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ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENTAL CONCERNS YAHNER CHAP 9 ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – Distribution / Abundance of life is affected by: abiotic factors – solar radiation – soil moisture biotic factors – predation – competition human induced – forest management – forest fragmentation ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – Distribution / Abundance of life is affected by: since 1960 – – – – – – greenhouse effect global climate change acid deposition toxic metals ozone tropospheric > ozone stratospheric < ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – THE EARTH’S ATMOSPHERE: WEATHER AND CLIMATE – The atmosphere, three areas 1) troposphere 0-17 km contains 95% earth’s gases nitrogen = 78% oxygen = 21% carbon dioxide = 0.035% water = 0.01-5% temperature lowers from 0 to -40 C ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – THE EARTH’S ATMOSPHERE: WEATHER AND CLIMATE – The atmosphere, three areas 2) stratosphere 17-48 km gases are less dense ozone is the most abundant, 17-26 km temperature rises from -40 to 0 C ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – THE EARTH’S ATMOSPHERE: WEATHER AND CLIMATE – The atmosphere, three areas 3) mesosphere 48-90 km temperature lowers from 0 to -70 C 4) thermosphere; 90+ temperature rises from -70 to 120 C ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – THE EARTH’S ATMOSPHERE: WEATHER AND CLIMATE – weather - short term changes in temp, precip, wind, etc that occurs in the troposphere – climate (the average of the above) characteristic weather patterns for a given area (spans the recent decades) – climate has changed little since the last glacial period for the edf – weather can change rapidly El Nińo, 1997 local drought, PA 1988 hurricane Andrew, 1992 hurricane Katrina, 2005 ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – FACTORS AFFECTING CLIMATE – – – – temperature and precipitation are the main factors these are influenced greatly by solar radiation ~50% radiant energy is absorbed ~20% is absorbed by trace gases; H2O, CO2, O3 this warms the atmosphere – ~30% radiates back into space ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – FACTORS AFFECTING CLIMATE SEASONS AND EARTH-SUN RELATIONSHIPS – it is the radiation budget that controls the seasons – growth in the spring and dormancy in the autumn is related to the amount of sunlight – add to this the tilt of the earth and distances from the sun – inclination of earth’s axis is 23.5 degrees – summer/winter farthest from the sun – the edf receives more solar radiation in the summer and less in the winter due to tilt. ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – FACTORS AFFECTING CLIMATE SEASONS AND EARTH-SUN RELATIONSHIPS – – – – air movement is affected by tilt air rises at the equator and flows N and S west trade winds flow easterly in the U.S. obstacles such as mountains intercept moisture laden air and rain falls on the windward side – a rain shadow -no rain- occurs on the leeward side ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – FACTORS AFFECTING CLIMATE GREENHOUSE GASES AND GREENHOUSE EFFECT – Greenhouse effect= the absorption of radiation by the gases and heat build-up in the troposphere – Greenhouse gases; carbon dioxide- insulates by trapping low energy radiations water vapor ozone- intercepts 99% UV radiation and warms the outer stratosphere ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – FACTORS AFFECTING CLIMATE GREENHOUSE GASES AND GREENHOUSE EFFECT the troposphere and stratosphere provide a natural greenhouse – life would be impossible w/o the atmosphere – today the ave temp is 13 C – w/o greenhouse effect the temp would be -20 C – Venus > CO2, ave temp is 447 C – Mars no gases, ave temp is -53 C ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – GLOBAL CLIMATIC CHANGE – since 1970 scientists have provided evidence for global climate change – may be 150 years on-going, beginning with the industrial revolution – CO2 has >25% – methane has > 100% – the ave temp has > 0.5 C in the 20th century – extremes in weather conditions have occurred in the 80s ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – GLOBAL CLIMATIC CHANGE – – – – – – – – What are the consequences of global warming? Ecosystems will be affected Longer growing seasons? Sea level rise 0.3 to 1 m? Reduce polar ice sheets 3% reduction in land mass due to flooding 1 bill displaced humans? extinctions of plants and animals? ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – GLOBAL CLIMATIC CHANGE RECENT TRENDS IN U.S. CLIMATE – – – – – most evident in the southern hemisphere summer temp has risen in the U.S. ave fall, winter, spring temp seem cooler precip has increased droughts occur but not severe ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – GLOBAL CLIMATIC CHANGE PREDICTIONS IN GLOBAL CLIMATE TRENDS – more G.H. gases means a warmer planet – the 0.5 C > in temp has occurred 10x faster than during the past interglacial period – CO2 released 1860 - 1987 = 241 metric tone 181 due to burning fossil fuel 60 due to deforestation – the U.S. was the leader in CO2 production – 1987 U.S. released 1.2 met ton of CO2 – = to deforestation in Brazil ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – GLOBAL CLIMATIC CHANGE PREDICTIONS IN GLOBAL CLIMATE TRENDS – – – – – forests may only store 450 bill metric tons of carbon as forests are removed this capacity is reduced it is good that forests are re-establishing in the NE larger trees tie-up carbon and some pollutants there is concern for the > use of CFCs and methane release these add to the G.H. effect – one CO2 molecule traps heat energy – one CFC traps 20,000x the molecule of CO2 – one methane traps 20-30x the molecule of CO2 ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – GLOBAL CLIMATIC CHANGE PREDICTIONS IN GLOBAL CLIMATE TRENDS – global temp is expected to rise 0.5 to 4.5 C in the next decades – by 2020 the increase in temp will be due to CO2 will cause 50% of the increased temp CFCs will cause 25% “ methane will cause 15% “ nitrous oxide will cause 10% “ – > variability and severity ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – GLOBAL CLIMATIC CHANGE GLOBAL CIRCULATION AND REGIONAL CLIMATE MODELS – GCM global circ. model – RegCM regional circ. model – these math models attempt to simulate the future but, climate is complex models are too crude to be useful scale of model to hard to apply to a forest tract computations are lengthy ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – PREDICTED IMPACTS OF GLOBAL CLIMATIC CHANGE ON BIOTA CONSIDER THE ARCTIC AND BOREAL FOREST – THESE AREAS ARE AT GREATER RISK THAN EDF OTHER AFFECTED AREAS – – – – COASTS BARRIER ISLANDS FRESH WATER ESTRUARIES ? MIGRATORY SPP ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – PREDICTED IMPACTS OF GLOBAL CLIMATIC CHANGE ON BIOTA IMPACTS ON PLANTS – PLANT DISTRIBUTION IS BASED ON THOUSANDS OF YEARS OF LONG TERM ADJUSTMENTS TO THE ENVIRONMENT – SUDDEN CHANGES MAY HAVE UNPREDICTABLE CONSEQUENCES – THE RANGE OF SUGAR MAPLE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD WITH CLIMATE CHANGE – ? BIRCH, BEECH, HEMLOCK ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – PREDICTED IMPACTS OF GLOBAL CLIMATIC CHANGE ON BIOTA IMPACTS ON PLANTS – – – – – – A SHIFT NORTH ~500 km PLANTS DISPERSE ~10-40 km / 100 Y WILL PLANTS KEEP PACE? PLANTS W/ RESTRICTED RANGES MAY GO EXTINCT SEEDLING GENERATIONS MAY BE AFFECTED SPP COMPOSITION MAY CHANGE ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – PREDICTED IMPACTS OF GLOBAL CLIMATIC CHANGE ON BIOTA IMPACTS ON PLANTS – – – – – FIRE DANGERS MAY INCREASE PESTS WILL RESPOND TO CLIMATE CHANGE TIMBER YIELDS MIGHT DECREASE HOW WILL FOREST MANAGEMENT CHANGE CURRENT RESEARCH SHOULD FOCUS ON GROWTH AND HARVEST W/ > TEMP – WHAT TECHNIQUES WOULD MITIGATE A RISE IN TEMP? ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – PREDICTED IMPACTS OF GLOBAL CLIMATIC CHANGE ON BIOTA IMPACTS ON PLANTS – FIVE OPTIONS TO MITIGATE TEMP > ON PLANTS TREE PLANTING -ABSORB EXTRA CO2 REQUIRES 1 BILL ha & 40-50 Y MIX TREE SOURCES- DIVERSIFY TREE IMPROVEMENT- TEMP ADAPT CONSERVE SEED SOURCES PROVIDE CORRIDORS TO CONNECT TRACTS ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – PREDICTED IMPACTS OF GLOBAL CLIMATIC CHANGE ON BIOTA IMPACTS ON ANIMALS – THERE MAY BE MORE SPRING INSECTS, DEFOLIATION WOULD BE MORE SEVERE OR – MILD WINTERS MAY RESULT IN MORE PREDATORS OF INSECTS – WARBLERS MIGHT INCREASE IN THE EDF ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – PREDICTED IMPACTS OF GLOBAL CLIMATIC CHANGE ON BIOTA IMPACTS ON ANIMALS – THE PHOEBE RANGE IS DETERMINED BY THE JANUARY LOWS – THE PHOEBE RANGE MAY EXPAND NORTHWARD – THE KINGLET MAY ENCROACH ON THE SOUTHERN AREA OF THE EDF – POSSIBLY 50 OTHER SONG BIRDS WOULD RESPOND TO CLIMATIC CHANGE PHOEBE KINGLET ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – PREDICTED IMPACTS OF GLOBAL CLIMATIC CHANGE ON BIOTA IMPACTS ON ANIMALS – SMALL MAMMALS MAY NOT ADJUST TO CHANGES IN THE CLIMATE – LOCAL POPULATIONS MAY SUFFER – A 3 C RISE MAY LOSE 9-62% SMALL MAMMALS IN THE WESTERN U.S. – BAT CAVES MAY REALIZE WARMER TEMP – NEGATIVE EFFECTS FOR THE FLYING SQUIRREL, ROCK VOLE, NEW ENGLAND COTTONTAIL ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – PREDICTED IMPACTS OF GLOBAL CLIMATIC CHANGE ON BIOTA IMPACTS ON ANIMALS – NORTHERLY RANGES WOULD BE EXTENDED FOR: WOODRAT E COTTONTAIL WHITE-TAILED DEER – FROM 1930-80 SMALL MAMMALS HAVE MOVED SOUTH DUE TO COLDER TEMPS, SHREW, JUMPING MICE, VOLE, L. WEASEL ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – PREDICTED IMPACTS OF GLOBAL CLIMATIC CHANGE ON BIOTA IMPACTS ON ANIMALS – WOODPECKERS REQUIRE MATURE FORESTS THIS HABITAT MAY NOT EXIST WITH A WARMER CLIMATE – KIRTLANDS WARBLER OF MI PREFERS JACK PINE A GROUND NESTER ?SANDY SOIL TO THE NORTH ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – PREDICTED IMPACTS OF GLOBAL CLIMATIC CHANGE ON BIOTA IMPACTS ON ANIMALS – AQUATIC VERTEBRATES COLD WATER FISHERIES MAY BE LOST, TROUT PREFER COLDER WATER WARM WATER FISH MAY > I.E. WALLEYES AMPHIBIANS AND REPTILES MAY SHOW ENHANCEMENT WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – PREDICTED IMPACTS OF GLOBAL CLIMATIC CHANGE ON BIOTA IMPACTS ON ANIMALS – BIODIVERSITY WILL BE ALTERED, ESPECIALLY IN MATURE AND OLD-GROWTH STANDS – WARM, DRY WILL BE MORE SEVERE THAN WARM, WET – HOW WILL NATIONS CONTEND WITH SPP LOSS – KYOTO ACCORD WAS AN ATTEMPT TO REDUCE GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – ACID DEPOSITION PRIMARY POLLUTANTS OF TROPOSPHERE – SULFUR DIOXIDE 90-95% ELEC GEN+FACTORY – NITRIC OXIDE 57% “ “ THESE ARE MOVED BY AIR CURRENTS – SO2 – NO2 RAIN “ H2SO4 HNO3 AND RETURN TO THE SURFACE THROUGH PRECIPITATION ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – ACID DEPOSITION pH OF RAIN – 1945 – 1990 5.6 4.0 EFFECTS OF ACID DEPOSITION – – – – – > RESPIRATORY DISEASE DEGRADES WATER QUALITY REPRODUCTION OF PLANTS & ANIMALS MORTALITY “ “ DAMAGE OBJECTS ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – ACID DEPOSITION EXTENT OF ACID DEPOSITION – KNOWN IN EUROPE SINCE EARLY 19TH CENT – STUDIED IN THE U.S. SINCE 1970 – A PROBLEM NE U.S. SE CANADA N & CENTRAL EUROPE CHINA RUSSIA S AMERICA ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – ACID DEPOSITION EXTENT OF ACID DEPOSITION – – – – 90% IN U.S. IS FROM 31 STATES E OF MISS. RIVER IN, IL, MO, OH, PA, TN DEPOSTION IS AS LOW AS pH 4.0 AMOUNT VARIES WITH ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – ACID DEPOSITION IMPACTS ON PLANTS AND SOILS – – – – – RECOGNIZED SINCE EARLY 1980s TOXICITY TO PLANTS FOR SO2 WAS LONG KNOWN TREES- IRREGULAR BROWN PATCHES ON LEAVES AFFECTS EFFICIENCY OF PHOTOSYNTHESIS RED SPRUCE MORTALITY 60% IN NY, VT, NH – BIRCH FOLIAGE INJURY ACID MARINE FOG IN NB, CANADA ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – ACID DEPOSITION IMPACTS ON PLANTS AND SOILS – DIE-OFF MAY INCLUDE OTHER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS – SILVER FIR AND NORWAY SPRUCE SHOW SENSITIVITY TO ACID DEPOSITION IN EUROPE – MAY AFFECT NUTRIENT CYCLING IN THE SOIL – Ca AND Mg MAY BE LEACHED FROM SOILS – SEVERITY IS > ON POORER SOILS – LIMESTONE SOILS NEUTRALIZE EFFECTS ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – ACID DEPOSITION IMPACTS ON ANIMALS – ZINC SMELTERS IN BLUE MT, PA W/N 3 km 800 ha WERE DEVOID OF FOREST FEW SPP OF ANIMALS W/N 5 km – ACID DEPOSITION AFFECTS STREAM CHEMISTRY – FISH SUFFER MORTALITY SLOWER RATE OF GROWTH LOWER REPRODUCTION ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – ACID DEPOSITION IMPACTS ON ANIMALS – SW PA BROOK TROUT AND AQUATIC INSECTS 61 HEADWATER STREAMS 28 W/ VIABLE TROUT WATER WITH LOW pH STOCKING HAS BEEN CURTAILED IN SOME STREAMS – IN NY FISH HAVE SUFFERED DUE TO TOXICITY OF ACID DEPOSITION OF ALUMINUM – ONTARIO 40% DECLINE IN FISH SPP ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – ACID DEPOSITION IMPACTS ON ANIMALS – – – – – AMPHIBIANS REQUIRE WATER FOR MATING pH OF WATER IS BELOW 5.0 EGGS AND LARVAE ARE AFFECTED JEFFERSON SALAMANDER FAIL IN pH 4.2 WATER AMPHIBIANS SHOW A GENERAL DECLINE PRESUME LOW pH AND ?? – GROUND FEEDING BIRD FOOD SOURCES MAY BE AFFECTED GREAT TIT, CHICKADEE ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – OTHER ENVIRONMENTAL CONTAMINANTS DDT Dichloro-Diphenyl-Trichloroethane – INSECTICIDE USED SINCE 1940s – ENTERED THE FOOD CHAIN – BIRDS OF PREY WERE AFFECTED HIGH FLEDGE MORTALITY EGG SHELLS BECAME THIN AND DELICATE – DDT WAS DISCONTINUED IN 1972 – STILL IN USE IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – OTHER ENVIRONMENTAL CONTAMINANTS PCBs – – – – POLYCHLORINATED BIPHENYLS BANNED SINCE 1976 HEAT SINK FOR ELECTRICAL TRANSFORMERS QUANTITIES ARE SEQUESTERED IN SOIL OR STREAM BEDS – PCBs ARE COSTLY TO REMOVE ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – OTHER ENVIRONMENTAL CONTAMINANTS LEAD – – – – Pb FROM HUNTING WITH SHOTGUNS SHOT IS ACCIDENTALLY EATEN BY WATERFOWL THE LEAD ENTERS THE FOOD CHAIN TOP PREDATORS ACCUMULATE TOXIC QUANTITIES OF THE METAL – OTHER SOURCES PAINT, GAS, REFINING, ETC ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – OTHER ENVIRONMENTAL CONTAMINANTS MERCURY – – – – – – Hg FOSSIL FUEL BURNING FUNGICIDES IN LATEX PAINT INCINERATION OF MUNICIPAL WASTE Hg ENTERS AQUATIC SYSTEMS PREDATORS ARE AFFECTED….LOONS MINK AND OTTER MAY ALSO BE CONTAMINATED ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – OZONE O3 – A NATURAL COMPONENT OF THE STRATOSPHERE SOLAR RADIATION ON OXYGEN ABSORBS UV RADIATIONS – LIGHTNING CAUSES OZONE TO FORM IN THE TROPOSPHERE ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – OZONE EFFECTS OF HIGH OZONE; TROPOSPHERE – THIS IS A PROBLEM FOR THE EDF – EMISSIONS ARE HIGH NEAR COAL-FIRED POWER STATIONS – TRAVELS GREAT DISTANCES BY ATMOSPHERIC WINDS – SINCE 1960s CONC ARE HIGH ALONG THE EAST COAST – SUMMER SEASON; HIGHEST – HIGHER ELEVATION FORESTS AT MORE RISK ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – OZONE EFFECTS OF HIGH OZONE; TROPOSPHERE – – – – – – – TREE LEAVES SHOW OZONE SYMPTOMS OZONE ENTERS THROUGH THE STOMATES UPPER LEAF CELLS DISCOLOR AND DIE PHOTOSYNTHESIS IS REDUCED RED MAPLE, BLACK CHERRY ARE V SENSITIVE SUGAR MAPLE, WHITE OAK SHOW NO SYMPTOMS STRESS DUE TO OZONE MAY > SUSCEPTIBILITY TO OTHER DISEASE AGENTS – http://www.fs.fed.us/r8/foresthealth/pubs/ozone/r8pr25/ozoneh2.htm ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – OZONE EFFECTS OF LOW OZONE; STRATOSPHERE – VOLCANIC ACTIVITY REDUCES OZONE – CHLORINE AND BROMINE FROM CFCs REDUCE OZONE BY CONVERTING IT TO OXYGEN – 1985 THE OZONE HOLE WAS DOCUMENTED OVER ANTARCTICA MAY HAVE DECLINED 60-95% – AN ARCTIC VOID HAS BEEN DESCRIBED ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – OZONE EFFECTS OF LOW OZONE; STRATOSPHERE – GREATER AMOUNTS OF UV REACH THE SURFACE OF THE EARTH – PRODUCTIVITY OF PHYTOPLANKTON HAS DECREASED – THIS IS THE BASE OF THE FOOD CHAIN IN THE OCEANS – UV CAN CAUSE LOWER HATCHING IN AMPHIBS HABITAT LOSS, ACID DEPOSITION, INTRODUCED PREDATOR, DISEASE ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – OZONE EFFECTS OF LOW OZONE; STRATOSPHERE – HUMAN HEALTH AND OZONE: SKIN CANCER EYE CATARACTS – CLEAN AIR ACT, (1990) 1995 WILL REDUCE Cl AND Br LEVELS – MONTREAL PROTOCOL 1987 AIMED AT OZONE DEPLETION ATMOSPHERIC CONCERNS – OZONE EFFECTS OF LOW OZONE; STRATOSPHERE – CFCs HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED IN DEVELOPED COUNTRIES – THE NEW HYDROFLUOROCARBONS REPLACE CFCs