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Chapter 3: Cluster Analysis ` ` ` ` ` ` ` 3.1 Basic Concepts of Clustering 3.2 Partitioning Methods 3.3 Hierarchical Methods 3.4 Density-Based Methods 3.5 Model-Based Methods 3.6 Clustering High-Dimensional Data 3.7 Outlier Analysis 3.7.1 Definition 3.7.2 Statistical-Based Methods 3.7.3 Distance-Based Methods 3.7.4 Density-Based Local Methods 3.7.5 Deviation-Based Methods 3.7.1 Definition ` Outliers: data objects that do not comply with the general behavior or model of the data ` Outlier detection or analysis is referred to as Outlier Mining ` Outlier mining has different applications Fraud detection Detecting unusual usage of telecommunication services Identifying the spending behavior of costumers with extremely low or extremely high incomes Finding unusual responses to various medical treatments Etc. Outlier Mining ` Given a set if n data objects and k expected number of outliers ` Find the top k objects that are considerably ` Dissimilar Exceptional Inconsistent with respect to the remaining data The outlier mining problem can be seen as two sub-problems 1) Define what data can be considered as inconsistent in a given data set 2) Find an efficient method to mine the outliers so defined ` Data visualization methods are weak in detecting data with many categorical attributes or data of high dimensionality ` Investigate computer-based techniques to detect outliers 3.7.2 Statistical Distribution-Based Methods ` Assume a distribution model for the given data set(e.g., Normal) Identify outliers w. r. t the model using a discordancy test How does it work? ` Examine two hypothesis ` ` ` working hypothesis alternative hypothesis A working hypothesis H is a statement that the entire data set of n objects comes from an initial distribution model F that is: H: oi∈F, ` where i=1,2,…,n The hypothesis H is retained if there is no statistically significant evidence supporting its rejection Discordancy Test ` Verifies whether an object oi is significantly large(or small) in relation to the distribution F ` Principle Choose a some statistic T for discordancy testing Consider the value vi of an object oi If significance probability SP(vi) is sufficiently small ` oi is discordant The working hypothesis is rejected An alternative hypothesis ¬H which says that oi comes from a another distribution model G is adopted The result depends on the model F is chosen because oi may be an outlier under one model and perfectly valid value under another Discordancy Test: Example ` Let o1,…,on represent the data objects ` Compute the sample mean µ and the standard deviation σ ` If the an object oi is suspected to be an outlier Compute the test statistic T T= | µ − oi | σ If T exceeds some critical value, then oi is an outlier Discordancy Test: Example ` Consider the following ordered data: 3.84, 4.26, 4.53, 4.60, 5.28, 5.29, 5.74, 5.86 ` Consider an additional sample P: 10 (it is suspected that this point might be an outlier) ` Compute µ and σ without the suspected outlier µ = 5.48, σ = 1.82 | 5.48 −10 | T= = 2.48 1.82 ` With n=9 and level of significance α=0.05, the critical value is 2.110 ` T>2.110, then there is an evidence that P is an outlier Alternative Distributions Inherent Alternative Distribution ` The working hypothesis that all objects come from distribution F is rejected ` Alternative hypothesis assume that all objects come from another distribution G ¬H: oi∈G, ` ` ` where i=1,2,…,n F and G: different distributions F and G : the same distribution but with different parameters Distribution G must have the potential to produce outliers (a different mean, or dispersion, or a longer tail) Alternative Distributions Mixture Alternative Distribution ` The discordant values are not outliers in F population but contaminants from some other population G ` The alternative hypothesis is ¬H: oi∈ (1-λ) F+ λG, where i=1,2,…,n Slippage Alternative Distribution ` All objects (except a small number) are from initial model F, with its given parameters ` The remaining objects are from a modified version of F in which the parameters have been shifted Characteristics of Statistical-Based Methods ` Tests are for single attributes ` Need to find outliers in multidimensional space ` Statistical approaches require knowledge about parameters of the data set ` Statistical methods do not guarantee that all outliers will be found No specific test was developed The distribution cannot be adequately modeled with any standard distribution 3.7.2 Distance-Based Methods ` Generalize the test-based techniques ` Distance-based outliers are those objects that do not have “enough” neighbors ` Formally ` Define DB(pct, dmin)-outlier: a distance based outlier with parameters pct and dmin An object o is DB(pct, dmin)-outlier if at least a fraction pct of the objects lie at a distance greater than dmin from o Avoids excessive computation related to fitting the observed data into some standard distribution and selecting discordancy tests Distance-Based Algorithms Index-based algorithms ` Use multidimensional indexing structures such as R-trees or kd trees to search for neighbors of each object o Distance-Based Algorithms ` Find neighbors of object o within a radius dmin ` M is the maximum number of objects within the dmin-neighborhood of an outlier ` Once M+1 objects of object o are found, then o is not an outlier ` Complexity of O(n2k) ` N: number of objects K: dimensionality Complexity is in search time. Building the index can be computationally very expensive Distance-Based Algorithms ` Cell-based algorithms The data space is partitioned into cells with a side length equal to dmin 2 k ` dmin: radius around objects K: dimensionality ` Each cell has two layers surrounding it ` First layer is 1-cell thick Second layer is 2 k − 1 thick, rounded up to the closest integer Distance-Based Algorithms Cell-based algorithms ` Count outliers on a cell-by-cell rather than object-by-object basis ` For a given cell, the algorithm accumulates three counts ` The number of objects on the cell C The number of objects in the cell and the first layer C+1 The number of objects In the cell and the second layer C+2 How to determine outliers with these counts? Distance-Based Algorithms Cell-based algorithms ` Assume M to be a threshold used to detect outliers ` An object o is considered as an outlier if C+1 <M, else all the objects in the cell are considered as non outliers ` If C+2 <M, all the objects in the cell are considered outliers ` If C+2 >M, it is possible that some objects in the cell are outliers do object-by-object processing to detect outliers only objects that have less than M objects in their dminneighborhood are outliers the dmin-neighborhood consist of the object’s cell, all of its first layer and some of its second layer Characteristics of Distance-Based Methods ` Avoid O(n2) computational complexity ` Its complexity is O(ck+n) c is a constant depending on the number of cells k the dimensionality n number of objects ` Developed for memory-resident data sets ` Requires the user to set both dmin and pct ` Finding suitable settings for these parameters can involve much trial and error 3.7.3 Density-Based Methods ` Statistical and distance-based methods depend on the overall “global” distribution of data ` Data are usually not uniformly distributed ` Data can have different density distributions C1 C2 o2 o1 Density-Based Methods ` Define Local Outliers ` Does not consider being an outlier as a binary property ` An object is a local outlier if it is outlying relative to its local neighborhood (w. r. t the density of the neighborhood ) Asses the degree to which an object is an outlier The degree of the “outlierness” is computed as the Local Outlier Factor(LOF) of an object The degree depends on how isolated the object is with respect to the surrounding neighborhood Detect global and local outliers Density-Based Methods ` To define the local outlier factor of an object, the following concepts should be introduced K-distance K-distance neighborhood Reachability distance Local reachability distance K-distance & K-distance neighborhood ` ` The k-distance of an object p is the maximal distance that p gets from its k-nearest neighbors Denoted k-distance(p) How k is determined? LOF method sets k to the parameter MinPts used in the densitybased clustering (e.g., Minpts=4) [MinPts-distance] p K-distance neighborhood of an object p contains the MinPtsnearest neighbors of p Denoted Nk-distance(P) or Nk(P), also NMinPts p Reachability distance ` The reachability-distance of an object q with respect to object o (where o is within the MinPts-nearest neighbors of P) is denoted reach_distMinPts(p,o) p ` Reach_distMinPts (p,o)=max{MinPts_distance(o), d(p,o)} ` If p is far away from o, the reachability distance between the two is simply their actual distance ` If they are close, then the actual distance is replaced by the MinPts_distance of o Local Outlier Factor (LOF) ` The local reachability density of p is the inverse of the average reachability density based on the MinPts-nearest neighbors of p | N MinPts(P)| lrdMinPts(p) = ∑o∈NMinPts(p)reach_distMinPts(p,o) ` The local outlier factor (LOF) of p captures the degree to which we call p an outlier IrdMinPts (o) ∑o∈NMinPts(P) Ird (P) MinPts LOFMinPts(p) = | N MinPts ( P) | 3.7.4 Deviation-Based Methods ` Identify outliers by examining the main characteristics of objects on a group ` Objects that deviate from this description are outliers ` The term deviation is used to refer to outliers ` Two main methods Sequential Exception Technique OLAP Data Cube Technique Summary of Chapter 3 ` A cluster is a collection of data objects that are similar within the same cluster and dissimilar to the objects on other clusters ` Clustering can be used as ` a main task to gain insights about the data a preprocessing step for other data mining algorithms Several applications Market segmentation Pattern recognition Biological studies Spatial data analysis Web document classification, etc. Summary of Chapter 3 ` The quality of clustering can be assessed based on dissimilarity of objects ` Many techniques have been developed Partitioning Methods Hierarchical methods Density-based methods Grid-based methods Model-based methods Clustering high dimensional data Constrained-based methods Applications and Tools in Data Mining Summary 1. Financial Data Analysis ` Banks and Institutions offer a wise variety of banking services Checking and savings accounts for business or individual customers Credit business, mortgage, and automobile loans Investment services (mutual funds) Insurance services and stock investment services ` Financial data is relatively complete, reliable, and of high quality ` What to do with this data? 1. Financial Data Analysis ` Design of data warehouses for multidimensional data analysis and data mining Construct data warehouses (data come from different sources) Multidimensional Analysis: e.g., view the revenue changes by month. By region, by sector, etc. along with some statistical information such as the mean, the average, the maximum and the minimum values, etc. Characterization and class comparison Outlier analysis 1. Financial Data Analysis ` Loan Payment Prediction and costumer credit policy analysis Attribute selection and attribute relevance ranking may help indentifying important factors and eliminate irrelevant ones Example of factors related to the risk of loan payment Term of the loan Debt ratio Payment to income ratio Customer level income Education level Residence region The bank can adjust its decisions according to the subset of factors selected (use classification) 2. Retail Industry ` Collect huge amount of data on sales, customer shopping history, goods transportation, consumption and service, etc. ` Many stores have web sites where you can buy online. Some of them exist only online (e.g., Amazon) ` Data mining helps to Identify costumer buying behaviors Discover customers shopping patterns and trends Improve the quality of costumer service Achieve better costumer satisfaction Design more effective good transportation Reduce the cost of business 2. Retail Industry ` Design data warehouses ` Multidimensional analysis ` Analysis of the effectiveness of sales campaigns ` Costumer retention ` Advertisements, coupons, discounts, bonuses, etc Comparing transactions that contain sales items during and after the campaign Analyze the change in costumers behaviors Product Recommendation Mining association rules Display associative information to promote sales 3. Telecommunication Industry ` Many different ways of communicating ` Fax, cellular phone, Internet messenger, images, email, computer and Web data transmission, etc. Great demand of data mining to help Understanding the business involved Indentifying telecommunication patterns Catching fraudulent activities Making better use of resources Improve the quality of service 3. Telecommunication Industry ` Multidimensional analysis (several attributes) ` Several features: Calling time, Duration, Location of caller, Location of callee, Type of call, etc. Compare data traffic, system workload, resource usage, user group behavior, and profit Fraudulent Pattern Analysis Identify potential fraudulent users Detect attempts to gain fraudulent entry to costumer accounts Discover unusual patterns (outlier analysis) 4. Many Other Applications ` Biological Data Analysis ` Web Mining ` E.g., identification and analysis of human genomes and other species E.g., explore linkage between web pages to compute authority scores (Page Rank Algorithm) Intrusion detection Detect any action that threaten file integrity, confidentiality, or availability of a network resource How to Choose a Data Mining System (Tool)? ` Do data mining system share the same well defined operations and a standard query language? ` No ` Many commercial data mining system have a little in common ` Different functionalities Different methodology Different data sets You need to carefully choose the data mining system that is appropriate for your task How to Choose a Data Mining System (Tool)? ` Data Types ` Available systems handle formatted record-based, relational-like data with numerical, and nominal attributes That data could be on the form of ASCII text, relational databases, or data warehouse data It is important to check which kind of data the system you are choosing can handle Operating System A data mining system may run only on one operating system The most popular operating systems that host data mining tools are UNIX/LINUX and Microsoft Windows Large industry data mining systems adopt client-server architecture How to Choose a Data Mining System (Tool)? ` Data Sources ` Data formats Some systems work only with ASCII test files, whereas many other work with databases It is important that the data mining system supports ODBC connections (Open Database Connectivity) Data Mining functions and Methodologies Some systems provide only one data mining function(e.g., classification). Other system support many functions For a given data mining function (e.g., classification), some systems support only one method. Other systems may support many methods (k-nearest neighbor, naive Bayesian, etc.) Data mining system should provide default settings for non experts How to Choose a Data Mining System (Tool)? ` Coupling data mining with databases(data warehouse) systems No Coupling Loose coupling Efficient implementation of few essential data mining primitives (sorting, indexing, histogram analysis) is provided by the DB/DW Tight coupling ` A DM system use some facilities of a DB/DW system Fetch data from data repositories managed by a DB/DW Store results in a file or in the DB/DW Semi-tight coupling A DM system will not use any function of a DB/DW system Fetch data from particular resource (file) Process data and then store results in a file A DM system is smoothly integrated into the DB/DW Data mining queries are optimized Tight coupling is highly desirable because it facilitates implementations and provide high system performance How to Choose a Data Mining System (Tool)? ` Scalability ` Visualization ` Query execution time should increase linearly with the number of dimensions “A picture is worth a thousand words” The quality and the flexibility of visualization tools may strongly influence usability, interpretability and attractiveness of the system Data Mining Query Language and Graphical user Interface High quality user interface It is not common to have a query language in a DM system Examples of Commercial Data Mining Tools Database system and graphics vendors ` Intelligent Miner (IBM) ` Microsoft SQL Server 2005 ` MineSet (Purple Insight) ` Oracle Data Mining (ODM) Examples of Commercial Data Mining Tools Vendors of statistical analysis or data mining software ` Clementine (SPSS) ` Enterprise Miner (SAS Institute) ` Insightful Miner (Insightful Inc.) Examples of Commercial Data Mining Tools Machine learning community ` CART (Salford Systems) ` See5 and C5.0 (RuleQuest) ` Weka developed at the university Waikato (open source) End of The Data Mining Course Questions? Suggestions?