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BUILDING A MARKET IN GLOBAL EDUCATION: THE CASE FOR AN EDUCATION OUTCOMES FUND April 2016 Funding for education is broken There is a disconnect between education spend and learning outcomes. Over $120 billion is spent on education by governments and donors in low and middle income countries annually1 yet education outcomes in many of these countries remain poor. Millions of children do not attend primary and secondary school. Millions more leave school without the basic skills and knowledge in maths, science and literacy that would enable them to improve their lives and benefit their countries’ economies. The Sustainable Development Goals, with their commitment to achieving inclusive, quality education for all, puts education at the top of the global agenda, yet donor funding for education has declined in recent years. This is perhaps not surprising given that, in countries like India and Indonesia, increased education funding and higher teacher salaries not only failed to improve learning outcomes, in some cases the outcomes got worse.2 Now more than ever there is a pressing need to build the link between spend and outcomes in education. Domestic budgets – by far the largest source of funding for education – are largely committed to teacher salaries, leaving little room for innovation. Donor funds, while vital, have tended to be fragmented and often do not allow for scaling of success. In both cases, the focus is on inputs (e.g. teachers, facilities and classrooms) rather than outcomes (e.g. reading and numeracy) often producing poor results. The time for change is now. The education sector is on the cusp of a new wave of innovation, enabled by the use of technology to reach broader populations – including those at the base of the pyramid – while tailoring learning to the needs of each individual. This will precipitate a shift away from traditional approaches to measuring the quality of education, such as a focus on inputs like class size and student-teacher ratios, to a focus on whether children and young people are effectively learning. Many low and middle income countries are also on the cusp of a demographic shift as fertility rates decline and the school age population peaks. Without a solid educational environment this could be a lost generation, with long-term social and economic consequences. While the focus on access to education was central to the Millennium Development Goals, new approaches and tools will be needed to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals’ focus on ensuring learning and supporting those that have been left behind. To scale new approaches successfully will require rigour and adaption to local circumstances. The availability of capital for this type of innovation will be key. Traditional approaches to education funding involves prescribing inputs, which leaves little room for innovation or adaptation to varied and changing local needs. Valuing and monetising education outcomes, on 1 Steer, L and K. Smith, 2015. This figure refers to domestic public spending (2012) and annual basic education ODA (average 2011-13) for low income and lower middle income countries. 2 Accountability Initiative, 2014; Mularidhan et al 2015. Private and Confidential 2 the other hand, creates space for providers to innovate and encourages constant improvement. Over time, predictable outcomes-based revenue streams, rewarding effective intervention models, would drive a market of new providers and new investment to improve global education.3 An Education Outcomes Fund that supports results-based funding for education at scale could have a transformational effect on the education of the world’s poorest children and young people. The Education Outcomes Fund: An opportunity to transform funding for education An Education Outcomes Fund of up to $1 billion – supported by philanthropists, governments and donors – could have a game-changing impact on the availability and affordability of quality education across the world. It would pool funding to pay private education providers for improved education outcomes for priority populations in low and middle income countries. As most providers are expected to need pre-financing, the Fund would also stimulate the development of specialist investment funds to support the development of an active, engaged investor base through professional due diligence and analysis. Strengthening the link between funding and education outcomes and focusing on innovative providers can attract new funders who have not been engaged in global education to date. Tremendous untapped potential exists in the form of social impact investment. As governments have come to realise that more resources, skills and capacity are needed to tackle society’s issues effectively, a movement of socially oriented investors is growing and harnessing entrepreneurship, innovation and capital to power social improvement. Key to the Fund’s success will be its ability to: Unlock private sector innovation: providers that successfully develop and adapt interventions to meet local needs will be rewarded Stimulate investment: the clear link between funding and results creates a rational investment market enabling working capital loans, risk-sharing through equity and Impact Bonds Require rigorous measurement and adaptation: evidence of what works, where will accumulate rapidly strengthening market confidence The Fund would be open to applications from all private sector providers including non-profits, NGOs, faith-based organisations and for-profit enterprises. It would support intermediate level programmes – beyond small-scale pilots, but below national roll-out – with a focus on improving outcomes for the most vulnerable groups. Critically, it would engage with governments to identify priority target populations and measures of success, building a pathway to sustainability from the start. The Fund would build on emerging experiences and interest in results-based funding approaches for education, but would take these approaches to a new level in terms of scaling and replicating success. The ambition of the Fund is to attract new funding commitments to education by strengthening the causal link between education spending and education outcomes. This should crowd-in new education funding and investment from philanthropists, corporates, donors and governments, to complement existing donor activities. In doing so, it 3 ‘Private providers’ and ‘private sector’ refer to both for profit and non-profit providers that operate independently of government either to deliver education outcomes directly, or to work with and through public education systems to improve education outcomes. Private and Confidential 3 would stimulate a market of innovative, adaptive private providers and investors to improve quality education services for the world’s poorest children and young people. Figure 1: Education Outcomes Fund: A new platform to improve the impact of education spend Builds the market - Leads to increased allocation of education funding - Scales & replicates what works Disseminates learnings - Develops causal link between spend and outcomes - Increases confidence about programme spend Pays for success - Evaluates sustained impact robustly - Provides a “value for money” case Creates partnerships between government, funders, private providers and investors Coordinates commissioning of outcomes-based contracts - Reduces transaction costs - Builds best practice in design Enables adaptive delivery of education services - Provides flexible funding - Encourages innovation & adaptation Social Finance is developing the Education Outcomes Fund as part of our work for the Global Social Impact Investment Steering Group and the International Commission on Financing Global Education Opportunity led by Gordon Brown, the UN Special Envoy for Global Education. While Social Finance is working to develop the details of the proposal, we are seeking partners that share our vision of harnessing the power of the private sector to deliver quality education to the poor. We are seeking Commission backing for the proposal to enable strategic engagement with governments and potential outcome funders with a view to announcing a pilot Fund in two to three countries alongside the Commission report in September 2016. For more information please contact: Peter Nicholas, Director – Social Finance [email protected] Katy Jones, Associate Director - Social Finance [email protected] Rita Perakis, Associate - Social Finance [email protected]