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External Analysis External Environments: Forces that exist outside of the firm that have the potential to affect it in some way External Environments: General environment Specific environment General environment: Economic Technological Sociocultural Political/Legal • Identify opportunities and threats among these trends that influence your business Economic trend: State of the economy in the country/location where the business operates Inflation rates Interest rates Trade deficits or surpluses Budget deficits or surpluses Personal savings rate Business savings rates Gross domestic product Technological trend: Knowledge, tools, techniques, used to transform inputs into outputs. Product innovations Applications of knowledge Focus of private and government-supported R&D expenditures New communication technologies Sociocultural trend: Demographic characteristics, behavior, attitudes, beliefs of people in a society. Population size Age structure Geographic distribution Ethnic mix Income distribution Political/ Legal trend: Legislation, regulation, and court decisions that govern/ regulate the business. Antitrust laws Taxation laws Deregulation philosophies Labor training laws Educational philosophies and policies Global trends Red Thread on General environment External Environments: General environment Specific environment Industry Competitor Industry Environment Industry economic structure (market share) Industry life cycle Economic Structure: % Market Cap. Share of Investment Banking Firms 5% 14% Other 31% 6% 4% 13% 2% 4% 11% 5% 5% UBS Bank of America Goldman Sachs Merrill Lynch & Co. Lehman Brothers Credit Suisse Deutsche Bank Citigroup Morgan Stanley JP Morgan Chase Other Oligopoly with Fragmented Powers Industry Life Cycle Demand Innovators Early adopters Majority Laggards Competitors Very few Some Many players, Competition high, M&A begins Few competitors Profit Uncertain High Decline Minimal Risk High Low Moderate (Starts to become high) High Competitor Environment Strategic groups Definitions • Competitors • firms operating in the same market, offering similar products and targeting similar customers • Competitive rivalry • the ongoing set of competitive actions and responses occurring between competitors • competitive rivalry influences an individual firm’s ability to gain and sustain competitive advantages Competitor Analysis • Identify scope of competitive market through strategic group analysis • Clarify the components of competition through key success factor analysis • Predict competitor moves and responses through dynamics assessment Strategic Groups Strategic group: a group of firms in an industry following the same or similar strategy along the same strategic dimensions. They compete along similar dimensions. The strategy followed by a strategic group differs from strategies being implemented by other companies in the industry. Strategic Group Analysis $40,000 Total Writedowns ($US Millions) 0 1 Market to Book 2 5 Force Analysis