity input (down payment) Ignores the value of the reversion Reversion Return of the investment Sometimes it is nothing. Sometimes it is a meaningful amount. Student Handbook to THE APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE Chapter 20 7 Operating Expenses Necessary to maintain the property Debt service not included Fixed expenses – do not vary with occupancy Variable expenses – do vary with occupancy Replacement reserves should be included if they are included in capitalization rates of comparable properties but not if they are not. Student Handbook to THE APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE Chapter 20 8 Rates of Return Return on and Return of Capital Return on an investment is like the interest on a mortgage. Return of an investment is like the principal payments on a mortgage. Income Rates Overall capitalization rates (RO) The ratio of a single year’s income (periodic) to the sale price or value (lump sum) Net income multiplier is the reciprocal of the overall capitalization rate. Student Handbook to THE APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE Chapter 20 9 Table 20.2 Capitalization Rate Extraction Worksheet Subject Sale 1 $1,985,000 Sale 2 $1,458,000 Sale 3 $3,258,000 $510,000 $369,000 $253,680 $601,000 Reported sale price PGI for next year Vacancy & collection loss EGI for next year Operating expense next year Taxes Insurance Management $0.05 Maintenance - building Maintenance - grounds Utilities Reserve fund - roof covering Reserve - parking lot Reserve fund - HVAC Reserve fund - elevator Tenant improvements Total expenses Net operating income -$25,500 -$25,830 -$15,221 -$48,080 $484,500 $343,170 $238,459 $552,920 $56,000 $10,600 $24,225 $22,050 $11,000 $67,000 $5,000 $4,500 $3,200 $1,500 $5,500 $210,575 $44,258 $9,600 $17,159 $16,055 $8,000 $55,000 $4,200 $3,900 $2,500 $1,200 $4,400 $166,272 $26,000 $4,500 $11,923 $10,700 $4,900 $34,000 $2,600 $2,500 $2,900 $1,800 $3,500 $105,323 $72,000 $14,500 $27,646 $26,500 $13,800 $76,800 $4,200 $7,500 $6,200 $3,600 $12,600 $265,346 $273,925 $176,899 $133,136 $287,574 Extracted capitalization rates 8.91% $273,925 / 9.13% $0.09 8.83% = $3,043,611.11 Student Handbook to THE APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE Chapter 20 10 Discount rates, yield rates, interest rates, and internal rates of return all have similar definitions. The present value of a property can be considered to be the present value of the future benefits, which are the cash flows and the resale value of the property. The discounted cash flow model essentially says, “How much do I get and when do I get it?” Student Handbook to THE APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE Chapter 20 11 Table 20.3 Cash Flow Projection For reversion value only Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Tenant 1 $72,000 $72,000 $72,000 $84,000 $84,000 $84,000 Tenant 2 $66,144 $66,144 $66,144 $66,144 $66,144 $66,144 Tenant 3 $51,600 $53,000 $60,000 $60,000 $60,000 $60,000 Tenant 4 $14,400 $18,000 $19,200 $19,200 $19,200 $19,200 Tenant 5 $27,780 $27,780 $27,780 $27,780 $27,780 $30,558 Tenant 6 $28,800 $24,000 $33,600 $33,600 $33,600 $33,600 Potential gross income $260,725 $260,924 $278,724 $290,724 $290,724 $293,502 Vacancy and collection (4%) -$10,429 $250,296 -$10,437 $250,487 -$11,149 $267,575 -$11,629 $279,095 -$11,629 $279,095 -$11,740 $281,762 $55,000 $56,650 $58,350 $60,100 $61,903 $63,760 $195,296 $193,837 $209,225 $218,995 $217,192 $218,002 Effective gross income All expenses Net operating income Reversion (10%) Last year's income divided by the cap. rate $2,158,366 Cash flow $195,295 $193,837 $209,225 $218,995 $2,375,558 Discounted at (9%) Present values 0.9174 $179,164 0.8417 $163,153 0.7722 $161,564 0.7084 $155,136 0.6499 $1,543,875 $2,202,891 Student Handbook to THE APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE Chapter 20 12 Yield Rates—Rates of Return on the Investment Internal rate of return is the rate of return on the investment considering the price paid for the investment, the periodic cash flows, and the reversion. Overall yield rate is the rate of return including debt and equity. Equity yield rate is the rate of return from the perspective of the equity investor. It is the rate of return on the amount paid as down payment from periodic income after debt services and including the reversion after the debt has been paid off. Student Handbook to THE APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE Chapter 20 13 Estimating Rates Risk is a big factor since risk is a primary component of the yield rate. If the investment is risky, it deserves more return than if it were not a risky investment. This is investment-specific. Inflation is also a factor in a yield rate. The change in the buying power of the currency will affect the investment criteria. Unfortunately, almost all competing investments suffer under the same inflation rate; therefore, competition will not allow the investor to adjust for this factor. Investors may want higher yields during high inflation periods but the alternatives may not allow it. Student Handbook to THE APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE Chapter 20 14 Income Capitalization Approach Methods Direct capitalization of a single year’s income. This is a technique based on the ratio of property income to sale price. Yield capitalization of multiple years’ income. This method is based on the assumption that all investments are the present value of future cash flows. Direct capitalization, yield capitalization, and discounting compared. If income is level and the data is good, direct capitalization is easy and accurate. If income is irregular or data is hard to obtain, discounted cash flow analysis will work better. Student Handbook to THE APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE Chapter 20 15 Problems Suggested solutions begin on page 365. Student Handbook to THE APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE Chapter 20 16 Problem 7 Purchase price M ortgage amount @ 75% Down payment @ 25% of sale price Net operating income = Annual debt service Income to the equity Income to the equity/equity investment $1,235,000 -$926,250 $308,750 $96,000 -$78,558 $17,442 5.65% Student Handbook to THE APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE Chapter 20 17 Problems 8 and 10 Problem 8 5,000 X $ $ 850,000 $ 600,000 $ 250,000 Base rent Sales % rent Less base Overage income X = $ 60,000 3% = $ 7,500 $ 67,500 12 Problem 10 Tenant 1 2 3 4 PGI V&C EGI Expenses NOI PGI 60,000 75,000 65,000 75,000 275,000 -13,750 261,250 -100,000 161,250 Student Handbook to THE APPRAISAL OF REAL ESTATE Chapter 20 18