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A personalized approach to choosing therapies in IBD: Can we do this smarter? Stephen B. Hanauer, MD Treating IBD beyond symptoms ‘Personalised’ management for IBD will depend on: • • • • Disease severity at presentation Clinical and biologic prognostic factors Achievement of clinical and biologic remission Maintenance of clinical and biologic remission – Patient adherence – Therapeutic monitoring • Pharmacoeconomics Goals of therapy 2013 • Induce (clinical) remission – Mucosal healiing • Maintain remission • Prevent complications – Disease – Therapy • Optimise timing of surgery Distribution of UC Disease Severity at Presentation 100 Fulminant disease (9%) Patients With UC (%) 80 60 N=1161 Moderate to higher activity (71%) 40 20 Low activity (20%) 0 Disease Activity Langholz EP et al. Scand J Gastroenterol. 1991;26:1247-1256. 4 Course of UC Disease Course One Year After Diagnosis 40 Moderate-high activity (20%) 30 Low activity (30%) 20 Colectomy Rate (%) 80 60 40 20 Patients With UC (%) 100 10 No symptoms (50%) 0 0 0 Disease activity Hendriksen C et al, Gut. 1985;26:158-163. 5 10 15 20 Years 5 Predictors of Poor Response or Colectomy1-5 • Serum albumin • Stool frequency • ESR >30 mm/h • Percentage of bloody stools • Bandemia • Body temperature >37.5°C • Prolonged flare • Heart rate >90 bpm • Active infection • Increased CRP • Hospitalization setting • Toxic megacolon • Severe endoscopic lesions • Low hemoglobin <10.5 g/dL • Disease duration BPM=beats per minute; CRP=c-reactive protein; ESR=erythrocyte sedimentation rate. 1. Lindgren SC et al. Eur J Gastroenterol Hepatol. 1998;10:831-835; 2. Gonzalez-Lama Y et al. Hepatogastroenterology. 2008;55:1609-1614; 3. Suzuki Y et al. Dig Dis Sci. 2006;51:2031-2038; 4. Cacheux W et al. Am J Gastroenterol 2008;103:637-642. 5. Ananthakrishnan AN et al. Am J Gastroenterol. 2008;103:2789– 2798. 6 Inflammatory activity and progression of bowel damage in a theoretical patient with Crohn’s Disease Stricture Bowel damage Fistula/abscess Stricture Disease onset Diagnosis Pariente B et al. Inflamm Bowel Dis. 2011;17(6):1415. Early disease Inflammatory activity (CDAI, CDEIS, CRP) Surgery Crohn’s Disease Activity Index ( CDAI ) Relationship Between Clinical Symptoms and Endoscopic Indices at Presentation of Acute CD 600 500 400 300 200 100 R=0.13; NS 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Crohn’s Disease Endoscopic Index of Severity (CDEIS) Modigliani R et al. Gastroenterology. 1990;98:811. CDAI vs CRP 100 10 Log CRP mg/L ULN 1 0.1 0.01 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 Baseline CDAI Gastroenterology, 1990. 98(4): 811-18 Example of sequential therapies for IBD Disease severity at presentation Natalizumab Anti-TNF Severe Corticosteroid Moderate Aminosalicylate Mild Anti-TNF/ Thiopurine/MTX (CD) Aminosalicylate (UC)/ Thiopurine/MTX (CD) Aminosalicylate Induction Maintenance Step-up according to severity at presentation or failure at prior step Step-up / sequential management approach Perceived advantages • Patients attain remission with less toxic therapies • Potentially more toxic therapies reserved for more severe or refractory disease • Minimises risk of adverse events • Cost sparing (short-term?) Perceived disadvantages • Patients have to ‘earn’ most effective treatments • Decrease in quality-of-life before patients obtain optimal therapy • Likelihood of surgery may not be altered • Disease may not be modified 60% exposed to IS therapy No Change in Surgery Rates Clinical Predictors for Disabling Crohn’s Disease • Age of onset (P=.0004) • Small bowel disease location (P=.002) • Perianal lesions at diagnosis (P=.01) • Need for steroids at first flare (P=.0001) • Current smoker (P=.09) P values reflect non-disabling vs. disabling CD Beaugerie L et al Gastroenterology. 2006;130:650-656. 13 Treatment of “Early Crohn’s” Disease is More Effective than “Late Disease” CHARM: Remission by Disease Duration with Adalimumab at Week 26 Placebo % Remission 70 59* 60 50 41** 40 40 25 30 20 All adalimumab 17 14 10 0 <2 years N = 23, N = 39 <2-5 years N = 36, N = 57 *P = .002, **P < .001, †P = .014, ‡P = .001 all vs placebo Schreiber S, et al. Am J Gastroenterol 105(7): 1574-1582. ≥ 5 years N = 111, N = 233 Patients in deep remission* at Week 52 (%) EXTEND: disease duration and deep remission* rates 40 Placebo Adalimumab 40 mg eow 33 30 18 20 16 10 0/9 3/9 0/15 2/11 0/41 7/44 0 <2 years 2 to <5 years ≥5 years Disease duration *Deep remission defined as clinical remission (CDAI <150) and complete mucosal healing in EXTEND p<0.001 for adalimumab vs placebo, adjusted for baseline disease duration (Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel test) All patients (n=135) received adalimumab 160/80mg induction therapy, before randomisation (n=129) to adalimumab 40mg eow or to placebo CDAI: Crohn’s disease activity index; eow: every other week Colombel JF, et al. Gastroenterology 132:52-65: 2007 Do we need a target if we want to prevent disease progression in IBD? Transmural activity Histological activity Biologic activity ● CRP ● Calprotectin Endoscopic activity Rheumatoid arthritis progression Severity (arbitrary units) Early RA Intermediate Late Inflammation Disability Radiographs © ACR 0 5 10 15 20 Duration of disease (years) Graph: Adapted from Kirwan JR. J Rheumatol 2001;28:881-6 Photo: Copyright © American College of Rheumatology 25 30 Similarities between other therapy areas and IBD? Hypertension, type 2 diabetes and rheumatoid arthritis • Chronic progressive diseases • Failure to treat early and effectively can lead to serious complications and disability • Disease management has evolved over time – Significant advances in treatment – Insights into the importance of early and optimised therapy • Focus on a ‘treat to target’ approach to achieve ‘tight control’ Treat-to-target approach has been adopted in other therapy areas Treatment targets Diabetes • <7% HbA1c Hypertension • • Rheumatoid arthritis • • Remission Low disease activity Diabetes: ADA. Diabetes Care 2011;34(Suppl. 1):S1–98; Hypertension: ESH/ESC Task Force. Eur Heart J 2007;28:1462–536; Rheumatoid arthritis: Smolen JS, et al. Ann Rheum Dis 2010;69:631–7 BP: 140/90 mmHg (135/80 mmHg for diabetic patients) LDL-cholesterol: 70 mg/dL (to lower incidence of cardiac events) Potential wider implications of a adopting a treat-to-target approach • Treatment algorithms are based on treatment targets – e.g. achieve ‘absence of disease activity’ in 3–6 months in RA • Frequent monitoring is recommended so that treatment can be optimised – e.g. HbA1c monitoring every 3 months in patients with diabetes • Modification of the target for high-risk patient groups – e.g. lower blood-pressure target of 130/80 mmHg in patients with both hypertension and type 2 diabetes – Risk of ‘tight target’ in ICU setting • Early disease states are recognised – e.g. pre-hypertension, pre-diabetes Diabetes: ADA. Diabetes Care 2011;34(Suppl. 1):S1–98; Hypertension: ESH/ESC Task Force. Eur Heart J 2007;28:1462–536; Rheumatoid arthritis: Smolen JS, et al. Ann Rheum Dis 2010;69:631–7 Potential benefits of treating to target in rheumatoid arthritis patients • Targeted treatment reduces disease activity more than usual care1–7 • TICORA study (n=111): outcome measures were significantly better with intensive management than with routine care 2 p<0.0001 3 1.9 2 p<0.0001 100 3.5 Patients in remission* (%) Mean reduction in disease activity score 4 1 0 80 65 60 40 16 20 0 Intensive management Routine care Intensive management *Remission was defined as disease activity score <1.6. 1. 2. 3. 4. Fransen J, et al. Ann Rheum Dis. 2005;64:1294–8. Grigor C, et al. Lancet. 2004;364:263–9. Stenger AA, et al. Br J Rheumatol. 1998;37:1157–63. Verstappen SM, et al. Ann Rheum Dis. 2007;66:1443–9. 5. 6. 7. Van Tuyl LH, et al. Ann Rheum Dis. 2008;67:1574–7. Edmonds J, et al. Ann Rheum Dis. 2007;66(Suppl. II):325. Symmons D, et al. Health Technol Assess 2005;9:1–78. Routine care Potential benefits of treating to target in rheumatoid arthritis patients (cont.) • Targeted treatment slows joint damage more than usual care1–5 • Stenger, et al. study (n=228): mean radiographic progression over 2 years was significantly lower with targeted therapy than with usual care1 Mean radiographic progression rate 40 p=0.03 30 35 26 20 10 0 Early 'aggressive' treatment Conventional treatment All patients had recent onset rheumatoid arthritis (complaints <1 year at study entry) 1. 2. 3. Stenger AA, et al. Br J Rheumatol. 1998;37:1157–63. Verstappen SM, et al. Ann Rheum Dis. 2007;66:1443–9. Edmonds J, et al. Ann Rheum Dis. 2007;66(Suppl. II):325 4. 5. Van Tuyl LH, et al. Ann Rheum Dis. 2008;67:1574–7. Symmons D, et al. Health Technol Assess 2005;9:1–78. Treatment of early RA with anti-TNF may prevent progression of structural damage Baseline 102 Weeks Total Sharp score = -10.5 Mucosal Healing Predicts Sustained (2-year) Clinical Remission in Early CD % of patients in Remission Simple endoscopic score 0 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Simple endoscopic score 1-9 70.8 62.5 27.3 18.2 Remission of Steroids Baert FJ, et al. Gastroenterology. 2010;138:463-468. Off Steroids and No Anti-TNF Is a treat-to-target approach feasible in IBD? Symptoms QoL Labs (CRP) ? Biologic Mucosal healing Hospitalisations surgery (Deep remission) Disease modification What are the components of deep remission? • Inflammatory symptoms • Laboratory evidence of inflammation – CRP, calprotectin, etc. • Endoscopic healing • Histologic healing (e.g. UC) • Stabilization of Imaging (structural damage) What is disease modification in IBD? • Symptom resolution – Stabilised QoL and PRO • Reduced disease/therapy complications – Structural damage – EIMs – Neoplasia • Reduced disability • Improved pharmacoeconomics – Direct/indirect costs Impact of therapy will depend on degree of structural damage and speed of progression 100 Cumulative probability (%) 90 80 70 Penetrating 60 50 40 30 Stricturing Inflammatory 20 10 0 0 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132 144 156 168 180 192 204 216 228 240 Patients at risk: 2002 N= Cosnes J et al. Inflamm Bowel Dis. 2002;8:244-250. Months 552 229 95 37 Summary • Current therapeutic strategies for IBD do not modify long-term sequelae – Therapies based on symptoms not prognosis • Similar to other chronic diseases treating to prognostic markers can improve long-term outcomes • Prospective studies are needed to confirm: – Prognostic criteria – Relevance of individual (composite) targets – Impact on long-term outcomes (benefits/risks) – Socioeconomic values of targeted approach Goals of therapy Future goals Current • Induce (clinical) remission • Maintain (clinical) remission • Prevent complications – Therapy • Optimise timing of surgery • Disease modification – Prevent disease progression & complications • • • • Neoplasia Strictures / fistulae Surgery Disability • Pharmacoeconomics – Direct / indirect costs Evolving Goals of Therapy for IBD: Sustained Deep Remission Goal Response Remission Clinical Parameters Outcomes Improved symptoms Improved QoL No symptoms Normal labs Deep remission Normal endoscopy Mucosal healing Decreased hospitalisation Avoidance of surgery Minimal/no disability SUSTAINED QoL=quality of life Modified from Panaccione R. Presented at: European Crohn’s and Colitis Organization (ECCO) Fifth Annual Congress. Prague, Czech Republic; February 2010 32 Maintenance with Biologics will be Optimized by Pharmacology & Determination of Trough Levels Factors that Influence the PK of TNF Antagonists Impact on TNF antagonist PK Presence of ADAs Decreases drug concentration Increases clearance Worse clinical outcomes Concomitant use of immunosuppressives Reduces ADA formation Increases drug concentration Decreases drug clearance Better clinical outcomes Low serum albumin concentration Increases drug clearance Worse clinical outcome High baseline CRP concentration Increase drug clearance High baseline TNF concentration May decrease drug concentration by increasing clearance High body size May increase drug clearance Sex Males have higher clearance Ordas I et. al. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2012; 10:1079-1087. 34 Sustained Clinical Response to IFX IFX Trough Levels at the Beginning of Maintenance Therapy Bortlik M, et al. J Crohn’s Colitis. 2012. dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.crohns.2012.10.019. 35 Infliximab Concentration and Clinical Outcome in Patients With UC • Results – The proportion of pts achieving clinical remission increased with increasing quartiles of IFX concentrations – Similar trends were observed for clinical response and MH Serum IFX Concentrations (g/mL)/ Proportion of Patients (%) 1st Quartile 2nd Quartile 3rd Quartile 4th Quartile p-values Clinical remission at Wk 8 <21.3 26.3 ≥ 21.3-<33.0 37.9 ≥33.0-<47.9 43.9 >47.9 43.1 p=0.0504 Clinical Remission at Wk 30 <0.11 14.6 ≥0.11-<2.4 25.0 ≥2.4-<6.8 59.6 >6.8 52.1 p<0.0001 Clinical Remission at Wk 54 <1.4 2.1 ≥1.4-<3.6 55 ≥3.6-<8.1 79.0 >8.1 60 p=0.0066 Reinisch W, et al. Gastroenterology. 2012;142(5):Supp 1,S-114. Summary • Personalized management for IBD depends on: – Disease severity at presentation – Clinical and biologic prognostic factors – Achievement of clinical and biologic remission – Maintenance of clinical and biologic remission • Patient adherence • Therapeutic monitoring 37