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Biological Journal of the Linnean Society (1990), 40: 53-65. With 7 figures Why fly? The possible benefits for lower mortality DEREK POMEROY Department of <oology, Makerere University, Box 7062, Kampala, Uganda Received 28 October 1989, accepted for publication 13 June 1989 In adult endotherms-birds and mammals--mortality rates are lower in flying than non-flying species. Rates vary with size, but allowing for this they are higher in penguins than flying birds, and in rodents than bats. These observations are most simply explained in terms of predation since flight, allowing movement in three dimensions, increases the chances of escape. There are various problems in obtaining and comparing data on rates of mortality and this partly explains a wide scattering of points. Nevertheless the main results are statistically significant, mostly at P < O . O O l . Amongst birds, there are several other significant differences. Mortality rates are lower at lower latitudes, and in aquatic compared to terrestrial species, with cliff-nesters having lower rates than other aquatic birds and co-operative breeders than other terrestrial ones. No latitudinal effect was detected in mammals. The exceptionally low rates of mortality in bats and swifts are attributed to their being particularly hard to catch. KEY WORDS:-Flight, advantages -mortality rates ~ mammals - bats - birds - penguins - swifts. CONTENTS Introduction . . Methods . . . Results . . . Discussion. . . Conclusions . . Acknowledgements . . References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .53 . . . . .54 . . . . .57 . . . . .62 . . . . .63 . . . . .64 . . . . .64 INTRODUCTION Flight confers such important advantages to an animal that, were it not for its complexity, it would surely have evolved in more groups. Yet today, powered flight is found only in insects, birds and bats. Three important benefits of flight are suggested. (1) In travelling from one point to another, flight requires less energy than walking or running (Alexander, 1982; 129; Peters, 1983). It is also much faster. This facilitates long distance movements to escape such adverse conditions as harsh winters and droughts. (2) Flight gives access to resources unavailable on the ground, e.g. fruit in trees. + 0024-4066/90/050053 13 SOS.OO/O 53 01990 The Linnean Society of London 54 D. POMEROY (3) I t increases the chances of escaping from predators, primarily by allowing movement in three dimensions, rather than two, but also because flight is typically faster than running or jumping. It is the last of these which forms the basis of this paper. Birds may have evolved flight in the first place as a means of escaping predators. However, this possibility (Bennett & Ruben, 1979) is disputed by Rayner (1988: 285) who considers that having “an incipient flight adaptation might render an animal more vulnerable” to predation. Whether or not this is so, there can be little doubt that flight helps modern birds to escape predators, particularly non-flying predators. I t has long been accepted that secondary loss of flight, especially in birds living on islands, is a consequence of the absence of predators which, if introduced by man, soon demonstrate the costs of flightlessness. Not only are these birds unable to fly, but they also lack appropriate behavioural responses, many being active by day and apparently fearless. My concern here is to quantify the benefits of flight in terms of survival and mortality, the main hypothesis being that birds have much lower mortality rates than non-flying animals of similar size. For this purpose I shall confine the comparison to mammals, since they are the only non-flying endotherms apart from secondarily flightless birds. Naturally, bats are a separate category. There are problems associated with the use of survival data (Anderson, Burnham & White, 1985), and there have been criticisms of ‘the comparative method’, although others defend its use (Harvey & Elgar, 1987). Nevertheless, I propose to compare mortality rates (the complement of survival rates). I n doing so, the following assumptions are necessary. (1) Within a particular taxon, survival rates are correlated with body size. There is good evidence for this, e.g. Brown & Pomeroy (1984) and O’Connor (1981) for birds; and Calder (1983b) and Peters (1983) for both birds and mammals. Further evidence appears in this paper. (2) Basal metabolic rates are broadly similar for birds and mammals (including bats) of similar body size (Bennett & Harvey, 1987; Nagy 1987; Peters, 1983) support this view. More importantly, there is also a close correlation between active metabolic rate and size (Bennett & Harvey, 1987). (3) Survival rates amongst adult animals are comparatively independent of age. (4)Higher survival rates are a result of lower predation rates. (5) Body mass is an adequate measure of size. I n later sections the validity of these assumptions will receive further consideration. METHODS The basis of this study is a comparison of mortality rates amongst various groups of adult endotherms. Most of the data are derived from reviews of the literature, supplemented by correspondence. The literature is widely scattered. My original intention was to confine the search to the Afrotropical and Palearctic Regions. I n the case of the Afrotropical fauna, the search has been fairly complete. For the much greater Palearctic literature, I obtained adequate samples without going far beyond standard works such as Cramp (1985) and Corbett & Southern (1977). I have only FLIGHT AND MORTALITY 55 TABLE 1 . Summary of data sources Species included Group" Taxa Geographical range Number of observationsb Range of sizes (8) Afrotropical land birds Aquatic species excluded Afrotropical Region 38 84400 Eurasian land birds Aquatic species excluded Western Palearctic Region 64 9-1530 Aquatic birds Divers, shearwaters, Western Palearctic albatrosses, gannets, and Indian Ocean cormorants, oystercatchers, plovers, waders, skuas, gulls, auks 73 38-9600 7 4100-32 500 13-6000 Penguins Southern Ocean Land mammals All terrestrial species; predominantly rodents Western Palearctic, Nearctic and Afrotropical Regions 38 Western Palearctic, Trop Cent America' 16 Bats All species 3.9-80 "Only flying species are included in the first three groups. 'For some species, there are several independent estimates (up to 5). 'I could find no data for the Afrotropical Region. included data from other regions where larger sample sizes were needed, or where there seemed to be interesting differences. There is no obvious reason why this should introduce a bias. Categories of data which are included in the main analyses are shown in Table 1. 'Aquatic' birds are those which depend on aquatic habitats for major food resources. However, only species of open habitats, such as shores and oceans, were included. Four types of data were excluded. These were: (a) species which are extensively hunted by man, such as rabbits and game-birds; (b) mammals larger than about 10 kg, which roughly corresponds to the size of the largest flying birds; (c) data derived from records of longevity of captive animals; and (d) data from the greatest known ages of ringed birds. The reliability of the data varies greatly, for several reasons. Very few studies were dealing with random samples of populations, and many samples were small. A wide variety of methods are in use. In many cases, estimates of mortality are simply based upon animals disappearing from the study area and, whilst they are presumed to have died, a (usually. unknown) proportion may have emigrated. Some estimates of mortality, especially in long-lived birds, are exaggerated by loss of rings. Nevertheless, all the data were included, excepting only one species of Afrotropical bat, where the quoted mortality-rate in a small sample was three times higher than expected. Many studies report survival rates rather than mortality rates. The two are of course complementary when expressed as percentages; I have used mortality rates, since they are mostly below 50% y&ar-', and consequently are less affected when an arc sine transformation is applied (see below). 56 D. POMEROY Where authors providing data on mortality (or survival) rates did not give the species’ mass, this had to be obtained from a different source, b u t an attempt was made to use data from the same or a nearby population. I n a few cases the original data were extensive, for example on the mass of Palearctic birds. For most species I have used single, modal values for mortality and for body mass. Inevitably, such approximations hide various sources of variability. Some of these are discussed by Sibly, Jones & Houston (1987) in the case of mass, whilst Clobert et al. (1988) and Curio (1989) consider the effects of sex and phylogeny on mortality rates. There has been much discussion on the ways in which mortality rates of adults vary with age, especially in birds. Recent reviews include those of Lakhani & Newton (1983) and Sauer & Slade (1987). Calder (1984), Curio (1989), Lakhani (1987) and Sauer & Siade (1987) all had doubts about the constancy of adult mortality rates; indeed Calder and Curio provide some evidence for its not being constant. O n the other hand, Coulson & Butterfield (1986), Craig & Manson ( l979), Gibbs & Grant ( 1987) and Schnakenwinkel ( l970), working with a wide variety of bird species, all found fairly constant rates. The data of Fry (1980) show various patterns, but no consistent trend with age. There are few comparable data for smaller mammals, but Thompson (1987) reported that survival is, on average, constant with age in pipistrelle bats Pipistrellus pipistrellus. Lakhani & Newton (1983) thought that a constant adult rate was “biologically reasonable”, but argued against its being taken as an a priori assumption. Calder (1984: 33) admits that “the age-dependent increase [in mortality rates] is comparatively small and therefore difficult to observe”. Since the empirical data remain equivocal, I shall follow Brown & Pomeroy (1984) and Mead (1985) in making the simplest assumption, namely that of constancy, except in old age. For this exception-senescencethere is some evidence (Clobert et al., 1988; Coulson & Butterfield, 1986; Curio, 1989; Gibbons & Semlitsch, 1982; Mead, 1985; Partridge, 1987). There is in any case likely to be variations between species, and probably within species too. The model shown in Fig. 1 allows for some increase in old age. This increase, however, will rarely affect the data significantly, since old individuals are a tiny fraction of the population. And whilst ‘bath tub’ models (Paranjpe & Rajarshi, 1986) could be used to fit such life-history patterns, few sets of data are adequate to test them. In practice, departures from linearity in the mortality curve between t, and t, (Fig. 1) would be hard to detect. In comparing mortality rates of different species latitude as well as size should be considered, since it has been suggested that tropical species live longer than those from temperate zones (e.g. Deshmukh, 1986; Fry, 1980). Whilst I have not found it practicable to consider latitude per se as a variable, the data for the Afrotropical and Palearctic Regions are presented separately, although sometimes combined for analysis. One group, the Palearctic-breeding aquatic birds, contains a large proportion of migrants, many of which actually spend more than half of the year in the tropics. Peters (1983) derived an expected relationship between size and mortality rate where W is in which the rate for endotherms should be proportional to W-0.25, the mass. I tried a series of exponents, from W-“” to W-0.40. However, there was no clear convergence on a best fit, which varied between the different groups of data. As an alternative, I fitted regressions of the form arc sine (yomortality rate FLIGHT AND MORTALITY I I 1 0 57 +, Age Figure 1, The model of mortality rates in animals of different ages, as used in this paper. The rate is assumed to be constant in adult life until age t,, when it increases as a result of senescence. year-') on the logarithm of the mass, the latter being in grams. In four cases out of six, this gave higher values of R2 (the coefficient of determination) than Peters' formula, whilst in a fifth they were almost identical. I therefore adopted the arc sine/log mass procedure, using natural logarithms. RESULTS Principal results are shown in Figs2-6, regression statistics in Table2 and comparisons in Table3. Despite the wide scatter of points, four of the six regressions are highly significant, showing the strong dependence of mortality rates on body size. (The two non-significant ones were both small samples-7 and 16.) However, it is other variables which are of most interest here. Estimated adult mortality rates for Afrotropical birds range from around 50% year-' for a 10 g species, to less than 5% year-' for the largest birds (Fig. 2). Rates for birds in southern Africa (which is within the Afrotropical Region, yet TABLE 2. Regression analyses of annual mortality rates (after using a n a r c sine transformation of percentages) and the natural logarithm of species' mass, in grams Regression coefficients Group n a Afrotropical land birds Eurasian land birds Aquatic birds Penguins Land mammals Bats 38 64 73 7 38 16 66.2 75.4 64.1 51.5 144.6 40.7 n.s. = not significant (P> 0.1). b -7.44 - 7.06 - 7.45 -4.13 - 10.51 -5.15 Coefficient of determination (R2) 0.437 0.484 0.495 0.412 0.337 0.120 P < 0.001 < 0.001 < 0.001 n.s. < 0.001 n.s. D. POMEROY 58 0 Not tropical (e.9. S.A.) @ Arc Sine % 8C 2 loo r Co-operative breeders Other Afrotropical species 0 Oriental species Neotropical species Excluded from regression 6C 60 x 0 3 i- 4c a 5 2c C D Mass ( 9 ) Figure 2. Reported mortality rates in adult Afrotropical land birds, together with some from other tropical regions. outside the tropics) are similar to those for tropical species. However, nine out of 11 co-operative breeders have mortality rates lying below the calculated regression. All eleven species weigh between 10 and 100 g, and if we permit all bird species in this size range to constitute a sample, we can compare their rates with a Mann-Witney test. This shows that the median rate for co-operative breeders (30%) is significantly less than that for other species (47%) (U=31, P<0.05). Also shown on Figure 2 are mortality rates for some Oriental and Neotropical species. These are well below those for Afrotropical birds, but there are too few for any firm conclusion to be drawn. (Note that some are also species of oceanic TABLE 3. Analysis of covariance of the regressions in Table 2, where values of n are given. The tests compare, firstly, values of slopes (bi) and secondly, values of intercepts (a,) ~~ Comparison of slopes Data sets compared All six Afrotropical land birds with Eurasian land birds Eurasian land birds with aquatic birds Aquatic birds" with penguins All land birds' with land mammals All land birds* with bats 'Flying aquatic species. bAfrotropical plus Eurasian. n.s. = not significant. F 1.838 0.055 0.093 2.783 2.633 0.249 P ns. n.s. n.s. n.s. 0.05 n.s. Comparison of intercepts F P 97.84 19.09 38.18 41.13 21 1.0 48.31 < 0.001 < 0.001 < 0.001 < 0.001 < 0.001 < 0.001 59 FLIGHT AND MORTALITY Mass ( 9 1 Figure 3. Reported mortality rates in adult land birds from the western Palearctic Region. islands.) It is interesting too that some Neotropical species which are also cooperative breeders have unusually low mortality rates (Brown, 1987). In many cases the data for Palearctic birds are based upon much larger samples than the Afrotropical species, although there is again a wide scatter. For non-aquatic species (Fig. 3), the most striking values are for swifts, which are far below those of other species. The term ‘aquatic’ is here used for birds whose typical habitats, when they are not breeding, are open shores or oceans; data for birds of inland waters other than ‘game’ species were insufficient and they have been omitted. Mortality - Cliff-nesting species Other flying species A Penguins Q 40 - 20 ; *:;.\ . . .. * . .‘A‘ 4 B ,@a 0 10 I I 30 100 ,!I 300 . Q * ‘AN-- I I 1000 3000 .. I 10000 1- & I 3000 Mass ( 9 ) Figure 4. Reported mortality rates in adult birds from open aquatic habitats. Apart from the penguins, most are from the western Palearctic Region, with a few from the Indian Ocean. Some burrow-nesters are included with the cliff-nesters. 60 D. POMEROY Mass (9) Figure 5. Reported mortality rates for adults of land (i.e. non-flying) mammals. rates for aquatic birds are shown in Fig. 4.The cliff- and burrow-nesting species are indicated separately. They include cormorants, auks, kittiwake Rissa tridacQla, gannet Sula bassana and Manx shearwater Pufinus pufinus. These species are presumed to be less vulnerable when breeding than, for example, most gulls and waders. For this group, 19 out of the 21 data points are below the calculated regression, a significant distribution (Sign test, P<O.Ol). Thus it seems that adults as well as young of these species have higher survival rates. 'Data for tropical bats are confined to species from the Neotropics, but all other data for tropical mammals are from the Afrotropical Region, whilst all temperate data are for the Palearctic. Tropical and temperate species are shown together in Figs 5 and 6 and are combined in the calculated regressions. But for both land mammals and bats, the scatter of points for tropical species about the calculated regression lines is similar to that for non-tropical species. All six regressions are compared in Fig. 7, which reveals striking differences between groups. Amongst mammals, the mortality rates for bats are less than a third of those for their non-flying relatives. The lowest rates of all are for the smaller swifts, those for other birds being rather higher than for bats but still only about half the rates of land mammals. Palearctic land birds (a few of which winter in the tropics) tend to have higher mortality rates than tropical species, whilst the aquatic birds, most of which breed in high latitudes, have rates similar to tropical land birds. A statistical comparison of the regressions can be made by using an analysis of covariance (Snedecor & Cochran, 1967). The null hypothesis that. there is no difference between the slopes of the six regressions is accepted (Table 3): in other words they can be considered as parallel. But they are significantly displaced from each other; that is, they are at different levels. A more detailed analysis 61 FLIGHT AND MORTALITY ~ Arc Sine O % * CJ Tropical species 40 - 30 - 20 - Ol I I I 1 3 10 30 I 0 Moss(g) Figure 6. Reported mortality rates for adult bats. shows, firstly, that the mortality rates of Afrotropical birds are significantly lower than those of the Eurasian species; and secondly that the aquatic species, almost all of which breed in the Palearctic Region, have lower mortality rates than the Palearctic land birds. 120- 100 - 80 - 60 - \ . 40- - 20- - 0 3 10 30 100 300 1000 3000 I MOSS( g 1 Figure 7. A comparison of the regressions in Figs 2 to 6. Regression statistics are given in Table 2, and the regressions are compared in Table 3. 62 D. POMEROY If we exclude latitude as a factor affecting mortality in birds, the data for tropical and temperate birds can be combined and compared with land mammals and bats. Again the differences are highly significant (Table 3), although in the case of the land mammals there is also a difference in slope. DISCUSSION The data provide strong confirmation for the relationship between mortality rates and size (Table 2). Four other trends emerge clearly (Table 3). ( I ) Non-flying endotherms have much higher mortality rates than those which fly. (2) There is an overall trend in mortality rates, from high in land mammals to low in bats and swifts. (3) Mortality rates in tropical birds are lower than for birds of higher latitudes. (4)Amongst Afrotropical birds, species which breed co-operatively have lower mortality rates. Before considering these statements in more detail, it should be mentioned that other factors can also affect mortality rates, although I shall not discuss them here. They include life-history strategies, diet, phylogeny and sex (Curio, 1989; Kozlowski & Weigner, 1987; McNab, 1988). It can be seen from Fig. 7 that mortality rates in wild birds are much lower than those of mammals of the same size. Hence life expectancy too is much greater in birds than mammals. Schmidt-Nielsen (1984) shows that this applies to captive animals too, contrary to Calder’s (1983a) predictions for maximum life spans, which suggested only small differences. Longevity in birds and mammals has also been correlated with the ratios of brain size to body size, and body temperature to metabolic rate (Sacher, 1978; Haukioja & Hakala, 1979). However, here I am concerned with wild animals. There are reports of higher ‘field’ metabolic rates in rodents than birds (Nagy, 1987), but the differences are not great; and at least in captivity, bats have slightly higher rates than rodents (Elgar & Harvey, 1987). Whilst it may be intuitively obvious that a bird’s ability to fly gives it a better chance than a rodent of escaping its predators, there is a lack of direct evidence. However, observed mortality rates decrease quite logically in proportion to the apparent risks. Thus fossorial mammals have higher survival rates than surfaceliving mammals (e.g. French, Stoddart & Bobek, 1975), which are heavily predated by birds (Brown, 1972). The naked mole rat, Heterocephalus glaber, living almost entirely underground, and weighing some 50 g, has been recorded to survive for up to 13 years! (Anon, 1986: New Scientist, 22 May: 2 5 ) . Bats, which are usually well hidden during the day or when hibernating, also seem to have few predators when they are active. Amongst birds, mortality rates for penguins are significantly higher than for other aquatic species, which spend less time in or on the water, with its varied predators. Amongst flying species, inhabitants of open shores and oceans are difficult prey, since almost all predators depend to some extent upon surprise. Most data are for Palearctic species, and their mortality rates are some 10 to 15% lower than Palearctic land birds. But the most striking figures are those for swifts. Aerial roosting is known to occur in some swifts, such as Apus apus FLIGHT AND MORTALITY 63 (Cramp, 1985). They are 2 to 3 years old when they first breed, and may spend most of their lives on the wing except when actually at the nest, which is for only a few weeks a year. There are reports of swifts being taken by the sparrow hawk Accipiter nisus (Cramp, 1985), and the fact that falcons are sometimes mobbed by swifts suggests that they are recognized as potential predators, although there are few recorded instances. Fry (1980) was not able to demonstrate lower mortality rates in tropical birds compared to temperate species, but the more extensive data presented here provide good evidence for there being a difference. This may result from harsher environments a t higher latitudes, or the increased costs of migration for some species (Curio, 1989). I n any case, Figs5 and 6 do not suggest any latitudinal difference in mortality rates in mammals, although the data are rather few and variable. The higher mortality rates in birds from northern latitudes are reflected in their greater reproductive effort (Ricklefs, 1980). Fry (1980) suggested that mortality rates should be lower in co-operatively breeding birds than in pair-bonding species. Brown & Pomeroy (1984) found some evidence for this. Brown (1987) has reviewed the subject in detail and his conclusion that co-operative breeders are indeed better survivors is further supported by data in this paper. The explanation may be that by living in a group, co-operative breeders reduce the risks of predation; and a t the same time the energy costs of breeding are shared between more individuals and hence reduced for each. Brown (1987) considers that it is the high survival rate of cooperative breeders which is the cause of the ‘surplus’ birds that become the helpers. CONCLUSIONS Most active predators depend to some extent on an element of surprise in catching their prey. At the same time, prey are more easily detected in open habitats. Here I suggest that prey which can fly are more difficult to catch than those that cannot, and the hardest of all to catch are the ones that spend the most time in the air. Thus amongst mammals, we find higher mortality rates in cursorial than fossorial forms, with the lowest rates in bats which, when not in flight, are often inaccessible. Birds of open shores are most at risk to predators during the breeding season, unlike those which nest in burrows or on cliffs. The main predators of the latter are marine fish and mammals. Both groups have lower rates than land birds, many of which are species of woodlands and forests. And amongst the aquatic species, survival rates are highest in those that nest in the least accessible places. It is particularly notable that swifts, with their remarkably low mortality rates, are the most aerial of all birds. These observations are consistent with the hypothesis that low mortality rates are largely a result of low predation rates. Loss of flight by some island birds in the absence of predators provides support for this. There is a clear sequence, from rats to bats, and penguins to swifts, in which mortality rates are inversely proportional to the risks of predation. These risks, in turn, reflect the potential prey’s accessibility and catchability-in particular, the proportion of its accessible time spent on the wing. 64 D. POMEROY Populations of endotherms are often close to their carrying capacities, which in turn are determined by resource availability. Hence the low reproductive output which is characteristic of species with high survival rates (Eisenberg, 1981; O’Connor, 1981; Perrins & Birkhead, 1983; Western & Ssemakula, 1982) can best be considered as a consequence of their success in reducing predation, especially through flight. These conclusions do not necessarily conflict with those of Lack (1954), who saw mortality rates as a consequence of reproductive rates. Obviously species with high reproductive rates must, on average, have high mortality rates. But where predation rates are lower, the evolution of lower reproductive rates becomes possible. 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