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Patient Benefit-Risk Preferences for Advanced Renal Cell Carcinoma Treatments: Results From a Conjoint Analysis Study Ateesha F Mohamed,1 Jui-Chen Yang,1 A Brett Hauber,1 Zhimei Liu,2 Michael K Wong,3 Jaqueline Rogerio,2 Carlos Garay2 RTI Health Solutions, Research Triangle Park, NC, United States; 2 Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation, East Hanover, NJ, United States; 3 University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, United States ABSTRACT BACKGROUND OBJECTIVE: To quantify patients’ benefit-risk preferences for benefits, toxicities, and serious adverse events of advanced renal cell carcinoma (RCC) treatments. • In recent years, multiple new systemic therapies for advanced RCC have demonstrated significant benefit on patient median PFS METHODS: United States (US) adult residents with a self-reported diagnosis of RCC completed a Web-enabled choice-format conjoint survey consisting of a series of 10 treatment-choice questions and a pair of hypothetical RCC medication profiles. Each profile had different attributes: efficacy (progression-free survival [PFS]), tolerability (fatigue, stomach problems, mouth sores, hand-foot syndrome [HFS]), serious adverse events (lung damage and liver failure), and mode of administration. Treatment-choice questions were based on a predetermined experimental design with known statistical properties. Random-parameters logit was used to estimate relative preference weights for each attribute level and mean relative importance weights, and to calculate risk tolerance for each adverse event for different improvements in PFS. RESULTS: 272 respondents completed the survey. A 7-month improvement in PFS was the most important attribute. Remaining attributes were ranked in decreasing order of importance: eliminating severe fatigue (7.0; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 4.6-9.4), eliminating severe stomach problems (7.0; 95% CI: 4.79.3), eliminating a 2% liver-failure risk (6.1; 95% CI: 4.08.2), eliminating severe mouth sores (5.7; 95% CI: 3.77.7), eliminating severe HFS (4.5; 95% CI: 2.7-6.4), eliminating a 2% lung-damage risk (4.1; 95% CI: 2.5-5.8), and switching from infusion once a week to one pill once a day (2.5; 95% CI: 1.4-3.6). To increase PFS by 1 month (baseline: 3-4 months), patients accepted a maximum level of lung-damage risk of 1.0% (95% CI: 0.8%-1.4%) and liver-failure risk of 0.7% (95% CI: 0.4%-1.0%). A 7-month improvement in PFS was two times as important as eliminating severe HFS and a 2.0% risk of lung damage (P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: PFS was the most important outcome for RCC patients, while severe fatigue and severe stomach problems were rated as the most troublesome toxicities. • Because these treatments are not curative, life-long sequential therapy may become necessary, increasingly resulting in tradeoffs between survival benefit and drug toxicities and serious adverse events • The available treatment guidelines often give multiple possible choices for a given clinical scenario, often with drugs that possess distinct toxicity profiles • There are few studies that quantifiy and rank patient preferences in this regard, and none of the treatment guidelines incorporate this information into the decision algorithims OBJECTIVE • To quantify patients’ benefit-risk preferences for benefits, toxicities, and serious adverse events of advanced RCC treatments METHODS Respondents • Inclusion criteria: – Aged 18 years or older CONCLUSIONS – Three survey versions with different combinations of 10 treatment-choice questions (30 treatment-choice questions in total), randomly assigned to respondents • Demographic information (e.g., age, sex, race, marital status, and education) and items about the patients’ experiences with RCC (e.g., time since diagnosis, kidney surgery status, metastatic disease status, and current treatment status) also were collected Table 1. Attributes and Levels for the Choice Questions Attribute How long the medicine will keep the cancer from getting worse (PFS) Feeling weak or tired (fatigue) Stomach problems Sores in your mouth or throat (mucositis or stomatitis) Redness or sores on your hands and feet (HFS) Chance of lung damage (pneumonitis) – Resident of the US – Self-reported physician diagnosis of RCC • Patient recruitment occurred through the Kidney Cancer Association • All participants provided online informed consent Survey Instrument • A Web-enabled survey instrument was specifically developed for the purpose of this study • The survey applied a discrete-choice experiment (choice-format conjoint survey method) which: Chance of liver failure (hepatic impairment) How you take the medicine (mode of administration) Figure 1. Example Choice Question Medicine Feature (Click on a link below to view feature information) How long the medicine will keep the cancer from getting worse – Is recognized in the field to be one of the most valid, reliable, and robust techniques available for quantifying patient preferences1-3 Feeling weak or tired – Test the clarity of the survey instrument and the appropriateness of the descriptive information – Confirm that the eight attributes included in the survey (based on a review of product label inserts: sorafenib, sunitinib, pazopanib, everolimus, temsirolimus) were of concern to patients – Assess patients’ willingness to accept tradeoffs among attributes in evaluating hypothetical medications • Relative preference estimates using a random-parameters logit Stomach problems Sores in your mouth or throat Redness or sores on your hands and feet • The experimental design included: – Combinations of attribute levels in each treatment-choice question – Main-effects D-efficient criteria using SAS Version 9.25-6 – Eliminating a 2% liver-failure risk (6.1; 95% CI: 4.0-8.2) – Eliminating severe mouth sores (5.7; 95% CI: 3.7-7.7) – Eliminating severe HFS (4.5; 95% CI: 2.7-6.4) – To facilitate the interpretation of the results, we assigned an importance weight of 10 to the most important attribute and calculated the importance weight for each of the other attributes relative to the most important attribute – Eliminating a 2% lung-damage risk (4.1; 95% CI: 2.5-5.8) – Switching from infusion once a week to one pill once a day (2.5; 95% CI: 1.4-3.6) • A 7-month improvement in PFS was two times as important as eliminating severe HFS and a 2.0% risk of lung damage (P < 0.05) • Risk tolerance estimate that patients require to compensate for each toxicity for different improvements in PFS Medicine A Medicine B 10 months 5 months Severe Mild-to-moderate None Severe Mild-to-moderate Severe None Severe Chance of lung damage • To increase PFS by 1 month (baseline: 3-4 months), patients accepted a maximum level of: RESULTS Patient Sample – Lung-damage risk of 1.0% (95% CI: 0.8%-1.4%) • Final patient sample (n = 272) – Liver-failure risk of 0.7% (95% CI: 0.4%-1.0%) – Female: 53% – Married: 74% – White: 92% • Respondents were asked to evaluate hypothetical medications – Associate’s degree or higher: 66% • Cost and resource use were not factored into the decision – Employed: 56% – These simulated clinical decisions may not have the same clinical, financial, and emotional consequences of actual decisions – Mean age (standard deviation): 57 years (10) – Diagnosed with RCC at least 2 years ago: 65% • We provided numeric and graphical representations of treatment outcomes and adverse-event risks. However: – Had metastatic disease: 43% – Currently taking prescription medication: 27% – Numeracy skills in the general population are poorly developed Which medicine would you choose if these were your only options? – Respondents may have applied simplifying heuristics in comparing probabilities that are inconsistent with actual numeric magnitudes • A 7-month improvement in PFS was the most important attribute (10.0; 95% CI: 7.0-13.0) Figure 2. Relative Importance Weights, Relative to PFSa,b Funding for this study was obtained from Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation, East Hanover, New Jersey. 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Two pills twice a day without food 10.0 7.0 7.0 5.7 4.5 4.1 6.1 2.5 PFS Fatigue Stomach problems Mucositis or stomatitis HFS Chance of lung damage Chance of liver failure Mode of administration The vertical bars surrounding each mean importance weight denote the 95% CI about the point estimate. Each importance weight for each attribute is estimated as an improvement from the worst level to the best level. For example, for HFS it is an improvement from severe to none and for chance of lung damage it is an improvement from 2% to 0%. a b 1. Bridges JFP, Kinter ET, Kidane L, Heinzen RR, McCormick C. Patient. 2008 Dec 1;1(4):273-82. 2. Hauber AB, Mohamed AF, Watson ME, Johnson FR, Hernandez JE. AIDS Patient Care STDs. 2009 Jan;23(1):29-34. 4. National Cancer Institute. The Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events (CTCAE) Version 4.02. 2009. 5. Kuhfeld W. Marketing research methods in SAS: experimental design, choice, conjoint, and graphical techniques. Cary, NC: SAS Institute Inc.; 2010. 6. Kuhfeld W, Tobias F, Garratt M. J Mark Res. 1994;31:545-57. CONTACT INFORMATION Ateesha F. Mohamed Senior Research Economist Health Preference Assessment RTI Health Solutions 200 Park Offices Drive Research Triangle Park, NC 27709 Presented at: ISPOR 17th Annual International Meeting June 2-6, 2012 Washington, DC, United States 9 No chance REFERENCES Phone: +1.919.541.6916 E-mail: [email protected] 10 0 How you take the medicine DISCLOSURE – Differences can arise between stated and actual choices – Had kidney surgery to treat RCC: 98% 10 out of 1,000 (1.0%) One pill once a day with or without food • Despite PFS’s position as the most important outcome, patients with the diagnosis of RCC were willing to trade off toxicities for a given level of PFS. 3. Johnson FR, Ozdemir S, Mansfield C, Hass S, Miller DW, Siegel CA, et al. Gastroenterology. 2007 Sep;133(3):769-79. LIMITATIONS No chance Chance of liver failure • PFS was the most important outcome for RCC patients, while severe fatigue and severe stomach problems were rated as the most troublesome toxicities Risk Tolerance – Each medication profile was described by eight attributes (Table 1) • Patients were asked to choose the option they would prefer if these were the only two medications available (Figure 1) – Eliminating severe stomach problems (7.0; 95% CI: 4.7-9.3) – The distance between the preference weights for the best and worst levels of an attribute can be interpreted as the overall mean relative importance of the attribute over the specific ranges presented in the survey 5 out of 1,000 (0.5%) • Respondents answered 10 treatment-choice questions, each including a pair of hypothetical RCC medication profiles: – Attributes were described in patient-friendly terms using clinical definitions4 – Eliminating severe fatigue (7.0; 95% CI: 4.6-9.4) • Overall mean relative importance weights Relative Importance Weights (Figure 2) – Elicits respondent tradeoffs among alternatives with varying levels of different attributes • Prestudy survey validation included open-ended interviews (n = 15) with patients diagnosed with RCC in order to: Levels 10 months 5 months 3 months None Mild-to-moderate Severe None Mild-to-moderate Severe None Mild-to-moderate Severe None Mild-to-moderate Severe No chance 5 out of 1,000 (0.5%) 10 out of 1,000 (1.0%) 20 out of 1,000 (2.0%) No chance 5 out of 1,000 (0.5%) 10 out of 1,000 (1.0%) 20 out of 1,000 (2.0%) One pill once a day with or without food Two pills twice a day without food Infusion once a week • Remaining attributes were ranked in decreasing order of importance: Analyses Performed Mean Relative Importance 1