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12-1 Characteristics of F-Distribution There is a “family” of F Distributions. Each member of the family is determined by two parameters: the numerator degrees of freedom and the denominator degrees of freedom. F cannot be negative, and it is a continuous distribution. The F distribution is positively skewed. Its values range from 0 to . As F the curve approaches the X-axis. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-2 Test for Equal Variances For the two tail test, the test statistic is given by: F s12 s 22 2 1s and s 22 are the sample variances for the two samples. The null hypothesis is rejected if the computed value of the test statistic is greater than the critical value. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-3 EXAMPLE 1 Colin, a stockbroker at Critical Securities, reported that the mean rate of return on a sample of 10 internet stocks was 12.6 percent with a standard deviation of 3.9 percent. The mean rate of return on a sample of 8 utility stocks was 10.9 percent with a standard deviation of 3.5 percent. At the .05 significance level, can Colin conclude that there is more variation in the software stocks? McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-4 EXAMPLE 1 Step continued 1: The hypotheses are: H 0 : I2 U2 H1 : I2 U2 Step 2: The significance level is .05. Step 3: The test statistic is the F distribution. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-5 Example 1 continued Step 4: H0 is rejected if F>3.68. The degrees of freedom are 9 in the numerator and 7 in the denominator. Step 5: The value of F is computed as follows. 2 F (3.9) (3.5) 2 1.2416 H0 is not rejected. There is insufficient evidence to show more variation in the internet stocks. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-6 Underlying Assumptions for ANOVA The F distribution is also used for testing whether two or more sample means came from the same or equal populations. This technique is called analysis of variance or ANOVA. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-7 Analysis of Variance Procedure The Null Hypothesis is that the population means are the same. The Alternative Hypothesis is that at least one of the means is different. The Test Statistic is the F distribution. The Decision rule is to reject the null hypothesis if F (computed) is greater than F (table) with numerator and denominator degrees of freedom. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-8 Analysis of Variance Procedure If there are k populations being sampled, the numerator degrees of freedom is k – 1. If there are a total of n observations the denominator degrees of freedom is n – k. The test statistic is computed by: SST k 1 F SSE n k McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-9 Analysis of Variance Procedure SS Total is the total sum of squares. 2 ( X ) 2 SS total X n McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-10 Analysis of Variance Procedure SST is the treatment sum of squares. T SST n c 2 c X n 2 TC is the column total, nc is the number of observations in each column, X the sum of all the observations, and n the total number of observations. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-11 Analysis of Variance Procedure SSE is the sum of squares error. SSE SS total - SST McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-12 EXAMPLE 2 Rosenbaum Restaurants specialize in meals for senior citizens. Katy Polsby, President, recently developed a new meat loaf dinner. Before making it a part of the regular menu she decides to test it in several of her restaurants. She would like to know if there is a difference in the mean number of dinners sold per day at the Anyor, Loris, and Lander restaurants. Use the .05 significance level. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-13 Example 2 Aynor 13 12 14 12 Tc nc 51 4 McGraw-Hill/Irwin continued Loris 10 12 13 11 46 4 Lander 18 16 17 17 17 85 5 Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-14 Example 2 continued The SS total is: 2 2 ( X ) 182 SS total X 2 2634 86 n 13 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-15 Example 2 continued The SST is: Tc2 SST nc X 2 n 512 46 2 85 2 4 4 5 76 .25 McGraw-Hill/Irwin (182 ) 2 13 Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-16 Example 2 continued The SSE is: SSE = SS total – SST = 86 – 76.25 = 9.75 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-17 EXAMPLE 2 Step Step continued 1: H0: 1 = 2 = 3 H1: Treatment means are not the same 2: H0 is rejected if F>4.10. There are 2 df in the numerator and 10 df in the denominator. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-18 Example 2 continued To find the value of F: SST k 1 F SSE n k 76 3 1 39 .10 9.75 13 3 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-19 Example 2 continued The decision is to reject the null hypothesis. The treatment means are not the same. The mean number of meals sold at the three locations is not the same. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-20 Inferences About Treatment Means When we reject the null hypothesis that the means are equal, we may want to know which treatment means differ. One of the simplest procedures is through the use of confidence intervals. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Confidence Interval for the Difference Between Two Means 12-21 1 1 X1 X 2 t MSE n n 1 2 where t is obtained from the t table with degrees of freedom (n - k). MSE = [SSE/(n - k)] McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-22 EXAMPLE 3 From EXAMPLE 2 develop a 95% confidence interval for the difference in the mean number of meat loaf dinners sold in Lander and Aynor. Can Katy conclude that there is a difference between the two restaurants? 1 1 (17 12.75) 2.228 .975 4 5 4.25 148 . (2.77,5.73) McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. 12-23 Example 3continued Because zero is not in the interval, we conclude that this pair of means differs. The mean number of meals sold in Aynor is different from Lander. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2002 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.